Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #26224

Western Oregon Voters Initially Split on Whether Some Counties Should be Allowed to Join Idaho, But Warm To Idea Over Course of Research; 8 of 10 Say State Gov't Should Look Into Causes of Discontent in Eastern, Southern Parts of State; 2 of 3 Say State Should Study Impact of Transition: SurveyUSA research of 1,068 registered voters from the 14 counties of northwestern Oregon indicates these Oregonians are at least somewhat open to the idea of allowing counties in eastern and southern Oregon to leave the Beaver State and join the state of Idaho – and that their openness to the concept increases as they are exposed to further questions about the idea. Initially, 41% say the counties should be allowed to make the move (24% say they definitely should be allowed, 17% probably allowed); 44% say the counties should not be allowed to go (16% say Oregon should probably not allow, 28% say definitely not allow). Conservatives (44%) and Republicans (37%) are the most likely to say Oregon should definitely allow the counties in question to leave the state; liberals (38%), senior citizens (37%), and Democrats (35%) are the most likely to say Oregon should definitely not let the counties go. Voters were then asked about a number of different things that could happen if those counties left Oregon for Idaho: Reminded of times Republicans in the Oregon legislature have left the state to deny a quorum, 43% say it would be a good thing (16% definitely a good thing, 27% probably a good thing) to reduce gridlock in the legislature by no longer having those legislators representing Oregon counties; 35% say it would be a bad thing (20% probably a bad thing, 15% definitely a bad thing). Liberals, Democrats, and the youngest voters are the most likely to say this would be a good thing; conservatives and Republicans are the most likely to say it would be bad. There is no consensus on the impact allowing Oregon's conservative counties to join a conservative state would have on dangerous political tensions in Oregon. 24% say tensions would be reduced; 26% say they would actually be increased. 21% say it would have no effect either way. 47% say they aren't willing to keep paying taxes to subsidize these counties; 20% say they'd be willing to pay less than $100 a year. 8% would be willing to pay between $100 and $500 a year; just 3% are willing to pay more than that. After learning that northwestern Oregon subsidizes eastern and southern Oregon by more than $1 billion a year through the state budget, 47% say they would prefer to see that money spent in northwestern Oregon; 25% would prefer it be spent in southern and eastern Oregon. 68% say Oregon's state government should look into what the effect on Oregon would be if Oregon counties became a part of Idaho, and how the transition could be done smoothly; 20% say the state government should not look into this. Voters were next asked, in randomized order, to identify the best arguments for and against allowing counties to separate from Oregon. When asked which of five statements, if any, would be the best argument for allowing the separation: 21% say the best argument is that "these communities should not be held captive if they consider Oregon's governance intolerable." 12% say "it would reduce gridlock in the Oregon Legislature" is the best argument. 11% go with "it would help Oregon's budget by more than $500 per wage earner annually." 10% say the best argument is that it "would weaken the Republican party at the state level." 6% say the strongest argument is that "eastern and southern Oregon have the same average income as Idaho does, so they should be economically sustainable, just like Idaho is." The plurality, 28%, say none of these are good arguments for allowing counties to separate. When asked which of eight statements, if any, would be the best argument for not allowing counties to separate: 20% say the best reason to not allow counties to separate is that "Oregon politics would become more dominated by Democrats." 12% say the best argument against separation is "Oregon would lose one out of the 538 electoral college votes" in presidential elections. 10% are concerned "the details might be difficult for the legislatures of these states to solve." 10% say "Oregon would become smaller." 5% say the strongest argument is that "Idaho laws might not be good for those counties." 4% say this argument is the best: "Some think the whole idea is unfair, although the legislatures would try to divide the state assets and debts fairly." 4% say "after the next census, Oregon would lose one congressional district, which is currently represented by a Republican," is the best argument against separation. 2% say the best argument is that "Idaho laws would be in effect closer to where I live." The plurality, 21%, say none of these are good arguments against separation. SurveyUSA at this point re-asked respondents the initial question in the survey. Now, 46% say counties should be allowed to leave (22% say definitely allowed, 24% probably allowed); 37% now say counties should not be allowed to leave (18% say probably not allowed, 19% say definitely not allowed). Compared to the beginning of the survey, this represents a 12-point shift, from a 3-point margin for not allowing the separation to a 9-point margin now for allowing it. Shifts toward allowing the separation are most pronounced among liberals, those of Asian or other non-white, non-Hispanic descent, and those under age 35. Full results follow ...

