Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27367

Latest North Carolina Polling Shows Whisker-Thin Margin Remains Between Harris and Trump, While Stein Builds on Wide Lead vs. Robinson: Two months ago, when SurveyUSA last polled North Carolina on behalf of High Point University, Democrat Kamala Harris led Republican Donald Trump by 1 nominal point, 46% to 45%, among all registered voters, with the race tied among likely voters and Harris ahead two points among those who said they were certain they would vote. Today, Harris continues to lead Trump by a single point, now 47% to 46%, with 1% of registered voters planning to vote for another candidate and 6% undecided. Early voting began in North Carolina on October 17, as this poll entered the field, and among those voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Trump leads by 2 points, 50% to 48%. Among those who say they are 100% certain they will vote, Trump also leads by 2, 49% to 47%. Those who say they will probably vote – 13% of all registered voters – prefer Harris by a 15-point margin, 53% to 38%. Two months ago, the "certain" vote narrowly favored Harris and probable voters preferred Trump by a 10-point margin. Trump leads by 7 points among men; Harris leads by 8 among women – a 15-point gender gap. Younger voters narrowly prefer Harris, 47% to 46%; those 35 to 49 give Harris a 5-point edge, 48% to 43%. Voters aged 50 to 64 are split, 46% for Trump, 46% for Harris; those 65+ prefer Trump by 4 points, 50% to 46%. Trump leads by 24 points among white voters, but by 29 points among white men and by 18 points among white women. Harris leads by 62 points among Black voters, but by 55 points among Black men and by 68 points among Black women. Among Latinos, Harris leads by 23 points. On the issues, a plurality of voters, 28%, say inflation is the most important issue determining their vote this year; among those voters, Trump leads by a 22-point margin, 57% to 35%. Immigration is the next most-selected issue at 14%, and those voters also prefer Trump, but by a much wider 79-point margin. Those citing threats to democracy as most important, 13% of registered voters, strongly prefer Harris, 77% to 19%, as do the 8% most-focused on abortion (a 61-point margin for Harris) and the 6% who say health care is their most important issue, where Harris has a 49-point advantage. Regionally, Trump has a 25-point lead in the Western part of the state, using regional breakdowns based on respondents' zip codes, and a 21-point lead among those voters who say they live in the Mountains. Those with zip codes placing them in Southern and Coastal NC also prefer Trump, but by a smaller, 6-point margin. Those with zip codes in the Greensboro area are evenly split, 46% Trump, 46% Harris; those with Charlotte-area zips narrowly prefer Harris, by 2 points; those with Raleigh-area zips prefer her by 6 points. Meanwhile, voters who tell SurveyUSA they live in the Coastal Plain prefer Harris by 7 points, and those who say they live in the Piedmont give a nominal single-point edge to Harris. The race for governor looks nothing like the couldn't-be-closer race for President: Democrat Josh Stein defeats Republican Mark Robinson by a 16-point margin today, 50% to 34% among all registered voters, with 15% saying they are undecided – and those undecided voters are overwhelmingly not Democrats. 25% of independents and 16% of Republicans are undecided here, compared to just 6% of Democrats. 87% of those voting for Kamala Harris for President say they will also vote for Josh Stein for Governor; just 69% of those voting for Donald Trump say they will vote for Robinson, with 16% crossing over to vote for the Democrat, 1% voting for another candidate, and 15% saying they are undecided. Two months ago, Stein led by 14. 45% of registered voters today say they will vote for the Democrat in their district's election for US House of Representatives; 43% say they will vote for the Republican. The Republican vote is unchanged from two months ago, but the Democrats have gained 3 points, from 42% last month to 45% today. Looking at some highlighted Net Favorability numbers (found in full from Q9 to Q19 below), which are calculated by subtracting unfavorable ratings from favorable ones: Joe Biden: -19, effectively unchanged, a 1-point improvement from -20 in August. Donald Trump: -6, up from -9 in the previous poll. Kamala Harris: -3, up slightly from -5. JD Vance: -1, a significant improvement from -13. Tim Walz: -4, a 6-point fall from +2 in August. Incumbent Governor Roy Cooper is at +13, with 47% having a favorable opinion and 34% a negative opinion of him. Josh Stein, running to replace Cooper, is at +17. Mark Robinson, also running to replace Cooper as Governor, is at -20. Voters were asked, regardless of which candidate they supported, which one each of these phrases fits best: Trump has the advantage on these phrases, ranked from highest to lowest advantage: Will stand up to America's enemies. +13 for Trump, with 50% saying this better describes him, 37% Harris. Takes action rather than just talking. +6 for Trump, down from +10 in August's polling. Strong leader: +5 for Trump, down from +8 in August. Understands the economy: +5 for Trump, down 7 points from +12 in the previous poll. Harris has the advantage on these phrases: Has middle-class values: +17 for Harris, up from +12. Willing to work with the other party: +11 for Harris, down one point from the previous poll. Honest and truthful: +8, unchanged. Cares about people like me, +8, up from +4 in August. Represents positive change for the country: +6; not previously asked. Has the right temperament to be president: +6, down from +11. Smart: +3, up a point from +2 in August. Good judgement in a crisis: +2, a switch: in August, Trump had a 3-point advantage on this topic. Voters were then asked which candidate would do a better job on each of these issues: Trump leads in these areas: Immigration: 12 points, 52% to 40%. National security: a 9-point advantage, 50% to 41%. Crime: 8 points, 49% to 41%. Threats to democracy: 7 points, 48% to 41%. Inflation: a 6-point advantage, 48% to 42%. Support for veterans: 2 points, 46% to 44%. Federal taxes: 1 point, 45% to 44%. Government response to the effects of Hurricane Helene: 1 point, 44% to 43%. Harris leads in these: LGBTQ policies: a 25-point advantage for Harris, 52% to 27%. Abortion: 16 points, 52% to 36%. Climate change: 13 points, 47% to 34%. Health care: 11 points, 50% to 39%. Education: 10 points, 49% to 39%. Workers' rights: 7 points, 49% to 42%. Confidence is increasing that votes will be counted accurately this year: 38% have a lot of confidence and 43% have some confidence the 2024 election results will accurately reflect the votes that are cast; 13% have no confidence. In August, 36% had a lot of confidence, 40% some confidence; 17% had none. Election-related violence is a concern. 26% of registered voters say they are very concerned there will be violence after votes are counted this year, including almost half, 48%, of very liberal voters. 44% of voters say they are somewhat concerned. 18% say they are not very concerned; 7% aren't concerned at all. Roughly half of voters know someone who suffered losses from Hurricane Helene, with 11% saying they themselves suffered losses, 32% saying someone they know did, and 5% saying both they themselves and someone they know had losses. 49% say they do not know anyone who has. While 55% who say they live in the Coastal Plain and 49% of those who say they live in the Piedmont area say they do not know anyone who suffered a loss, just 29% of those who say they live in the Mountains can say the same. 43% say the government response to damage caused by Helene will be very important in determining their vote; another 32% say it will be somewhat important. 12% say it won't be very important, 8% say it won't be important at all. 35% say the damage caused by the hurricane will affect the results of the 2024 elections a lot; 47% say the damage will have some effect; 18% expect they won't have much effect at all. Finally, on foreign affairs, 46% say it would be best for the future of the country if the US plays an active part in foreign affairs, up slightly from 44% in August. 34% say it would be best to mostly stay out of foreign affairs, down slightly from 37% this summer. 20% aren't sure. Fully crosstabbed results follow ...

About the Poll: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,300 adults from North Carolina 10/17/24 through 10/20/24. Of the adults, 1,164 were identified as being registered to vote and were asked the questions which follow. This research was conducted online, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina?

