Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14504
In New Hampshire, Obama May Out-Perform Every Democratic Presidential Candidate since Lyndon Johnson in 1964: Fiercely independent New Hampshire, which was expected to be a 2008 battleground, is poised today to award Democrat Barack Obama a larger share of the presidential vote than it has given any Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WBZ-TV in Boston. In an election today, 10/06/08, four weeks till votes are counted, Obama defeats John McCain 53% to 40%. New Hampshire voted Republican in 1968, 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988 and 2000. New Hampshire voted Democrat in 1992, 1996 and 2004, but no Democrat running for President in New Hampshire has received more than 50% of the vote in the past 44 years.

The contest is close among men, voters age 35 to 49, those who have not graduated from college and regular church goers. McCain leads among gun owners and pro-life voters. But Obama builds to a 13-point overall lead on the strength of his 22-point advantage among women, 29-point advantage among young voters, 21-point advantage among Moderates, 18-point advantage among those who consider themselves an intellectual, 24-point advantage among lower-income voters, and 23-point advantage among college graduates.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 New Hampshire adults 10/04/08 and 10/05/08. Of the adults, 795 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 647 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. New Hampshire has 4 Electoral College votes.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
647 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo
McCain (R)40%43%37%31%46%39%39%41%39%41%35%40%40%******84%8%39%79%37%5%35%46%47%40%34%63%29%34%42%39%42%40%37%39%40%44%17%51%31%
Obama (D)53%47%59%60%47%56%54%51%55%51%59%54%53%******12%89%48%12%58%90%58%47%47%49%62%32%64%58%53%57%52%54%57%51%56%52%64%41%65%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%19%36%27%18%55%45%49%10%41%97%0%1%2%26%34%39%25%44%19%59%41%30%31%39%29%70%29%71%69%26%86%14%34%66%80%15%41%57%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.