Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26317

MN DFL Gov Walz Favorability Rating Dips – But His Leads Against GOP Challengers Widen: Is Leaked SCOTUS Decision Impacting This Contest? SurveyUSA's latest tracking poll, conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis, KAAL-TV in Rochester-Mason City-Austin, and WDIO-TV in Duluth, shows Minnesota's incumbent DFL Governor Tim Walz increasing his leads in his November re-election bid, even while facing a simultaneous decline in his net favorability. Meanwhile, the percentage of likely voters who say abortion is the issue that will most influence their vote this year quadruples, from 3% in February to 12% today – and those voters overwhelmingly break DFL. Breaking down all the numbers and comparing them to those in SurveyUSA's previous poll, released three months ago: Walz today leads former State Senator Scott Jensen, his nearest opponent, by a 5-point margin, up from 3 points three months ago, 44% to 39%. Overall, Walz is up 1 point and Jensen is down 1 point. Among men, Jensen leads by 9, up from a 2-point lead three months ago; among women, Walz leads by 20, up from a 10-point lead. The gender gap between the two candidates is 29 points, up from 12 points three months ago. Among the 32% of likely voters who say abortion should always be legally permitted, Walz leads by 57 points; among the 26% who say abortion should be legally permitted with some restrictions, Walz leads by 12. 1 in 4 voters say abortion should only be legal in cases of rape, incest, or to save a mother's life; Jensen leads by 35 points among that group; among the 11% of Minnesota likely voters who say abortion should always be illegal, Jensen leads by 39. These numbers are broadly similar across each matchup. Geographically, Walz has gained ground across the state: in the greater Twin Cities area, Walz had led by 15 points, now leads by 17; in Southern Minnesota, Walz had led by 4, now leads by 11. In Western Minnesota, Jensen had led by 26, now leads by 22; in the northeastern part of the state, Jensen had led by 12, now leads by 9. Walz has also gained 2 points against State Senator Paul Gazelka. Walz had led by 5, now leads by 7, 43% to 36%. Again a significant gender gap: Women back Walz by 19 points, men back Gazelka by 6, a 25-point gap, and an increase from 10 points in February. Gazelka leads by 24 points among the 14% of voters who say crime is the most important issue, significantly better than his fellow Republicans. Walz leads former Hennepin County Sheriff Rich Stanek by 10 points, 47% to 37%. Stanek, who had not yet entered the race when SurveyUSA last polled, runs strongly among voters age 50 to 64, where he takes 50%, more than any other Republican. Mike Murphy, the mayor of Lexington, also trails Walz by 10 points, taking 35% to Walz's 45%, as does physician Neil Shah, who sees 34% versus 44% for Walz. Shah, notably, is the one candidate who has narrowed the difference between himself and the incumbent, albeit by a single point; last month, Shah trailed by 11. Business executive Kendall Qualls has given up the most ground since the previous poll; in February, Qualls trailed Walz by 8 points; today, Qualls trails by 12, with Walz taking 46% in a vote today, Qualls 34%. Net Favorability is calculated by subtracting unfavorable ratings from favorable ratings. While Tim Walz's net favorability rating has declined 5 points, from Plus 8 in February to Plus 3 today, Walz remains the best-known candidate with the highest net favorability – and today, for the first time since SurveyUSA began tracking candidate favorability, Walz is the only candidate with a positive Net Favorability. Candidate names were shown to respondents in random order, ranked here from highest to lowest net favorability: Plus 3 Tim Walz. 44% have a favorable opinion, 41% an unfavorable opinion; 11% are neutral; 3% have no opinion. Minus 1 Scott Jensen. 17% favorable, 18% unfavorable; 26% neutral, 39% no opinion. Down 7 points from 3 months ago, when Jensen was at Plus 6. Minus 1 Kendall Qualls. 12% favorable, 13% unfavorable; 29% neutral, 46% no opinion. Qualls is the only candidate whose net favorability has improved since the previous poll, when he was at Minus 4. Minus 5 Rich Stanek. 11% favorable, 16% unfavorable; 32% neutral, 41% no opinion. This is Stanek's first appearance in the poll. Minus 7 Paul Gazelka. 14% favorable, 21% unfavorable; 25% neutral, 41% no opinion. Unchanged from February. Minus 7 Mike Murphy. 8% favorable, 15% unfavorable; 27% neutral, 50% with no opinion. Down 3 points from February. Minus 10 Neil Shah. 6% favorable, 16% unfavorable; 26% neutral, 52% no opinion. Down 3 points from the previous poll. Full results follow...

About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed a representative cross-section of 725 Minnesota adults online 05/05/22 through 05/10/22, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 629 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 513 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November 2022 general election and were asked the questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?

