Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26514

5 Weeks Until Votes Counted in NC US Senate Contest, Republican Budd and Democrat Beasley Running Neck-and-Neck to Replace Richard Burr: Republican Ted Budd and Democrat Cheri Beasley are effectively tied in their contest to replace retiring US Senator Richard Burr, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for WRAL-TV in Raleigh. Today it's Budd 43%, Beasley 42%, with 2% of likely voters planning to vote for Libertarian Shannon Bray and less than 1% voting for Green Party candidate Matthew Hoh. 13% of likely voters say they are undecided. Budd leads by 6 points among men, Beasley by 4 points among women – a 10 point gender gap. White voters back Budd by an 18-point margin; Black voters back Beasley by 65 points. Budd leads by 16 points in greater Charlotte, Beasley by 15 in greater Raleigh; Beasley has a small 4-point edge in the Greensboro area, and leads by a nominal 2 points in southern and coastal North Carolina. Looking at the issues, a significant plurality of voters, 44%, say the economy is the issue that will be most important in determining their vote; those voters support Ted Budd by nearly 2:1, 57% to 30%. 17% of voters say abortion is the most important issue; these voters support Cheri Beasley by a 49-point margin, 69% to 20%. 9% of likely voters say heath care is their most important issue; they back Beasley by 67 points. 8% are most focused on immigration; they prefer Budd by 62 points. Taking a deeper dive specifically into the issue of abortion, those who say it will be the determining factor in their vote, 14% of the electorate, strongly back Beasley, 64% to 23%. Those who say it will be a major factor, 34% of voters, prefer Beasley by 27 points, 56% to 29%. Those who say abortion will be somewhat of an factor, 26% of likely voters, prefer Budd by 19 points; 23% say abortion will not be a factor in their vote at all back Budd by 49 points. 43% of likely voters say Donald Trump's endorsement of Ted Budd makes them less likely to vote for Budd; 30% say it makes them more likely to vote for him. 27% say it does not impact their vote either way. 46% say that Budd's House vote to overturn the 2020 election results makes them less likely to vote for Budd; 25% say that makes them more likely to vote for him. 29% say it does not impact their vote. Full results follow ...

About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 North Carolina adults 09/28/2022 through 10/02/2022. Of the adults, 918 are registered to vote in North Carolina. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 677 as being likely to cast a ballot in the November election for United States Senate. This research was conducted online among a representative cross section of North Carolina adults, selected at random by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Adult respondents were weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina?

1100 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Yes	83%	85%	82%	76%	83%	86%	92%	79%	89%	86%	86%	75%	63%	90%	93%	76%	89%	91%	82%	89%	90%	85%	87%	87%	90%	85%	87%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	94%	97%	87%	83%	83%	85%	76%	83%	93%	78%	84%	92%	89%	73%	84%	84%	82%	83%	84%	85%	80%
No	14%	12%	15%	20%	14%	12%	7%	17%	10%	11%	13%	18%	34%	8%	5%	21%	10%	8%	15%	9%	9%	13%	12%	12%	9%	13%	12%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6%	3%	11%	14%	15%	12%	20%	14%	6%	18%	14%	7%	9%	22%	13%	14%	14%	14%	11%	14%	16%
Not Sure	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	7%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	1%	4%	2%	1%	2%	5%	3%	1%	4%	3%	5%	1%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	48%	52%	30%	25%	26%	20%	54%	46%	63%	20%	10%	7%	33%	32%	25%	32%	32%	29%	15%	21%	35%	14%	6%	36%	35%	20%	20%	53%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	37%	37%	41%	54%	33%	65%	39%	31%	31%	41%	37%	22%	65%	35%	17%	44%	39%	35%	17%	30%	18%

2	North Carolina will elect a United States Senator in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Would you say you are ... ?