1300 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Yes	90%	91%	88%	85%	93%	89%	93%	88%	91%	88%	90%	90%	89%	84%	93%	88%	92%	88%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	94%	93%	87%	96%	90%	88%	95%	91%	93%	88%	93%	95%	98%	98%	77%	92%	89%	91%	89%	85%	89%	96%	83%	84%	92%	95%	88%	83%	89%	91%	93%	94%	93%	87%	92%	85%	89%	90%	89%	91%	88%	93%	88%	88%	90%	92%	88%
No	9%	8%	10%	13%	6%	10%	6%	10%	8%	7%	9%	8%	10%	13%	6%	10%	7%	12%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5%	6%	11%	2%	9%	10%	5%	7%	6%	10%	6%	5%	1%	2%	20%	7%	10%	8%	10%	13%	10%	4%	13%	12%	8%	5%	12%	14%	9%	8%	7%	5%	6%	11%	7%	13%	9%	8%	10%	7%	11%	7%	12%	10%	10%	7%	9%
Not Sure	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	5%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	4%	4%	1%	0%	0%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	48%	52%	29%	24%	24%	22%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	34%	35%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	33%	35%	27%	17%	20%	39%	11%	9%	37%	39%	20%	42%	36%	58%	39%	32%	67%	44%	53%	44%	11%	38%	7%	35%	32%	23%	11%	21%	28%	25%	11%	15%	38%	61%	66%	34%	23%	39%	38%	32%	58%	11%	5%	31%	19%	28%	17%

2	North Carolina will hold a general election for President, for Governor, and for other offices in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Already Voted	18%	18%	18%	24%	13%	17%	19%	18%	18%	28%	17%	19%	16%	14%	19%	20%	12%	20%	100%	0%	0%	23%	0%	0%	20%	18%	23%	19%	16%	18%	20%	16%	18%	19%	21%	20%	12%	25%	19%	12%	18%	30%	22%	12%	24%	19%	19%	22%	10%	18%	18%	17%	19%	20%	16%	19%	9%	18%	16%	20%	21%	14%	18%	20%	22%	20%	17%	19%	20%	13%	20%	19%	17%	21%	17%	15%	11%	19%	19%	16%	22%
Certain To Vote	62%	64%	61%	48%	63%	68%	74%	55%	71%	50%	64%	65%	60%	51%	66%	64%	61%	60%	0%	100%	0%	77%	0%	0%	65%	63%	64%	66%	65%	71%	64%	62%	70%	64%	65%	63%	62%	63%	64%	62%	65%	60%	64%	62%	63%	67%	67%	68%	54%	61%	63%	65%	61%	55%	54%	71%	69%	56%	65%	67%	64%	52%	60%	67%	64%	70%	68%	59%	66%	55%	57%	64%	64%	59%	64%	63%	79%	57%	60%	66%	64%
Will Probably Vote	13%	10%	15%	18%	17%	8%	7%	18%	7%	16%	12%	10%	14%	28%	10%	11%	13%	14%	0%	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	11%	15%	10%	11%	12%	7%	8%	17%	7%	12%	10%	12%	17%	6%	12%	19%	7%	7%	10%	19%	7%	9%	10%	7%	22%	13%	13%	11%	14%	17%	17%	6%	17%	17%	13%	8%	9%	22%	16%	8%	6%	7%	9%	15%	10%	19%	16%	12%	11%	13%	13%	11%	7%	17%	13%	11%	10%
About 50/50	4%	5%	3%	6%	5%	4%	0%	6%	2%	4%	4%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	6%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	62%	3%	3%	2%	4%	5%	3%	7%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	3%	2%	5%	8%	1%	2%	5%	4%	3%	2%	2%	8%	5%	4%	5%	3%	4%	8%	4%	2%	5%	5%	4%	2%	6%	3%	3%	6%	3%	5%	4%	3%	6%	4%	4%	5%	5%	3%	7%	2%	5%	5%	4%	2%
Probably Will Not Vote	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	3%	0%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	7%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	38%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	0%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	5%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	5%	1%	3%	4%	2%	0%	4%	6%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	6%	4%	1%	3%	2%	2%	5%	1%	2%	4%	3%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

If the election for President of the United States were being held today and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated)

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Donald Trump (R)	46%	50%	42%	46%	43%	46%	50%	45%	48%	37%	47%	59%	15%	24%	62%	55%	19%	12%	50%	49%	38%	49%	38%	31%	100%	0%	93%	14%	57%	19%	59%	21%	87%	19%	93%	5%	44%	85%	69%	38%	7%	9%	77%	38%	8%	89%	6%	49%	41%	48%	45%	54%	40%	40%	47%	53%	43%	47%	47%	47%	39%	38%	43%	50%	56%	49%	56%	39%	53%	32%	32%	47%	55%	43%	46%	58%	60%	45%	46%	44%	49%
Kamala Harris (D)	47%	43%	50%	47%	48%	46%	46%	48%	46%	60%	45%	35%	77%	66%	33%	37%	74%	80%	48%	47%	53%	47%	53%	29%	0%	100%	6%	81%	35%	77%	31%	70%	8%	80%	5%	93%	40%	13%	25%	52%	86%	90%	19%	52%	88%	8%	91%	46%	48%	46%	47%	38%	55%	54%	45%	40%	47%	46%	47%	44%	56%	53%	49%	46%	37%	44%	37%	54%	42%	57%	62%	47%	36%	50%	47%	37%	35%	47%	46%	50%	45%
Other	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%
Undecided	6%	5%	7%	7%	8%	7%	3%	7%	5%	3%	6%	6%	6%	9%	4%	7%	6%	7%	2%	4%	8%	3%	8%	37%	0%	0%	1%	4%	7%	3%	11%	9%	4%	0%	1%	2%	14%	1%	5%	9%	5%	1%	3%	9%	3%	3%	2%	4%	10%	6%	6%	7%	4%	5%	8%	6%	8%	7%	5%	8%	3%	8%	8%	3%	5%	7%	6%	6%	5%	9%	5%	5%	8%	6%	6%	5%	5%	7%	7%	6%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

If the election for Governor of North Carolina were being held today and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated)

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Mark Robinson (R)	34%	37%	32%	33%	33%	34%	38%	33%	36%	30%	35%	43%	12%	20%	46%	40%	16%	9%	43%	35%	27%	37%	27%	16%	69%	4%	100%	0%	38%	18%	48%	19%	67%	16%	71%	6%	26%	73%	48%	24%	6%	11%	60%	24%	8%	67%	5%	39%	26%	36%	33%	46%	26%	31%	31%	40%	29%	35%	35%	35%	26%	28%	35%	35%	42%	34%	44%	28%	40%	23%	25%	31%	43%	32%	35%	39%	35%	37%	34%	29%	39%
Josh Stein (D)	50%	49%	51%	49%	50%	54%	49%	49%	51%	53%	50%	42%	73%	59%	40%	45%	73%	74%	52%	53%	43%	53%	43%	36%	16%	87%	0%	100%	45%	78%	47%	59%	20%	73%	14%	87%	49%	16%	38%	56%	83%	83%	28%	56%	83%	20%	89%	51%	51%	50%	51%	41%	59%	55%	48%	47%	42%	45%	48%	55%	64%	42%	51%	55%	43%	57%	43%	56%	49%	54%	56%	56%	40%	56%	50%	35%	34%	47%	48%	58%	50%
Other	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%
Undecided	15%	14%	16%	18%	17%	12%	13%	18%	12%	17%	15%	14%	15%	21%	14%	15%	11%	17%	4%	12%	30%	10%	30%	49%	15%	9%	0%	0%	16%	4%	5%	22%	13%	11%	13%	6%	25%	10%	12%	20%	11%	6%	11%	20%	9%	12%	6%	10%	23%	15%	15%	13%	15%	14%	20%	12%	29%	19%	17%	9%	9%	29%	14%	10%	14%	9%	13%	16%	11%	23%	19%	11%	16%	12%	14%	26%	30%	15%	18%	13%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held today, how would you vote in the election for U.S. House of Representatives in your district?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
The Republican Candidate	43%	48%	38%	38%	40%	43%	51%	39%	47%	34%	44%	55%	12%	22%	59%	50%	17%	8%	48%	45%	32%	45%	32%	31%	86%	3%	89%	12%	52%	19%	55%	21%	81%	19%	89%	2%	39%	79%	68%	33%	7%	8%	73%	33%	7%	84%	4%	48%	34%	41%	43%	53%	35%	36%	40%	51%	39%	43%	45%	44%	33%	34%	40%	48%	54%	43%	53%	35%	49%	29%	28%	43%	52%	40%	44%	48%	49%	41%	45%	40%	47%
The Democratic Candidate	45%	42%	48%	47%	45%	46%	42%	46%	44%	56%	44%	35%	78%	52%	33%	36%	75%	81%	47%	47%	44%	47%	44%	28%	5%	90%	9%	80%	36%	77%	32%	65%	9%	74%	6%	95%	31%	17%	22%	49%	83%	91%	20%	49%	87%	10%	92%	47%	42%	45%	45%	38%	52%	51%	48%	40%	37%	45%	43%	45%	55%	46%	51%	43%	38%	44%	37%	51%	42%	53%	57%	46%	37%	48%	45%	38%	34%	45%	45%	49%	43%
Other	1%	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	4%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	0%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Undecided	11%	9%	12%	14%	12%	10%	6%	13%	8%	7%	11%	10%	7%	24%	7%	13%	6%	8%	4%	7%	21%	7%	21%	38%	7%	7%	2%	7%	12%	4%	8%	12%	9%	6%	3%	2%	28%	4%	8%	16%	9%	1%	6%	16%	5%	5%	4%	4%	22%	12%	10%	8%	11%	12%	10%	7%	21%	10%	11%	10%	11%	17%	8%	8%	7%	13%	9%	12%	8%	17%	12%	10%	10%	10%	10%	13%	17%	12%	8%	10%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Do you think things in this country are headed in the right direction or are off on the wrong track?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Right Direction	27%	32%	22%	30%	24%	25%	30%	27%	27%	27%	27%	23%	47%	18%	27%	18%	57%	38%	38%	28%	18%	30%	18%	11%	10%	48%	13%	43%	18%	54%	25%	35%	7%	42%	13%	52%	13%	19%	18%	22%	47%	63%	18%	22%	54%	12%	51%	33%	18%	28%	27%	27%	28%	29%	22%	29%	16%	29%	23%	27%	37%	24%	28%	24%	29%	32%	25%	28%	27%	28%	38%	27%	21%	30%	28%	17%	10%	30%	28%	28%	25%
Wrong Track	60%	56%	64%	56%	58%	63%	65%	57%	64%	56%	61%	67%	41%	52%	64%	70%	30%	50%	51%	63%	58%	61%	58%	60%	83%	37%	82%	44%	75%	34%	63%	42%	89%	48%	80%	34%	71%	74%	75%	61%	39%	27%	74%	61%	34%	81%	36%	59%	64%	58%	61%	63%	58%	55%	65%	62%	72%	58%	65%	61%	50%	56%	59%	65%	63%	57%	64%	58%	62%	56%	46%	60%	69%	54%	62%	67%	71%	58%	58%	61%	62%
Not Sure	13%	12%	14%	14%	19%	13%	5%	16%	9%	17%	12%	10%	12%	30%	9%	11%	13%	12%	11%	9%	24%	9%	24%	29%	7%	16%	5%	13%	7%	12%	12%	23%	4%	11%	7%	15%	15%	7%	8%	17%	14%	10%	8%	17%	12%	7%	13%	8%	18%	14%	12%	9%	15%	16%	13%	9%	11%	13%	12%	13%	13%	19%	12%	11%	8%	11%	10%	14%	11%	16%	16%	13%	10%	16%	10%	17%	19%	12%	14%	11%	13%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Approve	37%	37%	38%	33%	39%	40%	38%	36%	39%	39%	37%	30%	62%	36%	30%	31%	62%	62%	43%	38%	27%	39%	27%	34%	6%	71%	8%	63%	26%	70%	27%	53%	9%	65%	8%	75%	25%	16%	18%	38%	70%	82%	17%	38%	75%	10%	74%	40%	33%	34%	39%	32%	42%	42%	36%	34%	27%	34%	34%	40%	50%	38%	41%	35%	35%	35%	33%	40%	34%	45%	51%	37%	28%	42%	36%	28%	25%	36%	40%	41%	35%
Disapprove	56%	59%	53%	57%	55%	54%	58%	56%	56%	55%	56%	65%	23%	56%	67%	64%	28%	18%	55%	56%	58%	56%	58%	54%	92%	20%	89%	31%	68%	23%	70%	32%	89%	32%	91%	16%	66%	82%	77%	53%	26%	10%	79%	53%	19%	88%	17%	55%	58%	59%	55%	63%	50%	50%	53%	62%	62%	58%	58%	54%	48%	48%	52%	60%	62%	62%	63%	51%	62%	42%	42%	55%	65%	50%	57%	65%	65%	57%	51%	55%	60%
Not Sure	7%	5%	9%	10%	6%	6%	5%	8%	5%	6%	7%	4%	15%	8%	3%	5%	10%	19%	3%	6%	15%	5%	15%	12%	2%	9%	3%	6%	5%	8%	2%	15%	2%	3%	2%	8%	9%	1%	6%	9%	4%	8%	4%	9%	6%	3%	9%	5%	8%	7%	7%	4%	8%	8%	10%	4%	11%	8%	8%	7%	2%	14%	7%	5%	3%	3%	4%	9%	4%	13%	6%	8%	6%	7%	7%	7%	10%	8%	9%	5%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

