Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21771
 
In CO, Both Top-of-Ticket Contests Remain Too-Close-To-Call, 3 Wks to Election Day; GOP Candidates Benefit from Strong Anti-Obama Sentiment:

A handful of Colorado voters may determine control of the United States Senate in the next Congress, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for the Denver Post. Republican challenger Cory Gardner today runs a whisker in front of Democratic incumbent Mark Udall, 45% for Gardner, 43% for Udall, well within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error, and close enough to still go either way.

Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released one month ago, Gardner is up 3 points, Udall is down 3 points. Udall had nominally led by 4, today nominally trails by 2. The teeter-totter could easily tip again between now and Election Day. The seesaw is illustrated in this interactive tracking graph, which shows Gardner trailing by 9 points one month ago among voters age 18 to 49, and today leading by 9 points among that same 18-to-49 sub-population. Among Independent voters, Gardner had trailed by 10, now is even. In greater Denver, Gardner had trailed by 19, now trails by 6, a gain of 13 percentage points.

Compared to a month ago, Udall's favorable numbers are down, his unfavorable numbers are up. Back then, he had been Minus 7. Today, he is Minus 12. (37% favorable, compared to 49% unfavorable). Compared to a month ago, Gardner's favorable and unfavorable numbers are up. Back then, he had been Net Zero, Today he is Plus 5. (43% favorable, compared to 38% unfavorable). On the issue of which candidate for Senate is more trustworthy, Gardner had trailed by 2, now leads by 4.

Of less national significance, but of greater local importance, is the contest for Governor of Colorado. There, poll-on-poll, Incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper has gone from a nominal 2-point advantage over Republican challenger Bob Beauprez on 09/11/14 to a 1-point nominal advantage today, 10/13/14. Then, the contest was too-close-to-call. Now the contest remains too-close-to-call. Unlike the Senate race, where there has been movement to the Republican, and the only question is how much, here, the 1-point of nominal movement to Beauprez may be what is sometimes referred to as "statistical noise," and may mean nothing. Both candidates remain well-positioned to win. A handful of votes could determine the outcome.

Beauprez has closed on Hickenlooper in greater Denver. Hickenlooper had led in greater Denver by 17 points, now by just 5. But there is offsetting movement to Hickenlooper in those Colorado communities not attached to Denver and not attached to Colorado Springs --- what SurveyUSA calls here, for ease of labeling, "the rest of Colorado." In the rest of Colorado, Beauprez had led by 13 points, today trails by 4, a 17-point left turn. Among conservatives today, Beauprez leads 14:1, up from 7:1. Among seniors today, Beauprez leads by 8 points, up from 2 points. Hickenlooper is backed by less educated and less affluent voters.

Beauprez's Net Favorability Rating has changed ever-so-slightly from Plus 4, one month ago, to Net Zero today. Then as now, 38% of voters have a favorable opinion of him. Then, 34% had an unfavorable opinion of Beauprez, now 38%. Hickenlooper's Net Favorability Rating has changed ever-so-slightly from Minus 1, one month ago, to Minus 3 today. Then as now, 47% of likely voters had an unfavorable opinion of Hickenlooper. Today, 44% have a favorable opinion, down from 46%.

How much does President Obama's shadow hang over Colorado's top-of-ticket contests? Statewide, 17% of likely voters strongly approve of the job Obama is doing as President, compared to 46% who strongly disapprove. Of voters who say their feelings about President Obama are a major factor in how they vote in 2014, 73% strongly disapprove of the job the President is doing. Of voters who say their feelings about President Obama are a major factor in how they vote in 2014, 68% vote Republican in the Senate race, 69% vote Republican in the Governor race. Of voters who say that Obama is not at all a factor in how they vote in 2014, 64% vote Democratic in the Senate race, 66% vote Democratic in the Governor's race.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of Colorado adults 10/09/14 through 10/12/14. Of the adults, 657 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 591 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote on or before Election Day, 11/04/14. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (75% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (25% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Ballots began to be mailed to voters 10/13/2014; in-person voting begins 10/20/2014.