918 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Certain Not To Vote	4%	4%	4%	7%	5%	0%	4%	6%	2%	2%	8%	7%	4%	1%	6%	4%	2%	6%	3%	4%	3%	3%	8%	1%	4%	3%	6%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	6%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	3%	3%	6%	3%	4%	5%	7%	6%	1%	3%	9%	4%	3%
Unlikely To Vote	6%	7%	4%	12%	4%	3%	2%	8%	3%	4%	9%	9%	1%	5%	4%	8%	5%	3%	8%	5%	5%	7%	2%	4%	5%	7%	2%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5%	3%	6%	6%	5%	6%	9%	5%	2%	7%	5%	3%	4%	9%	6%	5%	7%	5%	4%	8%	2%
Maybe 50% / 50%	15%	13%	17%	21%	17%	13%	9%	19%	11%	15%	15%	10%	23%	13%	15%	14%	15%	14%	16%	8%	12%	21%	12%	6%	11%	21%	10%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	12%	13%	13%	16%	20%	13%	19%	16%	10%	15%	16%	13%	12%	22%	15%	14%	17%	15%	13%	15%	17%
Likely To Vote	20%	19%	21%	25%	23%	17%	17%	24%	17%	21%	20%	14%	21%	20%	19%	27%	19%	19%	25%	13%	21%	24%	19%	20%	18%	24%	20%	100%	0%	36%	26%	35%	33%	18%	26%	13%	31%	36%	20%	24%	27%	33%	23%	29%	30%	26%	44%	24%	21%	19%	20%	21%	24%	19%	18%	20%	23%	22%	18%	22%	20%	22%	24%	19%	21%	26%	20%	18%	15%
100% Certain To Vote	53%	55%	52%	33%	49%	67%	67%	41%	67%	56%	44%	57%	51%	59%	54%	47%	58%	56%	46%	69%	56%	44%	57%	67%	61%	44%	60%	0%	100%	64%	74%	65%	67%	82%	74%	87%	69%	64%	80%	76%	73%	67%	77%	71%	70%	74%	56%	76%	60%	57%	55%	53%	46%	57%	47%	52%	61%	51%	53%	58%	60%	39%	47%	55%	54%	51%	50%	53%	61%
Not Sure	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%	3%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	27%	24%	26%	22%	51%	49%	65%	21%	9%	5%	36%	36%	22%	34%	34%	29%	16%	23%	36%	14%	7%	39%	36%	21%	20%	53%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	41%	43%	43%	54%	32%	66%	35%	30%	34%	39%	38%	24%	69%	31%	17%	45%	38%	35%	17%	30%	18%

3	If the election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Ted Budd (R)	43%	46%	40%	40%	46%	44%	42%	43%	43%	51%	11%	44%	46%	83%	5%	35%	87%	5%	35%	84%	68%	29%	9%	2%	75%	29%	7%	37%	45%	11%	57%	37%	29%	78%	20%	23%	29%	52%	67%	86%	4%	57%	82%	9%	63%	26%	62%	44%	85%	4%	52%	35%	55%	37%	45%	45%	40%	43%	43%	43%	45%	37%	37%	42%	47%	50%	40%	36%	41%
Cheri Beasley (D)	42%	40%	44%	38%	41%	43%	45%	39%	44%	33%	76%	43%	33%	7%	83%	40%	4%	85%	38%	8%	17%	53%	80%	78%	13%	53%	79%	33%	45%	78%	30%	31%	42%	16%	69%	64%	56%	33%	18%	5%	82%	19%	9%	74%	19%	60%	13%	43%	4%	84%	32%	52%	31%	47%	37%	42%	46%	41%	42%	42%	40%	47%	48%	45%	36%	34%	44%	51%	43%
Shannon Bray (L)	2%	1%	3%	4%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	5%	0%	1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	5%	1%	1%	1%	0%	6%	0%	4%	0%	2%	3%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	0%	3%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	4%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%
Matthew Hoh (G)	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%
Undecided	13%	12%	13%	19%	12%	10%	11%	15%	11%	13%	11%	13%	20%	9%	10%	21%	7%	9%	21%	7%	13%	14%	9%	15%	11%	14%	11%	24%	8%	8%	12%	32%	20%	6%	7%	12%	13%	12%	11%	7%	12%	20%	6%	13%	18%	10%	19%	12%	10%	12%	13%	11%	12%	13%	18%	10%	10%	13%	12%	13%	13%	12%	13%	9%	16%	13%	15%	11%	12%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

