Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14228
 
MN Senate: Incumbent GOP Coleman On Top, But ... Independence Candidates Complicate Any Analysis In elections in Minnesota for United States Senate today, 08/15/08, incumbent Republican Norm Coleman defeats DFL candidate Al Franken by 7 points, and defeats Franken's primary opponent, Priscilla Lord Faris, by 18 points, according to this exclusive KSTP-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Coleman tops Franken 46% to 39% today, tops Faris 45% to 27% -- but the seven candidates running in the Independence Party primary present a material complication. In a Coleman-Franken match up, 16% of likely voters say they will vote for another candidate or are undecided. In a Coleman-Faris race, 28% say they will vote for another candidate or are undecided. After 09/09/08 primary, picture may come into sharper focus. Against Franken, Coleman today leads by 11 points among men, by 3 among women. Among voters age 18 to 49, Coleman leads Franken by 12 points; among those 50+, Coleman and Franken tie. Against Faris, Coleman holds a significant lead among all demographic groups, save one; voters age 65+ prefer Coleman just slightly. Franken takes 3 of 4 Democratic votes, but Faris manages just 56% among Democrats. Coleman takes near 9 of 10 Republican votes against either DFL candidate. Independents, the wild card in this race, give 30% of their votes to Franken and 17% of their votes to some other candidate if Franken is the DFL nominee; if Faris is the nominee, those numbers essentially flip, with Faris taking 16% of independent votes and some other candidate taking 28%. In 1998, Minnesota voters elected Jesse Ventura, a Reform Party candidate, as governor.
 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Minnesota adults 08/13/08 through 08/14/08. Of them, 818 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 682 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election.
 
1If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Norm Coleman? DFL candidate Al Franken? Or some other candidate?
682 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Norm Coleman (R)46%50%42%48%49%44%41%48%43%48%37%46%46%******87%12%49%83%41%10%50%42%56%39%33%65%32%43%48%46%**31%30%92%****69%37%50%48%44%46%36%
Al Franken (DFL)39%39%39%36%36%45%39%36%42%36%41%42%39%******9%74%30%11%43%74%36%41%32%41%50%23%51%29%43%39%**52%52%4%****22%42%38%37%41%36%47%
Other11%8%13%11%9%6%18%10%12%10%20%8%11%******3%10%17%5%10%14%9%12%9%13%11%9%11%19%6%10%**12%16%4%****8%17%8%9%8%16%13%
Undecided5%4%6%5%6%4%2%6%4%6%3%4%4%******0%4%5%0%5%3%6%4%3%6%7%2%7%9%2%6%**5%2%0%****1%5%4%5%7%2%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%23%33%25%19%56%44%50%12%38%93%2%1%4%28%34%24%27%44%15%49%51%49%27%23%42%52%31%65%47%4%13%11%6%3%4%8%32%68%58%14%14%14%
 
2If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Norm Coleman? DFL candidate Priscilla Lord Faris? Or some other candidate?
682 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Norm Coleman (R)45%51%40%52%45%44%38%48%42%48%36%44%46%******88%11%48%83%40%9%50%40%55%39%32%64%33%41%48%44%**30%35%90%****66%37%49%47%44%48%34%
Priscilla Lord Faris (DFL)27%24%30%22%26%27%34%24%30%24%35%28%26%******6%56%16%9%29%51%23%29%23%28%32%20%32%19%30%26%**27%43%7%****16%28%26%26%28%24%30%
Other22%21%22%22%21%22%23%21%23%21%24%21%22%******5%28%28%8%25%33%20%23%16%27%28%12%27%30%18%23%**34%17%3%****14%28%19%21%16%24%29%
Undecided6%5%8%4%8%6%5%7%6%6%5%7%6%******1%6%7%1%7%7%6%7%5%6%8%4%8%10%3%7%**9%5%0%****4%8%6%5%12%4%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%23%33%25%19%56%44%50%12%38%93%2%1%4%28%34%24%27%44%15%49%51%49%27%23%42%52%31%65%47%4%13%11%6%3%4%8%32%68%58%14%14%14%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.