About the Research: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,250 adults from the 14 counties of northwestern Oregon* 01/04/22 through 01/11/22. Of the adults, 1,068 are registered to vote and were asked the substantive questions which follow. This research was conducted online among a representative cross-section of adults using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, and home ownership. * Benton, Clackamas, Clatsop, Columbia, Hood River, Lane, Lincoln, Linn, Marion, Multnomah, Polk, Tillamook, Washington, and Yamhill.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of Oregon?

1250 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Yes	85%	86%	85%	74%	84%	93%	96%	78%	95%	87%	**	82%	79%	92%	91%	84%	94%	90%	90%	88%	88%	91%	90%	88%	71%	85%	93%	94%	71%	79%	88%	88%	**	85%	88%	84%
No	12%	12%	13%	22%	15%	5%	3%	19%	4%	11%	**	14%	17%	7%	8%	13%	6%	8%	9%	9%	12%	7%	9%	10%	24%	13%	7%	5%	25%	18%	10%	9%	**	13%	10%	13%
Not Sure	2%	3%	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	**	4%	3%	1%	0%	3%	0%	2%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	2%	5%	2%	1%	1%	4%	3%	1%	3%	**	2%	2%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	49%	51%	31%	26%	24%	20%	56%	44%	74%	2%	13%	11%	24%	39%	28%	7%	16%	35%	20%	12%	23%	35%	33%	20%	39%	42%	64%	36%	29%	50%	21%	4%	52%	16%	28%

2

Our questions today are about a new movement in Oregon. Recently, voters of eight counties in eastern Oregon approved non-binding ballot measures saying that they would prefer to be governed by Idaho rather than by Oregon. More counties are expected to vote on this subject next year. If counties in eastern and southern Oregon vote to leave Oregon and become part of Idaho, do you think the state of Oregon should allow those counties to become part of Idaho? Or not allow those counties to become part of Idaho?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Definitely Allow	24%	26%	21%	19%	25%	28%	23%	22%	25%	23%	**	30%	18%	37%	15%	25%	44%	43%	23%	9%	14%	44%	23%	11%	23%	23%	25%	25%	20%	24%	21%	30%	**	24%	25%	22%
Probably Allow	17%	17%	17%	18%	19%	17%	15%	19%	16%	19%	**	18%	7%	18%	17%	17%	16%	20%	19%	17%	13%	19%	19%	16%	18%	15%	19%	16%	20%	15%	18%	18%	**	16%	25%	13%
Probably Not Allow	16%	15%	16%	20%	15%	14%	13%	18%	14%	15%	**	9%	29%	13%	19%	13%	6%	14%	16%	20%	19%	12%	16%	20%	14%	15%	16%	15%	17%	13%	18%	13%	**	15%	12%	20%
Definitely Not Allow	28%	30%	27%	25%	25%	27%	37%	25%	32%	28%	**	32%	26%	18%	35%	28%	19%	12%	31%	39%	35%	14%	31%	38%	25%	30%	28%	30%	24%	32%	29%	23%	**	28%	22%	32%
Not Sure	15%	11%	19%	18%	15%	13%	13%	17%	13%	15%	**	11%	20%	13%	14%	16%	15%	10%	12%	14%	19%	12%	12%	16%	20%	17%	11%	13%	19%	16%	14%	16%	**	16%	17%	12%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

3	Before today, how much had you heard about this movement?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Nothing At All	27%	22%	32%	44%	24%	20%	19%	34%	20%	26%	**	21%	44%	19%	31%	27%	27%	21%	24%	27%	34%	22%	24%	30%	45%	29%	19%	22%	39%	27%	28%	24%	**	28%	31%	25%
A Little	56%	55%	58%	45%	57%	63%	61%	51%	62%	57%	**	60%	45%	61%	53%	57%	53%	60%	58%	59%	50%	58%	58%	56%	47%	58%	58%	59%	50%	56%	56%	58%	**	55%	53%	60%
A Lot	14%	19%	9%	9%	16%	16%	15%	12%	16%	15%	**	12%	7%	19%	13%	13%	20%	19%	12%	13%	14%	19%	12%	13%	7%	12%	18%	16%	9%	13%	14%	14%	**	14%	16%	12%
Not Sure	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	1%	5%	3%	3%	2%	**	6%	3%	1%	3%	3%	0%	0%	6%	1%	2%	0%	6%	1%	1%	1%	5%	3%	2%	4%	2%	4%	**	3%	0%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