4	What is your opinion of Ted Budd?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Very Favorable	16%	18%	13%	12%	16%	15%	19%	14%	17%	18%	1%	26%	10%	32%	1%	10%	35%	1%	9%	56%	14%	5%	2%	2%	32%	5%	2%	8%	18%	9%	19%	6%	18%	42%	7%	15%	13%	15%	21%	39%	0%	14%	39%	1%	18%	4%	22%	17%	32%	1%	21%	11%	18%	14%	24%	12%	12%	18%	17%	10%	17%	11%	12%	15%	18%	19%	16%	15%	9%
Somewhat Favorable	27%	27%	26%	22%	30%	28%	25%	26%	27%	31%	13%	15%	28%	46%	7%	26%	46%	8%	26%	30%	51%	22%	5%	8%	42%	22%	6%	29%	26%	2%	37%	31%	15%	38%	13%	9%	16%	35%	44%	41%	6%	43%	39%	8%	45%	22%	33%	26%	47%	6%	27%	25%	36%	22%	23%	32%	26%	27%	23%	31%	27%	24%	20%	26%	29%	31%	26%	19%	30%
Neutral	15%	11%	20%	29%	16%	12%	7%	22%	10%	13%	19%	25%	19%	11%	16%	18%	11%	16%	19%	5%	14%	21%	20%	6%	10%	21%	15%	22%	13%	19%	16%	13%	15%	7%	11%	12%	16%	20%	9%	12%	16%	18%	14%	16%	15%	22%	23%	11%	12%	16%	18%	12%	19%	14%	15%	14%	17%	16%	14%	15%	14%	20%	20%	12%	17%	12%	19%	12%	23%
Somewhat Unfavorable	11%	11%	11%	12%	11%	9%	13%	11%	11%	10%	15%	15%	8%	4%	18%	13%	3%	19%	13%	2%	8%	16%	15%	19%	6%	16%	16%	13%	11%	18%	10%	18%	14%	7%	14%	8%	15%	11%	9%	3%	18%	10%	3%	16%	11%	16%	7%	11%	5%	18%	10%	13%	7%	13%	11%	12%	11%	11%	12%	11%	11%	10%	15%	13%	7%	9%	14%	15%	7%
Very Unfavorable	28%	30%	25%	17%	23%	33%	35%	20%	34%	25%	44%	13%	29%	6%	51%	28%	4%	52%	28%	4%	12%	33%	54%	55%	9%	33%	54%	22%	30%	42%	17%	20%	34%	3%	51%	51%	35%	17%	15%	5%	55%	10%	4%	54%	6%	33%	11%	30%	3%	54%	19%	36%	16%	33%	25%	26%	32%	25%	30%	28%	27%	30%	29%	30%	25%	27%	21%	33%	26%
Never Heard Of	4%	3%	5%	9%	4%	3%	0%	6%	2%	2%	7%	6%	7%	1%	5%	5%	1%	4%	6%	3%	1%	4%	5%	9%	2%	4%	7%	7%	3%	10%	1%	13%	4%	2%	4%	6%	6%	2%	1%	1%	5%	6%	1%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	1%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	2%	4%	5%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

5	What is your opinion of Cheri Beasley?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Very Favorable	19%	16%	22%	10%	20%	24%	19%	15%	22%	13%	47%	12%	11%	3%	42%	12%	2%	44%	10%	4%	7%	21%	38%	44%	5%	21%	40%	10%	22%	31%	14%	12%	21%	0%	41%	43%	24%	12%	6%	2%	38%	8%	6%	34%	6%	30%	5%	19%	1%	38%	15%	23%	13%	22%	18%	19%	20%	18%	19%	19%	17%	25%	23%	17%	19%	13%	17%	27%	19%
Somewhat Favorable	22%	21%	22%	22%	20%	18%	28%	21%	23%	20%	26%	23%	22%	6%	36%	25%	5%	35%	26%	6%	12%	28%	36%	31%	10%	28%	34%	22%	22%	33%	17%	19%	21%	14%	26%	20%	32%	19%	10%	6%	37%	14%	8%	34%	14%	30%	9%	22%	6%	40%	16%	26%	17%	23%	19%	23%	23%	24%	20%	21%	22%	21%	26%	26%	15%	17%	26%	24%	23%
Neutral	17%	14%	21%	32%	15%	15%	9%	23%	13%	18%	17%	17%	10%	18%	12%	24%	16%	11%	24%	11%	18%	22%	13%	17%	15%	22%	14%	22%	15%	23%	22%	13%	12%	7%	11%	9%	13%	26%	19%	16%	15%	21%	16%	16%	21%	16%	26%	16%	16%	14%	20%	14%	20%	16%	16%	17%	19%	16%	20%	16%	16%	20%	17%	16%	19%	19%	18%	14%	21%
Somewhat Unfavorable	15%	16%	14%	12%	14%	17%	16%	13%	17%	17%	5%	10%	36%	22%	4%	19%	23%	4%	19%	13%	28%	14%	10%	0%	22%	14%	6%	20%	13%	5%	18%	13%	8%	15%	11%	5%	9%	22%	23%	25%	6%	18%	18%	8%	24%	12%	30%	12%	26%	4%	15%	14%	17%	14%	17%	16%	13%	15%	14%	16%	16%	12%	8%	14%	20%	18%	14%	11%	16%
Very Unfavorable	25%	30%	20%	20%	28%	25%	27%	24%	26%	31%	3%	32%	18%	49%	4%	19%	53%	3%	18%	63%	35%	14%	1%	8%	47%	14%	3%	22%	27%	6%	29%	34%	31%	64%	10%	20%	20%	20%	42%	50%	2%	34%	53%	6%	31%	8%	29%	29%	49%	2%	32%	20%	31%	23%	28%	23%	24%	25%	25%	26%	28%	18%	24%	26%	25%	31%	23%	22%	20%
Never Heard Of	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	2%	6%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	8%	6%	0%	2%	4%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%	1%	1%	4%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

