Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14190
Florida, Three Months Out -- Sun Shines on McCain: In an election in critical swing-state Florida for President of the United States today, 08/04/2008, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama, 50% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll pre-election poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Pensacola. Obama leads by 9 points in Southeastern Florida, where he takes 52% of the vote; McCain takes 52% of the vote in Central Florida, 53% in Southwestern Florida, 55% in the northeastern Florida, and 59% in Northwestern Florida. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, who turns 47 years old today, Obama leads by 5 points. Among voters older than John McCain, who turns 72 at the end of the month, McCain leads by 13. Among voters in-between their ages, McCain leads by 14. Among white voters, McCain leads by 19 points. Among black voters, Obama leads by 68. Hispanics favor Obama by 6 points. McCain leads among both men and women, among both college grads and non-college grads, among both those who earn less than $50,000 a year and among those who earn more than $50,000 a year.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Florida adults 08/01/08 through 08/03/08. Of them, 830 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 679 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Florida has 27 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Florida by 5 points in 2004 and by one one hundredth of a point in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
679 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
McCain (R)50%49%51%32%55%53%54%46%53%45%54%54%57%16%42%**79%20%48%81%39%18%49%52%59%45%44%68%38%41%53%48%**41%33%85%****89%50%52%59%55%52%53%43%
Obama (D)44%44%44%60%41%41%41%48%41%50%41%40%38%84%48%**18%75%39%17%54%74%45%43%35%50%52%29%56%41%45%48%**51%56%13%****6%47%42%35%43%43%39%52%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%17%27%27%30%43%57%38%16%46%73%11%13%3%43%38%17%35%38%14%55%45%43%31%26%42%55%17%82%58%2%6%8%10%4%3%6%37%63%8%9%34%18%30%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.