4

Almost half of the Republicans in the Oregon Legislature represent eastern and southern Oregon. At times, these Republicans have left the state to deny a quorum, so that the Legislature could not work, causing gridlock. Would reducing gridlock in the Oregon Legislature by no longer having these legislators representing Oregon counties be a good thing or a bad thing?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Definitely a Good Thing	16%	17%	15%	13%	12%	16%	23%	13%	19%	14%	**	24%	17%	16%	19%	12%	15%	11%	16%	15%	24%	12%	16%	19%	16%	17%	15%	16%	15%	20%	12%	21%	**	15%	16%	14%
Probably a Good Thing	27%	27%	26%	38%	27%	22%	19%	33%	20%	28%	**	20%	21%	11%	37%	27%	9%	17%	23%	44%	34%	15%	23%	40%	28%	25%	28%	25%	31%	30%	29%	19%	**	27%	27%	28%
Probably a Bad Thing	20%	23%	17%	14%	23%	20%	23%	19%	21%	19%	**	25%	23%	23%	16%	24%	15%	24%	24%	19%	9%	21%	24%	15%	16%	20%	21%	21%	17%	18%	21%	19%	**	20%	19%	20%
Definitely a Bad Thing	15%	18%	12%	6%	13%	23%	19%	10%	21%	16%	**	11%	12%	29%	8%	13%	36%	29%	12%	6%	13%	31%	12%	9%	9%	16%	16%	17%	9%	11%	16%	17%	**	14%	16%	16%
Not Sure	23%	15%	30%	29%	24%	20%	16%	26%	18%	22%	**	21%	26%	21%	20%	24%	25%	19%	24%	16%	19%	21%	24%	17%	31%	22%	20%	21%	27%	21%	23%	24%	**	23%	21%	21%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

5	If eastern and southern Oregon became a part of Idaho, which is a conservative state, how likely is it that you would move to eastern or southern Oregon within the following 10 years? Very likely? Somewhat likely? Not very likely? Or not at all likely?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Very	11%	13%	9%	11%	13%	12%	8%	12%	10%	13%	**	8%	3%	24%	3%	13%	27%	28%	9%	3%	3%	28%	9%	3%	6%	11%	13%	12%	8%	10%	10%	14%	**	12%	12%	9%
Somewhat	11%	13%	9%	12%	12%	12%	8%	12%	10%	11%	**	19%	5%	22%	5%	11%	24%	21%	11%	6%	1%	22%	11%	4%	13%	10%	11%	12%	9%	9%	12%	13%	**	9%	19%	11%
Not Very	15%	17%	13%	19%	15%	12%	12%	17%	12%	15%	**	17%	11%	18%	11%	17%	14%	21%	18%	11%	5%	19%	18%	9%	16%	14%	15%	14%	17%	18%	14%	12%	**	16%	13%	14%
Not At All	56%	49%	63%	50%	53%	58%	65%	51%	61%	54%	**	49%	76%	30%	77%	51%	22%	25%	53%	80%	89%	24%	53%	83%	53%	57%	56%	56%	57%	58%	59%	46%	**	59%	46%	60%
Not Sure	7%	7%	7%	8%	7%	5%	7%	8%	6%	7%	**	7%	5%	7%	4%	8%	12%	5%	10%	0%	2%	7%	10%	1%	12%	7%	5%	6%	9%	4%	5%	14%	**	5%	10%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

6	Would Oregon allowing conservative counties to join a conservative state reduce dangerous political tensions in Oregon? Increase dangerous political tensions in Oregon? Or have no effect either way?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Reduce Tensions	24%	23%	24%	25%	22%	25%	22%	24%	24%	23%	**	25%	28%	26%	26%	20%	25%	35%	17%	25%	29%	32%	17%	26%	18%	23%	26%	22%	27%	27%	24%	20%	**	26%	20%	22%
Increase Tensions	26%	29%	24%	34%	26%	22%	22%	30%	22%	26%	**	29%	28%	22%	27%	30%	30%	24%	25%	26%	37%	25%	25%	30%	27%	22%	30%	27%	24%	30%	28%	19%	**	25%	23%	32%
Have No Effect	21%	25%	18%	14%	26%	22%	25%	20%	23%	21%	**	23%	25%	25%	18%	24%	21%	26%	24%	20%	16%	24%	24%	18%	22%	22%	21%	24%	15%	17%	21%	28%	**	21%	21%	22%
Not Sure	29%	23%	34%	27%	26%	31%	31%	26%	31%	31%	**	23%	19%	27%	29%	25%	24%	16%	33%	29%	19%	18%	33%	25%	33%	33%	23%	26%	34%	27%	27%	34%	**	29%	36%	24%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

