Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25514
 
In Battleground North Carolina, US Senate and Governor's Contests At This Hour Lean 7 Points Blue, 7 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted,
But 15 Tarheel Electoral Votes Remain Up for Grabs in a Hold-Your-Breath Home-Stretch Where (Literally) Anything Could Happen:


Neck-and-neck. Pick your poison. Coin toss. Jump ball. Tie game.

That's where the 2020 Presidential Election between incumbent Republican Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden stands in North Carolina at this hour, 7 weeks till Election Day, with early voting underway and strong crosswinds buffeting those who attempt to handicap the outcome, according to the latest pre-election tracking poll from SurveyUSA, conducted exclusively for WRAL-TV in Raleigh.

North Carolina may have the 15 electoral votes that catapults either Trump or Bien over the magic 270 threshold, in a year where nothing is normal and, as fate would have it, both the NC Governor's seat and 1 of the state's 2 US Senate seats are also closely contested. At the moment, here's how it looks:

* For President:Trump 47%, Biden 47%.
* For US Senate: Democratic Challenger Cal Cunningham 47%, incumbent Republican Thom Tillis 40%.
* For Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor Roy Cooper 49%, Republican challenger Dan Forest 42%.
* For the open Lieutenant Governor seat, Republican Mark Robinson 41%, Democrat Yvonne Lewis Holley 41%.

In a picture-perfect window of both Trump's undiminished appeal and how fiercely fought the Presidential election is here: Trump leads by a nominal 2 points among both voters who say they are "falling behind financially" (the lowest end of the financial continuum) and leads by a nominal 3 points among voters who say they are "prospering" (the highest end of the financial continuum). Trump and Biden are exactly even among voters who say they are "just getting by." Trump leads slightly among voters who say they are able to "set aside some for a rainy day." Biden leads only among the group of voters who fall on the midpoint of the continuum and who tell SurveyUSA they are "making ends meet."

Yet, when the same group of likely voters is asked to place themselves financially on a scale using slightly different descriptors:

* Biden leads 3:1 among voters who describe themselves as poor.
* Trump leads ever-so-slightly among voters who describe themselves as working class or middle class.
* Trump leads by 12 points among voters who describe themselves as upper-middle-class or wealthy.

* Trump leads by 17 points among men; Biden leads by 16 points among women. A 33-point Gender Gap.
* Looking at just the suburbs, Trump is up 25 among suburban men; Biden is up 30 among suburban women. A 55-point gap.
* Trump leads by 23 points among white voters, trails 22:1 among black voters.

* Trump holds 92% of the Republican base, 4% cross-over and vote Biden.
* Biden holds 95% of the Democratic base, 4% cross-over and vote Trump
* Independents split 42% Trump, 42% Biden. Moderates break for Biden by 21 points, 55% to 34%.
* Importantly: Trump leads by 5 points among those who are "100% certain" to vote.
* Biden leads by 28 points among the much smaller group that is "almost certain" to vote.

* Biden is up 12 in greater Raleigh and up 5 in greater Greensboro.
* Trump is up 12 in Southern and Coastal NC and up 6 in greater Charlotte.
* Trump leads by 15 among those who have lived in NC more than 30 years. The Old South.
* Biden is up 17 among those who have lived here 15 to 30 years.
* Biden is up 10 among those who have lived here less than 15 years.

* 45% of likely voters say Trump is better able to handle the COVID-19, the Coronavirus. 45% say Biden is better able.
* 48% say Trump is better able to handle public safety; 45% say Biden.
* 51% say Trump is better able to handle the economy; 42% say Biden.

* Biden is up 8 in urban and suburban NC. Trump is up 13 in rural NC.
* Trump leads by 20 among Protestants. Biden leads by 13 among Catholics and by 31 among those who are not part of an organized religion.

Of those voting for Biden, 89% also vote for Democrat Cunningham for US Senate. 4% cross-over for Tillis. Of those voting for Trump, 79% stick with Republican Tillis, 7% cross-over. Tillis leads by 16 points among independents and by 33 points among moderates. Tillis leads by 12 points among white voters, trails 11:1 among black voters. Tillis leads narrowly in greater Charlotte. Cunningham leads elsewhere in North Carolina.

Of those voting for Biden, 92% also vote for Democrat Cooper for Governor. Just 2% cross-over for Forest, the current Lieutenant Governor. Of those voting for Trump, 83% stick with Republican Forest, but 10% cross-over and vote for the incumbent Cooper. Cooper runs strongest in greater Raleigh, where he leads by 21 points, runs strong in greater Greensboro, where he leads by 10.