8	Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Kamala Harris is handling her job as vice president?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Approve	45%	43%	47%	45%	48%	46%	43%	46%	44%	63%	43%	34%	73%	66%	33%	35%	72%	74%	49%	45%	49%	46%	49%	34%	7%	87%	11%	74%	33%	75%	33%	61%	9%	69%	9%	88%	35%	18%	23%	49%	83%	87%	21%	49%	85%	11%	85%	46%	45%	44%	46%	39%	52%	53%	43%	39%	39%	44%	45%	45%	50%	53%	49%	43%	38%	37%	39%	50%	40%	56%	61%	47%	34%	50%	45%	35%	37%	44%	47%	48%	44%
Disapprove	48%	52%	43%	46%	44%	49%	53%	45%	51%	34%	49%	60%	17%	24%	63%	57%	19%	16%	48%	51%	33%	50%	33%	48%	90%	5%	88%	20%	60%	21%	64%	22%	89%	28%	88%	7%	51%	80%	71%	40%	14%	7%	76%	40%	11%	86%	10%	50%	45%	47%	48%	57%	40%	38%	50%	57%	48%	47%	49%	49%	43%	36%	45%	52%	56%	54%	55%	42%	54%	34%	32%	46%	59%	43%	49%	56%	55%	47%	44%	48%	50%
Not Sure	7%	5%	10%	10%	9%	6%	4%	9%	5%	3%	7%	6%	9%	10%	4%	8%	8%	10%	3%	5%	18%	4%	18%	17%	2%	8%	2%	6%	7%	4%	2%	17%	3%	3%	3%	5%	14%	1%	6%	10%	3%	5%	4%	10%	4%	3%	6%	4%	11%	9%	6%	4%	8%	9%	7%	4%	13%	9%	6%	7%	8%	11%	6%	5%	6%	8%	6%	8%	6%	10%	7%	7%	7%	7%	6%	9%	8%	9%	9%	4%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Here is a list of people and things. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable view of each of them. Joe Biden?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	37%	36%	39%	31%	37%	43%	39%	34%	41%	40%	37%	29%	68%	38%	27%	30%	66%	69%	41%	40%	26%	40%	26%	29%	4%	74%	7%	66%	28%	71%	32%	51%	8%	62%	6%	79%	24%	14%	18%	38%	71%	82%	16%	38%	76%	8%	78%	41%	32%	36%	38%	33%	42%	42%	30%	36%	29%	36%	34%	39%	50%	40%	42%	35%	30%	35%	33%	40%	34%	45%	49%	38%	29%	41%	37%	29%	30%	36%	41%	40%	34%
Unfavorable	56%	58%	53%	59%	53%	52%	58%	56%	55%	47%	57%	65%	24%	52%	68%	63%	25%	24%	56%	57%	54%	57%	54%	48%	93%	19%	91%	29%	68%	24%	67%	37%	89%	30%	90%	15%	67%	81%	79%	53%	23%	14%	80%	53%	19%	89%	18%	56%	58%	59%	54%	62%	51%	48%	61%	61%	60%	55%	60%	55%	47%	51%	49%	61%	64%	60%	61%	52%	61%	45%	43%	55%	64%	53%	56%	60%	61%	56%	51%	55%	61%
Not Sure	5%	4%	7%	7%	8%	4%	2%	7%	3%	12%	5%	5%	7%	7%	4%	6%	7%	7%	2%	3%	17%	3%	17%	14%	2%	6%	1%	4%	3%	5%	0%	11%	2%	7%	3%	5%	8%	4%	3%	7%	5%	3%	3%	7%	4%	2%	4%	3%	8%	4%	6%	4%	7%	8%	6%	2%	8%	7%	5%	4%	2%	8%	6%	3%	4%	5%	4%	6%	4%	8%	6%	6%	5%	4%	6%	8%	7%	6%	7%	4%	4%
Not Familiar	1%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	9%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Donald Trump?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	44%	49%	40%	46%	44%	43%	44%	45%	43%	33%	45%	54%	18%	30%	58%	50%	24%	13%	47%	45%	37%	46%	37%	38%	89%	5%	91%	12%	53%	18%	56%	24%	83%	16%	88%	7%	38%	83%	64%	34%	10%	10%	73%	34%	10%	83%	5%	47%	40%	48%	42%	53%	37%	40%	41%	49%	42%	47%	47%	40%	34%	42%	43%	45%	54%	39%	52%	38%	49%	34%	33%	40%	55%	41%	44%	56%	54%	44%	45%	41%	47%
Unfavorable	50%	47%	53%	44%	51%	53%	54%	47%	54%	57%	50%	40%	77%	66%	39%	41%	70%	83%	45%	52%	53%	50%	53%	43%	8%	92%	7%	84%	43%	80%	33%	66%	12%	81%	8%	89%	54%	14%	34%	58%	87%	83%	24%	58%	85%	13%	90%	49%	53%	45%	53%	42%	59%	54%	50%	46%	53%	47%	49%	52%	62%	51%	51%	52%	40%	54%	43%	56%	46%	59%	61%	54%	40%	52%	52%	38%	41%	51%	49%	54%	48%
Not Sure	4%	3%	5%	8%	4%	3%	1%	6%	2%	8%	4%	4%	4%	3%	2%	7%	4%	4%	5%	2%	7%	3%	7%	15%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%	2%	4%	7%	5%	2%	3%	3%	7%	3%	3%	6%	1%	3%	3%	6%	2%	3%	3%	3%	7%	6%	3%	4%	3%	5%	6%	3%	3%	4%	3%	6%	3%	4%	5%	2%	3%	7%	3%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	3%	5%	3%	6%	5%	4%	3%	4%	4%
Not Familiar	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	0%	3%	0%	3%	1%	3%	4%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	6%	3%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	3%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	3%	1%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