725 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Yes	87%	87%	86%	78%	88%	92%	90%	83%	91%	95%	94%	81%	90%	95%	85%	92%	99%	94%	85%	94%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	85%	88%	96%	98%	99%	99%	95%	92%	79%	80%	92%	88%	92%	90%	85%	86%	93%	90%	91%	86%	93%	88%	89%	84%	73%	91%	95%	77%	89%	94%	91%	75%	85%	88%	87%	88%	81%	88%	86%
No	11%	11%	12%	18%	10%	7%	10%	14%	8%	5%	5%	17%	10%	5%	13%	7%	1%	6%	13%	5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13%	10%	4%	2%	0%	1%	5%	7%	20%	15%	8%	11%	7%	9%	14%	11%	6%	9%	8%	12%	5%	11%	11%	14%	24%	7%	4%	20%	10%	5%	8%	20%	13%	10%	12%	11%	14%	11%	13%
Not Sure	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	1%	0%	3%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	5%	1%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	29%	26%	24%	21%	55%	45%	32%	32%	26%	9%	24%	33%	19%	6%	34%	33%	24%	66%	16%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	32%	68%	40%	40%	20%	41%	25%	26%	19%	30%	22%	67%	30%	25%	26%	12%	51%	29%	61%	26%	33%	31%	15%	8%	33%	35%	32%	30%	39%	31%	72%	28%	22%	48%	30%	58%	10%	16%	16%

2	Minnesota will hold an election for Governor next November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote?

629 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Certain To Vote	66%	66%	66%	42%	65%	75%	83%	54%	79%	73%	65%	63%	92%	69%	63%	57%	85%	75%	63%	64%	100%	0%	81%	72%	90%	82%	86%	78%	82%	60%	69%	71%	68%	91%	70%	76%	71%	48%	61%	65%	69%	65%	66%	70%	66%	64%	76%	65%	72%	74%	59%	67%	72%	62%	64%	70%	58%	62%	76%	71%	49%	63%	65%	69%	64%	63%	72%	68%
Will Probably Vote	16%	17%	15%	22%	19%	8%	14%	21%	11%	13%	20%	15%	4%	18%	16%	22%	10%	14%	16%	19%	0%	100%	19%	28%	10%	18%	14%	22%	18%	19%	15%	13%	18%	6%	18%	12%	17%	25%	13%	16%	17%	17%	16%	13%	11%	18%	11%	18%	12%	13%	19%	16%	7%	18%	17%	13%	18%	20%	10%	14%	23%	18%	17%	13%	17%	17%	12%	17%
50/50 Chance	10%	9%	11%	21%	10%	5%	2%	15%	4%	9%	10%	12%	4%	10%	14%	10%	1%	8%	14%	8%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13%	8%	10%	9%	2%	9%	8%	7%	12%	14%	12%	9%	11%	9%	11%	8%	10%	8%	9%	12%	9%	10%	13%	3%	9%	14%	6%	14%	7%	11%	10%	11%	14%	9%	8%	11%	9%	7%	10%
Probably Will Not Vote	4%	4%	5%	9%	3%	4%	1%	6%	2%	3%	4%	7%	0%	2%	7%	5%	3%	1%	7%	5%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5%	4%	4%	3%	0%	2%	2%	3%	4%	8%	4%	4%	2%	7%	5%	2%	4%	5%	4%	5%	2%	5%	1%	18%	7%	4%	3%	7%	4%	2%	3%	9%	1%	5%	5%	4%	7%	8%	2%
Not Sure	4%	5%	3%	5%	3%	7%	0%	4%	4%	3%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	6%	0%	1%	1%	5%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3%	4%	2%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	12%	4%	3%	1%	4%	2%	1%	13%	5%	0%	4%	0%	2%	7%	3%	0%	4%	0%	8%	2%	7%	1%	2%	9%	3%	4%	4%	5%	5%	1%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	26%	26%	25%	22%	53%	47%	35%	35%	25%	10%	27%	32%	20%	6%	37%	32%	26%	66%	16%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	31%	69%	44%	45%	23%	47%	28%	28%	17%	28%	24%	68%	32%	26%	25%	12%	55%	30%	64%	26%	35%	32%	15%	8%	28%	37%	35%	27%	40%	33%	76%	24%	22%	48%	30%	58%	9%	16%	16%

Is your opinion of Tim Walz ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	44%	42%	47%	50%	39%	40%	49%	44%	45%	15%	79%	35%	9%	26%	48%	73%	82%	21%	48%	75%	43%	50%	54%	29%	31%	35%	70%	65%	29%	39%	46%	14%	75%	6%	77%	43%	38%	44%	53%	40%	47%	64%	52%	25%	21%	64%	17%	58%	20%	58%	43%	32%	11%	30%	49%	49%	48%	45%	40%	44%	46%	55%	43%	38%	46%	44%	44%	38%