 
If the election for Governor of Colorado were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, for whom would you vote? (candidate names rotated)
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Bob Beauprez (R)44%47%41%34%49%42%50%43%45%41%**57%**1%11%23%82%69%35%24%84%9%39%85%35%7%32%50%44%37%43%47%35%47%43%52%41%
John Hickenlooper (D)45%43%47%53%39%48%42%44%45%47%**35%**92%83%53%7%21%56%66%10%85%42%6%54%83%52%35%49%46%45%47%52%43%48%37%45%
Matthew Hess (L)3%4%2%3%4%3%2%4%3%4%**2%**0%0%4%6%4%4%2%1%1%7%2%3%4%1%4%3%3%3%4%1%4%2%3%5%
Harry Hempy (G)0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%1%1%**0%**1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%
Mike Dunafon (Unaffil)1%1%0%1%0%1%2%0%1%1%**0%**0%1%2%1%1%0%1%1%0%2%0%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%2%0%
Undecided6%5%8%9%8%5%4%8%5%6%**7%**5%5%18%4%4%6%6%5%4%8%7%6%3%12%9%3%12%7%2%11%5%6%5%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
If the election for the United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, for whom would you vote? (candidate names rotated) Republican Cory Gardner? Democrat Mark Udall? Libertarian Gaylon Kent? Or unaffiliated candidate Steve Shogan?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Cory Gardner (R)45%49%41%34%53%40%52%46%45%44%**49%**2%5%30%86%68%38%26%85%11%40%83%38%7%34%47%47%35%44%50%36%48%42%53%47%
Mark Udall (D)43%38%48%46%32%53%40%37%48%45%**35%**94%89%34%4%23%46%64%8%82%40%10%47%85%49%39%44%47%40%45%48%41%48%37%36%
Gaylon Kent (L)3%4%1%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%**1%**0%0%5%5%3%4%2%3%1%4%1%4%1%1%3%3%2%3%3%1%3%2%2%4%
Steve Shogan (Unaffil)2%2%1%3%1%2%2%2%2%2%**1%**1%2%3%2%2%1%2%1%1%3%1%2%1%3%2%1%3%2%0%0%2%1%4%1%
Undecided7%6%8%13%11%3%4%12%3%6%**15%**3%4%29%4%4%11%6%4%5%12%5%9%7%14%10%5%14%10%1%15%5%6%4%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
3Thinking now about President Obama ... do you strongly approve? ... Somewhat approve? ... Somewhat disapprove? ... Or strongly disapprove? ... of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Strongly Approve17%14%21%11%12%22%22%12%22%17%**12%**100%0%0%0%13%16%23%1%40%10%3%17%39%24%11%18%18%17%17%11%20%20%13%15%
Somewhat Approve24%25%24%34%19%28%18%24%24%25%**24%**0%100%0%0%7%31%40%4%42%28%5%29%42%17%29%24%31%23%24%36%20%26%22%22%
Somewhat Disapprove10%10%10%22%11%7%5%15%6%11%**10%**0%0%100%0%6%18%9%11%6%14%6%14%9%18%7%10%10%11%10%19%7%10%8%13%
Strongly Disapprove46%47%44%33%52%42%54%45%46%47%**41%**0%0%0%100%73%35%23%83%7%46%85%35%9%37%52%44%38%49%44%32%50%41%56%49%
Not Sure3%4%1%1%6%1%1%4%1%1%**13%**0%0%0%0%1%1%4%1%5%2%1%5%0%5%1%3%3%0%4%1%3%3%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
4Are your feelings about President Obama ... a major factor? ... A minor factor? ... Or not a factor at all ... in how you will vote in 2014?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Major Factor40%43%37%34%38%43%44%37%43%37%**54%**30%12%25%64%100%0%0%58%24%40%67%31%20%56%48%33%44%42%35%35%42%38%42%44%
Minor Factor22%23%22%31%19%18%26%24%21%23%**17%**21%28%40%17%0%100%0%22%25%21%18%26%22%16%17%27%21%24%22%31%20%23%24%20%
