| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13708 |
| In Oregon CD #5, Erickson and Mannix Neck & Neck GOP Primary Fight: In a Republican Primary in Oregon's 5th Congressional district today, 04/16/08, five weeks until votes are counted, businessman and 2006 Republican Nominee Mike Erickson is locked in a fierce fight with former state GOP chair Kevin Mannix, according to this latest KATU-TV news poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, it's Erickson 44%, Mannix 40%, within the survey's 5.0 percentage point margin of sampling error. Erickson leads by 25 points among those age 50+; Mannix leads by 22 among those under 50. Erickson leads by 30 among Pro-Choice voters. Mannix leads by 8 among Pro-Life voters. Erickson leads by 28 among moderates; conservatives, who make up two-thirds of the likely voters in SurveyUSA's turnout model, narrowly prefer Mannix. Incumbent Democrat Darlene Hooley is retiring. The U.S. House seat is open. |
| Filtering: 1,600 adults from Oregon's 5th congressional district were interviewed 04/13/08 through 04/15/08. Of them, 1,526 were registered to vote. Of them, 396 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/08 closed Republican primary election for the U.S. House of Representatives. All voting is by U.S. mail. Ballots may be returned until 8 pm on 05/20/08. |
 | If the Republican Primary for U.S. House of Representatives were today, would you vote for... (names rotated) Mike Erickson? Kevin Mannix? Or some other Republican? |
| 396 Likely Republican Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | |||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | |
| Erickson | 44% | 42% | 46% | 23% | 34% | 55% | 52% | 31% | 54% | 44% | 49% | 42% | 52% | ** | 43% | 47% | 45% | 39% | 54% |
| Mannix | 40% | 40% | 39% | 59% | 51% | 27% | 32% | 53% | 29% | 41% | 13% | 46% | 24% | ** | 45% | 29% | 33% | 47% | 24% |
| Other / Undecided | 17% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 37% | 12% | 24% | ** | 12% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 22% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters | 100% | 56% | 44% | 11% | 32% | 30% | 27% | 43% | 57% | 93% | 5% | 65% | 27% | 3% | 62% | 17% | 21% | 67% | 32% |