Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14398
Kansas: McCain in Driver's Seat, But May Want To Watch His Mirrors: In an election for President of the United States in Kansas today, 09/23/08, six weeks from Election Day, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 53% to 41%, according to this SurveyUSA pre-election poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita and KCTV-TV Kansas City. Compared to an identical poll released one month ago, McCain is down 5 points; Obama is up 6 points. Then, McCain led by 23 points; today, that lead has been cut in half, to 12 points.

McCain continues to lead among young and old, male and female, college educated and less educated, frequent worshipers and not-so-frequent worshipers, but his margins have shrunk, and in many cases, have been sliced almost exactly in half: Among men, McCain had led by 33, now leads by 17. Among women, McCain had led by 15, now leads by 7. Among voters age 18 to 49, McCain had led by 25, now leads by 12; among voters 50+, McCain had led by 22, now leads by 12. Among college graduates, McCain had led by 17, now leads by 4. Among those who have not graduated college, McCain had led by 31, now leads by 20.

13% of Democrats cross over to vote Republican, down from 22% one month ago; 14% of Republicans cross over to vote Democratic, essentially unchanged from one month ago. Independents today favor McCain by 7 points, essentially unchanged from last month.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Kansas adults 09/21/08 through 09/22/08. Of them, 799 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 666 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Kansas has 6 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Kansas by 25 points in 2004 and by 21 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
666 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind Mad< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
McCain (R)53%55%50%40%63%51%54%53%52%52%54%53%56%******83%13%46%85%46%14%49%57%59%48%43%69%38%47%54%46%57%47%57%63%
Obama (D)41%38%43%53%32%41%40%41%40%42%41%39%38%******14%81%39%10%48%81%45%37%35%45%51%23%57%34%42%46%38%46%38%30%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%21%31%27%20%53%47%47%11%42%88%4%5%4%45%32%19%32%36%16%48%52%54%25%21%46%49%20%78%40%60%50%34%16%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.