Unfavorable	41%	45%	37%	34%	43%	51%	35%	39%	43%	74%	7%	45%	84%	65%	32%	9%	5%	71%	32%	8%	45%	24%	33%	56%	55%	48%	14%	24%	63%	47%	39%	74%	9%	87%	10%	49%	44%	38%	30%	47%	39%	19%	38%	61%	68%	21%	72%	27%	70%	33%	39%	55%	73%	50%	39%	37%	33%	41%	47%	43%	34%	27%	42%	49%	38%	43%	48%	43%
Neutral	11%	11%	12%	14%	12%	7%	12%	13%	10%	6%	11%	16%	0%	6%	18%	12%	12%	4%	18%	12%	9%	20%	12%	11%	7%	11%	13%	10%	7%	9%	13%	7%	13%	4%	12%	5%	15%	12%	14%	8%	11%	13%	8%	9%	9%	12%	6%	11%	7%	8%	13%	8%	12%	15%	9%	12%	14%	12%	9%	11%	13%	14%	10%	10%	12%	11%	6%	15%
No Opinion	3%	3%	4%	2%	5%	2%	4%	4%	3%	5%	2%	3%	7%	3%	1%	6%	2%	4%	1%	5%	3%	6%	1%	4%	6%	6%	3%	0%	1%	5%	3%	5%	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%	7%	3%	5%	3%	4%	1%	5%	2%	2%	5%	4%	4%	1%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	2%	5%	2%	4%	3%	7%	3%	4%	3%	4%	1%	2%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What is your overall opinion of Paul Gazelka?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	14%	17%	10%	15%	8%	14%	18%	11%	16%	26%	5%	10%	28%	20%	10%	9%	2%	22%	10%	7%	14%	12%	13%	17%	22%	13%	11%	9%	19%	17%	13%	23%	6%	27%	7%	21%	13%	11%	8%	23%	11%	10%	11%	19%	25%	7%	25%	10%	25%	15%	16%	7%	19%	15%	16%	11%	13%	14%	14%	14%	13%	13%	15%	12%	14%	15%	20%	5%
Unfavorable	21%	21%	21%	19%	21%	13%	31%	20%	22%	10%	34%	23%	6%	14%	21%	35%	44%	11%	21%	38%	24%	11%	24%	7%	11%	20%	28%	35%	9%	14%	24%	11%	31%	10%	31%	19%	25%	14%	23%	15%	24%	30%	20%	17%	15%	30%	12%	26%	14%	32%	12%	18%	9%	15%	16%	32%	27%	18%	20%	21%	20%	30%	21%	15%	25%	22%	13%	17%
Neutral	25%	29%	20%	23%	26%	27%	21%	25%	24%	26%	18%	29%	22%	28%	32%	11%	8%	27%	32%	10%	22%	35%	30%	30%	30%	28%	15%	7%	32%	27%	23%	29%	18%	23%	25%	19%	29%	36%	19%	28%	24%	22%	25%	25%	29%	23%	26%	22%	28%	17%	29%	34%	24%	26%	28%	20%	25%	26%	23%	25%	23%	22%	24%	28%	22%	19%	25%	37%
No Opinion	41%	32%	49%	43%	45%	45%	30%	44%	37%	39%	43%	39%	44%	38%	37%	45%	45%	40%	37%	45%	40%	42%	32%	47%	37%	39%	46%	48%	40%	42%	40%	37%	44%	40%	37%	41%	34%	39%	49%	35%	41%	38%	45%	39%	30%	40%	37%	42%	34%	36%	43%	41%	48%	44%	41%	37%	36%	42%	42%	40%	43%	34%	41%	45%	39%	44%	42%	41%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

5	What is your overall opinion of Rich Stanek?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	11%	13%	10%	12%	10%	13%	10%	11%	11%	19%	6%	9%	18%	19%	7%	4%	6%	19%	7%	5%	11%	10%	11%	10%	13%	12%	13%	8%	16%	16%	9%	14%	8%	18%	9%	12%	13%	10%	9%	17%	10%	6%	12%	13%	20%	9%	17%	10%	17%	11%	15%	10%	10%	9%	11%	13%	11%	9%	15%	12%	8%	9%	13%	10%	12%	5%	17%	7%
Unfavorable	16%	18%	15%	15%	18%	10%	21%	17%	15%	9%	27%	14%	9%	12%	12%	29%	31%	11%	12%	29%	17%	13%	16%	6%	13%	16%	19%	37%	6%	15%	17%	8%	24%	5%	26%	18%	15%	13%	18%	14%	17%	26%	11%	10%	18%	22%	12%	19%	12%	27%	11%	9%	10%	14%	17%	18%	21%	17%	11%	16%	16%	22%	17%	11%	19%	17%	11%	10%
Neutral	32%	37%	27%	33%	29%	32%	33%	31%	33%	32%	26%	37%	30%	31%	43%	19%	21%	31%	43%	19%	32%	32%	37%	32%	37%	27%	28%	21%	39%	27%	33%	37%	26%	36%	29%	26%	37%	48%	23%	34%	32%	33%	29%	37%	33%	31%	31%	31%	33%	27%	29%	44%	25%	31%	35%	29%	34%	26%	36%	31%	34%	35%	28%	36%	31%	31%	24%	40%