Not a Factor35%34%37%33%41%36%28%38%33%38%**28%**47%59%33%18%0%0%100%18%50%38%12%42%57%25%32%39%31%33%43%32%37%37%33%33%
Not Sure2%1%3%1%1%2%3%1%2%2%**2%**2%1%2%1%0%0%0%2%1%1%2%1%1%3%3%1%3%2%0%3%2%2%1%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Is your opinion of Cory Gardner favorable, unfavorable or do you need to know more about him?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Favorable43%46%40%41%47%37%51%44%42%41%**53%**7%9%26%77%64%35%26%77%14%38%76%38%8%33%43%46%34%44%45%40%44%40%50%44%
Unfavorable38%35%40%34%26%50%37%29%45%41%**20%**80%67%35%8%18%39%58%7%69%37%6%43%73%40%32%39%36%38%39%34%39%42%33%32%
Need To Know More19%18%20%26%27%13%12%26%13%17%**27%**14%23%39%15%18%26%16%16%17%25%18%20%19%28%25%15%30%18%16%26%17%18%17%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Is your opinion of Mark Udall favorable, unfavorable or do you need to know more about him?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Favorable37%35%40%40%26%47%36%31%43%40%**24%**81%75%32%3%20%43%55%10%70%34%7%44%71%41%29%40%37%35%42%46%34%40%33%35%
Unfavorable49%55%43%41%58%42%55%52%47%49%**52%**6%10%29%89%70%42%31%81%18%49%80%43%17%39%54%49%42%52%48%37%53%46%57%50%
Need To Know More14%10%17%19%16%11%9%17%10%11%**25%**13%14%38%8%10%14%14%9%13%17%12%13%12%19%17%10%21%13%10%17%12%14%9%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressman Cory Gardner is doing?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Approve41%45%36%38%42%36%49%40%41%37%**54%**7%8%26%72%62%32%23%75%14%33%74%34%8%34%38%43%34%39%43%34%43%37%50%42%
Disapprove37%34%39%28%29%48%36%29%43%39%**24%**73%66%26%11%23%37%51%10%61%39%13%39%64%40%33%37%38%38%36%32%38%42%33%28%
Not Sure23%22%24%33%29%17%16%31%16%24%**22%**20%27%48%16%15%31%26%15%25%29%13%27%28%26%30%19%28%23%21%34%19%22%17%30%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Senator Mark Udall is doing?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Approve36%33%39%37%25%45%36%29%42%39%**22%**81%73%27%2%18%37%57%8%67%34%5%41%74%39%31%38%38%33%40%39%35%38%31%35%
Disapprove53%58%47%41%64%48%55%55%51%51%**63%**8%14%39%92%75%49%32%83%20%55%88%45%17%44%58%53%48%55%52%41%57%50%63%52%
Not Sure11%9%14%22%11%7%9%15%8%10%**15%**11%12%33%6%8%14%11%9%14%11%7%14%9%17%12%9%14%12%9%20%9%12%6%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Is your opinion of Bob Beauprez favorable, unfavorable or do you need to know more about him?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Favorable38%41%35%40%35%36%44%37%39%38%**42%**6%8%25%71%59%33%18%73%8%32%74%28%9%27%40%40%33%38%38%36%39%35%47%39%
Unfavorable38%35%41%31%32%48%37%31%44%42%**23%**75%67%32%12%19%41%58%7%65%42%8%43%68%29%35%41%36%41%38%30%41%43%28%33%
Need To Know More24%24%24%29%33%16%19%32%17%21%**35%**19%25%43%17%22%26%24%20%27%26%18%29%23%44%25%20%31%22%24%35%20%22%25%28%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or do you need to know more about him?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Favorable44%40%47%50%37%47%42%42%45%46%**34%**87%75%58%9%20%53%66%15%76%42%9%53%75%42%38%47%44%44%46%50%42%45%36%46%
