Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14004
KY Senate Race: McConnell and Lunsford Start Off Neck and Neck: Incumbent Republican US Senator Mitch McConnell leads Democrat Bruce Lunsford by 4 points in a poll with a 4.0 percentage point margin of sampling error, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. McConnell takes 50% of the vote today; Lunsford takes 46%. Among men, McConnell leads by 8 points; among women, McConnell leads by 2. Among voters age 18-34, Lunsford leads by 11 points; among those 35-49, McConnell leads by 15. Among voters 50+, McConnell leads by 5. McConnell holds 87% of Republican voters; Lunsford holds 67% of Democrats. Lunsford leads in the Louisville area by 13 points; McConnell leads in the rest of the state. McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader, is running for his fifth term. Lunsford, a Louisville businessman, ran in the Democratic primaries for Kentucky Governor in 2003 and 2007.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Kentucky adults 06/13/08, 06/14/08, and 06/16/08. No interviews were conducted on Father's Day, 06/15/08. Of the adults, 797 identified themselves as registered voters. Of them, 626 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the general election on 11/04/08.
Kentucky voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Mitch McConnell? Or, Democrat Bruce Lunsford?
626 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
Mitch McConnell (R)50%52%49%41%56%52%49%50%51%50%54%50%87%29%52%82%44%16%56%46%57%40%44%63%33%53%50%51%**38%35%83%****65%44%57%52%42%54%56%
Bruce Lunsford (D)46%44%47%52%41%45%46%45%46%45%43%47%10%67%42%15%53%79%40%50%40%54%50%35%63%40%48%47%**56%58%15%****27%52%39%45%55%40%41%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%22%31%28%20%52%48%44%12%44%33%57%9%31%37%13%40%60%55%27%18%58%38%23%76%52%2%12%11%7%5%3%6%47%53%21%29%35%15%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.