| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14190 |
| Florida, Three Months Out -- Sun Shines on McCain: In an election in critical swing-state Florida for President of the United States today, 08/04/2008, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama, 50% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll pre-election poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Pensacola. Obama leads by 9 points in Southeastern Florida, where he takes 52% of the vote; McCain takes 52% of the vote in Central Florida, 53% in Southwestern Florida, 55% in the northeastern Florida, and 59% in Northwestern Florida. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, who turns 47 years old today, Obama leads by 5 points. Among voters older than John McCain, who turns 72 at the end of the month, McCain leads by 13. Among voters in-between their ages, McCain leads by 14. Among white voters, McCain leads by 19 points. Among black voters, Obama leads by 68. Hispanics favor Obama by 6 points. McCain leads among both men and women, among both college grads and non-college grads, among both those who earn less than $50,000 a year and among those who earn more than $50,000 a year. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Florida adults 08/01/08 through 08/03/08. Of them, 830 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 679 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Florida has 27 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Florida by 5 points in 2004 and by one one hundredth of a point in 2000. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 679 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| McCain (R) | 50% | 49% | 51% | 32% | 55% | 53% | 54% | 46% | 53% | 45% | 54% | 54% | 57% | 16% | 42% | ** | 79% | 20% | 48% | 81% | 39% | 18% | 49% | 52% | 59% | 45% | 44% | 68% | 38% | 41% | 53% | 48% | ** | 41% | 33% | 85% | ** | ** | 89% | 50% | 52% | 59% | 55% | 52% | 53% | 43% |
| Obama (D) | 44% | 44% | 44% | 60% | 41% | 41% | 41% | 48% | 41% | 50% | 41% | 40% | 38% | 84% | 48% | ** | 18% | 75% | 39% | 17% | 54% | 74% | 45% | 43% | 35% | 50% | 52% | 29% | 56% | 41% | 45% | 48% | ** | 51% | 56% | 13% | ** | ** | 6% | 47% | 42% | 35% | 43% | 43% | 39% | 52% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 8% | ** | 1% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | ** | 3% | 3% | 1% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 2% |
| Undecided | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | ** | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 2% | ** | 5% | 8% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 17% | 27% | 27% | 30% | 43% | 57% | 38% | 16% | 46% | 73% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 43% | 38% | 17% | 35% | 38% | 14% | 55% | 45% | 43% | 31% | 26% | 42% | 55% | 17% | 82% | 58% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 37% | 63% | 8% | 9% | 34% | 18% | 30% |