| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #12094 |
| Who Won CA Republican Presidential Debate? Former NYC Mayor Rudolph Giuliani convincingly won tonight's California debate among Republican candidates for President of the United States, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 317 state of California debate watchers. Giuliani was picked as the winner by 30% of those in CA who watched. Former MA Governor Mitt Romney, who was picked as the winner by 12%, and AZ Senator John McCain, who was picked as the winner by 11%, tied for 2nd place, far back from Giuliani. All other candidates were in single digits. Who Has The Best Plan for Iraq? McCain did much better when CA debate watchers were asked specifically about which Republican has the best plan for Iraq. 20% of CA debate watchers say McCain has the best plan for Iraq, which was only slightly behind Giuliani, who was picked by 25% as having the best Iraq plan. Who Has The Best Solution for Immigration? Giuliani was seen as having the best solution for immigration reform by 31% of CA viewers. No one else was close. Exactly Who in CA Watched? 51% of debate viewers were white. 28% of debate viewers were Hispanic. 15% of debate viewers were Asian. 45% of debate viewers were Republican. 30% of debate viewers were Democrats. 22% of debate viewers were Independent. 43% of debate viewers were Pro-Life. 53% of debate viewers were Pro-Choice. |
| Filtering: 2,400 CA adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA immediately following tonight's 05/03/07 Presidential Debate among 10 candidates for the Republican nomination. Of the 2,400 CA adults interviewed, 317 said they had watched the debate and were included in this survey. Margin of sampling error among the 317 debate watchers is +/- 5.6%. For comparison purposes, 1 in 3 South Carolinians watched the Democratic debate, compared to 1 in 8 Californians who watched the Republican debate. Californians far less engaged in political process than Carolinians, at this stage. Caution: The tiny subset of Californians who watched a Republican presidential debate 9 months from the CA Primary and 18 months from the General Election may not mirror the adult population of the United States. The perceived winner of a debate among 10 Republicans may or may not benefit from sustainable momentum. |
| 1 | Did you watch tonight's Republican presidential debate? |
| 2400 Adults | All | Gender | Age | Race | Ideology | Party Affiliation | Abortion | Vote in Primary | Region | Geocoding | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 1.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberals | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Vote GOP | Vote Dem | May Vote | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Urban | Suburban | Rural | |
| Yes | 13% | 19% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 14% | ** |
| No | 86% | 80% | 92% | 89% | 85% | 83% | 86% | 85% | 85% | 86% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 85% | 85% | 88% | 86% | 86% | 85% | ** |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 49% | 51% | 35% | 40% | 25% | 51% | 6% | 28% | 15% | 42% | 34% | 24% | 45% | 30% | 22% | 43% | 53% | 45% | 34% | 22% | 20% | 40% | 18% | 22% | 37% | 59% | 4% |
| 2 | Who won the debate? |
| 317 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | Race | Ideology | Party Affiliation | Abortion | Vote in Primary | Region | Geocoding | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberals | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Vote GOP | Vote Dem | May Vote | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Urban | Suburban | Rural | |
| Brownback | 4% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 11% |
| Gilmore | 8% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 0% |
| Giuliani | 30% | 30% | 29% | 21% | 34% | 31% | 31% | 32% | 39% | 6% | 32% | 32% | 24% | 33% | 34% | 19% | 26% | 33% | 30% | 33% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 32% | 30% | 18% |
| Huckabee | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| Hunter | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 18% |
| McCain | 11% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 4% | 13% | 27% |
| Romney | 12% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 16% | 3% |
| Paul | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% |
| Tancredo | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 8% |
| Thompson | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% |
| Not Sure | 16% | 13% | 25% | 22% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 22% | 13% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 25% | 11% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 72% | 28% | 26% | 43% | 31% | 51% | 7% | 28% | 15% | 42% | 34% | 24% | 45% | 30% | 22% | 43% | 53% | 45% | 34% | 22% | 21% | 40% | 17% | 23% | 34% | 60% | 5% |
| 3 | Based on what you saw tonight, who has the best plan for Iraq? |
| 317 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | Race | Ideology | Party Affiliation | Abortion | Vote in Primary | Region | Geocoding | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberals | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Vote GOP | Vote Dem | May Vote | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Urban | Suburban | Rural | |
| Brownback | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 0% |
| Gilmore | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 22% |
| Giuliani | 25% | 25% | 26% | 21% | 30% | 21% | 26% | 22% | 27% | 19% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 32% | 26% | 10% | 23% | 26% | 31% | 20% | 21% | 30% | 22% | 30% | 23% | 20% | 26% | 43% |
| Huckabee | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Hunter | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 3% |
| McCain | 20% | 22% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 27% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 24% | 20% | 13% | 25% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 11% |
| Romney | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| Paul | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% |
| Tancredo | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6% |
| Thompson | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| Not Sure | 15% | 12% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 22% | 10% | 8% | 16% | 35% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 5% | 22% | 22% | 6% | 22% | 6% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 21% | 21% | 12% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 72% | 28% | 26% | 43% | 31% | 51% | 7% | 28% | 15% | 42% | 34% | 24% | 45% | 30% | 22% | 43% | 53% | 45% | 34% | 22% | 21% | 40% | 17% | 23% | 34% | 60% | 5% |
| 4 | Based on what you saw tonight, who has the best solution for immigration? |
| 317 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | Race | Ideology | Party Affiliation | Abortion | Vote in Primary | Region | Geocoding | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberals | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Vote GOP | Vote Dem | May Vote | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Urban | Suburban | Rural | |
| Brownback | 4% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| Gilmore | 8% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Giuliani | 31% | 30% | 33% | 39% | 32% | 21% | 27% | 24% | 42% | 25% | 30% | 32% | 31% | 35% | 29% | 25% | 28% | 29% | 33% | 28% | 30% | 40% | 28% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
| Huckabee | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 7% |
| Hunter | 8% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 0% |
| McCain | 11% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 1% |
| Romney | 8% | 7% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 9% |
| Paul | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% |
| Tancredo | 8% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% |
| Thompson | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| Not Sure | 16% | 13% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 24% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 25% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 8% | 23% | 22% | 13% | 18% | 9% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 72% | 28% | 26% | 43% | 31% | 51% | 7% | 28% | 15% | 42% | 34% | 24% | 45% | 30% | 22% | 43% | 53% | 45% | 34% | 22% | 21% | 40% | 17% | 23% | 34% | 60% | 5% |