7

On average, people living in eastern and southern Oregon pay less in state taxes per person than the average Oregonian because average incomes are lower in those parts of the state. State spending on highways is much higher per person in those parts of the state than average. This means that Oregon tax rates could be reduced if those counties were no longer part of Oregon. How much are you personally willing to pay in taxes each year to have these counties remain a part of Oregon?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Nothing At All	47%	49%	45%	39%	42%	53%	55%	41%	54%	47%	**	41%	48%	58%	39%	48%	53%	64%	47%	41%	33%	60%	47%	38%	44%	49%	46%	49%	42%	42%	48%	51%	**	46%	52%	46%
Less Than $100 a Year	20%	16%	22%	27%	19%	13%	19%	23%	16%	19%	**	19%	25%	18%	21%	20%	16%	13%	21%	22%	22%	14%	21%	22%	20%	21%	18%	19%	20%	17%	19%	22%	**	19%	13%	24%
Between $100 - $500 a Year	8%	10%	6%	9%	7%	7%	9%	8%	8%	6%	**	17%	8%	4%	12%	5%	7%	3%	8%	13%	7%	4%	8%	11%	4%	4%	13%	8%	8%	14%	6%	7%	**	9%	4%	8%
More Than $500 a Year	3%	5%	1%	4%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	**	3%	1%	1%	4%	3%	0%	2%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	1%	**	3%	3%	3%
Not Sure	23%	20%	26%	21%	28%	26%	16%	24%	21%	24%	**	20%	18%	18%	25%	23%	24%	18%	22%	20%	34%	20%	22%	25%	31%	23%	20%	20%	28%	23%	24%	19%	**	24%	27%	20%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

8	It is estimated that northwestern Oregon subsidizes eastern and southern Oregon by more than one billion dollars each year through the state budget. Do you prefer to see this money spent in eastern and southern Oregon? Or would you prefer it be spent in northwestern Oregon?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Eastern / Southern Oregon	25%	30%	20%	17%	26%	25%	33%	21%	29%	26%	**	28%	15%	42%	16%	23%	54%	40%	22%	12%	18%	44%	22%	14%	18%	22%	30%	28%	17%	21%	26%	27%	**	23%	32%	21%
Northwestern Oregon	47%	45%	49%	60%	45%	41%	42%	53%	41%	47%	**	43%	49%	33%	58%	46%	21%	33%	50%	62%	49%	29%	50%	57%	49%	47%	47%	45%	53%	51%	47%	43%	**	50%	44%	46%
Not Sure	28%	25%	31%	23%	29%	34%	25%	26%	30%	27%	**	29%	36%	25%	26%	31%	26%	27%	27%	26%	33%	27%	27%	28%	33%	31%	23%	27%	30%	28%	27%	30%	**	27%	24%	33%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

9	Should Oregon's state government look into what the effect on Oregon would be if Oregon counties became a part of Idaho, and how the transition could be done smoothly?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Yes	68%	67%	69%	76%	72%	64%	59%	74%	62%	69%	**	64%	67%	72%	66%	69%	67%	82%	64%	67%	64%	78%	64%	66%	71%	68%	67%	66%	73%	69%	70%	63%	**	69%	76%	62%
No	20%	22%	18%	13%	17%	23%	29%	15%	26%	20%	**	22%	21%	18%	22%	21%	17%	10%	25%	20%	26%	12%	25%	22%	16%	20%	22%	22%	16%	23%	19%	19%	**	22%	12%	23%
Not Sure	12%	11%	13%	12%	10%	14%	11%	11%	13%	12%	**	14%	11%	11%	12%	10%	15%	7%	11%	13%	10%	10%	11%	12%	13%	12%	11%	12%	11%	8%	11%	18%	**	9%	12%	15%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

10

[Q10 and Q11 shown to respondents in random order] If you had to choose, which one of these statements do you think would be the best argument for allowing counties to separate from Oregon? It would help Oregon's budget by more than $500 per wage earner annually. It would reduce gridlock in the Oregon Legislature. It would weaken the Republican party at the state level. Eastern and southern Oregon have the same average income as Idaho does, so they should be economically sustainable, just like Idaho is. These communities should not be held captive if they consider Oregon's governance intolerable. None of these are good arguments for allowing counties to separate.