6	Which one of these issues will be most important in determining your vote for US Senate in November?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Health Care	9%	10%	8%	13%	7%	10%	8%	10%	9%	8%	16%	9%	4%	3%	17%	7%	2%	17%	8%	5%	5%	7%	16%	18%	5%	7%	17%	12%	8%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9%	14%	10%	3%	4%	15%	6%	3%	15%	6%	16%	7%	8%	3%	16%	7%	11%	7%	10%	7%	12%	9%	12%	6%	9%	9%	10%	18%	6%	9%	9%	17%	9%	3%
Economy	44%	47%	41%	37%	45%	52%	40%	41%	47%	47%	42%	35%	32%	51%	35%	46%	54%	35%	44%	48%	59%	45%	30%	22%	54%	45%	27%	41%	45%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	28%	29%	54%	67%	52%	31%	57%	50%	33%	57%	38%	52%	45%	57%	33%	48%	41%	46%	43%	48%	42%	43%	41%	44%	51%	45%	43%	40%	47%	43%	42%	47%	44%	48%
Education	3%	3%	4%	4%	6%	3%	1%	5%	2%	3%	5%	1%	1%	2%	3%	6%	2%	3%	6%	1%	2%	5%	4%	3%	2%	5%	4%	5%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	2%	6%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	5%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	3%	5%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	5%	2%	4%
Public Safety/crime	5%	5%	5%	6%	4%	4%	6%	5%	5%	4%	3%	11%	10%	7%	4%	3%	6%	5%	3%	5%	5%	4%	8%	0%	5%	4%	5%	6%	5%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	2%	5%	4%	8%	3%	4%	9%	3%	4%	8%	7%	5%	5%	6%	4%	5%	6%	5%	5%	7%	5%	4%	6%	5%	4%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	3%	4%	7%	6%
Guns	5%	6%	5%	5%	8%	4%	5%	6%	4%	5%	8%	7%	2%	4%	6%	3%	5%	6%	4%	5%	3%	7%	3%	9%	4%	7%	5%	6%	5%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	7%	3%	8%	4%	6%	6%	3%	8%	5%	2%	7%	4%	5%	4%	6%	5%	5%	7%	4%	6%	6%	4%	5%	7%	3%	5%	6%	4%	5%	5%	6%	4%	7%	2%
Immigration	8%	10%	6%	8%	5%	2%	16%	7%	8%	8%	2%	18%	2%	15%	2%	4%	15%	3%	4%	22%	11%	2%	1%	2%	16%	2%	1%	5%	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	6%	7%	6%	10%	16%	1%	8%	15%	2%	11%	8%	9%	7%	14%	2%	7%	7%	6%	9%	10%	7%	6%	9%	8%	5%	9%	5%	6%	7%	9%	9%	7%	7%	6%
Abortion	17%	11%	23%	16%	20%	17%	16%	18%	16%	15%	19%	15%	35%	9%	25%	20%	9%	25%	18%	8%	6%	20%	32%	36%	7%	20%	33%	16%	18%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	42%	25%	9%	1%	7%	29%	9%	7%	27%	10%	17%	4%	20%	8%	26%	16%	19%	17%	18%	11%	17%	22%	18%	18%	15%	16%	21%	15%	20%	14%	16%	12%	19%	20%
Taxes	3%	4%	3%	4%	2%	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	2%	3%	0%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	6%	2%	3%	0%	5%	2%	2%	4%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	7%	1%	2%	6%	2%	2%	8%	3%	0%	1%	12%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	5%	3%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	4%	7%	2%	4%	5%	2%	2%	3%
Other	5%	4%	6%	7%	4%	4%	5%	5%	5%	5%	3%	0%	12%	3%	5%	7%	3%	3%	9%	2%	3%	7%	4%	10%	2%	7%	6%	4%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	6%	5%	4%	3%	8%	3%	3%	7%	4%	5%	2%	6%	3%	5%	4%	5%	5%	5%	4%	5%	6%	3%	6%	7%	6%	2%	3%	4%	6%	8%	1%	2%	7%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

