Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13902
Schrader Leads 2:1 in Low-Interest Democratic Primary in Oregon's 5th Congressional District: Hours before votes are counted in Oregon's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary, State Senator Kurt Schrader leads Steve Marks, the former chief of staff to Oregon's last governor, 43% to 19%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland. 38% of voters say they are undecided or are favoring some other candidate, an unusually high number at this late hour, suggesting many Democrats are not focused on this down-ticket contest. Schrader today leads among every demographic group. Incumbent Democrat Darlene Hooley is retiring. The U.S. House seat is open. The winner of the Democratic Primary will in the November general election face Republican Mike Erickson or Kevin Mannix.
Filtering: 1,600 adults from Oregon's 5th congressional district were interviewed 05/16/08 through 05/18/08. Of them, 1,529 were registered to vote. Of them, 764 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote or to already have mailed a ballot in the 05/20/08 closed Democratic primary election for the U.S. House of Representatives. All voting is by U.S. mail. Ballots may be returned until 8 pm on 05/20/08.
If the Democratic Primary for U.S. House of Representatives were today, would you vote for... (names rotated) Steve Marks? Kurt Schrader? Or some other Democrat?
764 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionAlready Voted?
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiActual VLikely V
Other / Undecided38%38%37%42%43%33%34%43%33%38%36%46%33%36%39%36%39%42%35%34%47%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%43%57%20%28%30%22%48%52%87%10%9%35%45%31%23%45%24%74%71%29%