Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21133
 
In Minnesota, Both Democrats, Governor Dayton and U.S. Senator Franken, are Well-Positioned for Re-Election:

In polling conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis St Paul, SurveyUSA asked Minnesota registered voters about 6 hypothetical head-to-head match-ups for Governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democrat Mark Dayton is seeking a 2nd term. And SurveyUSA asked Minnesota registered voters about 6 hypothetical head-to-head matchups for U.S. Senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democrat Al Franken is seeking a 2nd term.

Governor Dayton is above 50% against each of his 6 possible Republican challengers. Here is the rundown:

* Dayton 53%, Republican Scott Honour 33%.
* Dayton 53%, Republican Dave Thompson 32%.
* Dayton 52%, Republican Jeff Johnson 34%.
* Dayton 52%, Republican Kurt Zellers 31%.
* Dayton 52%, Republican Rob Farnsworth 31%.
* Dayton 51%, Republican Marty Seifert 34%.

Senator Franken is at or near 50% against each of his 6 possible Republican challengers, though 2 challengers are within 8 points. Here is the rundown:

* Franken 50%, Republican Mike McFadden 40%.
* Franken 50%, Republican Harold Shudlick 36%.
* Franken 50%, Republican Monti Moreno 36%.
* Franken 49%, Republican Julianne Ortman 41%.
* Franken 49%, Republican Chris Dahlberg 41%.
* Franken 49%, Republican Jim Abeler 37%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 state of MN adults 02/25/14 through 02/27/14. Of the adults, 545 were registered to vote, and were asked about the election pairings. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
1Minnesota will elect a governor in November. If the only two candidates running for Governor were DFL candidate Mark Dayton and Republican candidate Marty Seifert , who would you vote for?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Dayton (DFL)51%46%55%58%46%47%53%52%50%56%48%14%85%43%22%58%86%62%42%54%60%52%46%51%54%44%53%
Seifert (R)34%36%32%19%40%36%42%30%38%21%40%70%5%38%62%25%7%24%42%31%24%32%43%31%37%43%37%
Undecided15%17%13%23%13%17%4%18%12%23%12%15%10%19%15%17%8%14%16%15%15%15%11%18%9%13%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
2What if the only two candidates running for Governor were DFL candidate Mark Dayton and Republican candidate Scott Honour?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Dayton (DFL)53%48%57%61%47%50%54%54%52%59%50%19%85%45%25%60%86%60%45%56%64%54%47%53%58%48%52%
Honour (R)33%37%30%17%38%41%36%28%39%19%40%62%10%37%58%26%8%25%42%29%19%31%40%34%34%30%34%
Undecided14%15%13%23%15%9%9%18%9%22%11%19%5%18%17%13%6%15%13%15%17%15%12%14%8%22%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
3What if it were Dayton and Republican Dave Thompson?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Dayton (DFL)53%51%54%57%43%57%55%50%56%55%52%15%90%43%23%61%88%59%51%52%60%55%43%54%51%49%53%
Thompson (R)32%34%30%22%38%33%36%30%34%19%38%69%4%34%61%22%8%30%37%29%24%30%41%30%39%30%35%
Undecided15%15%15%21%19%10%9%20%10%26%10%16%6%23%16%17%5%11%12%19%17%15%16%16%10%21%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
4What if it were Dayton and Republican Jeff Johnson?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Dayton (DFL)52%48%56%59%46%49%54%52%51%57%49%17%85%43%26%57%84%61%45%54%63%53%46%54%52%43%52%
Johnson (R)34%38%30%18%38%42%38%29%40%18%41%70%10%33%58%27%9%29%42%28%23%31%40%32%38%41%33%
Undecided14%14%15%22%17%9%8%19%9%25%10%13%6%24%15%15%7%10%13%18%14%16%14%15%10%16%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
