| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14728 |
| Democrats Obama, Lautenberg Win in Garden State: In an election for President of the United States in New Jersey today, 10/31/08, four days till votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 52% to 42%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia. The findings are identical to a SurveyUSA poll 1 month ago. McCain leads 5:4 among NJ white voters; Obama leads 13:1 among NJ blacks. In the race for United States Senate, Incumbent Democrat Frank Lautenberg defeats Democrat Dick Zimmer 52% to 37%. In 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls, the Senate numbers have barely budged. Lautenberg served in the Senate from 1982 through 2000 and won election again in 2002. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 New Jersey adults 10/29/08 and 10/30/08. Of them, 735 were registered to vote; of the registered voters, 632 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 632 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Northern | Central | Southern | |
| McCain (R) | 42% | 43% | 40% | 29% | 46% | 42% | 46% | 39% | 44% | 38% | 42% | 45% | 51% | 7% | 32% | 26% | 76% | 15% | 46% | 71% | 42% | 15% | 43% | 41% | 47% | 44% | 30% | 62% | 32% | 37% | 44% | 42% | 46% | 44% | 35% | 40% | 43% | 46% | 17% | 57% | 39% | 37% | 48% | 41% |
| Obama (D) | 52% | 51% | 53% | 64% | 49% | 51% | 46% | 55% | 49% | 56% | 48% | 49% | 44% | 90% | 57% | 66% | 18% | 82% | 43% | 22% | 53% | 80% | 51% | 54% | 47% | 52% | 63% | 31% | 64% | 57% | 51% | 52% | 48% | 51% | 61% | 53% | 52% | 49% | 74% | 35% | 57% | 57% | 45% | 53% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 21% | 31% | 26% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 47% | 11% | 43% | 71% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 32% | 44% | 22% | 26% | 44% | 22% | 54% | 46% | 45% | 31% | 24% | 34% | 63% | 26% | 74% | 72% | 23% | 82% | 17% | 38% | 62% | 85% | 11% | 21% | 78% | 42% | 31% | 28% |
 | New Jersey will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Dick Zimmer? Democrat Frank Lautenberg? |
| 632 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Northern | Central | Southern | |
| Dick Zimmer (R) | 37% | 39% | 36% | 24% | 42% | 38% | 43% | 35% | 40% | 34% | 41% | 40% | 44% | 12% | 28% | 21% | 73% | 10% | 42% | 64% | 37% | 14% | 41% | 35% | 43% | 36% | 31% | 54% | 29% | 35% | 39% | 38% | 40% | 39% | 29% | 36% | 38% | 41% | 18% | 45% | 36% | 33% | 42% | 38% |
| Frank Lautenberg (D) | 52% | 53% | 51% | 62% | 47% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 51% | 54% | 55% | 50% | 46% | 76% | 63% | 58% | 20% | 83% | 40% | 28% | 54% | 73% | 51% | 53% | 47% | 54% | 57% | 38% | 60% | 54% | 52% | 51% | 53% | 51% | 57% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 70% | 43% | 55% | 56% | 49% | 50% |
| Other | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 18% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 21% | 31% | 26% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 47% | 11% | 43% | 71% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 32% | 44% | 22% | 26% | 44% | 22% | 54% | 46% | 45% | 31% | 24% | 34% | 63% | 26% | 74% | 72% | 23% | 82% | 17% | 38% | 62% | 85% | 11% | 21% | 78% | 42% | 31% | 28% |