Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14324
Rising GOP Tide Floats All NC Boats; McCain Leaps Ahead; Republican in Gov Race Up Sharply; Dole Gains in Bid to Hold Senate Seat: In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina today, 09/09/08, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for WTVD-TV. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month.

SurveyUSA releases separate polling data today in the North Carolina Governor's race, where Republican Pat McCrory is riding McCain's coattails, and in the U.S. Senate race, where incumbent Elizabeth Dole has benefited, though modestly.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 North Carolina adults 09/06/08 - 09/08/08. All interviews were completed after the Labor Day weekend, and after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention. Question text for the "horserace" question was not changed for the 09/09/08 release to include the names of the running mates. Of the 900 adults, 783 were registered to vote; of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. North Carolina has 15 Electoral College votes. Incumbent Republican President George W. Bush carried the state by 12 points in 2004 and by 13 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
671 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
McCain (R)58%62%54%50%56%59%66%54%62%54%69%59%70%9%****90%23%59%86%47%24%56%59%60%57%49%79%36%45%60%53%**39%47%93%****87%50%62%60%54%64%
Obama (D)38%35%42%47%39%37%30%42%34%42%25%37%26%86%****7%74%34%12%49%71%39%38%35%40%49%18%61%40%38%43%**57%45%4%****11%46%34%35%43%34%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%22%32%28%18%54%46%48%9%43%76%20%1%3%41%40%16%38%35%11%48%52%60%24%16%51%46%17%81%49%3%9%6%11%5%5%8%36%64%34%50%16%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.