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 state of North Carolina adults 09/10/2020 through 09/13/2020. Of the adults, 649 are registered to vote. Of the registered, SurveyUSA identified 596 as likely to return a ballot on or before the 11/03/2020 deadline. This research was conducted online among a representative cross-section of North Carolina adults using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership in North Carolina. In 2020, multiple forces are at work to limit the inherent usefulness of public opinion polls. The manner, timing, and way in which many voters will mark a ballot will differ from previous elections. Whether this makes turnout higher than anticipated, lower than anticipated or unchanged is unknowable. By all indications, Republicans disproportionately plan to vote on Election Day, Tuesday 11/03/2020. A weather event on that day could discourage the less hearty from voting. The nation, though not necessarily North Carolina, remains a powder keg, with each new shooting of a police officer or by a police officer. There is no telling how many such events may occur in the 49 days between today and Election Day, what kind of public demonstration(s) may result, and how those demonstrations may play into or counter preconceived notions. The US Postal Service may or may not seamlessly deliver mailed ballots, voters may or may not timely return mailed ballots, and the state of NC may or may not seamlessly count mailed ballots. 15 times as many NC voters have to date requested a mail-in ballot in 2020 as did by this point in 2016. Suspense, from the time polls close at 7:30 pm on Election Day, until a winner is known, may be unbearable for some and may be interpreted as evidence of mischief by others. It is a mystery if interference from foreign countries who may seek only to destabilize the United States or who may prefer Biden to Trump or Trump to Biden will gum the works. It is unknowable the extent to which bad actors deliberately spreading misinformation on social media (or inadvertently re-Tweeting false information they believe to be true) will color the outcome. Everyone, no matter which candidate they back, should be circumspect about any one poll's ability to allow for any or all of these eventualities.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina?
750 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Yes87%85%88%79%90%90%89%84%90%88%89%71%90%90%87%84%94%86%84%90%93%90%84%91%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%93%94%79%88%94%82%85%96%70%87%87%93%93%81%85%92%90%94%78%84%81%77%85%94%92%76%88%86%86%83%88%82%88%88%86%92%85%88%86%86%87%84%87%89%82%87%85%
No12%13%11%19%9%9%10%15%9%11%11%23%10%8%11%16%5%13%13%10%7%10%13%9%----------6%5%19%11%5%16%13%4%27%11%11%7%5%19%12%8%10%5%18%14%18%21%14%5%7%22%10%13%13%17%11%16%11%11%13%6%14%10%13%14%12%16%12%10%16%13%13%
Not Sure1%1%1%2%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%7%0%2%1%0%1%1%2%0%0%1%2%0%----------1%1%2%1%1%2%1%0%2%1%1%0%2%1%3%0%0%1%4%2%0%2%1%1%1%2%3%1%1%0%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%0%1%0%1%2%2%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%30%25%26%19%54%46%63%20%10%7%34%35%28%16%22%38%13%6%38%38%19%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%41%32%36%31%32%38%38%24%10%30%45%13%8%28%34%24%7%40%13%21%26%28%31%41%65%35%22%40%38%16%23%19%81%33%67%21%79%30%68%12%88%7%93%34%18%31%16%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?
649 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Strongly Approve26%34%19%26%30%22%29%28%25%34%2%29%26%62%1%13%73%34%13%3%8%51%13%4%11%31%58%1%56%7%59%5%57%3%53%3%31%28%21%24%28%29%13%23%29%35%21%30%25%26%30%31%27%31%14%19%19%36%29%20%25%24%30%40%14%24%27%37%21%46%21%32%25%18%28%19%27%31%25%21%29%
Approve22%22%21%18%19%27%20%19%24%26%3%20%34%30%4%32%19%41%22%4%0%31%22%3%22%21%39%1%39%4%33%5%35%3%38%3%23%21%20%18%27%19%9%26%21%24%24%18%24%24%12%26%15%17%21%26%22%19%22%20%17%21%25%21%20%29%20%27%19%25%21%21%22%18%22%10%22%20%25%22%22%
