| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14572 |
| New Jersey Looking More Like a Garden State for Obama: In an election for President of the United States in New Jersey today, 10/13/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 55% to 40%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV in New York and WCAU-TV in Philadelphia. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Obama is up 2 points; McCain is down 3.
Obama takes a majority of the vote among most groups: men and women, young and old, well-educated and less-educated, rich and poor. Obama leads by 22 points in North Jersey, by 10 points in Central Jersey, and by 9 points in South Jersey. 16% of Republicans cross-over to vote for Obama; 11% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. Independents split. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 725 New Jersey adults 10/11/08 and 10/12/08. Of the adults, 655 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 551 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. New Jersey has 15 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried New Jersey by 7 points in 2004; Al Gore carried the state by 16 points in 2000. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 551 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Northern | Central | Southern | |
| McCain (R) | 40% | 41% | 38% | 25% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 35% | 45% | 34% | 42% | 46% | 48% | 11% | 27% | 20% | 83% | 11% | 45% | 75% | 36% | 11% | 43% | 36% | 45% | 40% | 34% | 60% | 31% | 30% | 44% | 41% | 42% | 43% | 28% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 21% | 57% | 37% | 36% | 42% | 43% |
| Obama (D) | 55% | 53% | 56% | 67% | 53% | 52% | 48% | 59% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 87% | 67% | 76% | 16% | 86% | 40% | 23% | 58% | 88% | 52% | 58% | 51% | 55% | 59% | 35% | 64% | 63% | 51% | 53% | 55% | 52% | 67% | 56% | 54% | 52% | 69% | 37% | 58% | 58% | 52% | 52% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 46% | 11% | 43% | 73% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 28% | 46% | 24% | 22% | 46% | 16% | 55% | 45% | 40% | 35% | 25% | 31% | 67% | 24% | 76% | 72% | 23% | 83% | 17% | 35% | 65% | 86% | 11% | 17% | 81% | 41% | 31% | 27% |