Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14465
Obama Keeps New Jersey's 15 Electoral Votes In Democratic Column: In an election for President of the United States in New Jersey today, 09/29/08, five weeks from Election Day, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 52% to 42%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia.

Obama leads among most groups: men and women, young and old, well-educated and less-educated, rich and poor. Obama leads by double digits in North and South Jersey, and is effectively tied with McCain in Central Jersey.

15% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 19% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. Independents favor McCain by 9 points. 83% of conservatives vote for McCain; 84% of liberals vote for Obama; moderates favor Obama by 13 points.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 New Jersey adults 09/27/08 and 09/28/08. Interviews were conducted immediately after the first presidential debate, held 09/26/08 in Mississippi. Of the adults, 724 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 611 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. New Jersey has 15 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried New Jersey by 7 points in 2004; Al Gore carried the state by 16 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
611 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoNorthernCentral Southern
McCain (R)42%43%41%37%40%42%49%39%45%40%44%44%48%20%47%15%78%19%41%83%41%12%42%44%52%43%30%62%34%36%45%41%47%43%41%41%45%46%27%53%41%39%47%40%
Obama (D)52%51%54%55%55%55%42%55%49%54%47%52%46%80%49%71%15%78%50%13%54%84%54%51%42%53%65%32%61%56%51%55%47%52%55%54%50%50%68%41%54%56%49%52%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%20%34%26%20%54%46%49%10%41%72%13%8%6%31%45%20%20%45%21%60%40%40%32%28%29%67%24%76%72%23%85%14%40%58%85%13%17%82%41%32%27%