Disapprove10%11%9%14%9%11%6%12%9%6%23%11%12%4%15%12%0%7%12%25%2%4%12%17%30%6%1%17%2%16%4%14%4%14%4%15%12%10%9%10%12%8%8%10%13%4%6%11%12%8%9%7%13%16%10%5%15%10%10%10%16%6%11%6%7%6%11%7%12%4%12%7%12%8%10%16%10%8%13%13%7%
Strongly Disapprove40%31%48%39%40%37%45%39%40%32%69%36%24%3%77%41%8%17%49%67%89%13%49%74%34%41%1%80%2%72%3%75%4%79%5%78%33%38%48%45%33%42%69%37%36%36%47%37%37%41%49%36%43%34%51%50%42%33%37%46%39%48%32%32%58%37%40%27%46%25%44%39%40%53%38%52%39%38%37%43%40%
Not Sure2%1%3%3%2%3%0%2%2%1%3%3%4%1%2%3%0%0%3%1%1%0%3%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%1%3%2%4%1%2%1%4%1%1%3%4%2%1%0%1%2%2%4%1%2%2%2%3%3%1%2%1%1%4%2%2%2%0%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%3%1%1%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%27%25%27%20%53%47%64%21%8%7%36%35%28%17%22%37%14%7%39%37%21%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%44%35%33%32%35%36%37%27%8%30%45%13%8%26%33%25%7%43%12%20%24%25%30%44%69%31%22%39%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%22%78%30%68%11%89%7%93%35%17%31%16%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Roy Cooper is doing as governor?
649 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Strongly Approve22%23%21%14%26%14%38%20%24%22%26%23%7%15%35%15%32%7%21%32%41%18%21%35%12%25%13%36%11%37%15%36%13%37%14%36%24%18%24%23%22%20%27%20%17%35%20%27%21%18%22%22%23%20%22%24%17%23%23%20%26%24%17%24%24%16%23%16%25%19%22%25%20%24%21%33%21%28%12%20%21%
Approve34%33%34%32%36%37%29%34%33%31%48%38%6%20%47%33%10%31%38%48%46%22%38%48%47%32%21%46%15%50%21%44%22%44%25%44%35%27%38%33%33%35%34%35%35%24%27%32%36%34%34%30%42%42%30%33%38%31%35%31%33%34%33%26%39%29%35%27%37%25%36%30%35%36%33%32%34%31%37%38%27%
Disapprove19%21%17%20%14%22%18%17%20%23%9%7%25%27%6%23%21%25%20%10%4%23%20%8%19%18%28%7%33%6%28%7%29%7%27%6%18%19%19%16%19%22%12%16%22%19%25%14%19%22%18%20%21%18%16%21%14%20%19%18%18%16%22%18%15%33%16%25%15%21%18%17%20%15%19%17%19%19%22%18%16%
Strongly Disapprove17%18%15%17%15%22%11%16%18%18%6%13%43%28%6%15%35%25%11%3%1%29%11%3%8%19%29%4%34%3%28%7%29%7%26%5%15%24%12%19%15%16%23%15%19%8%20%17%14%19%12%20%6%15%17%13%12%22%16%18%5%17%23%25%12%8%19%23%13%28%13%17%16%17%17%3%18%15%19%13%24%
Not Sure9%5%13%17%9%5%4%14%5%6%11%20%19%10%6%13%2%12%10%7%7%8%10%7%14%6%9%6%7%5%8%6%8%6%8%9%9%12%8%9%11%7%4%14%7%13%8%9%11%7%13%8%9%6%15%9%18%4%7%14%17%8%5%6%10%14%8%9%10%7%10%11%8%7%10%14%9%6%10%11%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%27%25%27%20%53%47%64%21%8%7%36%35%28%17%22%37%14%7%39%37%21%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%44%35%33%32%35%36%37%27%8%30%45%13%8%26%33%25%7%43%12%20%24%25%30%44%69%31%22%39%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%22%78%30%68%11%89%7%93%35%17%31%16%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Thom Tillis is doing as United States Senator?
649 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Strongly Approve10%15%6%12%10%8%12%11%10%13%3%3%17%24%3%3%36%13%2%1%6%23%2%2%1%13%21%2%20%5%25%1%20%3%19%3%10%12%9%8%9%15%9%7%10%18%7%13%7%10%19%11%12%15%6%10%6%14%10%11%8%10%12%18%5%11%10%15%8%14%9%10%11%8%11%14%10%12%9%12%6%
Approve26%32%20%26%28%27%20%27%24%31%9%33%23%48%8%21%40%41%21%6%7%41%21%6%21%28%46%9%48%12%55%8%51%9%45%8%28%24%26%20%27%33%4%23%28%39%25%28%18%31%38%32%25%25%16%23%24%29%29%18%30%27%22%36%20%28%25%25%26%39%22%35%22%23%26%10%27%29%30%18%29%
Disapprove24%24%23%19%23%28%24%21%26%23%32%13%18%15%26%32%11%24%28%33%13%19%28%26%30%23%18%27%18%27%11%30%17%27%20%27%29%21%21%22%26%22%27%22%28%12%14%19%33%22%13%27%25%24%17%22%23%25%26%18%19%20%30%16%22%23%24%27%22%26%23%21%24%25%23%19%24%20%25%26%26%
Strongly Disapprove24%19%29%18%22%25%34%20%29%22%36%14%24%2%47%26%3%8%34%40%59%6%34%46%12%27%5%46%5%42%1%49%3%48%4%50%17%24%31%27%22%23%48%24%21%21%31%25%22%26%13%19%27%21%34%31%19%24%23%28%18%33%19%23%39%19%25%17%28%12%28%21%26%27%24%35%23%21%25%28%22%