The U.S. Supreme Court?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	35%	41%	30%	29%	36%	36%	40%	33%	38%	35%	35%	38%	28%	29%	44%	32%	30%	26%	40%	37%	32%	38%	32%	13%	51%	23%	57%	26%	37%	9%	49%	25%	63%	29%	51%	27%	28%	65%	44%	26%	12%	31%	54%	26%	20%	53%	22%	42%	24%	39%	33%	43%	30%	33%	29%	40%	33%	36%	33%	40%	31%	28%	37%	35%	45%	35%	37%	34%	39%	27%	37%	33%	37%	39%	34%	33%	39%	34%	28%	37%	43%
Unfavorable	35%	36%	35%	34%	30%	39%	39%	32%	39%	38%	35%	35%	41%	30%	35%	34%	45%	38%	44%	37%	20%	39%	20%	25%	22%	50%	23%	49%	33%	72%	14%	31%	15%	48%	22%	47%	39%	14%	33%	35%	64%	54%	24%	35%	59%	22%	54%	37%	34%	31%	38%	27%	43%	40%	31%	33%	31%	30%	35%	39%	48%	27%	36%	41%	32%	39%	37%	35%	36%	34%	35%	40%	31%	35%	36%	34%	40%	33%	40%	35%	34%
Not Sure	25%	19%	32%	29%	30%	21%	21%	30%	21%	22%	26%	24%	26%	36%	17%	30%	19%	32%	13%	23%	38%	21%	38%	52%	23%	24%	19%	22%	26%	18%	33%	39%	20%	21%	24%	22%	29%	19%	21%	35%	19%	13%	20%	35%	16%	22%	21%	18%	38%	26%	25%	26%	24%	23%	34%	24%	32%	29%	27%	21%	21%	39%	21%	22%	21%	25%	23%	27%	21%	35%	23%	23%	30%	23%	27%	27%	21%	29%	28%	24%	19%
Not Familiar	4%	4%	4%	8%	3%	4%	0%	6%	2%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	2%	9%	2%	9%	10%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	4%	5%	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	5%	2%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	5%	6%	2%	3%	6%	5%	1%	0%	6%	7%	2%	2%	0%	3%	4%	3%	5%	5%	4%	3%	3%	4%	6%	1%	4%	4%	4%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

The U.S. Congress?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	26%	28%	23%	31%	30%	21%	20%	31%	21%	37%	25%	25%	29%	28%	28%	21%	29%	29%	31%	26%	24%	27%	24%	11%	27%	27%	28%	28%	26%	13%	30%	20%	25%	27%	30%	31%	14%	36%	33%	20%	12%	34%	34%	20%	22%	29%	28%	30%	18%	33%	23%	28%	24%	25%	32%	26%	18%	28%	25%	23%	28%	23%	28%	25%	25%	27%	23%	28%	26%	26%	34%	25%	22%	29%	25%	21%	18%	24%	20%	30%	33%
Unfavorable	41%	46%	37%	35%	41%	49%	41%	38%	45%	40%	41%	44%	34%	36%	50%	37%	32%	36%	45%	44%	25%	44%	25%	35%	42%	41%	43%	43%	43%	53%	29%	34%	45%	35%	40%	37%	51%	34%	44%	40%	57%	40%	39%	40%	49%	41%	44%	46%	33%	38%	43%	38%	45%	43%	36%	41%	39%	31%	44%	46%	51%	33%	39%	47%	45%	43%	44%	39%	43%	36%	34%	43%	44%	38%	43%	42%	49%	41%	41%	38%	44%
Not Sure	30%	24%	36%	30%	25%	27%	39%	28%	33%	21%	31%	29%	34%	30%	20%	38%	37%	31%	22%	28%	48%	26%	48%	41%	29%	29%	27%	26%	29%	31%	38%	41%	29%	33%	28%	29%	32%	29%	20%	35%	30%	26%	24%	35%	28%	29%	25%	23%	44%	25%	32%	31%	29%	30%	28%	29%	39%	36%	29%	27%	22%	40%	30%	25%	27%	26%	28%	31%	28%	34%	28%	29%	32%	30%	29%	34%	33%	31%	35%	30%	22%
Not Familiar	3%	2%	4%	4%	4%	4%	0%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	2%	4%	2%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	13%	3%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	5%	1%	4%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	4%	2%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	1%	5%	5%	2%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	5%	1%	4%	0%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	0%	4%	5%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

13	Federal Emergency Management Agency or FEMA?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	47%	48%	45%	40%	48%	43%	56%	44%	49%	43%	47%	43%	60%	43%	46%	40%	55%	64%	55%	49%	33%	51%	33%	20%	26%	70%	27%	66%	38%	75%	40%	58%	24%	60%	28%	70%	40%	32%	35%	46%	68%	80%	33%	46%	73%	30%	70%	51%	39%	46%	47%	43%	51%	50%	37%	46%	43%	47%	44%	46%	55%	41%	49%	52%	39%	47%	43%	49%	48%	44%	55%	49%	38%	49%	47%	36%	36%	42%	46%	49%	53%
Unfavorable	31%	34%	28%	30%	33%	33%	28%	31%	31%	31%	31%	36%	17%	26%	38%	34%	20%	13%	31%	34%	24%	33%	24%	20%	53%	9%	56%	15%	41%	12%	39%	8%	58%	15%	49%	13%	33%	47%	47%	25%	15%	12%	47%	25%	13%	50%	12%	33%	29%	37%	28%	35%	28%	28%	30%	35%	28%	27%	34%	36%	24%	28%	31%	29%	37%	32%	35%	28%	34%	25%	24%	29%	38%	29%	31%	39%	45%	30%	32%	30%	30%
Not Sure	20%	16%	23%	25%	16%	20%	16%	21%	18%	25%	19%	19%	18%	29%	14%	23%	20%	17%	11%	15%	36%	15%	36%	49%	19%	17%	16%	16%	18%	14%	18%	27%	18%	20%	20%	14%	25%	19%	16%	26%	15%	6%	18%	26%	11%	19%	16%	15%	29%	15%	22%	20%	19%	18%	28%	18%	26%	22%	20%	17%	17%	25%	15%	18%	22%	21%	20%	20%	17%	26%	19%	19%	20%	19%	20%	18%	19%	24%	17%	19%	14%
Not Familiar	3%	2%	4%	5%	3%	3%	0%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	5%	2%	2%	3%	5%	5%	2%	1%	7%	2%	7%	10%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	0%	3%	7%	0%	4%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	5%	1%	3%	5%	3%	0%	4%	5%	5%	1%	2%	0%	2%	3%	2%	5%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	6%	0%	4%	5%	2%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Kamala Harris?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	45%	43%	48%	45%	47%	46%	43%	46%	44%	55%	44%	34%	75%	65%	32%	36%	73%	77%	47%	45%	50%	46%	50%	33%	5%	91%	9%	76%	35%	74%	29%	63%	9%	70%	7%	89%	39%	15%	24%	51%	81%	90%	20%	51%	85%	9%	87%	45%	47%	48%	44%	38%	53%	51%	43%	40%	44%	47%	45%	42%	52%	50%	49%	45%	35%	39%	38%	51%	40%	57%	60%	47%	35%	50%	45%	35%	36%	47%	45%	47%	42%
Unfavorable	48%	53%	43%	45%	43%	50%	53%	44%	52%	36%	49%	60%	18%	27%	64%	55%	20%	15%	49%	50%	34%	50%	34%	47%	92%	5%	89%	20%	59%	22%	64%	21%	87%	24%	90%	8%	50%	81%	73%	41%	12%	8%	77%	41%	10%	86%	9%	50%	43%	46%	49%	57%	40%	40%	46%	56%	48%	47%	49%	51%	42%	37%	45%	51%	58%	54%	57%	41%	55%	33%	32%	47%	58%	43%	49%	56%	55%	47%	49%	46%	51%
Not Sure	5%	3%	8%	8%	7%	4%	2%	8%	3%	9%	5%	5%	6%	7%	3%	7%	4%	7%	2%	4%	14%	3%	14%	16%	3%	4%	2%	5%	4%	3%	5%	13%	3%	6%	2%	3%	11%	4%	3%	8%	5%	1%	3%	8%	3%	3%	3%	4%	9%	5%	6%	4%	6%	7%	9%	3%	6%	5%	6%	7%	4%	10%	4%	4%	4%	6%	3%	7%	4%	8%	6%	5%	6%	5%	5%	9%	8%	5%	6%	5%	6%
Not Familiar	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	4%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	2%	3%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	0%	3%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Tim Walz?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	34%	37%	32%	31%	31%	36%	40%	31%	38%	32%	34%	28%	54%	34%	31%	26%	59%	51%	45%	36%	15%	38%	15%	23%	6%	65%	9%	60%	26%	73%	25%	40%	7%	56%	9%	65%	28%	17%	23%	29%	71%	72%	20%	29%	71%	10%	67%	38%	29%	29%	37%	29%	40%	37%	29%	34%	25%	30%	32%	39%	43%	25%	37%	39%	30%	37%	32%	36%	34%	35%	39%	37%	28%	37%	34%	26%	27%	33%	35%	38%	33%
Unfavorable	38%	42%	34%	34%	31%	41%	48%	33%	44%	24%	40%	47%	17%	19%	50%	44%	19%	15%	41%	42%	25%	42%	25%	16%	69%	9%	71%	18%	48%	15%	50%	16%	76%	23%	68%	11%	37%	70%	57%	30%	10%	9%	63%	30%	9%	69%	10%	42%	31%	37%	39%	46%	32%	30%	32%	47%	43%	36%	38%	41%	36%	28%	40%	36%	48%	43%	45%	33%	45%	25%	26%	38%	46%	36%	39%	43%	44%	37%	35%	39%	41%
Not Sure	20%	15%	26%	25%	26%	18%	12%	25%	15%	33%	19%	18%	20%	35%	14%	23%	15%	25%	11%	16%	42%	15%	42%	44%	17%	20%	16%	18%	21%	11%	20%	29%	15%	13%	17%	19%	25%	10%	17%	30%	14%	16%	14%	30%	15%	16%	18%	15%	30%	24%	19%	20%	20%	23%	28%	15%	24%	22%	23%	16%	16%	31%	16%	19%	18%	18%	16%	24%	17%	29%	26%	19%	18%	20%	20%	24%	20%	25%	21%	17%	18%
Not Familiar	7%	6%	8%	10%	12%	5%	1%	11%	3%	12%	7%	6%	9%	12%	5%	7%	8%	10%	4%	5%	18%	5%	18%	17%	7%	6%	4%	4%	5%	2%	6%	15%	2%	8%	6%	5%	10%	3%	3%	11%	5%	3%	3%	11%	4%	5%	5%	5%	10%	10%	6%	6%	8%	9%	11%	4%	8%	11%	6%	4%	5%	16%	6%	6%	4%	3%	7%	7%	5%	12%	9%	5%	8%	7%	7%	7%	9%	6%	9%	7%	8%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

