Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14611
McCain in Maine Falls Mainly ... Well, He's Down by 15 Points, Let's Put it That Way: In an election for President of the United States in Maine today, 10/21/08, two weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 54% to 39%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCSH-TV Portland and WLBZ-TV Bangor. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 4 weeks ago, Obama is up 5 points; McCain is down 5 points. Then, Obama led by 10 points among women and trailed by 1 point among men. Today, Obama leads by 23 points among women and leads by 6 among men. Obama today leads among both men and women, among all age groups. Obama leads by Southern Maine, which is Congressional District #1, by 22 points. Obama leads in Northern Maine, which is Congressional District #2, by 6 points. Among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Obama leads by 27. Among those who have not yet voted but tell SurveyUSA they are likely to, Obama leads by 13 points.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Maine adults 10/19/08 and 10/20/08. Of the adults, 730 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 642 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. Maine has 4 Electoral College votes. Maine's 4 electoral votes are allocated proportionally; the winner of each congressional district receives 1 electoral vote, and the statewide winner receives the other 2 votes. Maine has has this system since 1972, but it has never been used; no candidate has ever won the state of Maine without carrying both congressional districts. John Kerry carried Maine by 9 points in 2004; Al Gore carried Maine by 5 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
642 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoSouthNorth
McCain (R)39%44%35%39%43%36%38%41%37%40%45%37%40%******77%10%40%71%34%13%34%40%37%42%49%37%36%63%29%38%42%38%46%43%26%33%42%44%29%47%32%36%44%
Obama (D)54%50%58%54%52%58%54%52%56%53%49%57%54%******18%86%50%22%60%83%61%53%59%50%44%58%59%30%67%55%53%56%47%52%64%61%52%51%62%46%62%58%50%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%19%34%27%20%53%47%47%11%42%98%0%1%1%29%38%32%27%46%21%14%86%47%53%28%28%43%33%65%45%55%67%28%80%19%25%74%77%17%50%49%53%47%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.