Not Sure16%11%21%25%16%12%10%20%11%12%20%37%19%12%17%18%9%14%15%20%16%12%15%19%36%9%10%16%9%14%9%13%10%13%11%13%17%19%13%23%16%7%13%23%13%9%22%15%19%11%17%12%11%14%27%14%28%9%12%26%25%11%16%6%14%20%15%16%16%9%18%14%17%17%16%22%16%18%12%16%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%27%25%27%20%53%47%64%21%8%7%36%35%28%17%22%37%14%7%39%37%21%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%44%35%33%32%35%36%37%27%8%30%45%13%8%26%33%25%7%43%12%20%24%25%30%44%69%31%22%39%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%22%78%30%68%11%89%7%93%35%17%31%16%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the North Carolina state legislature is doing?
649 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Strongly Approve8%13%3%7%15%2%7%11%4%8%3%28%2%18%3%1%30%5%3%2%4%16%3%3%6%8%15%3%15%3%17%2%16%3%14%4%11%4%8%4%10%10%2%5%5%23%6%12%4%5%20%9%11%7%4%5%5%11%9%5%14%8%4%13%4%4%9%8%8%13%6%16%4%4%8%14%7%12%4%6%6%
Approve33%33%33%36%27%30%42%32%35%35%34%14%37%37%32%31%25%43%36%24%31%35%36%26%31%34%36%31%36%33%37%34%34%30%37%32%29%37%34%32%36%31%30%33%34%33%23%36%35%33%27%35%32%34%31%37%33%31%35%30%37%32%32%37%28%40%32%29%35%38%32%31%35%35%33%17%34%35%32%32%32%
Disapprove26%28%24%25%30%28%20%27%25%27%25%19%24%18%30%32%20%22%28%35%31%21%28%34%16%28%24%30%24%30%21%31%24%31%23%32%23%24%31%26%22%32%23%26%28%25%29%25%24%30%19%27%21%24%28%23%24%29%26%26%20%28%27%28%28%25%26%30%24%22%27%27%26%26%26%41%25%26%28%23%29%
Strongly Disapprove8%10%7%9%6%7%11%8%9%8%6%9%16%3%9%14%4%8%10%9%6%7%10%8%4%9%5%12%4%9%3%11%4%12%4%11%7%8%10%9%9%7%31%8%6%4%23%5%8%8%3%5%13%9%11%11%8%7%7%11%8%8%9%10%7%8%8%8%9%7%9%6%9%11%8%10%8%4%8%14%7%
Not Sure25%17%32%23%22%32%21%23%27%22%32%30%22%24%27%21%20%21%23%30%28%21%23%29%43%21%21%25%20%25%22%23%22%24%21%22%30%28%17%29%24%20%15%28%26%15%19%22%28%23%31%23%24%26%27%24%29%22%24%27%21%25%27%12%33%24%25%25%25%21%26%21%26%23%25%18%25%22%28%25%27%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%27%25%27%20%53%47%64%21%8%7%36%35%28%17%22%37%14%7%39%37%21%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%44%35%33%32%35%36%37%27%8%30%45%13%8%26%33%25%7%43%12%20%24%25%30%44%69%31%22%39%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%22%78%30%68%11%89%7%93%35%17%31%16%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the the United States Congress is doing?
649 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Strongly Approve7%13%2%7%14%1%6%11%3%6%2%26%11%16%3%1%22%7%2%3%5%14%2%4%2%9%14%2%13%4%16%2%13%3%11%3%9%6%6%5%9%7%1%6%4%20%3%16%4%2%11%8%8%10%2%4%4%11%7%8%16%5%4%11%2%3%8%5%8%11%6%14%4%4%8%10%7%12%4%6%2%
Approve20%19%21%27%21%15%16%24%15%22%18%23%7%23%20%17%15%23%22%18%10%20%22%16%32%16%21%18%17%20%20%20%18%18%22%17%17%23%21%18%21%21%8%18%22%24%16%22%19%21%22%16%22%26%22%19%24%18%21%17%30%18%16%17%20%23%19%18%21%18%21%20%20%14%21%10%21%21%17%21%19%
Disapprove36%34%37%36%35%36%35%35%36%37%42%16%26%30%42%35%27%25%46%36%33%26%46%35%30%37%29%42%31%40%27%40%30%39%32%39%34%32%41%40%27%41%39%32%36%40%34%31%35%42%32%41%29%29%35%41%38%31%37%33%22%44%35%53%38%37%35%36%35%36%35%38%35%47%34%47%35%35%47%27%41%
Strongly Disapprove23%23%22%16%15%26%37%16%30%24%17%14%39%19%18%34%22%33%21%12%28%28%21%17%9%27%27%21%27%20%26%21%27%22%25%22%22%26%20%21%26%21%48%28%18%13%42%18%21%24%18%22%30%21%22%24%16%27%23%22%19%20%27%16%23%25%22%26%21%22%23%16%25%20%23%18%23%22%21%27%18%
Not Sure15%11%18%14%14%21%7%14%15%12%21%22%16%13%18%13%13%12%8%30%23%12%8%28%28%12%10%16%11%16%12%17%11%18%11%19%18%14%12%16%16%10%4%14%19%4%6%12%21%11%17%14%10%14%19%12%18%14%12%19%12%12%18%3%18%12%15%14%15%12%15%12%16%16%14%14%15%9%11%20%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%27%25%27%20%53%47%64%21%8%7%36%35%28%17%22%37%14%7%39%37%21%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%44%35%33%32%35%36%37%27%8%30%45%13%8%26%33%25%7%43%12%20%24%25%30%44%69%31%22%39%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%22%78%30%68%11%89%7%93%35%17%31%16%
 
