| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13232 |
| 48 HRS TO SC DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY -- Obama Flat, Clinton Down, Edwards Up: Two days till the South Carolina Democratic Primary, SurveyUSA finds Barack Obama at 45%, unchanged from a week ago; Hillary Clinton at 29%, down 7 from a week ago, and John Edwards at 22%, up 7 from a week ago. Research conducted for WSPA-TV Greenville and WCSC-TV Charleston. All interviews conducted after results of the Nevada Caucus were known. Among white voters today, Clinton and Edwards are effectively tied, 37% Clinton (down 13 points from last week) to 34% Edwards (up 8 points from last week). Upstate, all 3 candidates are within 8 points of each other. In the Midlands, Obama is 2:1 atop Clinton. In the Low County, Obama and Clinton are down, Edwards is up, but Obama still leads by 15 points. More than a third of Democrats are focused on the Economy as the most important issue for the next president. Of those, Obama is backed by 48%, Clinton by 29%, Edwards by 20%. Among black voters, Obama leads 73% to 18%. Among voters under 50, Obama leads by 24. Among voters age 50+, Obama leads by 8. South Carolina is one of very few, and possibly the only Democratic primary state, where Obama leads among female voters. In most other states, Clinton has a stranglehold on women. Here in SC, Clinton led Obama by 33 points among females in November, but today, Obama is 12 atop Clinton among women. |
| 20% May Change Their Mind: 2,100 South Carolina adults were interviewed 01/22/08 and 01/23/08. All interviews completed after contentious Democratic candidate debate in Myrtle Beach the evening of 01/21/08. Of the adults, 1,839 were registered to vote. Of them, 685 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 01/26/08 Democratic Primary. 20% of likely Democratic Primary voters say they "may" yet change their mind. Of those whose minds are made up, Obama's support is the most solid. |
![]() | If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
| 685 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Change Your Mind | Age | <50 / 50+ | Region | Top Issue For Next President | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Could Ch | Mind Mad | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Upstate | Midlands | Low Coun | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | |
| Clinton | 29% | 25% | 32% | 37% | 18% | ** | ** | 25% | 31% | 23% | 28% | 28% | 36% | 26% | 30% | 26% | 24% | 29% | 40% | 25% | 33% | 32% | 27% | 30% | 29% | ** | 28% | 34% | ** | 25% | 20% | ** |
| Edwards | 22% | 23% | 21% | 34% | 6% | ** | ** | 33% | 17% | 35% | 29% | 27% | 16% | 31% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 24% | 28% | 19% | 21% | 20% | ** | 21% | 24% | ** | 15% | 19% | ** |
| Obama | 45% | 47% | 44% | 24% | 73% | ** | ** | 25% | 50% | 38% | 37% | 43% | 45% | 35% | 48% | 50% | 49% | 44% | 37% | 49% | 41% | 36% | 52% | 45% | 48% | ** | 49% | 40% | ** | 59% | 54% | ** |
| Other | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | ** | ** | 10% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | ** | 2% | 0% | ** | 1% | 5% | ** |
| Undecided | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 7% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | 1% | 1% | ** | 0% | 2% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 41% | 59% | 55% | 42% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 73% | 16% | 15% | 42% | 17% | 20% | 78% | 19% | 31% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 27% | 38% | 34% | 37% | 4% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 4% |