Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13874
Oregon Women Move To Obama in Final Week Before Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Oregon today, 05/12/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Barack Obama defeats Hillary Clinton 54% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for KATU-TV Portland. Though the results are only slightly more in favor of Obama than SurveyUSA's most recent track point, released 11 days ago, before results of North Carolina and Indiana were known, there is movement in Oregon among women. 5 weeks ago, Clinton led by 7 among Oregon women. Today, Obama leads by 7. See the interactive tracking graph here. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 24 points. Among voters older than Republican John McCain, Clinton leads, but just barely, and by a lot less than she had. See the interactive tracking graph here. 4 in 10 of likely voters have already returned a ballot. Among the actual voters, Clinton and Obama tie. Obama's advantage comes entirely from the 6 in 10 likely voters who tell SurveyUSA they will return their ballot before 8 pm on Primary Day, but have not yet done so. All voting in Oregon is by U.S. mail. Ballots may be returned until 8 pm on 05/20/08.
Filtering: 1,700 state of Oregon adults were interviewed 05/09/08 through 05/11/08. Of them, 1,554 were registered to vote. Of them, 615 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already mailed their ballot or to be likely to return a ballot in the 05/20/08 Democratic Primary.
If you were filling out your ballot today for the Democratic Primary for President, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
615 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceAlready Voted?IdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteHispanicAsianActual VLikely VConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratPortlandRest of
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%50%50%19%31%28%22%50%50%43%13%44%88%6%5%43%57%10%37%40%27%23%50%20%78%19%78%32%8%17%25%3%4%3%4%68%32%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.