7North Carolina will elect a President, a Governor, and a United States Senator in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you?
649 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Not Interested3%3%4%7%4%2%0%5%1%2%4%12%3%2%3%5%0%4%5%1%0%2%5%1%0%0%--------1%2%3%3%4%4%2%4%4%3%3%6%9%4%4%1%0%2%1%2%8%1%7%2%3%4%5%2%4%1%2%2%4%3%4%0%4%6%2%6%3%2%3%2%4%4%5%
Not Sure If Time4%2%5%9%0%1%2%5%2%2%4%12%4%1%3%6%0%1%2%7%3%0%2%6%0%0%--------2%2%5%4%1%6%2%2%4%5%3%2%3%5%3%2%9%2%2%5%6%4%5%2%2%6%5%3%3%2%4%5%3%4%3%1%4%1%4%4%3%10%3%6%3%3%1%
Almost Certain15%16%13%22%11%15%9%17%12%10%29%12%19%11%20%12%10%12%17%23%6%11%17%18%100%0%10%19%11%19%9%19%9%20%10%15%20%13%11%18%15%9%17%17%14%7%24%10%17%11%19%10%17%18%19%12%18%13%13%17%23%11%13%15%8%17%14%12%16%11%16%14%15%18%14%21%14%12%12%18%15%
100% Certain75%75%76%57%82%79%87%69%83%83%60%62%71%83%71%74%88%80%73%66%89%84%73%73%0%100%88%78%88%79%89%79%89%77%85%78%68%77%81%68%78%83%70%73%78%81%62%77%73%84%65%85%79%72%60%80%64%81%78%70%65%82%75%78%84%72%76%79%74%85%73%76%75%68%76%63%76%76%80%73%74%
Already Returned Ballot2%2%1%2%1%3%1%1%2%2%2%2%0%1%3%2%1%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%0%0%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%3%2%1%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%0%1%1%3%0%7%1%1%2%3%1%3%1%2%1%1%2%2%3%1%3%2%2%2%3%1%1%2%2%2%4%2%1%1%2%3%
Not Sure1%2%1%3%2%0%0%2%0%1%1%0%3%2%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%--------1%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%4%2%2%0%2%0%0%0%1%5%3%2%0%1%2%1%1%2%1%0%1%1%1%2%0%2%1%1%2%1%0%1%3%1%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%27%25%27%20%53%47%64%21%8%7%36%35%28%17%22%37%14%7%39%37%21%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%44%35%33%32%35%36%37%27%8%30%45%13%8%26%33%25%7%43%12%20%24%25%30%44%69%31%22%39%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%22%78%30%68%11%89%7%93%35%17%31%16%
 