No Opinion	41%	33%	49%	40%	42%	44%	37%	41%	40%	40%	42%	40%	43%	38%	38%	48%	42%	39%	38%	47%	40%	45%	36%	52%	37%	44%	40%	33%	39%	42%	41%	41%	42%	41%	36%	45%	35%	29%	50%	35%	41%	35%	47%	40%	30%	38%	40%	40%	37%	35%	45%	36%	56%	46%	37%	41%	34%	48%	38%	41%	42%	34%	42%	44%	37%	46%	48%	42%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What is your overall opinion of Scott Jensen?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	17%	19%	15%	20%	13%	23%	13%	16%	18%	31%	2%	19%	35%	29%	12%	4%	2%	31%	12%	3%	18%	12%	20%	16%	16%	20%	8%	7%	33%	22%	15%	32%	5%	34%	8%	15%	21%	20%	13%	22%	15%	8%	21%	24%	17%	11%	28%	14%	23%	15%	12%	22%	34%	20%	19%	13%	10%	20%	19%	18%	15%	16%	17%	17%	16%	21%	26%	11%
Unfavorable	18%	18%	17%	13%	22%	11%	23%	18%	17%	5%	35%	14%	8%	11%	15%	34%	35%	10%	15%	34%	19%	14%	24%	8%	13%	11%	27%	31%	12%	17%	18%	3%	31%	3%	30%	18%	15%	15%	22%	15%	19%	30%	16%	10%	11%	28%	6%	24%	8%	26%	16%	13%	8%	16%	15%	22%	21%	17%	15%	18%	15%	27%	16%	14%	21%	22%	9%	13%
Neutral	26%	31%	21%	27%	25%	25%	29%	26%	27%	32%	17%	28%	21%	32%	33%	15%	11%	29%	33%	14%	27%	25%	25%	31%	39%	27%	17%	16%	29%	25%	26%	34%	17%	33%	19%	24%	31%	34%	19%	29%	26%	25%	20%	32%	36%	21%	32%	23%	32%	21%	32%	29%	18%	29%	29%	22%	29%	25%	26%	27%	23%	18%	28%	30%	25%	19%	29%	31%
No Opinion	39%	32%	47%	40%	40%	42%	35%	40%	38%	32%	46%	38%	36%	29%	41%	47%	52%	31%	41%	49%	37%	50%	32%	45%	33%	42%	48%	46%	26%	35%	41%	32%	47%	29%	42%	43%	34%	31%	45%	34%	39%	38%	44%	34%	37%	41%	34%	40%	36%	38%	40%	36%	40%	36%	37%	43%	40%	38%	40%	37%	48%	39%	39%	39%	39%	38%	37%	44%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What is your overall opinion of Mike Murphy?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	8%	10%	5%	14%	10%	5%	2%	12%	4%	15%	3%	5%	15%	12%	7%	1%	2%	13%	7%	1%	7%	8%	7%	7%	9%	10%	6%	7%	10%	11%	6%	12%	4%	11%	7%	9%	9%	3%	7%	10%	7%	5%	7%	11%	8%	6%	11%	7%	10%	9%	5%	10%	9%	8%	9%	6%	9%	10%	4%	6%	12%	10%	7%	7%	6%	6%	16%	5%
Unfavorable	15%	18%	12%	18%	17%	7%	17%	17%	12%	5%	25%	16%	6%	9%	12%	27%	31%	8%	12%	28%	14%	16%	14%	6%	8%	13%	12%	25%	9%	20%	13%	5%	23%	4%	21%	13%	14%	19%	15%	16%	14%	23%	8%	12%	11%	20%	9%	18%	8%	23%	12%	8%	4%	13%	14%	17%	17%	14%	14%	16%	11%	20%	13%	13%	15%	24%	9%	14%
Neutral	27%	32%	22%	29%	23%	28%	30%	25%	29%	32%	18%	29%	23%	35%	32%	12%	18%	32%	32%	14%	27%	27%	40%	33%	31%	28%	23%	8%	30%	26%	27%	35%	19%	31%	23%	21%	35%	39%	18%	31%	28%	26%	29%	27%	28%	27%	28%	26%	31%	21%	30%	31%	24%	26%	31%	24%	27%	25%	30%	28%	24%	23%	27%	31%	27%	25%	18%	38%
No Opinion	50%	40%	61%	39%	51%	59%	51%	46%	55%	48%	54%	50%	56%	44%	49%	60%	49%	47%	49%	57%	51%	50%	39%	53%	52%	49%	58%	60%	52%	43%	54%	48%	54%	54%	48%	58%	42%	39%	60%	43%	51%	46%	56%	49%	52%	47%	52%	50%	50%	47%	53%	51%	63%	53%	45%	54%	47%	51%	52%	50%	53%	47%	53%	49%	52%	44%	57%	44%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What is your overall opinion of Neil Shah?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	6%	7%	5%	13%	1%	8%	4%	6%	6%	9%	5%	5%	8%	8%	8%	2%	3%	8%	8%	3%	6%	6%	8%	5%	6%	7%	9%	1%	9%	9%	5%	9%	4%	9%	5%	6%	7%	9%	5%	12%	5%	5%	5%	9%	6%	4%	11%	5%	9%	10%	4%	4%	7%	6%	9%	4%	6%	8%	4%	6%	8%	11%	4%	7%	5%	7%	10%	6%
