| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #18719 |
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64% in CA say Herman Cain "Unfit" to be President; Half Say He Should Drop Out of Race:
A plurality of Californians following news stories about Herman Cain see a "pattern of wrongdoing," according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KPIX-TV, in San Francisco and KGTV-TV in San Diego.
* 48% in CA say Cain should drop out of the race for president. Interviews were conducted after an 11/07/11 press conference in which a woman claimed to have been touched inappropriately by Cain in 1997. The woman is the 4th to make a statement about Cain, but the first to reveal her name.
* 55% in CA say Cain needs to say more about the incidents of unwanted sexual contact. Tea Party Sees Cain Allegations Through Unique Prism: Among those in CA following the story, members of the Tea Party see the allegations against Cain differently than the rest of the state sees them.
* Tea Party members are 3 times more likely than the rest of CA to say there is "no evidence" of wrongdoing by Cain. Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 CA adults 11/07/11. Of the 1,000 interviewed, 587 were following news stories about Cain and were asked the substantive questions. The survey was conducted multi-mode. Respondents who use a home phone (81% of adults) were interviewed on their home phone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondents who do not use a home phone (19% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop, tablet or other electronic device. |
| 1 | Are you following news stories about Herman Cain? |
| 1000 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| Yes | 59% | 67% | 50% | 48% | 61% | 68% | 65% | 54% | 67% | 66% | 57% | 45% | 60% | 66% | 57% | 62% | 58% | 60% | 72% | 59% |
| No | 37% | 29% | 44% | 49% | 34% | 28% | 28% | 42% | 28% | 32% | 36% | 49% | 34% | 33% | 38% | 35% | 38% | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 49% | 51% | 35% | 30% | 20% | 15% | 65% | 35% | 51% | 6% | 28% | 15% | 19% | 81% | 29% | 35% | 34% | 9% | 83% |
| 2 | Based on what you know so far, what do you see? No evidence of wrongdoing? An isolated instance of wrongdoing? Or a pattern of wrongdoing? |
| 587 Following Cain Story | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| No Evidence | 24% | 28% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 21% | 29% | 25% | 29% | 19% | 27% | 9% | 28% | 35% | 13% | 26% | 56% | 19% |
| Isolated Instance | 26% | 25% | 26% | 30% | 28% | 21% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 23% | 32% | 37% | 15% | 37% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 29% | 23% | 25% |
| Pattern | 43% | 40% | 47% | 46% | 36% | 47% | 46% | 41% | 47% | 45% | 30% | 38% | 48% | 41% | 44% | 38% | 54% | 39% | 20% | 49% |
| Not Sure | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Following Cain Story | 100% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 79% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 83% |
| 3 | Who looks worse in all of this? Cain? Or the women who are coming forward? |
| 587 Following Cain Story | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| Cain | 62% | 60% | 65% | 74% | 58% | 60% | 52% | 66% | 56% | 60% | 47% | 75% | 57% | 84% | 56% | 49% | 71% | 63% | 35% | 68% |
| Women | 29% | 33% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 36% | 31% | 26% | 34% | 30% | 41% | 22% | 31% | 11% | 34% | 40% | 20% | 29% | 52% | 24% |
| Not Sure | 9% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Following Cain Story | 100% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 79% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 83% |
| 4 | Has Herman Cain said enough about this topic? Or does Cain need to say more? |
| 587 Following Cain Story | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| Enough | 39% | 40% | 37% | 31% | 42% | 43% | 39% | 37% | 41% | 40% | 42% | 28% | 46% | 26% | 42% | 54% | 31% | 35% | 69% | 34% |
| Needs To Say More | 55% | 58% | 52% | 64% | 53% | 54% | 47% | 58% | 51% | 52% | 58% | 68% | 49% | 70% | 51% | 40% | 64% | 59% | 28% | 60% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Following Cain Story | 100% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 79% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 83% |
| 5 | Based upon what you know, is Herman Cain fit to be president? Or unfit? |
| 587 Following Cain Story | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| Fit | 26% | 30% | 19% | 17% | 28% | 31% | 29% | 23% | 30% | 29% | 31% | 13% | 28% | 12% | 29% | 36% | 13% | 30% | 64% | 19% |
| Unfit | 64% | 61% | 68% | 73% | 61% | 60% | 61% | 67% | 60% | 59% | 62% | 81% | 60% | 76% | 61% | 52% | 78% | 60% | 24% | 72% |
| Not Sure | 10% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Following Cain Story | 100% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 79% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 83% |
| 6 | Based upon what you know, is Herman Cain's personal conduct ... better than that of most politicians? the same as that of most politicians? or worse than that of most politicians? |
| 587 Following Cain Story | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| Better | 17% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 18% | 6% | 20% | 22% | 9% | 21% | 49% | 12% |
| The Same | 56% | 51% | 61% | 50% | 60% | 51% | 62% | 55% | 56% | 56% | 67% | 54% | 51% | 48% | 57% | 60% | 56% | 52% | 45% | 56% |
| Worse | 24% | 24% | 24% | 35% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 32% | 28% | 40% | 20% | 18% | 30% | 23% | 5% | 27% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Following Cain Story | 100% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 79% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 83% |
| 7 | Should Cain continue to run for President? Or should Cain drop out of the race? |
| 587 Following Cain Story | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | ||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | |
| Continue To Run | 45% | 49% | 39% | 35% | 53% | 48% | 43% | 44% | 46% | 48% | 67% | 28% | 49% | 31% | 48% | 54% | 38% | 45% | 77% | 40% |
| Drop Out | 48% | 46% | 50% | 59% | 42% | 43% | 46% | 50% | 44% | 45% | 30% | 66% | 40% | 65% | 43% | 38% | 56% | 49% | 18% | 53% |
| Not Sure | 7% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Following Cain Story | 100% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 6% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 79% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 83% |