In the election for President of the United States, how do you vote? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Donald Trump (R)47%56%38%43%45%48%51%44%49%58%4%42%66%92%4%42%87%72%34%3%7%79%34%4%30%50%100%0%93%9%93%7%92%4%90%5%50%49%41%41%51%47%22%48%48%56%49%46%44%49%49%57%42%46%29%41%38%55%50%37%42%42%54%61%30%53%45%65%37%68%40%49%46%40%47%31%48%49%44%41%54%
Joe Biden (D)47%39%54%51%48%43%47%49%44%35%88%48%30%4%95%42%11%20%55%96%89%16%55%94%58%45%0%100%3%87%5%90%5%93%6%92%43%43%54%54%39%49%74%45%43%44%47%46%50%44%46%37%55%50%60%51%55%40%44%53%50%50%41%35%60%38%49%29%56%27%53%43%49%58%46%64%46%43%49%53%42%
Some Other Candidate2%3%1%1%4%2%0%3%2%3%1%0%1%1%1%6%0%2%3%1%4%1%3%2%4%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%3%2%1%1%4%1%1%2%3%0%0%2%2%2%3%2%1%0%3%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%3%1%1%2%2%2%0%2%3%2%4%1%2%0%
Undecided5%3%7%5%4%7%2%4%5%4%7%10%3%4%1%9%2%6%7%0%0%4%7%0%9%4%0%0%4%2%2%3%2%2%3%3%4%6%4%5%5%3%2%6%5%0%4%6%4%5%2%4%2%3%8%6%6%3%3%7%6%5%3%3%7%7%4%3%6%4%5%6%4%3%5%1%5%4%6%4%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
9Did Joe Biden's selection of Kamala Harris as his running mate have a major impact on how you are voting for President? A minor impact? Or no impact at all?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Major23%26%19%26%33%13%20%29%16%19%25%48%25%27%25%12%37%22%16%16%37%29%16%23%19%23%26%21%25%22%27%20%24%22%24%20%23%21%23%26%21%20%14%20%21%38%15%33%18%18%31%23%26%24%18%18%23%25%22%23%32%21%19%25%18%19%23%24%22%26%22%33%18%27%22%31%22%29%23%18%18%
Minor23%21%24%28%22%22%19%25%21%20%40%17%7%11%37%21%5%16%30%41%20%11%30%34%37%20%10%36%11%32%10%35%11%34%11%36%23%18%27%23%24%22%26%20%24%19%22%21%27%24%5%19%28%27%23%24%22%23%24%20%26%21%23%19%22%18%24%20%24%18%24%23%23%28%22%16%23%23%25%23%20%
No Impact51%50%52%37%42%64%61%40%63%59%31%31%55%59%35%61%56%61%50%38%41%58%50%39%36%54%61%39%62%42%59%42%61%41%62%41%50%55%49%49%50%56%58%54%52%42%56%40%53%56%58%57%43%43%51%57%46%51%52%49%32%55%58%50%58%60%49%54%50%55%50%41%56%44%52%37%52%45%49%54%61%
Not Sure4%3%4%10%3%1%1%6%1%2%4%4%12%3%2%5%2%1%5%5%2%2%5%4%8%2%2%4%3%4%4%3%3%3%3%4%4%6%1%3%5%3%2%6%3%0%7%5%2%2%7%1%3%5%8%2%9%1%1%9%9%4%0%6%2%2%4%2%4%1%4%4%4%2%4%17%3%3%4%5%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
10If a candidate holds rallies without social distancing and with few in the audience wearing masks, does this have a major impact on how you vote? A minor impact? Or no impact at all?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Major37%35%38%41%43%28%36%42%32%30%50%67%33%23%53%35%30%19%43%53%51%24%43%52%35%37%18%56%20%53%23%53%19%55%19%53%34%35%41%38%37%35%51%37%30%49%42%46%34%31%36%32%41%40%41%35%44%33%33%47%54%39%25%37%40%31%38%26%42%32%38%41%35%49%35%70%35%42%37%37%25%
Minor21%23%20%28%18%22%18%23%20%20%28%10%24%17%26%22%11%23%23%30%19%18%23%26%39%18%18%25%17%24%16%26%18%24%19%27%25%16%23%21%20%24%9%19%25%22%21%20%21%24%18%18%24%26%24%21%22%21%21%23%23%23%19%26%21%24%21%23%20%13%24%22%22%17%22%15%22%17%24%24%21%
No Impact39%40%38%26%37%47%45%32%46%47%19%23%41%57%19%39%56%55%32%15%27%55%32%19%22%43%61%17%60%20%58%19%60%20%59%18%38%46%33%37%42%37%39%41%42%27%34%30%42%43%44%47%33%30%34%42%29%43%43%28%19%36%53%36%37%42%38%48%34%51%35%35%40%32%40%12%41%38%33%37%52%
Not Sure3%2%4%5%2%3%2%3%2%4%2%0%1%3%2%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%2%4%3%3%2%2%3%3%2%3%1%3%3%2%4%3%4%2%3%1%4%3%1%3%4%3%2%2%3%2%4%1%2%5%2%3%2%3%2%4%1%2%2%3%2%3%4%3%2%3%2%3%3%3%3%5%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
In the election for North Carolina Governor, how do you vote?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Dan Forest (R)42%51%33%38%40%44%44%39%44%52%1%47%52%81%4%37%81%61%31%2%5%70%31%3%27%44%83%2%100%0%86%7%86%4%77%5%43%44%38%32%48%45%20%42%43%51%40%44%38%43%42%52%35%42%24%39%31%50%45%34%36%42%44%60%29%47%40%59%33%64%34%44%40%31%43%32%42%46%40%35%47%