Unfavorable	16%	20%	12%	20%	20%	8%	16%	20%	12%	9%	21%	20%	16%	16%	12%	21%	23%	16%	12%	21%	16%	17%	17%	5%	14%	17%	10%	27%	12%	18%	15%	10%	21%	9%	20%	17%	15%	12%	17%	17%	16%	22%	14%	12%	12%	21%	10%	19%	11%	21%	15%	15%	7%	13%	19%	15%	22%	17%	10%	16%	13%	23%	14%	13%	17%	26%	6%	16%
Neutral	26%	31%	20%	25%	23%	26%	29%	24%	27%	34%	17%	22%	23%	34%	26%	18%	15%	31%	26%	17%	27%	22%	36%	29%	23%	28%	18%	16%	24%	26%	25%	34%	17%	33%	23%	20%	33%	32%	19%	24%	26%	27%	22%	24%	40%	23%	30%	23%	33%	20%	29%	30%	24%	29%	23%	25%	25%	22%	31%	27%	22%	19%	28%	27%	25%	19%	28%	29%
No Opinion	52%	42%	63%	43%	55%	58%	51%	50%	55%	48%	57%	53%	53%	42%	55%	59%	58%	45%	55%	59%	51%	56%	39%	61%	57%	48%	62%	56%	54%	48%	55%	47%	58%	49%	51%	57%	44%	47%	60%	47%	53%	46%	59%	54%	42%	52%	48%	53%	47%	50%	52%	51%	62%	51%	49%	56%	47%	54%	55%	51%	56%	47%	55%	53%	53%	48%	55%	49%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What is your overall opinion of Kendall Qualls?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Favorable	12%	13%	11%	15%	7%	11%	14%	11%	13%	22%	4%	9%	27%	18%	7%	5%	4%	21%	7%	4%	12%	12%	9%	19%	9%	12%	11%	3%	22%	13%	11%	20%	5%	23%	7%	14%	12%	9%	11%	17%	10%	5%	14%	13%	19%	7%	22%	8%	20%	13%	10%	10%	24%	12%	13%	10%	7%	14%	12%	12%	12%	14%	12%	10%	12%	11%	15%	8%
Unfavorable	13%	14%	12%	13%	16%	8%	16%	15%	12%	7%	23%	10%	11%	10%	12%	18%	25%	10%	12%	20%	15%	6%	14%	0%	12%	14%	12%	19%	12%	14%	13%	6%	20%	7%	19%	17%	11%	10%	14%	16%	13%	21%	9%	13%	7%	19%	7%	16%	9%	19%	10%	14%	2%	9%	15%	14%	17%	12%	13%	14%	12%	19%	14%	8%	15%	17%	7%	11%
Neutral	29%	36%	23%	31%	28%	28%	30%	29%	29%	33%	22%	33%	21%	36%	32%	24%	12%	32%	32%	21%	28%	36%	42%	33%	22%	29%	17%	23%	32%	34%	27%	35%	22%	32%	26%	23%	38%	42%	19%	26%	31%	27%	30%	32%	36%	26%	31%	29%	31%	23%	35%	33%	23%	37%	27%	26%	30%	28%	30%	30%	26%	25%	29%	34%	29%	18%	30%	37%
No Opinion	46%	38%	54%	40%	49%	52%	40%	45%	46%	38%	51%	48%	42%	35%	49%	54%	58%	37%	49%	55%	46%	46%	36%	48%	57%	45%	60%	55%	34%	39%	49%	39%	53%	38%	48%	46%	39%	39%	57%	41%	47%	47%	48%	42%	37%	48%	39%	46%	40%	45%	46%	43%	51%	42%	44%	50%	46%	46%	46%	44%	50%	42%	45%	48%	44%	53%	48%	44%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

If the 2022 election for Governor were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican Paul Gazelka	36%	42%	30%	31%	34%	46%	31%	33%	39%	75%	3%	30%	75%	60%	26%	9%	0%	65%	26%	7%	39%	25%	27%	50%	50%	48%	9%	16%	51%	42%	34%	72%	5%	80%	11%	46%	42%	23%	25%	49%	32%	18%	33%	56%	55%	19%	63%	26%	61%	30%	38%	37%	70%	42%	37%	31%	30%	39%	37%	39%	27%	26%	38%	40%	32%	27%	45%	44%
DFL Candidate Tim Walz	43%	36%	49%	43%	42%	35%	50%	43%	42%	7%	87%	32%	2%	18%	46%	80%	92%	13%	46%	83%	40%	51%	61%	24%	26%	28%	72%	71%	27%	37%	45%	7%	78%	2%	73%	42%	32%	48%	53%	38%	44%	68%	48%	21%	14%	65%	13%	58%	14%	56%	42%	30%	8%	27%	43%	53%	45%	44%	39%	41%	47%	54%	41%	37%	46%	51%	35%	34%
Candidate From Another Party	7%	9%	5%	12%	12%	3%	1%	12%	2%	5%	5%	12%	16%	6%	6%	4%	6%	9%	6%	5%	6%	9%	7%	4%	4%	8%	8%	8%	7%	11%	5%	6%	4%	5%	5%	2%	5%	15%	9%	2%	8%	7%	5%	7%	4%	7%	7%	6%	8%	6%	6%	11%	4%	8%	9%	3%	10%	4%	7%	5%	13%	9%	7%	4%	7%	8%	5%	5%
Undecided	15%	13%	16%	14%	12%	16%	18%	13%	17%	13%	5%	27%	7%	16%	22%	7%	2%	13%	22%	6%	15%	15%	5%	21%	20%	17%	11%	5%	15%	11%	16%	15%	13%	12%	11%	10%	21%	15%	12%	12%	16%	7%	13%	16%	27%	10%	16%	10%	18%	8%	14%	22%	18%	22%	11%	13%	15%	13%	17%	15%	13%	11%	14%	19%	14%	15%	15%	17%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