JD Vance?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	36%	39%	32%	34%	30%	38%	43%	32%	40%	38%	36%	44%	15%	20%	48%	40%	19%	12%	47%	38%	23%	40%	23%	10%	65%	11%	71%	17%	42%	13%	57%	13%	75%	24%	66%	15%	27%	76%	57%	21%	8%	13%	66%	21%	10%	64%	12%	41%	26%	33%	37%	47%	27%	30%	32%	43%	37%	35%	42%	35%	23%	26%	36%	37%	44%	39%	42%	31%	42%	22%	23%	38%	41%	33%	37%	35%	35%	34%	34%	35%	43%
Unfavorable	37%	39%	35%	34%	34%	40%	41%	34%	40%	30%	38%	34%	51%	30%	34%	35%	60%	44%	42%	40%	24%	40%	24%	29%	12%	62%	12%	61%	31%	74%	17%	44%	12%	57%	14%	59%	39%	13%	24%	38%	71%	72%	19%	38%	71%	14%	65%	38%	38%	35%	39%	28%	46%	40%	34%	36%	30%	34%	31%	44%	50%	30%	40%	38%	35%	43%	35%	39%	37%	38%	44%	38%	33%	41%	37%	26%	28%	36%	37%	43%	33%
Not Sure	19%	14%	23%	21%	21%	17%	16%	21%	16%	22%	18%	16%	20%	36%	13%	18%	12%	27%	9%	16%	38%	15%	38%	32%	16%	19%	13%	16%	19%	11%	19%	29%	10%	11%	13%	18%	26%	7%	14%	29%	12%	13%	11%	29%	13%	15%	17%	15%	25%	21%	18%	20%	17%	18%	24%	17%	27%	20%	19%	17%	18%	29%	15%	18%	16%	16%	16%	21%	15%	27%	24%	19%	16%	17%	19%	23%	24%	22%	20%	14%	18%
Not Familiar	8%	7%	10%	11%	15%	6%	1%	13%	3%	10%	8%	6%	13%	14%	5%	7%	10%	17%	2%	6%	15%	5%	15%	29%	7%	8%	4%	6%	9%	1%	7%	14%	3%	8%	6%	9%	8%	4%	6%	12%	9%	2%	5%	12%	6%	6%	6%	6%	11%	11%	7%	6%	10%	12%	10%	4%	6%	11%	8%	4%	9%	14%	9%	8%	4%	2%	7%	9%	6%	13%	10%	6%	10%	8%	7%	16%	13%	8%	9%	8%	7%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

17	Roy Cooper?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	47%	47%	46%	39%	43%	56%	51%	41%	54%	45%	47%	42%	65%	45%	41%	42%	70%	61%	46%	50%	38%	49%	38%	37%	23%	72%	18%	73%	44%	79%	42%	56%	22%	60%	22%	73%	46%	21%	36%	53%	72%	68%	29%	53%	70%	26%	76%	50%	43%	44%	48%	45%	49%	49%	37%	47%	46%	46%	43%	50%	55%	41%	52%	52%	35%	45%	41%	51%	46%	49%	49%	50%	42%	49%	48%	37%	30%	40%	49%	53%	51%
Unfavorable	34%	37%	31%	33%	35%	31%	37%	34%	34%	32%	34%	40%	18%	23%	45%	36%	18%	18%	39%	35%	32%	36%	32%	19%	59%	11%	69%	14%	40%	12%	43%	12%	68%	23%	60%	15%	29%	66%	44%	25%	14%	17%	54%	25%	15%	58%	13%	37%	27%	36%	33%	41%	29%	30%	38%	37%	35%	37%	36%	33%	22%	32%	31%	33%	46%	36%	41%	29%	38%	25%	28%	33%	38%	34%	33%	37%	45%	38%	32%	30%	32%
Not Sure	15%	11%	19%	21%	14%	10%	12%	18%	11%	15%	15%	14%	14%	22%	10%	18%	9%	18%	13%	12%	24%	12%	24%	27%	14%	14%	11%	11%	12%	9%	12%	27%	9%	11%	14%	9%	22%	9%	17%	19%	9%	11%	13%	19%	10%	14%	9%	10%	23%	14%	15%	12%	16%	15%	18%	13%	18%	12%	16%	14%	20%	21%	10%	13%	15%	18%	14%	15%	13%	19%	17%	15%	13%	13%	15%	18%	11%	18%	17%	12%	12%
Not Familiar	4%	5%	4%	7%	7%	3%	0%	7%	1%	8%	4%	4%	3%	10%	4%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	6%	3%	6%	17%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	5%	1%	6%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	2%	8%	6%	3%	2%	6%	6%	6%	2%	2%	6%	5%	2%	3%	7%	6%	3%	3%	2%	5%	4%	3%	7%	6%	2%	6%	4%	4%	8%	14%	4%	2%	4%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

18	Josh Stein?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	43%	45%	42%	34%	44%	49%	47%	39%	48%	39%	44%	38%	57%	51%	40%	36%	62%	53%	39%	48%	34%	46%	34%	29%	17%	71%	9%	78%	40%	75%	33%	40%	19%	60%	17%	72%	40%	17%	29%	47%	72%	72%	23%	47%	72%	20%	76%	45%	40%	41%	44%	39%	48%	45%	41%	42%	39%	40%	39%	47%	56%	34%	48%	45%	36%	47%	38%	47%	41%	47%	49%	47%	36%	47%	43%	31%	32%	41%	44%	48%	41%
Unfavorable	26%	30%	23%	30%	17%	26%	31%	24%	29%	24%	26%	32%	15%	7%	36%	29%	16%	13%	36%	26%	21%	28%	21%	13%	45%	9%	58%	8%	29%	12%	36%	11%	49%	21%	45%	12%	21%	54%	35%	17%	11%	14%	44%	17%	12%	47%	10%	30%	20%	27%	26%	32%	21%	24%	21%	31%	19%	28%	25%	28%	22%	21%	24%	25%	37%	31%	31%	23%	31%	16%	22%	26%	29%	25%	28%	20%	19%	29%	25%	25%	26%
Not Sure	22%	16%	27%	19%	28%	21%	20%	23%	21%	30%	21%	22%	19%	29%	17%	27%	14%	24%	17%	20%	34%	19%	34%	34%	27%	14%	25%	10%	22%	11%	23%	38%	27%	10%	26%	11%	30%	20%	25%	27%	9%	11%	23%	27%	10%	26%	10%	19%	26%	22%	22%	23%	21%	20%	21%	22%	36%	24%	25%	18%	15%	34%	18%	21%	24%	17%	23%	21%	21%	25%	22%	20%	25%	19%	22%	30%	30%	22%	22%	21%	22%
Not Familiar	9%	9%	8%	16%	11%	4%	2%	14%	3%	7%	9%	8%	9%	13%	7%	8%	8%	11%	8%	7%	12%	7%	12%	24%	10%	5%	8%	4%	9%	2%	7%	11%	5%	9%	11%	5%	9%	9%	12%	8%	7%	3%	10%	8%	5%	8%	3%	5%	15%	10%	8%	6%	10%	11%	17%	5%	6%	9%	10%	7%	7%	11%	10%	9%	4%	5%	8%	9%	7%	12%	8%	8%	10%	9%	7%	18%	19%	8%	9%	6%	11%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