Roy Cooper (D)49%42%56%50%50%43%54%50%48%40%87%39%27%12%91%45%17%25%56%96%89%21%56%94%58%47%10%92%0%100%11%88%10%90%15%87%47%46%54%57%42%49%64%44%50%45%44%48%51%48%52%41%52%53%60%52%55%44%46%55%52%52%44%36%63%41%51%30%59%30%55%43%52%58%48%64%48%45%50%56%43%
Some Other Candidate3%4%2%2%3%6%0%2%3%2%1%2%14%2%2%4%1%5%4%0%2%3%4%1%3%3%2%2%0%0%1%1%2%3%2%2%3%3%2%2%4%2%11%1%3%0%5%2%5%1%2%2%2%2%6%4%3%2%3%2%1%2%5%1%2%5%2%6%1%0%4%5%2%5%2%0%3%2%1%6%1%
Undecided7%3%10%10%7%7%2%8%5%5%10%11%6%5%3%13%2%9%9%2%4%5%9%2%12%6%5%4%0%0%2%4%3%3%5%5%7%7%5%9%6%4%5%12%4%3%10%6%6%7%4%5%11%3%10%5%12%4%6%8%11%5%6%2%6%7%7%6%7%5%7%7%6%6%7%4%7%7%9%4%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
In the election for United States Senator from North Carolina, how do you vote?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Thom Tillis (R)40%50%30%39%40%40%41%39%40%49%7%39%46%83%3%29%80%63%25%5%6%71%25%5%23%43%79%4%82%9%100%0%86%3%75%4%41%45%35%31%43%46%14%41%39%56%37%42%35%42%51%50%32%43%21%34%36%45%42%34%44%37%40%54%26%42%39%53%33%60%33%45%38%30%41%29%40%46%37%34%39%
Cal Cunningham (D)47%39%54%46%48%44%49%47%46%37%79%52%31%6%90%45%12%19%58%93%86%16%58%90%55%45%7%89%8%84%0%100%6%92%11%87%47%37%54%54%41%46%66%45%45%41%42%49%49%43%44%38%53%47%61%53%46%44%46%49%44%52%42%36%63%39%48%29%56%30%52%41%49%57%45%62%46%41%51%53%42%
Some Other Candidate3%4%3%2%4%5%1%3%4%3%2%0%12%2%1%8%1%6%5%0%2%4%5%1%3%4%4%1%1%2%0%0%3%1%4%1%5%3%3%3%5%1%11%2%4%2%7%0%7%2%0%3%2%3%6%4%4%2%3%3%2%2%5%2%2%4%3%7%2%2%4%6%2%7%3%4%3%3%1%5%3%
Undecided10%7%13%13%8%11%9%11%10%10%12%9%11%9%5%18%7%12%12%3%7%10%12%4%20%9%10%6%9%6%0%0%5%3%10%8%7%15%8%12%11%7%9%12%11%1%14%9%9%13%5%10%13%7%12%8%15%9%9%13%10%8%13%7%9%15%9%11%10%8%11%8%11%6%11%5%11%10%10%8%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
In the election for North Carolina Lieutenant Governor how do you vote?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Mark Robinson (R)41%51%31%34%42%44%44%38%44%53%4%41%39%84%3%33%82%64%28%4%3%72%28%3%24%44%81%4%84%8%89%5%100%0%79%5%45%42%36%32%44%48%17%45%40%53%39%38%40%43%51%53%34%39%21%37%33%48%46%29%40%36%47%51%26%42%41%57%33%65%33%49%38%29%42%27%42%44%39%37%45%
Lewis Holley (D)41%34%47%44%42%39%37%43%38%29%75%54%35%3%86%34%9%17%46%85%85%13%46%85%52%38%3%81%4%75%3%81%0%100%6%82%39%36%47%43%38%41%57%38%41%36%36%42%41%40%43%32%37%42%61%46%45%36%40%44%46%44%34%28%55%34%42%26%48%22%46%41%41%59%39%53%40%39%40%46%34%
Undecided18%15%21%22%16%17%19%19%18%18%22%5%26%14%11%33%9%19%26%11%12%15%26%11%25%17%16%15%12%17%7%14%0%0%15%13%16%22%17%25%18%11%26%18%19%12%25%20%19%17%5%15%29%19%18%18%23%16%15%27%14%20%19%21%19%25%17%17%19%12%20%11%22%12%19%20%18%17%21%17%21%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
Which candidate for President is better able to handle the Coronavirus?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Donald Trump45%55%37%41%46%46%48%44%47%58%6%43%47%88%4%42%87%68%34%4%6%76%34%5%29%49%94%1%90%9%90%6%93%4%89%5%50%46%41%40%49%48%17%49%47%53%44%42%47%47%47%57%42%39%28%41%38%53%50%34%42%40%54%56%29%55%43%64%36%69%38%50%44%37%47%34%46%48%43%42%50%
Joe Biden45%39%52%45%47%44%45%46%45%36%85%42%22%5%90%42%11%22%53%86%91%17%53%88%51%44%1%93%4%83%5%85%5%89%6%88%42%41%52%53%37%48%73%41%43%46%48%46%45%43%51%36%52%51%57%50%52%39%43%51%50%49%39%35%58%40%47%29%54%26%51%43%46%57%44%52%45%43%47%49%41%
Not Sure9%6%12%13%7%10%6%10%8%6%9%15%31%7%6%16%2%10%12%10%4%6%12%8%20%7%5%6%6%8%4%8%2%7%5%8%8%13%7%7%14%5%10%11%10%1%8%12%8%10%2%7%6%10%15%9%10%8%7%15%8%11%7%9%13%5%10%7%10%5%10%7%10%6%9%14%9%9%10%9%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
Which candidate for President is better able to handle the economy?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Donald Trump51%58%43%45%49%53%55%47%54%64%7%54%56%93%8%49%85%78%41%8%9%81%41%8%34%54%95%9%93%16%92%15%93%10%91%8%53%52%47%42%56%54%21%52%54%59%46%49%49%56%51%61%49%48%34%49%42%57%54%42%46%48%56%62%39%57%49%65%43%69%45%51%51%38%52%43%51%54%52%45%53%