11	And if these were the only candidates on the ballot for Governor, who would you vote for?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican Rich Stanek	37%	42%	31%	31%	33%	50%	32%	32%	41%	76%	4%	30%	77%	66%	25%	5%	0%	69%	25%	4%	39%	29%	29%	53%	52%	48%	13%	18%	50%	41%	35%	73%	6%	83%	10%	44%	43%	26%	27%	43%	34%	16%	33%	59%	60%	20%	65%	25%	63%	31%	36%	41%	73%	42%	38%	31%	30%	38%	40%	39%	27%	28%	37%	43%	31%	31%	52%	43%
DFL Candidate Tim Walz	47%	40%	54%	54%	47%	39%	50%	50%	44%	10%	92%	36%	15%	18%	52%	85%	91%	17%	52%	87%	45%	53%	59%	26%	28%	34%	76%	76%	34%	40%	50%	11%	83%	5%	79%	46%	35%	56%	57%	40%	49%	72%	53%	24%	21%	68%	19%	62%	20%	60%	45%	41%	12%	33%	49%	55%	51%	47%	43%	45%	55%	57%	48%	38%	52%	49%	37%	38%
Candidate From Another Party	5%	5%	5%	8%	9%	2%	2%	9%	2%	4%	2%	12%	6%	6%	6%	2%	7%	6%	6%	3%	5%	5%	1%	6%	3%	8%	2%	2%	9%	10%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	2%	5%	8%	7%	4%	5%	4%	5%	7%	3%	4%	7%	4%	5%	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	6%	5%	3%	4%	8%	4%	7%	6%	4%	7%	5%	6%	5%	4%
Undecided	11%	13%	10%	7%	11%	10%	17%	9%	13%	9%	3%	22%	2%	10%	17%	8%	2%	8%	17%	6%	11%	14%	11%	15%	16%	11%	9%	4%	7%	9%	12%	11%	9%	8%	8%	8%	17%	10%	9%	13%	11%	8%	9%	11%	17%	8%	9%	9%	12%	4%	15%	13%	9%	21%	7%	8%	16%	10%	9%	11%	10%	10%	12%	11%	11%	14%	6%	15%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican Scott Jensen	39%	45%	32%	36%	39%	48%	32%	38%	40%	79%	4%	33%	83%	70%	27%	3%	0%	74%	27%	2%	41%	32%	30%	59%	51%	51%	17%	17%	49%	49%	34%	77%	6%	87%	10%	45%	44%	35%	29%	51%	35%	14%	37%	66%	54%	20%	69%	26%	68%	30%	41%	45%	71%	44%	42%	32%	31%	40%	44%	41%	29%	28%	38%	48%	33%	37%	54%	45%
DFL Candidate Tim Walz	44%	36%	52%	42%	46%	39%	49%	44%	44%	7%	88%	34%	10%	17%	48%	81%	94%	15%	48%	84%	44%	46%	58%	21%	26%	31%	70%	76%	35%	35%	48%	7%	82%	4%	76%	44%	31%	49%	57%	35%	47%	71%	49%	22%	14%	66%	13%	61%	14%	59%	42%	33%	9%	31%	46%	53%	49%	44%	41%	42%	53%	56%	44%	36%	50%	48%	32%	36%
Candidate From Another Party	4%	5%	2%	11%	5%	1%	0%	7%	1%	2%	3%	8%	2%	3%	5%	4%	6%	3%	5%	5%	4%	5%	0%	5%	2%	5%	6%	3%	4%	6%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	3%	8%	6%	3%	4%	5%	3%	2%	10%	4%	6%	4%	6%	5%	3%	4%	5%	3%	6%	3%	4%	4%	4%	3%	7%	7%	3%	3%	3%	1%	7%	4%
Undecided	13%	13%	13%	11%	10%	12%	19%	11%	15%	12%	4%	25%	4%	10%	19%	12%	0%	9%	19%	9%	12%	17%	12%	15%	21%	13%	6%	4%	12%	9%	15%	14%	10%	7%	10%	10%	23%	8%	8%	11%	13%	10%	11%	10%	22%	10%	12%	10%	12%	6%	15%	17%	15%	23%	7%	12%	17%	12%	11%	14%	11%	9%	15%	13%	14%	14%	7%	15%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican Mike Murphy	35%	42%	29%	33%	34%	44%	30%	33%	37%	75%	3%	28%	77%	64%	23%	4%	0%	68%	23%	3%	37%	28%	26%	52%	47%	48%	12%	17%	47%	42%	32%	72%	5%	80%	10%	41%	41%	29%	26%	42%	33%	15%	35%	54%	55%	19%	63%	25%	59%	28%	35%	44%	74%	41%	37%	29%	30%	37%	37%	37%	29%	26%	36%	40%	30%	27%	48%	44%
DFL Candidate Tim Walz	45%	38%	53%	45%	47%	39%	50%	46%	44%	5%	92%	36%	10%	18%	51%	81%	94%	16%	51%	85%	44%	52%	61%	23%	27%	30%	76%	75%	34%	39%	48%	6%	83%	4%	77%	43%	34%	50%	58%	39%	48%	73%	49%	25%	15%	67%	15%	62%	16%	60%	44%	35%	6%	33%	47%	53%	48%	47%	41%	43%	53%	57%	45%	38%	50%	54%	34%	36%