19	Mark Robinson?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Favorable	29%	34%	24%	27%	29%	28%	32%	28%	30%	29%	29%	36%	13%	15%	41%	30%	17%	9%	35%	30%	21%	32%	21%	12%	52%	10%	72%	8%	33%	17%	36%	14%	57%	21%	52%	14%	20%	65%	39%	18%	10%	11%	51%	18%	10%	53%	10%	34%	20%	30%	29%	39%	21%	25%	22%	35%	26%	32%	29%	27%	21%	22%	30%	29%	36%	31%	37%	24%	34%	17%	20%	28%	36%	29%	29%	29%	24%	27%	27%	26%	40%
Unfavorable	49%	48%	49%	44%	44%	57%	51%	44%	54%	42%	50%	44%	66%	47%	42%	46%	64%	67%	50%	52%	38%	51%	38%	38%	25%	74%	12%	80%	42%	76%	48%	52%	23%	72%	26%	71%	52%	18%	42%	52%	78%	77%	31%	52%	78%	27%	77%	49%	50%	46%	50%	41%	56%	51%	48%	48%	42%	43%	45%	57%	58%	44%	48%	52%	46%	53%	47%	50%	48%	51%	54%	52%	42%	53%	49%	35%	41%	46%	49%	55%	45%
Not Sure	15%	12%	18%	17%	17%	12%	16%	17%	13%	23%	14%	13%	15%	28%	11%	16%	14%	15%	9%	14%	26%	13%	26%	26%	16%	12%	12%	8%	17%	6%	13%	24%	16%	2%	15%	10%	21%	13%	14%	21%	6%	8%	13%	21%	7%	15%	9%	13%	18%	16%	15%	16%	14%	14%	21%	13%	26%	17%	19%	9%	12%	22%	15%	13%	12%	13%	11%	18%	12%	22%	17%	15%	14%	11%	17%	20%	22%	20%	16%	11%	10%
Not Familiar	7%	6%	8%	12%	10%	4%	2%	11%	3%	6%	7%	7%	7%	10%	5%	8%	4%	9%	5%	4%	15%	4%	15%	24%	7%	5%	4%	4%	8%	1%	4%	11%	4%	6%	7%	6%	8%	5%	5%	9%	6%	5%	5%	9%	5%	6%	3%	4%	12%	9%	6%	4%	9%	10%	9%	4%	7%	8%	7%	6%	8%	11%	8%	6%	5%	4%	5%	8%	6%	10%	9%	6%	8%	7%	6%	16%	13%	7%	8%	7%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