Joe Biden42%37%47%45%44%40%40%45%40%32%83%39%25%5%87%34%14%19%49%80%88%17%49%82%47%41%3%84%5%75%6%78%6%82%6%84%41%40%46%51%37%39%68%38%40%40%46%43%45%37%41%35%45%49%50%47%47%37%40%48%44%44%39%34%52%36%44%29%49%26%47%43%42%53%41%43%42%41%40%44%44%
Not Sure7%5%9%10%6%7%4%8%6%5%10%7%18%2%5%17%1%3%11%13%3%2%11%10%19%5%2%7%1%9%1%7%1%9%3%8%6%8%7%7%7%8%12%10%6%1%8%8%6%7%8%5%6%3%16%4%11%6%5%11%10%7%5%4%10%7%7%6%8%5%8%6%8%9%7%14%7%4%8%11%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
Which candidate for President is better able to handle public safety?
596 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Donald Trump48%57%40%46%46%49%53%46%51%59%7%52%62%89%7%47%85%74%38%6%8%79%38%7%28%52%94%7%90%14%91%12%91%8%89%8%52%49%44%42%54%48%18%52%48%63%46%45%49%49%55%56%49%49%30%42%41%56%52%39%44%43%56%60%32%54%47%65%40%68%42%50%47%37%50%45%48%51%52%41%51%
Joe Biden45%38%52%49%46%42%45%47%43%35%84%40%30%6%89%40%14%19%51%91%91%17%51%91%59%42%3%90%5%81%7%83%6%87%7%86%43%43%49%54%37%45%73%42%44%37%48%46%46%42%45%38%47%48%58%48%54%39%42%54%48%49%39%35%59%39%47%30%53%28%51%44%46%57%44%53%45%45%37%51%42%
Not Sure7%4%9%5%8%9%2%7%6%5%9%8%8%5%3%13%1%7%11%3%2%4%11%2%12%6%3%3%4%5%2%4%3%5%5%6%4%8%7%4%9%6%9%6%8%1%7%9%5%8%0%6%3%3%12%11%6%5%6%8%8%7%5%5%9%7%6%6%7%4%7%6%7%6%7%2%7%3%11%7%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%24%26%29%21%50%50%66%21%7%7%37%36%26%19%23%36%14%7%41%36%21%16%82%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%46%37%33%32%35%35%38%27%8%30%46%13%8%25%34%26%7%45%13%20%22%25%28%46%71%29%22%41%38%16%24%18%82%34%66%24%76%30%68%11%89%6%94%35%17%32%16%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Roy Cooper's response to the coronavirus pandemic?
750 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikelihood2020 POTUS Vote2020 Gov Vote2020 US Senate V2020 Lt. Gov Vot2016 POTUS VoteEducationIncomeClassPaycheckReligionLivedHomeUrbanicitySuburbanMilitary HHGun HHEvangelicalK-12 ParentSingle ParentLGBTQ HHRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalAlmost C100% CerTrump (RBiden (DForest (Cooper (Tillis (CunninghRobinsonHolley (TrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KPoorWorking Middle CUpper-MiFalling Just GetMaking ESetting ProsperiProtestaCatholicOtherNo Organ<15 Year15-30 Yr>30 YearOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Strongly Approve22%24%20%12%30%17%34%20%25%21%29%21%9%15%32%18%26%10%21%33%42%17%21%36%8%28%14%38%11%40%16%38%14%39%14%37%22%19%25%24%20%22%29%23%17%32%22%26%20%21%22%25%18%16%24%21%18%26%23%20%28%25%16%22%26%16%23%16%25%19%23%23%22%21%22%31%21%28%13%21%23%
Approve36%33%39%39%36%37%31%38%34%32%46%41%33%27%49%32%15%27%44%55%42%22%44%51%58%32%24%47%20%49%24%44%22%44%27%47%32%35%41%35%35%39%35%36%38%30%30%38%39%33%31%31%41%49%31%34%39%35%36%36%36%38%34%32%42%29%38%29%39%26%39%37%36%35%36%36%36%35%38%37%33%
Disapprove19%23%16%24%14%20%16%20%18%22%10%8%30%24%7%27%17%28%20%8%8%23%20%8%16%20%32%7%36%6%31%8%33%7%29%7%20%22%15%17%22%17%12%21%18%21%24%14%19%24%17%21%17%20%17%25%16%18%19%19%16%14%26%18%11%28%17%28%14%25%17%17%20%15%20%19%19%17%22%19%20%
Strongly Disapprove13%14%12%8%12%18%16%10%17%17%2%10%20%25%2%12%33%22%7%1%0%27%7%0%3%15%25%1%29%0%24%4%26%4%25%3%13%15%12%12%14%14%16%10%17%7%15%13%13%15%8%17%13%8%11%9%13%17%15%11%4%15%16%22%11%14%13%18%11%22%11%14%13%15%13%2%14%12%16%13%14%
Not Sure10%7%12%16%9%7%3%13%6%7%14%21%7%8%9%11%9%12%8%4%8%11%8%5%14%5%5%6%4%4%4%5%5%6%5%5%13%9%7%11%9%8%9%9%9%10%9%9%10%7%22%6%11%7%17%11%15%4%7%14%15%8%9%5%10%12%9%9%10%8%10%10%9%15%9%13%10%9%11%10%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%30%25%26%19%54%46%63%20%10%7%34%35%28%16%22%38%13%6%38%38%19%15%75%47%47%42%49%40%47%41%41%41%32%36%31%32%38%38%24%10%30%45%13%8%28%34%24%7%40%13%21%26%28%31%41%65%35%22%40%38%16%23%19%81%33%67%21%79%30%68%12%88%7%93%34%18%31%16%