Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21475
 
In FL Governor's Duel, Democrat Crist Now In the Spotlight, Democrat Crist Now In The Lead - Newly Atop Republican Scott in Dramatic Swing:

Charlie Crist made news last week when he named a running mate, and that appears to resonate with Florida's likely voters, who now have Crist 6 points atop Republican Rick Scott, 46% to 40%, according to WFLA-TV's latest tracking poll in the contest.

2 weeks ago, Crist trailed Scott by 2. As Crist has enjoyed nonstop media attention over the past 5 days, which happen to coincide with SurveyUSA's field period for this survey, Crist's poll numbers benefited as well. In 8 WFLA-TV / SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to 04/15/14, Crist has led on 5 occasions, though never by as much as the 6 points he does today. Scott has led in 3 of the 8 tracking polls, though never by more than 2 percentage points.

* Among women, Crist had led by 3, now leads by 10, a gain of 7 points.
* Among men, Crist had trailed by 7, now is tied, a gain of 7.
* Among moderates, a key constituency for any Democrat who hopes to win elected office, Crist leads by 22 points, up from 13 points 2 weeks ago.
* Among Independents, Scott and Crist are effectively tied, a 10 point improvement for Crist poll-on-poll.
* The 08/26/14 FL Primary has not been held yet, and Crist has not yet won his party's nomination.
* After the primary, 2 months of intense campaigning remain before voting begins; these poll numbers can and will change during those 60 days.

Looking ahead to the 2016 election for president in the pivotal state of Florida, hypothetical head-to-head polling by SurveyUSA for WFLA-TV shows the following:

* Hillary Clinton 49%.
* Chris Christie 38%.

* Chris Christie 48%.
* Joe Biden 39%.

* Hillary Clinton 46%.
* Rand Paul 42%.

* Rand Paul 47%.
* Joe Biden 39%.

* Hillary Clinton 53%.
* Marco Rubio 39%.

* Marco Rubio 46%.
* Joe Biden 43%.

* Hillary Clinton 47%.
* Jeb Bush 41%.

* Jeb Bush 47%.
* Joe Biden 38%.

As always, cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 state of Florida adults 07/17/14 through 07/21/14. Of the adults, 839 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 564 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
If the election for Florida governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Rick Scott? Democrat Charlie Crist? Or some other candidate?
564 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rick Scott (R)40%42%38%31%35%40%47%34%44%43%45%46%5%27%73%9%39%70%32%8%46%40%39%30%39%52%38%41%29%49%43%45%35%
Charlie Crist (D)46%43%48%45%53%45%41%50%43%48%39%38%92%56%16%82%37%15%54%84%38%44%48%49%48%41%46%45%43%37%41%46%54%
Other8%9%7%11%6%7%9%7%8%9%6%9%0%6%6%7%11%8%8%7%8%9%7%12%6%4%5%9%13%7%10%6%5%
Undecided6%6%7%13%6%7%3%9%5%1%10%6%2%11%5%2%14%7%7%1%8%6%6%9%7%4%11%5%14%6%6%3%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%11%23%33%33%34%66%8%9%82%11%7%38%37%24%34%44%17%15%40%45%29%41%30%26%74%10%9%32%22%28%
 
Should Charlie Crist debate Nan Rich, his opponent in the Democratic primary? Or not?
564 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Should68%76%61%71%77%72%57%75%65%63%82%70%56%64%67%66%73%69%68%72%48%73%71%67%72%64%81%64%78%63%73%61%66%
Should Not14%11%18%15%6%15%19%9%17%25%1%13%29%10%11%21%9%9%17%14%17%12%15%13%14%17%4%18%6%10%13%18%18%
Not Sure18%13%22%14%18%13%23%16%18%11%17%17%15%26%22%13%18%21%15%14%35%16%13%20%15%19%15%18%17%27%14%22%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%11%23%33%33%34%66%8%9%82%11%7%38%37%24%34%44%17%15%40%45%29%41%30%26%74%10%9%32%22%28%
 
3Should Florida same-sex couples who wish to get married be given ... No legal recognition at all? ... The right to civil unions? ... Or the right to marry?
564 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
No Recognition29%27%31%32%28%31%26%30%29%30%28%27%40%38%40%24%20%47%20%14%35%34%23%40%26%23%21%32%48%38%30%22%23%
Civil Unions29%29%29%23%27%24%37%26%30%35%30%31%12%23%34%21%34%37%29%16%24%29%31%25%33%28%31%28%31%30%27%30%30%
Marriage35%37%32%39%36%37%30%37%33%34%33%36%31%25%19%48%38%10%43%66%31%29%39%28%34%41%38%33%14%31%37%40%37%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%11%23%33%33%34%66%8%9%82%11%7%38%37%24%34%44%17%15%40%45%29%41%30%26%74%10%9%32%22%28%
 
4Are you more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for Florida governor who supports legalizing same-sex marriage? Or does it make no difference?
564 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
More Likely24%25%24%32%19%27%22%23%25%35%28%25%21%21%14%38%20%12%23%56%26%21%26%23%24%26%28%23%10%20%25%26%29%
Less Likely36%33%40%34%39%34%37%37%36%31%33%35%44%34%48%28%32%60%28%10%34%42%33%41%34%36%28%39%62%36%36%30%33%
No Difference36%39%33%29%38%36%38%35%37%26%29%36%34%39%34%32%46%26%46%33%35%35%38%32%39%37%39%35%26%42%34%43%34%
Not Sure3%3%4%4%4%3%3%4%3%7%9%3%1%6%4%2%3%2%3%2%5%2%3%5%4%1%5%3%2%2%5%1%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%11%23%33%33%34%66%8%9%82%11%7%38%37%24%34%44%17%15%40%45%29%41%30%26%74%10%9%32%22%28%
 
5Thinking ahead now to the 2016 election for President of the United States ... If the 2016 election for President were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?
836 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Chris Christie (R)38%39%37%25%31%39%50%28%44%42%23%44%6%25%70%11%35%70%30%11%36%37%40%29%40%45%28%42%43%48%38%39%32%
Hillary Clinton (D)49%48%51%54%52%50%43%53%47%49%56%43%87%58%17%84%40%19%57%83%46%49%51%54%48%46%49%49%47%41%48%49%54%
Undecided13%13%13%20%17%11%7%18%9%9%21%14%7%17%13%4%25%11%13%7%18%14%10%17%13%8%23%9%11%11%14%12%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%17%23%31%29%40%60%8%13%81%12%7%34%39%27%30%43%19%18%41%41%33%39%28%29%71%9%9%32%22%29%
 
6What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Joe Biden?
836 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Chris Christie (R)48%48%47%33%47%49%54%41%52%53%40%54%7%40%84%16%47%79%43%19%44%46%51%34%52%58%45%49%52%48%49%53%41%
Joe Biden (D)39%37%41%43%40%39%36%41%37%38%43%32%88%31%8%76%26%14%44%69%36%40%39%46%36%34%34%41%37%34%36%37%46%
Undecided13%14%13%24%13%12%10%17%11%10%17%13%5%28%8%8%27%7%14%12%19%14%10%20%12%8%21%10%12%18%16%9%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%17%23%31%29%40%60%8%13%81%12%7%34%39%27%30%43%19%18%41%41%33%39%28%29%71%9%9%32%22%29%