Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13286
Huckabee Very Much in the Missouri Mix; McCain Battles in Three-For-All: The outcome of Missouri's Winner-Take-All Republican Primary is impossible to know, 4 days to the vote, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. John McCain is at 34%, Mitt Romney at 30%, Mike Huckabee at 28%, all three within the survey's 4.5 point margin of sampling error. Among men: tied. Among younger voters: tied. Among pro-life voters: tied. Among regular church goers: tied. Among white voters: tied. McCain has a clear advantage in greater St. Louis, has a slight advantage among women, among seniors, among Moderates, among those who attend church less frequently, among those focused on the Economy, and in greater Kansas City. Huckabee leads in the Ozarks. Romney and Huckabee tie in Central MO. Romney leads among voters focused on Immigration, Terrorism and Social Security. The relative size of regional turnout could decide the contest.
Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of MO adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. Of them, 1,833 were registered to vote. Of them, 505 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Republican Primary. All interviews conducted after results of Florida Primary were known. Half of interviews conducted prior to Republican debate on 01/30/08, half conducted after. John McCain received a number of prominent endorsements during the field period for this survey. The full effect of those endorsements, if there is any, may not yet be reflected in this data.
If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?
505 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratOzarkKansas CCentral St. Loui
Composition of Likely Voters100%56%44%16%37%27%20%53%47%94%4%2%1%76%4%13%70%20%3%68%15%16%77%22%32%67%36%0%7%8%15%6%2%18%26%20%12%41%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.