5What if it were Dayton and Republican Kurt Zellers?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Dayton (DFL)52%49%56%61%46%50%55%53%52%57%51%18%85%44%26%59%87%57%50%53%62%53%49%53%51%53%53%
Zellers (R)31%34%28%17%39%33%37%29%35%18%38%68%5%32%59%21%7%31%34%29%21%33%37%30%37%31%32%
Undecided16%17%15%22%15%17%8%18%14%26%12%13%10%24%15%20%7%12%16%18%17%14%14%18%11%16%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
6What if it were Dayton and Republican Rob Farnsworth?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Dayton (DFL)52%49%55%57%47%52%54%52%53%56%51%19%85%43%25%58%87%59%49%52%61%54%47%50%56%49%58%
Farnsworth (R)31%30%31%20%36%31%36%28%33%20%35%66%5%30%58%21%6%29%32%30%23%29%38%30%35%31%29%
Undecided17%21%14%23%17%17%10%20%14%25%14%15%10%27%17%21%7%12%19%18%16%17%15%20%10%19%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
7Minnesota will also elect a United States Senator in November. If the only two candidates for United States Senate were DFL candidate Al Franken and Republican candidate Mike McFadden, who would you vote for?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Franken (DFL)50%49%50%54%44%50%53%49%51%50%50%17%80%42%22%56%86%53%46%52%59%52%44%48%48%55%52%
McFadden (R)40%44%36%25%48%43%42%37%43%30%44%76%12%44%66%34%5%34%42%40%29%39%44%40%43%39%34%
Undecided11%7%14%21%8%7%5%14%6%20%6%8%8%14%12%10%8%13%12%9%11%9%13%11%9%5%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
8What if the only two candidates for United States Senate were DFL candidate Al Franken and Republican candidate Julianne Ortman?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Franken (DFL)49%47%51%51%45%48%55%48%51%50%49%13%81%42%21%55%88%56%45%50%58%53%43%47%46%54%56%
Ortman (R)41%44%38%29%48%44%40%39%43%31%45%77%12%44%66%35%7%32%46%40%31%39%44%42%44%41%33%
Undecided10%9%11%20%7%7%4%13%6%19%6%10%7%13%12%10%5%12%10%10%11%8%13%11%10%5%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
9What if it were Franken and Republican Chris Dahlberg?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Franken (DFL)49%48%50%54%43%48%53%48%50%51%48%15%80%41%21%56%84%57%45%49%62%52%41%47%47%52%55%
Dahlberg (R)41%44%38%29%48%45%40%39%43%31%46%75%13%46%68%34%8%35%45%40%29%38%47%42%41%40%38%
Undecided10%9%11%17%9%7%7%13%7%19%6%10%6%13%11%10%7%8%10%11%9%10%12%11%12%8%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
10What if it were Franken and Republican Jim Abeler?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Franken (DFL)49%47%50%51%43%49%54%47%51%50%48%14%79%43%20%56%85%59%44%49%60%52%41%46%46%54%57%
Abeler (R)37%38%36%29%47%33%39%39%35%28%41%76%6%42%66%28%8%31%38%39%28%36%46%37%42%38%33%
Undecided14%15%13%19%9%19%7%14%14%22%10%10%14%16%13%17%7%11%18%12%12%12%14%17%12%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
11What if it were Franken and Republican Harold Shudlick?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Franken (DFL)50%49%50%51%43%51%56%47%53%51%49%14%80%44%20%58%84%56%46%50%63%52%41%47%48%55%57%
Shudlick (R)36%38%35%30%45%32%37%38%34%29%39%75%7%39%66%25%8%32%36%38%24%36%45%36%40%37%31%
Undecided14%13%16%19%12%17%7%15%13%21%11%12%13%17%14%17%7%12%18%12%13%12%14%17%12%8%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%
 
12What if it were Franken and Republican Monti Moreno?
545 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Franken (DFL)50%46%52%51%43%51%55%47%52%50%49%14%81%44%21%57%85%60%43%51%61%53%40%48%48%53%56%
Moreno (R)36%38%33%28%46%32%37%38%34%29%39%75%6%39%65%26%7%28%38%36%25%35%45%35%40%36%34%
Undecided15%15%14%20%11%18%9%15%14%22%12%12%14%17%14%17%8%12%19%13%14%12%15%17%12%11%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%28%28%18%54%46%31%69%28%38%33%34%45%17%14%38%47%26%37%37%59%13%14%14%