Unfavorable47%52%42%38%53%43%52%48%46%46%**50%**6%14%21%85%69%37%28%77%16%46%82%38%12%36%50%47%36%49%49%38%50%45%59%43%
Need To Know More9%7%11%12%10%10%6%11%8%8%**15%**7%11%21%6%11%10%6%8%7%12%8%9%13%22%12%6%21%7%6%12%8%10%5%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Governor John Hickenlooper is doing?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Approve43%41%45%54%36%45%41%43%43%45%**35%**85%73%60%9%19%53%65%15%74%42%9%53%74%46%37%46%43%43%45%49%41%44%37%44%
Disapprove45%50%40%31%53%43%50%44%46%45%**48%**5%9%24%83%67%34%27%75%14%46%83%35%11%35%47%46%36%47%46%32%50%43%53%44%
Not Sure12%8%15%16%12%11%10%13%11%10%**17%**10%18%17%7%14%13%8%11%13%12%9%13%15%18%16%9%21%10%9%20%9%12%10%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Who is more trustworthy?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Bob Beauprez (R)39%45%32%35%43%36%41%40%38%38%**48%**3%5%21%72%60%30%21%73%10%33%75%29%8%32%42%39%28%42%41%30%42%38%46%37%
John Hickenlooper (D)43%38%48%47%34%50%41%39%47%44%**41%**87%84%44%6%21%52%64%8%78%45%9%50%79%44%38%45%50%41%44%46%42%48%34%39%
Not Sure18%16%20%18%23%14%18%21%16%17%**11%**9%10%35%22%19%18%15%19%12%22%17%20%12%24%20%16%22%17%15%25%16%15%20%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Who would make the best decisions in office?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Bob Beauprez (R)43%48%38%36%47%39%50%43%43%41%**52%**2%8%23%80%67%33%24%80%12%36%81%34%9%31%46%44%33%42%48%36%45%41%54%40%
John Hickenlooper (D)43%39%47%50%34%48%41%40%45%45%**38%**87%80%54%6%22%51%63%9%76%45%8%52%77%45%38%45%46%42%44%46%42%46%35%41%
Not Sure14%13%15%13%19%13%10%17%12%14%**11%**10%12%23%14%12%16%13%10%12%18%10%14%14%25%16%11%21%16%8%17%13%13%10%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Who is more trustworthy?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Cory Gardner (R)43%48%37%36%46%40%50%42%43%41%**50%**4%4%28%79%66%34%24%79%10%39%78%36%8%38%46%43%34%46%44%36%45%39%52%46%
Mark Udall (D)39%33%45%42%27%49%38%33%45%41%**30%**82%83%28%4%19%45%59%6%72%41%9%42%81%38%36%41%45%35%42%41%38%44%33%32%
Not Sure18%18%18%21%28%11%13%25%12%18%**20%**15%13%43%17%14%21%17%15%18%20%13%22%11%24%19%16%22%19%14%22%17%18%15%21%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
Who would make the best decisions in office?
591 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceObama ApprovalObama FactorParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / StronglySomewhatSomewhatStronglyMajor FaMinor FaNot a FaRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineMetro DeColoradoRest of
Cory Gardner (R)43%47%39%39%45%40%50%43%44%42%**49%**4%6%26%80%67%35%24%78%12%41%80%35%8%34%43%45%33%43%47%36%46%38%55%48%
Mark Udall (D)40%35%46%45%27%50%39%34%46%42%**35%**84%86%32%3%22%44%60%6%75%41%8%45%80%44%35%42%45%37%43%44%39%46%32%34%
Not Sure17%18%15%16%28%10%11%24%10%16%**16%**12%9%42%16%12%21%16%16%13%19%12%20%12%22%22%12%22%19%10%20%15%16%14%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%18%29%33%20%47%53%76%4%16%4%17%24%10%46%40%22%35%34%32%34%31%48%18%12%28%60%24%38%38%25%75%57%17%26%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.