Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14606 |
Women, Older Voters, Independents Begin to Look at Challenger in Oklahoma Senate Race, but Advantage Remains Inhofe's: In an election for United States Senator from Oklahoma today, 10/20/08, Republican incumbent Jim Inhofe defeats Democratic State Senator Andrew Rice 51% to 39%, according to this latest exclusive KFOR-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Independent Steven Wallace takes 7% of the vote. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released twenty days ago, Inhofe is down 2 points; Rice is up 2 points. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, Inhofe is down 5 points; Rice is up 5 points.
Among men, the race has largely been static: Inhofe has led by 22, by 25, and now by 21 points. Among woman, a different story: Inhofe has led by 22, 8, and now by 3 points. Inhofe's lead among voters age 18 to 49 is essentially unchanged over the past six weeks: 14 points then, 12 points today. Among voters 50+, Inhofe's lead has fallen from 31 points to 9 points. 83% of Republicans vote for Inhofe; 63% of Democrats vote for Rice. Among independents, the race has shifted; Inhofe led by 23 points six weeks ago, by 3 points twenty days ago, and trails Rice by 12 points today. Inhofe, who is seeking his third full term, was first elected in a 1994 special election. |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Oklahoma adults 10/18/08 and 10/19/08. Of the adults, 709 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 561 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in or before the 11/04/08 general election. |
561 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Already Voted? | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Actual V | Likely V | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | |
Jim Inhofe (R) | 51% | 56% | 45% | 46% | 54% | 49% | 52% | 50% | 51% | 55% | 15% | ** | 40% | 83% | 25% | 34% | 52% | 50% | 78% | 32% | 14% | 51% | 49% | 58% | 45% | 37% | 69% | 31% | 56% | 40% | 43% | 56% | 50% | 51% |
Andrew Rice (D) | 39% | 35% | 42% | 44% | 33% | 42% | 37% | 38% | 40% | 35% | 76% | ** | 48% | 11% | 63% | 46% | 35% | 39% | 14% | 55% | 76% | 40% | 39% | 33% | 45% | 49% | 20% | 60% | 34% | 48% | 45% | 35% | 40% | 38% |
Stephen Wallace (I) | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | ** | 7% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% |
Undecided | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | ** | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 29% | 28% | 22% | 50% | 50% | 80% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 43% | 46% | 11% | 9% | 91% | 46% | 36% | 13% | 46% | 54% | 55% | 26% | 20% | 52% | 46% | 58% | 39% | 47% | 53% | 49% | 51% |