Candidate From Another Party	4%	5%	3%	8%	7%	2%	1%	8%	1%	5%	2%	7%	8%	4%	4%	3%	6%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	1%	4%	2%	8%	3%	2%	5%	8%	3%	5%	2%	4%	4%	0%	4%	10%	7%	2%	5%	4%	2%	5%	7%	4%	7%	3%	7%	5%	3%	4%	4%	4%	6%	3%	4%	2%	7%	4%	7%	7%	3%	4%	5%	2%	7%	2%
Undecided	15%	15%	15%	14%	12%	15%	19%	12%	17%	15%	3%	29%	4%	14%	22%	11%	0%	11%	22%	8%	15%	15%	12%	21%	23%	14%	9%	6%	14%	11%	17%	17%	10%	13%	9%	16%	21%	11%	9%	16%	15%	8%	14%	15%	23%	10%	16%	10%	18%	6%	18%	17%	16%	22%	10%	15%	17%	13%	15%	16%	11%	10%	16%	17%	15%	17%	10%	18%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican Neil Shah	34%	38%	29%	30%	33%	42%	30%	31%	36%	69%	3%	29%	79%	58%	22%	5%	0%	64%	22%	3%	35%	28%	30%	46%	45%	43%	11%	17%	46%	39%	31%	67%	4%	77%	8%	40%	41%	23%	23%	38%	32%	13%	32%	54%	54%	17%	61%	23%	58%	28%	33%	37%	68%	40%	33%	30%	29%	35%	36%	35%	28%	24%	35%	38%	30%	28%	44%	40%
DFL Candidate Tim Walz	44%	37%	53%	42%	45%	40%	50%	44%	45%	9%	88%	33%	11%	18%	48%	79%	96%	16%	48%	84%	44%	48%	56%	21%	26%	32%	75%	75%	33%	35%	48%	8%	82%	3%	77%	43%	34%	47%	58%	36%	47%	71%	50%	22%	14%	66%	14%	60%	15%	60%	41%	37%	7%	33%	46%	51%	49%	44%	41%	42%	52%	55%	45%	37%	49%	46%	34%	37%
Candidate From Another Party	6%	8%	4%	12%	8%	4%	0%	10%	2%	7%	3%	10%	6%	8%	6%	3%	4%	8%	6%	3%	6%	6%	0%	2%	6%	11%	4%	3%	7%	10%	4%	8%	2%	7%	4%	2%	6%	13%	5%	6%	5%	6%	2%	6%	10%	5%	8%	4%	9%	5%	4%	10%	6%	4%	8%	5%	4%	6%	6%	6%	6%	7%	4%	7%	6%	7%	9%	2%
Undecided	16%	17%	15%	16%	14%	14%	20%	15%	17%	16%	5%	29%	4%	16%	24%	13%	0%	12%	24%	9%	16%	17%	14%	31%	22%	14%	11%	5%	13%	16%	17%	17%	12%	12%	12%	16%	18%	17%	14%	20%	15%	9%	16%	18%	22%	11%	17%	13%	18%	7%	22%	15%	19%	24%	12%	14%	17%	15%	17%	17%	14%	13%	16%	18%	16%	19%	13%	20%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

What if these were the only candidates for Governor?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican Kendall Qualls	34%	39%	29%	30%	31%	44%	32%	30%	38%	71%	4%	28%	78%	60%	22%	4%	0%	66%	22%	3%	36%	28%	29%	48%	46%	48%	13%	17%	43%	41%	32%	69%	5%	78%	9%	42%	41%	22%	25%	41%	32%	11%	33%	54%	58%	16%	66%	22%	62%	31%	33%	36%	73%	40%	34%	31%	30%	35%	37%	36%	30%	28%	36%	37%	31%	28%	47%	37%
DFL Candidate Tim Walz	46%	39%	53%	49%	46%	41%	48%	48%	44%	10%	89%	35%	14%	18%	52%	81%	94%	17%	52%	84%	45%	50%	57%	20%	26%	35%	75%	77%	36%	38%	49%	9%	82%	5%	78%	43%	37%	51%	58%	38%	49%	74%	50%	24%	17%	69%	15%	62%	16%	60%	42%	40%	10%	32%	49%	54%	50%	47%	42%	44%	53%	55%	46%	40%	49%	51%	39%	40%
Candidate From Another Party	4%	5%	3%	8%	8%	1%	0%	8%	1%	3%	2%	10%	3%	6%	3%	4%	6%	5%	3%	5%	4%	5%	0%	2%	8%	6%	3%	3%	6%	6%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	1%	2%	11%	6%	4%	4%	6%	3%	4%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	3%	4%	9%	2%	4%	6%	2%	3%	4%	5%	4%	6%	5%	3%	6%	4%	10%	3%	2%
Undecided	15%	16%	15%	13%	15%	14%	20%	14%	17%	16%	5%	27%	5%	16%	23%	11%	0%	13%	23%	8%	15%	16%	15%	30%	20%	12%	9%	4%	15%	15%	16%	18%	10%	11%	10%	14%	20%	16%	11%	18%	15%	9%	14%	18%	21%	11%	15%	11%	17%	6%	22%	15%	14%	25%	11%	13%	18%	13%	16%	17%	11%	12%	16%	17%	16%	11%	11%	21%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%

Which of the following issues is likely to most influence your vote heading into the 2022 elections?