20	Which ONE of these issues will be the MOST important in determining your vote for president? (Choices rotated)

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Inflation	28%	30%	27%	32%	33%	26%	21%	32%	24%	19%	29%	29%	26%	25%	30%	29%	28%	25%	25%	29%	27%	29%	27%	27%	34%	21%	31%	25%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	31%	24%	32%	25%	36%	32%	19%	16%	31%	32%	17%	33%	23%	28%	29%	38%	23%	30%	26%	25%	31%	32%	18%	28%	30%	27%	27%	23%	27%	31%	36%	27%	31%	27%	29%	26%	17%	27%	36%	28%	27%	34%	26%	29%	30%	29%	24%
Workers' Rights	2%	2%	3%	1%	5%	3%	0%	3%	2%	10%	2%	2%	2%	10%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	8%	2%	8%	0%	2%	4%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	5%	1%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	0%	5%	1%	2%	0%	2%	4%	3%	0%	2%	1%	3%	2%	4%	4%	4%	1%	2%	3%	0%	2%	5%	1%	2%	1%
Federal Taxes	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	4%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	6%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%
Threats To Democracy	13%	16%	11%	7%	7%	15%	26%	7%	21%	14%	13%	13%	17%	12%	15%	11%	23%	11%	13%	15%	7%	15%	7%	9%	5%	22%	7%	21%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	20%	12%	8%	8%	12%	27%	27%	8%	12%	27%	8%	23%	14%	13%	6%	17%	12%	15%	14%	6%	15%	13%	14%	11%	17%	11%	6%	18%	14%	9%	16%	18%	11%	16%	9%	14%	15%	11%	16%	14%	5%	7%	11%	15%	16%	14%
National Security	6%	7%	6%	7%	5%	7%	5%	6%	6%	9%	6%	7%	4%	5%	7%	7%	4%	4%	7%	6%	4%	6%	4%	7%	8%	4%	9%	6%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	8%	4%	7%	10%	6%	6%	3%	6%	8%	6%	4%	9%	4%	7%	5%	6%	6%	7%	6%	5%	4%	8%	6%	6%	8%	5%	5%	7%	4%	6%	8%	8%	6%	6%	7%	4%	7%	7%	5%	7%	6%	7%	8%	8%	7%	6%	2%
Support For Veterans	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	6%	2%	1%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	0%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%
Education	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	3%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	4%	2%	0%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	0%	0%	2%	1%	3%	2%
Health Care	6%	4%	7%	6%	6%	6%	5%	6%	6%	6%	6%	4%	9%	8%	4%	5%	6%	13%	5%	6%	8%	6%	8%	5%	3%	9%	3%	7%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	3%	8%	5%	4%	2%	7%	11%	4%	3%	7%	8%	3%	7%	5%	6%	4%	7%	5%	6%	7%	10%	3%	8%	7%	5%	4%	7%	10%	4%	6%	4%	5%	5%	6%	5%	9%	8%	4%	6%	6%	6%	6%	4%	8%	5%	5%	5%
Immigration	14%	14%	14%	9%	11%	15%	24%	10%	19%	7%	15%	18%	6%	8%	18%	17%	4%	8%	14%	16%	7%	16%	7%	11%	27%	2%	28%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	27%	3%	14%	27%	21%	11%	1%	6%	24%	11%	3%	26%	3%	16%	11%	12%	15%	17%	12%	11%	14%	16%	25%	15%	14%	14%	10%	12%	16%	13%	16%	15%	16%	13%	17%	9%	7%	17%	16%	12%	15%	19%	24%	15%	10%	11%	20%
Climate Change	4%	6%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	4%	8%	4%	5%	5%	1%	7%	3%	3%	6%	6%	4%	4%	5%	4%	3%	2%	7%	2%	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	7%	3%	4%	6%	3%	6%	6%	5%	3%	6%	2%	8%	5%	3%	4%	4%	3%	6%	5%	4%	5%	2%	5%	3%	5%	5%	5%	4%	6%	4%	2%	3%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	3%	3%	6%	2%	3%	4%	7%	3%	4%
Abortion	8%	4%	11%	7%	8%	11%	4%	8%	8%	6%	8%	8%	9%	3%	3%	12%	7%	11%	8%	8%	7%	8%	7%	6%	3%	13%	3%	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	4%	14%	5%	6%	2%	6%	18%	15%	4%	6%	17%	3%	13%	7%	8%	8%	7%	7%	8%	7%	8%	8%	4%	6%	7%	10%	10%	9%	7%	6%	6%	11%	6%	9%	7%	9%	10%	7%	6%	9%	7%	6%	8%	6%	8%	9%	8%
LGBTQ+ Policies	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	1%	0%	3%	0%	6%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	5%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	5%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	0%	1%	3%	1%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%
Gov Response To Effects Of Hurricane Helene	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	0%	0%	3%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	0%	3%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	5%	1%	3%	1%	3%	0%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	4%	7%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Crime	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	3%	5%	4%	4%	8%	4%	2%	7%	14%	3%	2%	8%	6%	2%	4%	12%	3%	12%	2%	3%	6%	3%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	5%	5%	4%	3%	6%	2%	6%	4%	6%	4%	3%	4%	4%	6%	4%	4%	5%	4%	6%	5%	2%	11%	4%	5%	2%	6%	9%	5%	1%	3%	3%	2%	6%	3%	8%	9%	3%	3%	3%	5%	1%	0%	4%	3%	5%	6%
Not Sure	4%	3%	5%	6%	5%	1%	3%	6%	2%	1%	4%	3%	5%	8%	2%	5%	3%	6%	5%	2%	6%	3%	6%	14%	3%	3%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	7%	3%	6%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	5%	4%	4%	2%	5%	5%	2%	3%	3%	3%	5%	5%	4%	8%	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%	5%	4%	5%	7%	4%	3%	5%	3%	6%	3%	3%	6%	3%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Regardless of who you support, which of these two presidential candidates, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, do you think each of the following phrases fits best? Strong leader?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Harris	41%	37%	45%	36%	43%	43%	41%	40%	42%	50%	40%	30%	67%	63%	27%	32%	62%	72%	41%	42%	44%	42%	44%	25%	2%	83%	5%	70%	30%	76%	22%	57%	6%	64%	5%	83%	33%	13%	21%	44%	79%	81%	17%	44%	80%	6%	81%	41%	41%	38%	42%	34%	47%	47%	39%	35%	38%	40%	41%	40%	46%	48%	44%	40%	32%	34%	32%	47%	36%	51%	56%	42%	30%	46%	40%	30%	30%	42%	41%	40%	42%
Trump	46%	50%	42%	49%	41%	46%	47%	45%	47%	40%	47%	58%	15%	26%	61%	55%	21%	10%	50%	49%	33%	49%	33%	33%	91%	5%	88%	18%	56%	17%	61%	22%	88%	21%	88%	8%	45%	83%	71%	37%	9%	8%	76%	37%	9%	85%	9%	49%	41%	49%	45%	53%	40%	40%	46%	53%	45%	48%	47%	45%	40%	38%	43%	48%	55%	52%	57%	38%	52%	33%	32%	46%	55%	45%	46%	52%	56%	43%	45%	46%	49%
Both	5%	5%	4%	4%	6%	3%	5%	5%	4%	1%	5%	4%	7%	2%	5%	3%	8%	6%	2%	4%	9%	4%	9%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	5%	2%	4%	9%	2%	5%	4%	4%	5%	2%	4%	6%	2%	8%	3%	6%	5%	5%	3%	4%	5%	6%	4%	3%	6%	5%	5%	4%	9%	4%	4%	5%	6%	6%	5%	5%	5%	2%	3%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	5%	7%	6%	5%	6%	3%	3%
Neither	6%	6%	7%	8%	6%	6%	5%	7%	6%	5%	6%	6%	7%	6%	6%	6%	5%	10%	4%	4%	10%	4%	10%	26%	3%	5%	2%	7%	8%	5%	9%	5%	3%	8%	2%	4%	13%	1%	4%	10%	8%	2%	3%	10%	5%	3%	6%	4%	10%	5%	7%	7%	6%	6%	8%	6%	9%	5%	6%	8%	6%	4%	7%	6%	5%	10%	5%	7%	6%	7%	4%	6%	8%	4%	7%	7%	4%	5%	8%	7%	5%
Not Sure	3%	2%	3%	3%	4%	2%	1%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	4%	4%	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	4%	11%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	5%	7%	1%	3%	1%	2%	4%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	0%	3%	3%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	5%	3%	1%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Has middle class values?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Harris	49%	47%	50%	45%	50%	50%	50%	48%	50%	48%	49%	39%	76%	61%	38%	40%	73%	79%	47%	49%	52%	48%	52%	47%	8%	91%	9%	81%	42%	79%	33%	63%	9%	75%	11%	88%	46%	15%	31%	54%	85%	86%	24%	54%	85%	13%	88%	47%	52%	48%	49%	43%	54%	53%	48%	44%	46%	46%	51%	47%	56%	52%	51%	51%	37%	45%	43%	53%	44%	59%	62%	49%	40%	53%	49%	36%	38%	48%	54%	49%	46%
Trump	32%	35%	29%	34%	28%	31%	36%	31%	33%	36%	32%	40%	10%	23%	43%	37%	11%	8%	37%	34%	22%	35%	22%	21%	66%	2%	71%	7%	38%	14%	45%	17%	61%	15%	69%	4%	23%	72%	42%	23%	8%	5%	56%	23%	7%	64%	4%	37%	24%	32%	32%	40%	26%	28%	30%	37%	30%	37%	34%	28%	22%	30%	30%	33%	41%	31%	38%	27%	37%	21%	22%	30%	40%	30%	32%	39%	35%	32%	32%	29%	38%
Both	4%	4%	4%	6%	3%	3%	2%	5%	3%	2%	4%	4%	4%	2%	3%	5%	5%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	6%	1%	5%	3%	6%	1%	5%	1%	3%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	5%	5%	1%	4%	4%	5%	2%	4%	2%	3%	4%	6%	3%	3%	4%	3%	6%	4%	2%	4%	1%	8%	3%	2%	2%	3%	7%	8%	3%	4%	4%	3%	2%	5%	4%	5%	3%	4%	5%	4%	2%	5%	4%
Neither	11%	11%	11%	10%	13%	12%	9%	12%	11%	10%	11%	13%	8%	7%	12%	13%	7%	8%	7%	12%	10%	11%	10%	18%	16%	4%	12%	8%	14%	5%	9%	9%	21%	5%	12%	5%	18%	6%	17%	13%	6%	5%	12%	13%	6%	14%	6%	10%	13%	10%	12%	10%	12%	10%	13%	11%	15%	8%	11%	13%	16%	8%	12%	11%	11%	13%	12%	11%	11%	12%	8%	12%	13%	9%	12%	16%	14%	12%	8%	13%	9%
Not Sure	4%	3%	6%	5%	6%	4%	3%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	3%	7%	4%	6%	3%	2%	4%	2%	12%	3%	12%	11%	4%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	7%	10%	6%	1%	4%	0%	7%	4%	5%	5%	0%	0%	4%	5%	0%	4%	0%	3%	6%	5%	4%	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	7%	6%	3%	4%	3%	9%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	5%	4%	6%	6%	4%	3%	3%	5%	5%	9%	4%	5%	4%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Honest and truthful?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Harris	43%	40%	46%	39%	46%	44%	44%	42%	44%	50%	42%	32%	70%	65%	29%	35%	70%	70%	45%	43%	46%	43%	46%	33%	3%	87%	7%	74%	32%	79%	28%	58%	7%	69%	5%	86%	36%	14%	22%	48%	77%	87%	18%	48%	81%	8%	84%	44%	43%	42%	44%	37%	49%	48%	39%	39%	41%	43%	41%	42%	53%	48%	47%	42%	34%	38%	36%	49%	39%	53%	57%	45%	33%	49%	42%	33%	32%	43%	41%	45%	45%
Trump	35%	39%	30%	37%	29%	34%	37%	34%	36%	39%	34%	44%	10%	18%	49%	39%	13%	8%	45%	36%	16%	38%	16%	28%	71%	2%	73%	9%	39%	13%	48%	15%	70%	16%	74%	4%	26%	73%	49%	24%	7%	6%	61%	24%	7%	67%	4%	40%	25%	35%	34%	43%	28%	31%	35%	38%	35%	38%	37%	30%	24%	33%	31%	36%	46%	31%	43%	29%	40%	24%	26%	32%	42%	31%	35%	40%	45%	34%	36%	31%	37%
Both	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	0%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	7%	1%	7%	1%	3%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	3%	0%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	4%	1%	2%	2%	3%	6%	1%	0%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	0%	0%	2%	3%	2%	2%
Neither	17%	17%	17%	16%	17%	17%	16%	17%	17%	8%	18%	19%	11%	12%	19%	19%	10%	12%	7%	16%	26%	14%	26%	27%	21%	7%	14%	16%	24%	5%	21%	11%	19%	12%	16%	7%	29%	7%	26%	20%	13%	2%	17%	20%	8%	20%	10%	14%	23%	16%	17%	15%	17%	13%	17%	20%	19%	12%	16%	23%	18%	9%	16%	19%	17%	25%	18%	16%	17%	16%	12%	17%	20%	13%	18%	20%	14%	16%	17%	20%	12%
Not Sure	4%	2%	5%	4%	5%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	6%	2%	2%	5%	3%	8%	1%	3%	4%	3%	4%	12%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	14%	3%	2%	1%	2%	7%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	1%	1%	6%	3%	4%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	6%	4%	4%	3%	3%	7%	4%	1%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	6%	5%	4%	3%	3%	3%	7%	9%	5%	3%	2%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Good judgment in a crisis?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Harris	43%	41%	45%	40%	45%	42%	45%	42%	43%	51%	42%	33%	69%	58%	32%	34%	68%	70%	47%	43%	45%	44%	45%	29%	3%	86%	6%	73%	31%	76%	23%	61%	9%	70%	6%	84%	37%	13%	25%	46%	79%	86%	19%	46%	82%	7%	84%	43%	43%	42%	43%	34%	51%	49%	41%	37%	39%	43%	40%	43%	51%	47%	45%	42%	35%	40%	35%	48%	38%	52%	55%	44%	33%	47%	43%	30%	30%	45%	44%	44%	40%
Trump	41%	46%	37%	41%	35%	42%	47%	38%	44%	35%	42%	52%	12%	23%	56%	48%	16%	8%	47%	43%	29%	44%	29%	29%	85%	2%	86%	12%	50%	19%	56%	18%	80%	18%	86%	3%	36%	81%	60%	31%	8%	8%	70%	31%	8%	81%	3%	45%	35%	42%	41%	50%	34%	35%	38%	49%	41%	44%	45%	37%	31%	37%	37%	45%	50%	41%	51%	34%	47%	28%	28%	40%	51%	39%	42%	47%	47%	40%	39%	39%	47%
Both	4%	4%	3%	6%	5%	3%	1%	5%	2%	7%	3%	2%	6%	8%	3%	2%	4%	7%	3%	3%	8%	3%	8%	6%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	0%	9%	1%	2%	4%	2%	5%	4%	2%	4%	5%	2%	2%	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	3%	6%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	7%	3%	2%	4%	5%	3%	2%	5%	7%	1%	3%	2%	3%	4%	4%	4%	5%	4%	2%	4%	3%	7%	6%	3%	3%	3%	5%
Neither	7%	5%	9%	7%	9%	7%	5%	8%	6%	5%	7%	7%	8%	6%	5%	9%	8%	8%	2%	6%	11%	5%	11%	21%	5%	4%	5%	7%	10%	3%	7%	8%	7%	3%	5%	4%	14%	2%	8%	11%	3%	1%	5%	11%	2%	5%	5%	6%	9%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%	10%	6%	5%	10%	11%	4%	8%	6%	9%	11%	7%	7%	7%	8%	4%	7%	9%	6%	8%	8%	9%	4%	12%	9%	4%
Not Sure	5%	4%	6%	6%	6%	6%	3%	6%	5%	2%	5%	5%	5%	5%	3%	7%	3%	7%	2%	5%	7%	4%	7%	15%	3%	4%	1%	5%	5%	1%	5%	12%	3%	5%	2%	4%	8%	2%	2%	7%	8%	4%	2%	7%	6%	4%	4%	3%	7%	5%	5%	4%	5%	5%	6%	4%	9%	3%	6%	7%	5%	7%	3%	6%	3%	7%	3%	6%	4%	8%	7%	5%	4%	4%	5%	8%	8%	8%	2%	5%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Understands the economy?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Harris	40%	37%	43%	38%	41%	40%	41%	39%	40%	53%	38%	30%	67%	53%	28%	32%	65%	69%	46%	39%	42%	41%	42%	25%	2%	81%	4%	69%	29%	69%	28%	56%	5%	64%	4%	82%	32%	14%	22%	42%	71%	85%	18%	42%	78%	6%	79%	40%	39%	38%	41%	33%	46%	45%	39%	34%	41%	41%	39%	37%	45%	46%	44%	38%	34%	32%	32%	46%	35%	49%	54%	39%	31%	44%	40%	27%	30%	41%	40%	41%	37%
Trump	45%	50%	41%	44%	41%	46%	51%	43%	48%	35%	47%	57%	17%	26%	60%	53%	20%	14%	49%	49%	31%	49%	31%	32%	91%	4%	89%	17%	56%	19%	60%	19%	88%	24%	88%	7%	45%	82%	67%	37%	8%	11%	74%	37%	9%	86%	6%	49%	40%	47%	45%	53%	40%	40%	43%	52%	45%	48%	47%	43%	38%	38%	43%	47%	56%	49%	55%	39%	52%	32%	30%	46%	55%	42%	46%	52%	56%	46%	41%	44%	48%
Both	6%	6%	6%	6%	7%	6%	4%	7%	5%	3%	6%	5%	6%	9%	6%	5%	6%	6%	2%	6%	11%	5%	11%	8%	4%	6%	6%	5%	7%	4%	4%	9%	2%	5%	5%	5%	8%	2%	5%	9%	6%	1%	4%	9%	4%	4%	6%	5%	7%	6%	6%	6%	6%	5%	8%	6%	3%	5%	5%	7%	8%	6%	7%	6%	4%	6%	6%	5%	6%	6%	6%	7%	5%	6%	5%	9%	6%	4%	8%	6%	7%
Neither	6%	5%	6%	8%	6%	5%	3%	7%	4%	5%	6%	5%	9%	4%	4%	5%	7%	10%	2%	4%	8%	4%	8%	24%	2%	5%	2%	5%	7%	4%	4%	7%	3%	4%	2%	4%	10%	1%	5%	8%	7%	3%	3%	8%	5%	3%	5%	4%	8%	6%	5%	5%	6%	6%	6%	4%	7%	5%	5%	6%	7%	6%	4%	6%	4%	9%	5%	6%	4%	9%	7%	4%	7%	4%	6%	7%	3%	5%	5%	7%	4%
Not Sure	4%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	1%	5%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	8%	2%	5%	2%	1%	1%	3%	8%	2%	8%	11%	1%	3%	0%	3%	2%	4%	4%	8%	1%	3%	1%	3%	6%	1%	0%	5%	8%	0%	1%	5%	4%	1%	4%	2%	6%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	5%	3%	4%	2%	3%	6%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	5%	5%	5%	2%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	28%	25%	24%	23%	53%	47%	10%	90%	69%	20%	11%	35%	34%	9%	11%	18%	62%	13%	80%	13%	7%	46%	47%	34%	50%	28%	13%	6%	6%	14%	8%	35%	36%	26%	18%	20%	38%	12%	10%	38%	38%	21%	44%	39%	64%	33%	33%	66%	45%	53%	42%	11%	40%	7%	33%	33%	24%	10%	20%	28%	25%	11%	15%	40%	59%	68%	32%	23%	40%	37%	32%	57%	11%	5%	31%	19%	29%	16%