7	How much impact will the issue of abortion have on your vote in the US Senate race?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
The Determining Factor	14%	14%	15%	12%	17%	14%	13%	15%	14%	12%	21%	25%	9%	10%	20%	12%	9%	21%	14%	21%	9%	12%	14%	21%	14%	12%	16%	7%	17%	13%	9%	7%	20%	12%	35%	100%	0%	0%	0%	9%	20%	12%	9%	21%	8%	21%	6%	14%	8%	21%	13%	15%	15%	14%	19%	11%	12%	16%	15%	11%	13%	17%	17%	14%	13%	13%	15%	16%	13%
A Major Factor	34%	31%	37%	41%	33%	33%	31%	37%	32%	34%	39%	29%	33%	24%	48%	31%	23%	48%	32%	33%	18%	29%	58%	66%	24%	29%	61%	38%	33%	50%	22%	34%	22%	33%	50%	0%	100%	0%	0%	30%	45%	21%	31%	45%	18%	36%	43%	31%	23%	49%	34%	35%	33%	35%	24%	39%	38%	34%	33%	35%	32%	39%	45%	34%	29%	34%	39%	34%	30%
Somewhat Of a Factor	26%	26%	27%	30%	29%	25%	23%	29%	24%	25%	26%	31%	41%	27%	20%	34%	29%	20%	28%	24%	27%	35%	18%	7%	26%	35%	14%	34%	23%	28%	32%	22%	39%	22%	13%	0%	0%	100%	0%	30%	23%	27%	31%	21%	30%	22%	26%	28%	29%	19%	27%	25%	32%	24%	28%	29%	23%	27%	25%	27%	26%	28%	21%	27%	28%	27%	22%	27%	27%
Not a Factor	23%	27%	20%	15%	19%	26%	32%	17%	28%	28%	12%	15%	16%	36%	10%	22%	38%	9%	23%	21%	46%	21%	8%	4%	35%	21%	7%	17%	26%	7%	35%	36%	17%	30%	1%	0%	0%	0%	100%	30%	10%	38%	28%	11%	40%	20%	24%	24%	39%	9%	25%	23%	19%	26%	26%	19%	25%	20%	25%	26%	27%	14%	16%	23%	27%	24%	20%	23%	26%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

8	Former President Donald Trump supports Republican Ted Budd for US Senate. Does that make you more or less likely to vote for Ted Budd?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
More Likely	30%	34%	26%	38%	31%	28%	23%	34%	26%	33%	8%	39%	48%	59%	9%	14%	62%	9%	16%	66%	43%	18%	8%	8%	53%	18%	8%	26%	31%	13%	35%	18%	33%	64%	13%	18%	26%	34%	38%	100%	0%	0%	80%	7%	22%	22%	55%	26%	58%	4%	37%	24%	39%	25%	35%	33%	23%	33%	26%	29%	31%	27%	26%	27%	34%	37%	27%	24%	27%
Less Likely	43%	39%	46%	44%	41%	42%	45%	42%	43%	36%	72%	35%	42%	8%	76%	49%	6%	77%	48%	6%	16%	56%	81%	86%	12%	56%	83%	42%	43%	70%	30%	35%	52%	7%	72%	59%	57%	38%	18%	0%	100%	0%	8%	83%	10%	60%	16%	44%	4%	82%	35%	50%	31%	49%	33%	44%	50%	42%	41%	46%	40%	51%	50%	44%	38%	34%	48%	47%	50%
Does Not Impact Your Vote	27%	27%	28%	18%	28%	30%	32%	23%	31%	31%	20%	26%	10%	33%	14%	37%	32%	15%	35%	28%	41%	26%	10%	6%	36%	26%	9%	32%	25%	16%	35%	46%	15%	30%	15%	23%	17%	28%	44%	0%	0%	100%	12%	10%	69%	18%	29%	30%	39%	14%	28%	25%	31%	26%	33%	22%	27%	24%	32%	25%	29%	22%	24%	29%	27%	30%	24%	29%	22%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

