Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14578
 
In Oregon, Obama Consolidating Support, Building Broad Coalition, As Early Voting Begins: In an election for President of the United States in Oregon today, 10/13/08, three weeks till votes are counted, Barack Obama defeats John McCain 57% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KATU-TV Portland. 3 weeks ago, Obama led by 11. Today, by 17. Obama is above 50% among men, women, voters of every age group, Independents, Moderates, those with college degrees and those without, those who earn more than $50,000 a year and those who do not, those who live in greater Portland and those who live elsewhere. McCain leads only among Conservatives, Pro-Life voters, and those who attend church regularly. John Kerry carried Oregon by 4 points in 2004. Al Gore carried Oregon by 3 points in 2000.
 
Filtering: 725 state of Oregon adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/11/08 and 10/12/08. Of them, 658 were registered to vote. Of them, 584 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote. Oregon has 7 electoral votes and conducts its elections entirely by mail; voters will begin receiving ballots this week.
 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
584 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicAsianRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KPortlandRest of
McCain (R)40%43%36%33%43%41%39%39%40%38%42%41%41%****26%79%12%33%86%30%4%35%44%59%38%24%76%21%39%41%38%43%
Obama (D)57%53%60%66%52%55%56%58%56%59%52%55%56%****68%18%86%58%11%66%95%63%51%38%58%73%22%76%56%57%59%53%
Other3%3%3%1%4%4%3%2%3%2%5%3%3%****6%2%1%8%2%3%1%2%3%3%2%3%2%3%4%2%3%4%
Undecided1%1%1%1%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%****0%0%1%2%1%1%0%0%2%0%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%22%31%27%21%52%48%46%11%43%90%1%3%5%36%45%18%29%39%20%48%52%34%25%41%35%62%39%61%65%35%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.