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Would Help Oregon's Budget	11%	12%	10%	16%	11%	7%	9%	14%	8%	10%	**	18%	11%	5%	15%	11%	2%	4%	14%	15%	13%	4%	14%	14%	13%	8%	12%	9%	14%	11%	10%	11%	**	11%	8%	12%
Would Reduce Gridlock	12%	10%	13%	13%	14%	12%	6%	14%	9%	11%	**	14%	13%	5%	17%	10%	3%	7%	10%	16%	21%	6%	10%	18%	9%	9%	14%	10%	15%	12%	12%	9%	**	14%	12%	9%
Would Weaken Republican Party	10%	9%	11%	7%	8%	9%	16%	8%	12%	10%	**	2%	17%	11%	11%	8%	12%	12%	7%	8%	17%	12%	7%	12%	15%	9%	9%	10%	10%	11%	10%	8%	**	11%	7%	11%
Should Be Economically Sustainable	6%	7%	5%	7%	7%	6%	4%	7%	5%	6%	**	7%	6%	7%	6%	5%	4%	10%	4%	8%	4%	8%	4%	6%	7%	5%	6%	6%	6%	7%	7%	3%	**	6%	7%	6%
Should Not Be Held Captive	21%	22%	19%	22%	20%	23%	18%	21%	20%	22%	**	21%	14%	35%	10%	23%	41%	42%	19%	10%	8%	42%	19%	9%	15%	20%	23%	21%	19%	17%	21%	24%	**	20%	22%	19%
None Of These	28%	30%	26%	21%	26%	28%	38%	24%	33%	28%	**	31%	25%	28%	28%	30%	20%	19%	33%	33%	26%	19%	33%	30%	22%	32%	27%	31%	21%	28%	27%	29%	**	26%	26%	35%
Not Sure	13%	10%	16%	13%	14%	16%	9%	13%	13%	14%	**	7%	14%	9%	13%	14%	18%	6%	13%	11%	11%	9%	13%	11%	19%	15%	9%	12%	15%	14%	12%	15%	**	13%	18%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

11

[Q10 and Q11 shown to respondents in random order] If you had to choose, which one of these statements do you think would be the best argument for not allowing counties to separate from Oregon? After the next census, Oregon would lose one congressional district, which is currently represented by a Republican. In presidential elections, Oregon would lose one out of the 538 electoral college votes. Some think the whole idea is unfair, although the legislatures would try to divide the state assets and debts fairly. Idaho laws might not be good for those counties. Idaho laws would be in effect closer to where I live. The details might be difficult for the legislatures of these states to solve. Oregon politics would become more dominated by Democrats. Oregon would become smaller. None of these are good arguments against allowing counties to separate.