Takes action rather than just talking?

1164 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race			Gender By Race				Likely?			Likely?			2024 President		2024 Governor		Top Issue						Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2020 President		Vote in 2022		Parent		Evangelical		Marital Status				Education				Income					Gun in Home		Home		Urbanicity			Area			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Other	White Ma	White Fe	Black Ma	Black Fe	Already	Certain	Probable	Already	Probable	All Othe	Trump	Harris	Robinson	Stein	Inflatio	Threats	National	Health C	Immigrat	Abortion	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Biden	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Single	Engaged/	Married	Widowed	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Coastal	Piedmont	Mountain	Western	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Harris	40%	37%	43%	36%	43%	42%	40%	39%	41%	47%	39%	29%	67%	58%	27%	31%	65%	69%	42%	40%	41%	41%	41%	30%	1%	82%	4%	69%	31%	70%	23%	55%	3%	66%	5%	81%	32%	15%	21%	42%	75%	81%	18%	42%	78%	5%	80%	41%	39%	39%	40%	33%	46%	45%	37%	36%	39%	39%	39%	40%	46%	44%	42%	40%	32%	36%	34%	45%	35%	50%	54%	40%	31%	43%	41%	28%	30%	43%	42%	39%	37%
Trump	46%	51%	40%	46%	41%	46%	50%	44%	48%	42%	46%	57%	17%	26%	61%	53%	22%	13%	51%	49%	30%	50%	30%	30%	91%	5%	88%	17%	55%	20%	66%	22%	88%	23%	88%	8%	45%	83%	65%	39%	9%	11%	74%	39%	10%	85%	8%	49%	41%	47%	45%	54%	39%	39%	51%	51%	45%	48%	48%	43%	37%	38%	42%	49%	56%	48%	55%	39%	52%	32%	33%	44%	55%	44%	45%	52%	55%	45%	42%	44%	52%
Both	4%	5%	3%	5%	5%	4%	1%	5%	2%	5%	4%	3%	3%	8%	4%	2%	5%	2%	3%	3%	10%	3%	10%	5%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	1%	1%	3%	3%	5%	1%	3%	6%	6%	1%	2%	6%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	5%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%	0%	3%	4%	5%	3%	3%	6%	3%	2%	4%	4%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	2%	5%	3%	7%	1%	3%	3%	5%	4%
Neither	7%	6%	8%	8%	8%	6%	5%	8%	5%	5%	7%	7%	7%	7%	5%	8%	6%	8%	1%	5%	14%	4%	14%	23%	4%	5%	4%	7%	9%	3%	5%	4%	8%	6%	4%	4%	12%	0%	8%	9%	7%	4%	4%	9%	6%	5%	5%	6%	9%	6%	7%	7%	7%	7%	6%	6%	10%	6%	5%	10%	9%	6%	7%	6%	8%	9%	5%	8%	7%	7%	4%	7%	9%	6%	7%