Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14578 |
In Oregon, Obama Consolidating Support, Building Broad Coalition, As Early Voting Begins: In an election for President of the United States in Oregon today, 10/13/08, three weeks till votes are counted, Barack Obama defeats John McCain 57% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KATU-TV Portland. 3 weeks ago, Obama led by 11. Today, by 17. Obama is above 50% among men, women, voters of every age group, Independents, Moderates, those with college degrees and those without, those who earn more than $50,000 a year and those who do not, those who live in greater Portland and those who live elsewhere. McCain leads only among Conservatives, Pro-Life voters, and those who attend church regularly. John Kerry carried Oregon by 4 points in 2004. Al Gore carried Oregon by 3 points in 2000. |
Filtering: 725 state of Oregon adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/11/08 and 10/12/08. Of them, 658 were registered to vote. Of them, 584 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote. Oregon has 7 electoral votes and conducts its elections entirely by mail; voters will begin receiving ballots this week. |
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
584 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Portland | Rest of | |
McCain (R) | 40% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 41% | 41% | ** | ** | 26% | 79% | 12% | 33% | 86% | 30% | 4% | 35% | 44% | 59% | 38% | 24% | 76% | 21% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 43% |
Obama (D) | 57% | 53% | 60% | 66% | 52% | 55% | 56% | 58% | 56% | 59% | 52% | 55% | 56% | ** | ** | 68% | 18% | 86% | 58% | 11% | 66% | 95% | 63% | 51% | 38% | 58% | 73% | 22% | 76% | 56% | 57% | 59% | 53% |
Other | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ** | ** | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
Undecided | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 22% | 31% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 46% | 11% | 43% | 90% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 36% | 45% | 18% | 29% | 39% | 20% | 48% | 52% | 34% | 25% | 41% | 35% | 62% | 39% | 61% | 65% | 35% |