Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14462 |
Democrats Gain Ground in Two Oklahoma Corporation Commission Contests: Democratic candidates for Oklahoma Corporation Commission seats have gained ground over the past three weeks. In an election for a full-term seat on the Commission today, 09/30/08, Incumbent Republican Jeff Cloud edges Democrat Charles Gray 47% to 44%, according to this exclusive KFOR-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Three weeks ago, Cloud led Gray by 15 points; today, Gray has gained 7 points; Cloud has lost 5 points and now leads by 3.
Among men, Cloud had led by 17, now leads by 3. Among women, Cloud had led by 13, now leads by 3. Among voters age 18 to 49, Cloud had led by 7, now trails by 5. Among voters 50+, Cloud's lead has been cut in half, from 22 points to 11 points. Cloud, first elected to the Commission in 2002, leads by 9 points today in Western Oklahoma, down slightly from a 13-point lead three weeks ago. In Eastern Oklahoma, the race has flipped: Cloud had led by 17, now trails by 4. In the race for a short-term, two year term on the Commission, Republican Dana Murphy defeats Democratic incumbent Jim Roth 50% to 41%. Compared to three weeks ago, Roth is up 5 points; Murphy is down 4. Murphy, a geologist and attorney, leads by 9 points among men and by 10 among women. Among voters age 18 to 49, Murphy leads by 4 points; among voters age 50+, Murphy leads by 14. 28% of Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican Murphy. Roth was appointed by Democratic Governor Brad Henry to fill a vacancy on the Commission in June of 2007; Republican Denise Bode, elected to her second full term in the office in 2004, resigned her seat. The winner of the short-term commission seat will serve the remaining two years of Bode's term. |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Oklahoma adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of the adults, 794 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 656 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. |
656 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | |
Jeff Cloud (R) | 47% | 48% | 46% | 32% | 50% | 48% | 54% | 42% | 51% | 50% | 16% | ** | 32% | 80% | 21% | 41% | 72% | 36% | 22% | 49% | 45% | 53% | 38% | 40% | 59% | 33% | 40% | 49% | 44% | ** | 26% | 39% | 79% | ** | ** | 54% | 42% | 51% | 50% | 43% |
Charles Gray (D) | 44% | 45% | 43% | 54% | 43% | 43% | 38% | 47% | 40% | 41% | 78% | ** | 51% | 11% | 71% | 43% | 18% | 56% | 74% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 48% | 54% | 31% | 60% | 48% | 43% | 47% | ** | 57% | 56% | 16% | ** | ** | 40% | 51% | 39% | 41% | 47% |
Undecided | 10% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | ** | 16% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 8% | ** | 16% | 5% | 5% | ** | ** | 6% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 28% | 28% | 23% | 48% | 52% | 83% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 41% | 48% | 8% | 41% | 35% | 9% | 41% | 59% | 57% | 23% | 20% | 54% | 43% | 17% | 81% | 56% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 46% | 54% | 50% | 50% |
656 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | |
Dana Murphy (R) | 50% | 51% | 50% | 34% | 57% | 49% | 58% | 47% | 53% | 53% | 18% | ** | 39% | 79% | 28% | 46% | 73% | 42% | 23% | 54% | 48% | 57% | 41% | 43% | 63% | 36% | 45% | 52% | 48% | ** | 30% | 45% | 79% | ** | ** | 70% | 44% | 57% | 50% | 50% |
Jim Roth (D) | 41% | 42% | 40% | 53% | 36% | 43% | 35% | 43% | 39% | 38% | 76% | ** | 49% | 14% | 64% | 39% | 18% | 52% | 72% | 39% | 43% | 36% | 45% | 52% | 28% | 57% | 45% | 41% | 45% | ** | 57% | 51% | 15% | ** | ** | 24% | 49% | 35% | 41% | 41% |
Undecided | 9% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 5% | ** | 12% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 7% | ** | 13% | 4% | 6% | ** | ** | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 28% | 28% | 23% | 48% | 52% | 83% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 41% | 48% | 8% | 41% | 35% | 9% | 41% | 59% | 57% | 23% | 20% | 54% | 43% | 17% | 81% | 56% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 46% | 54% | 50% | 50% |