| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14228 |
| MN Senate: Incumbent GOP Coleman On Top, But ... Independence Candidates Complicate Any Analysis In elections in Minnesota for United States Senate today, 08/15/08, incumbent Republican Norm Coleman defeats DFL candidate Al Franken by 7 points, and defeats Franken's primary opponent, Priscilla Lord Faris, by 18 points, according to this exclusive KSTP-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Coleman tops Franken 46% to 39% today, tops Faris 45% to 27% -- but the seven candidates running in the Independence Party primary present a material complication. In a Coleman-Franken match up, 16% of likely voters say they will vote for another candidate or are undecided. In a Coleman-Faris race, 28% say they will vote for another candidate or are undecided. After 09/09/08 primary, picture may come into sharper focus. Against Franken, Coleman today leads by 11 points among men, by 3 among women. Among voters age 18 to 49, Coleman leads Franken by 12 points; among those 50+, Coleman and Franken tie. Against Faris, Coleman holds a significant lead among all demographic groups, save one; voters age 65+ prefer Coleman just slightly. Franken takes 3 of 4 Democratic votes, but Faris manages just 56% among Democrats. Coleman takes near 9 of 10 Republican votes against either DFL candidate. Independents, the wild card in this race, give 30% of their votes to Franken and 17% of their votes to some other candidate if Franken is the DFL nominee; if Faris is the nominee, those numbers essentially flip, with Faris taking 16% of independent votes and some other candidate taking 28%. In 1998, Minnesota voters elected Jesse Ventura, a Reform Party candidate, as governor. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Minnesota adults 08/13/08 through 08/14/08. Of them, 818 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 682 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. |
| 1 | If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Norm Coleman? DFL candidate Al Franken? Or some other candidate? |
| 682 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Norm Coleman (R) | 46% | 50% | 42% | 48% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 48% | 43% | 48% | 37% | 46% | 46% | ** | ** | ** | 87% | 12% | 49% | 83% | 41% | 10% | 50% | 42% | 56% | 39% | 33% | 65% | 32% | 43% | 48% | 46% | ** | 31% | 30% | 92% | ** | ** | 69% | 37% | 50% | 48% | 44% | 46% | 36% |
| Al Franken (DFL) | 39% | 39% | 39% | 36% | 36% | 45% | 39% | 36% | 42% | 36% | 41% | 42% | 39% | ** | ** | ** | 9% | 74% | 30% | 11% | 43% | 74% | 36% | 41% | 32% | 41% | 50% | 23% | 51% | 29% | 43% | 39% | ** | 52% | 52% | 4% | ** | ** | 22% | 42% | 38% | 37% | 41% | 36% | 47% |
| Other | 11% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 20% | 8% | 11% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 10% | 17% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 19% | 6% | 10% | ** | 12% | 16% | 4% | ** | ** | 8% | 17% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% |
| Undecided | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 6% | ** | 5% | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 19% | 56% | 44% | 50% | 12% | 38% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 34% | 24% | 27% | 44% | 15% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 27% | 23% | 42% | 52% | 31% | 65% | 47% | 4% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 32% | 68% | 58% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 2 | If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Norm Coleman? DFL candidate Priscilla Lord Faris? Or some other candidate? |
| 682 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Norm Coleman (R) | 45% | 51% | 40% | 52% | 45% | 44% | 38% | 48% | 42% | 48% | 36% | 44% | 46% | ** | ** | ** | 88% | 11% | 48% | 83% | 40% | 9% | 50% | 40% | 55% | 39% | 32% | 64% | 33% | 41% | 48% | 44% | ** | 30% | 35% | 90% | ** | ** | 66% | 37% | 49% | 47% | 44% | 48% | 34% |
| Priscilla Lord Faris (DFL) | 27% | 24% | 30% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 30% | 24% | 35% | 28% | 26% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 56% | 16% | 9% | 29% | 51% | 23% | 29% | 23% | 28% | 32% | 20% | 32% | 19% | 30% | 26% | ** | 27% | 43% | 7% | ** | ** | 16% | 28% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 24% | 30% |
| Other | 22% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 22% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 28% | 28% | 8% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 23% | 16% | 27% | 28% | 12% | 27% | 30% | 18% | 23% | ** | 34% | 17% | 3% | ** | ** | 14% | 28% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 24% | 29% |
| Undecided | 6% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 7% | ** | 9% | 5% | 0% | ** | ** | 4% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 19% | 56% | 44% | 50% | 12% | 38% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 34% | 24% | 27% | 44% | 15% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 27% | 23% | 42% | 52% | 31% | 65% | 47% | 4% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 32% | 68% | 58% | 14% | 14% | 14% |