9	Republican Ted Budd voted to overturn the 2020 Presidential election results. Does that make you more or less likely to vote for Ted Budd?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
More Likely	25%	27%	24%	33%	23%	29%	17%	28%	23%	30%	9%	28%	19%	46%	8%	18%	49%	7%	19%	53%	32%	18%	10%	8%	41%	18%	9%	21%	27%	8%	29%	14%	42%	48%	11%	15%	23%	30%	30%	68%	5%	11%	100%	0%	0%	23%	36%	24%	47%	6%	33%	20%	31%	22%	29%	23%	24%	26%	23%	28%	26%	23%	24%	25%	27%	33%	25%	21%	18%
Less Likely	46%	46%	46%	45%	44%	43%	51%	45%	47%	41%	71%	33%	50%	14%	78%	52%	10%	78%	52%	10%	27%	58%	76%	82%	20%	58%	78%	48%	45%	72%	34%	39%	45%	10%	73%	68%	61%	37%	21%	11%	89%	17%	0%	100%	0%	59%	35%	45%	9%	81%	40%	51%	34%	51%	39%	46%	51%	44%	47%	46%	43%	55%	56%	47%	40%	39%	46%	51%	52%
Does Not Impact Your Vote	29%	28%	30%	22%	32%	28%	32%	27%	30%	30%	20%	40%	31%	40%	14%	30%	41%	15%	29%	37%	41%	24%	14%	10%	39%	24%	13%	31%	28%	20%	37%	47%	13%	42%	16%	17%	16%	33%	49%	21%	6%	73%	0%	0%	100%	18%	29%	32%	44%	13%	27%	29%	35%	26%	32%	31%	25%	30%	29%	26%	31%	22%	20%	28%	34%	29%	29%	28%	30%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%

10	Democrat Cheri Beasley has not campaigned with President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris. Does that make you more or less likely to vote for Cheri Beasley?

677 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Registration			Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely November		Top Issue						Abortion Impact On Senate Race				Trump Support Impact On			Overturn Vote Impact On			Campaigning Impact On Be			2020 Vote		Gun Owning HH		Parent		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Unaffili	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Likely	Certain	Health C	Economy	Public S	Guns	Immigrat	Abortion	Determin	Major Fa	Somewhat	Not a Fa	More Lik	Less Lik	None	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	More Lik	Less Lik	No Impac	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
More Likely	19%	17%	21%	26%	18%	19%	14%	22%	16%	16%	26%	28%	20%	12%	25%	21%	11%	27%	20%	15%	13%	20%	25%	29%	14%	20%	26%	18%	19%	33%	16%	26%	24%	19%	19%	28%	20%	16%	16%	14%	27%	12%	17%	24%	12%	100%	0%	0%	13%	24%	17%	20%	19%	18%	18%	20%	19%	20%	19%	17%	17%	25%	21%	18%	19%	18%	23%	16%	22%
Less Likely	15%	15%	15%	23%	15%	12%	12%	19%	12%	15%	11%	25%	15%	20%	13%	9%	21%	13%	10%	19%	19%	13%	12%	11%	19%	13%	12%	24%	12%	12%	18%	14%	11%	18%	3%	6%	19%	15%	16%	28%	6%	16%	21%	11%	15%	0%	100%	0%	20%	8%	15%	15%	18%	14%	24%	13%	10%	16%	14%	15%	13%	21%	23%	12%	16%	18%	13%	15%	11%
Does Not Impact Your Vote	66%	67%	65%	50%	67%	69%	75%	59%	72%	69%	63%	47%	65%	68%	62%	70%	68%	61%	70%	66%	68%	67%	63%	60%	67%	67%	62%	58%	69%	55%	66%	60%	65%	62%	77%	66%	61%	69%	68%	58%	68%	72%	62%	64%	73%	0%	0%	100%	67%	68%	68%	64%	63%	68%	58%	67%	72%	63%	68%	68%	70%	54%	56%	70%	66%	64%	63%	69%	66%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	21%	24%	30%	25%	45%	55%	68%	18%	8%	5%	39%	36%	22%	35%	35%	28%	18%	24%	33%	15%	8%	42%	33%	23%	28%	72%	9%	44%	5%	5%	8%	17%	14%	34%	26%	23%	30%	43%	27%	25%	46%	29%	19%	15%	66%	45%	44%	44%	54%	31%	68%	31%	30%	39%	38%	36%	26%	75%	25%	17%	45%	38%	37%	16%	29%	18%