513 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter		Top Issue							Parent		2020 President		2018 Governor		Religion				Evangelical		Abortion				Roe V Wade		If Overturned		Abortion Vote Influence				Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Certain	Probable	COVID Re	Inflatio	Taxes	The Econ	Health C	Abortion	Crime /	Yes	No	Trump	Biden	Johnson	Walz	Protesta	Catholic	Other Re	No Organ	Yes	No	Legal Al	Some Lim	Only Rap	Never Le	Remain L	Overturn	Legal in	Illegal	Very Lik	Somewhat	Not Very	Not At A	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
COVID Response	12%	11%	13%	15%	12%	10%	12%	13%	11%	9%	17%	10%	4%	10%	11%	21%	22%	8%	11%	21%	12%	12%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12%	12%	10%	13%	7%	15%	13%	14%	12%	9%	16%	11%	17%	13%	7%	9%	12%	10%	14%	8%	14%	13%	7%	13%	9%	11%	15%	10%	15%	10%	12%	12%	17%	10%	11%	12%	16%	11%	11%
Inflation	12%	12%	12%	12%	14%	11%	10%	13%	10%	17%	7%	13%	11%	15%	12%	8%	7%	14%	12%	8%	11%	17%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	16%	10%	17%	7%	15%	8%	13%	9%	16%	12%	12%	11%	6%	11%	19%	14%	8%	15%	8%	16%	10%	17%	13%	9%	11%	13%	11%	11%	12%	13%	12%	12%	9%	10%	17%	8%	19%	14%	18%
Taxes	7%	9%	5%	6%	9%	7%	7%	8%	7%	9%	4%	9%	12%	8%	8%	4%	3%	9%	8%	4%	8%	4%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	8%	9%	6%	12%	6%	8%	6%	6%	9%	9%	6%	6%	6%	8%	12%	6%	9%	6%	11%	6%	7%	9%	6%	5%	9%	7%	6%	5%	11%	8%	5%	6%	9%	5%	7%	10%	9%	4%
The Economy	25%	29%	21%	24%	24%	34%	18%	24%	26%	33%	19%	23%	27%	37%	24%	16%	4%	34%	24%	13%	25%	23%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	28%	24%	32%	19%	34%	21%	28%	30%	21%	18%	26%	25%	16%	32%	28%	24%	24%	26%	24%	29%	16%	32%	35%	32%	26%	26%	23%	28%	23%	25%	26%	21%	24%	23%	29%	23%	29%	32%	24%
Health Care	9%	9%	10%	14%	8%	7%	9%	11%	8%	4%	14%	7%	2%	6%	13%	11%	19%	5%	13%	13%	10%	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	10%	9%	4%	15%	5%	14%	8%	6%	14%	12%	7%	10%	15%	11%	4%	5%	14%	4%	13%	4%	7%	11%	13%	6%	5%	11%	11%	11%	8%	10%	8%	13%	7%	10%	10%	10%	11%	10%	6%
Foreign Affairs	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%
Abortion	12%	6%	18%	12%	13%	9%	13%	12%	11%	6%	20%	8%	13%	6%	6%	21%	35%	8%	6%	25%	11%	13%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	9%	13%	6%	18%	5%	16%	7%	14%	5%	19%	5%	14%	24%	6%	4%	14%	17%	7%	15%	7%	28%	3%	0%	2%	13%	11%	12%	15%	12%	10%	10%	17%	10%	16%	6%	14%	2%	6%	16%
Crime / Public Safety	14%	15%	13%	6%	12%	20%	17%	9%	18%	19%	9%	13%	21%	15%	17%	6%	6%	17%	17%	6%	14%	13%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	11%	15%	18%	11%	18%	11%	15%	12%	17%	13%	14%	13%	6%	17%	24%	9%	11%	19%	12%	17%	11%	11%	17%	27%	22%	12%	10%	8%	18%	13%	15%	10%	18%	12%	14%	15%	9%	16%	11%
Other	4%	5%	3%	3%	5%	2%	6%	4%	4%	0%	5%	9%	0%	0%	6%	8%	4%	0%	6%	6%	3%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	4%	2%	6%	0%	5%	4%	3%	6%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	6%	0%	3%	5%	4%	4%	5%	2%	1%	0%	4%	2%	5%	6%	2%	5%	4%	3%	3%	5%	3%	5%	2%	0%	5%
Not Sure	4%	3%	5%	6%	2%	2%	7%	4%	5%	2%	4%	6%	5%	1%	4%	6%	1%	2%	4%	4%	4%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	5%	3%	5%	2%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	5%	4%	1%	1%	13%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	5%	3%	5%	5%	5%	3%	4%	6%	5%	5%	3%	5%	0%	2%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	51%	49%	21%	27%	26%	26%	48%	52%	36%	36%	24%	12%	28%	31%	19%	7%	40%	31%	27%	80%	20%	12%	12%	7%	25%	9%	12%	14%	30%	70%	45%	47%	28%	51%	30%	30%	15%	25%	23%	71%	32%	26%	25%	11%	55%	32%	64%	26%	38%	30%	16%	8%	27%	37%	36%	25%	40%	35%	79%	21%	22%	48%	30%	57%	9%	17%	17%