| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14465 |
| Obama Keeps New Jersey's 15 Electoral Votes In Democratic Column: In an election for President of the United States in New Jersey today, 09/29/08, five weeks from Election Day, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 52% to 42%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia.
Obama leads among most groups: men and women, young and old, well-educated and less-educated, rich and poor. Obama leads by double digits in North and South Jersey, and is effectively tied with McCain in Central Jersey. 15% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 19% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. Independents favor McCain by 9 points. 83% of conservatives vote for McCain; 84% of liberals vote for Obama; moderates favor Obama by 13 points. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 New Jersey adults 09/27/08 and 09/28/08. Interviews were conducted immediately after the first presidential debate, held 09/26/08 in Mississippi. Of the adults, 724 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 611 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. New Jersey has 15 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried New Jersey by 7 points in 2004; Al Gore carried the state by 16 points in 2000. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 611 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Northern | Central | Southern | |
| McCain (R) | 42% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 39% | 45% | 40% | 44% | 44% | 48% | 20% | 47% | 15% | 78% | 19% | 41% | 83% | 41% | 12% | 42% | 44% | 52% | 43% | 30% | 62% | 34% | 36% | 45% | 41% | 47% | 43% | 41% | 41% | 45% | 46% | 27% | 53% | 41% | 39% | 47% | 40% |
| Obama (D) | 52% | 51% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 55% | 42% | 55% | 49% | 54% | 47% | 52% | 46% | 80% | 49% | 71% | 15% | 78% | 50% | 13% | 54% | 84% | 54% | 51% | 42% | 53% | 65% | 32% | 61% | 56% | 51% | 55% | 47% | 52% | 55% | 54% | 50% | 50% | 68% | 41% | 54% | 56% | 49% | 52% |
| Other | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 34% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 49% | 10% | 41% | 72% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 31% | 45% | 20% | 20% | 45% | 21% | 60% | 40% | 40% | 32% | 28% | 29% | 67% | 24% | 76% | 72% | 23% | 85% | 14% | 40% | 58% | 85% | 13% | 17% | 82% | 41% | 32% | 27% |