Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13325
Clinton Appears to Blunt Late Obama Charge in California: 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton appears to fend-off a late charge from Barack Obama, 52% Clinton, 42% Obama, according to SurveyUSA's 13th and final pre-primary tracking poll. Obama leads among men. Clinton leads among women. 44-point Gender Gap. Clinton leads among whites. Obama leads among blacks. 53-point Race Gap. Among younger voters, Clinton leads by 3. Among older voters, Clinton leads by 18. In greater San Francisco, the contest is tied. In the Central Valley, Clinton leads by 7. In greater Los Angeles, Clinton leads by 15. In the Inland Empire, Clinton leads by 16.
Filtering: 2,000 state of CA adults were interviewed 02/03/08 and 02/04/08. Of them, 1,762 were registered to vote. Of them, 872 had already voted or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote at the precinct on 02/05/08. Research conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. Other polls in CA show Clinton with a smaller lead than SurveyUSA shows here. Two polls at this hour show Obama ahead in CA. For Obama to win in CA, he needs a larger turnout among males and African Americans than SurveyUSA's results indicate he will get.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
872 Likely & Actual VotersAllAlready VotedGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceTop Issue For Next PresidentIdeology2004 VoteAbortionGlobal WarmingStem Cell ResearLabor UnionSame Sex MarriagGun OwnershipMilitary DraftWho Is Winning WBush in HistoryPassport CurrentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsActual VLikely VMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratConservaModerateLiberalBushKerryPro-lifePro-choiRealMade-upForAgainstYesNoSupportOpposeYesNoNeedNo NeedUnited STerrorisOne Of AAn AveraOne Of TYesNoCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%34%66%43%57%25%31%26%18%56%44%54%9%26%12%32%8%18%20%4%3%6%7%11%48%34%13%68%21%77%88%8%83%12%34%65%59%33%23%74%23%74%34%49%2%18%80%58%41%18%40%15%27%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.