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
After Census Would Lose One District	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	5%	4%	4%	5%	3%	**	4%	11%	6%	4%	3%	5%	8%	3%	4%	3%	7%	3%	3%	7%	5%	3%	4%	6%	4%	4%	6%	**	4%	2%	6%
Would Lose One Out Of 538 Electoral College Votes	12%	9%	15%	16%	11%	8%	12%	14%	10%	10%	**	20%	13%	9%	17%	9%	4%	1%	12%	19%	23%	2%	12%	21%	9%	12%	13%	11%	14%	10%	13%	11%	**	12%	9%	15%
Legislatures Would Try To Divide Assets / Debts Fairly	4%	4%	4%	7%	5%	2%	3%	6%	2%	5%	**	3%	3%	2%	6%	2%	0%	3%	4%	7%	2%	2%	4%	5%	5%	5%	3%	4%	4%	6%	4%	4%	**	4%	5%	4%
Idaho Laws Might Not Be Good For Those Counties	5%	7%	3%	7%	4%	4%	3%	6%	4%	5%	**	1%	7%	2%	7%	4%	3%	2%	6%	6%	5%	2%	6%	5%	3%	4%	6%	5%	4%	7%	4%	3%	**	5%	2%	6%
Idaho Laws Would Be In Effect Closer To Where I Live	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	**	1%	7%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	6%	1%	2%	4%	4%	2%	1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	**	2%	3%	2%
Details Might Be Difficult For To Solve	10%	8%	12%	10%	10%	11%	8%	10%	10%	10%	**	10%	5%	6%	12%	9%	6%	6%	9%	14%	14%	6%	9%	14%	7%	11%	10%	10%	10%	10%	11%	7%	**	10%	9%	10%
Oregon Politics More Dominated By Democrats	20%	25%	16%	14%	22%	23%	23%	18%	23%	22%	**	18%	8%	41%	9%	21%	35%	46%	20%	7%	5%	43%	20%	6%	15%	20%	22%	23%	14%	16%	22%	23%	**	21%	24%	17%
Oregon Would Become Smaller	10%	11%	9%	9%	12%	11%	8%	10%	10%	9%	**	17%	13%	8%	10%	11%	10%	12%	10%	10%	10%	12%	10%	10%	8%	9%	11%	11%	9%	11%	10%	10%	**	9%	9%	11%
None Of These	21%	22%	19%	17%	17%	21%	30%	17%	25%	21%	**	19%	26%	18%	19%	26%	27%	15%	26%	21%	14%	19%	26%	19%	23%	20%	21%	21%	21%	22%	20%	21%	**	20%	22%	21%
Not Sure	12%	10%	14%	13%	12%	14%	8%	13%	11%	14%	**	7%	7%	6%	14%	11%	9%	6%	11%	11%	17%	7%	11%	13%	20%	11%	9%	11%	15%	13%	11%	13%	**	13%	16%	7%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

12	Sometimes, people change their minds during a survey about a new idea. If counties in eastern and southern Oregon vote to leave Oregon and become part of Idaho, do you think the state of Oregon should allow those counties to become part of Idaho? Or not allow those counties to become part of Idaho?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Definitely Allow	22%	26%	19%	21%	20%	24%	24%	21%	24%	22%	**	27%	19%	33%	16%	23%	42%	37%	22%	10%	14%	39%	22%	12%	24%	19%	25%	23%	22%	22%	20%	28%	**	21%	27%	19%
Probably Allow	24%	23%	24%	27%	27%	22%	17%	27%	20%	24%	**	24%	14%	23%	24%	24%	18%	24%	22%	29%	26%	22%	22%	28%	18%	22%	27%	22%	26%	24%	25%	18%	**	23%	26%	24%
Probably Not Allow	18%	20%	17%	21%	22%	14%	16%	21%	15%	19%	**	13%	20%	14%	21%	20%	8%	16%	20%	25%	12%	13%	20%	20%	17%	19%	18%	18%	19%	17%	21%	14%	**	21%	14%	18%
Definitely Not Allow	19%	21%	18%	15%	16%	21%	26%	15%	23%	19%	**	25%	17%	16%	23%	17%	20%	6%	22%	23%	27%	10%	22%	25%	17%	23%	17%	21%	14%	22%	18%	20%	**	20%	13%	23%
Not Sure	16%	11%	22%	16%	15%	19%	16%	15%	17%	16%	**	11%	30%	14%	17%	16%	12%	17%	14%	13%	21%	16%	14%	16%	24%	17%	13%	15%	19%	15%	16%	20%	**	15%	21%	16%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

13	Should Oregon's state government look into the causes of discontent in eastern and southern Oregon, and then consider how the state government should respond?

1068 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Education			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	North Co	Metro	Mid-Vall	South Va
Yes	81%	84%	78%	84%	79%	77%	83%	82%	80%	80%	**	78%	88%	84%	79%	84%	84%	87%	82%	78%	78%	86%	82%	78%	76%	81%	82%	81%	79%	80%	81%	80%	**	80%	83%	80%
No	10%	9%	11%	9%	9%	12%	10%	9%	11%	11%	**	11%	5%	8%	11%	9%	12%	7%	9%	13%	12%	9%	9%	13%	10%	9%	10%	10%	10%	9%	11%	8%	**	11%	7%	10%
Not Sure	9%	7%	11%	7%	12%	11%	7%	10%	9%	9%	**	12%	7%	7%	10%	7%	4%	6%	9%	8%	10%	6%	9%	9%	14%	9%	8%	8%	12%	11%	7%	13%	**	9%	10%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	26%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	75%	2%	13%	10%	25%	42%	28%	7%	17%	36%	21%	13%	25%	36%	34%	16%	39%	45%	71%	29%	27%	51%	22%	5%	51%	17%	27%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.