Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21740 |
In Georgia, 1 Week Till Voting Begins, It's a 1-Point Race for US Senate, 2-Point Race for Governor, 4-Point Race for School Superintendent:
In the battle for the open US Senate seat in Georgia, Republican David Perdue can't manage to pull away from Democrat Michelle Nunn in SurveyUSA's polling for WXIA-TV in Atlanta. Today, the race stands exactly where it did 2 weeks ago: Perdue 46%, Nunn 45%, close enough to be called "even." Nunn holds an exceptionally high 87% of the Democratic base. That is the only way she can remain competitive in a contest where, today, independents break nearly 5:3 for her Republican opponent. Perdue holds 77% of conservatives. That is how he remains competitive in a contest where, today, Nunn leads among moderates by 22 points. Nunn gets to 54% in greater Atlanta, where she leads by 17. Perdue gets to 56% in Northwest GA, where he leads by 23. The candidates split the Southern and Eastern parts of the state. In the contest for Governor, incumbent Republican Nathan Deal today has a 2-point advantage over Democratic challenger Jason Carter, 46% to 44%. That's a 3-point swing in Deal's favor compared to 2 weeks ago, when Carter edged Deal, in SurveyUSA polling, 45% to 44%. Consistently, over the past 4 tracking polls, Deal has polled at 50% or 51% among males, and led by 11 to 14 points. Inconsistently, over the past 4 tracking polls, Carter has tried to build a gender-gap advantage among women, where today Carter leads by 7. But Carter is not as strong among women as Deal is among men. Every additional man who turns out helps to re-elect the Governor; every additional woman who turns out helps to unseat the Governor. In the contest for School Superintendent, Republican Richard Woods and Democrat Valarie Wilson remain where they have been for the past month --- too close to call. Today, Woods gets 46%, Wilson gets 42%. On 09/09/14, Woods led by 4 points. On 09/23/14, Woods led by 2 points. Today, again, by 4. Voters who support the "Common Core" curriculum back Wilson by 43 points. Those who oppose the Common Core curriculum back Woods by 60 points.
* In the contest for Lieutenant Governor, incumbent Republican Casey Cagle today defeats Democrat Connie Stokes, 51% to 39%. |
![]() | If the election for Georgia Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Nathan Deal? Democrat Jason Carter? Or Libertarian Andrew Hunt? |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Nathan Deal (R) | 46% | 51% | 41% | 44% | 49% | 36% | 57% | 47% | 44% | 63% | 14% | ** | ** | 83% | 12% | 45% | 75% | 33% | 12% | 31% | 70% | 43% | 45% | 47% | 31% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 39% | 55% | 42% |
Jason Carter (D) | 44% | 39% | 48% | 46% | 36% | 54% | 35% | 40% | 47% | 26% | 77% | ** | ** | 10% | 84% | 29% | 19% | 54% | 79% | 63% | 19% | 43% | 43% | 44% | 52% | 39% | 44% | 36% | 46% | 53% | 35% | 44% |
Andrew Hunt (L) | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% |
Undecided | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | ** | 4% | 4% | 16% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
![]() | If the election for United States Senator from Georgia were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Perdue? Democrat Michelle Nunn? Or Libertarian Amanda Swafford? |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
David Perdue (R) | 46% | 51% | 41% | 44% | 46% | 39% | 57% | 46% | 46% | 63% | 15% | ** | ** | 83% | 10% | 49% | 77% | 33% | 9% | 29% | 73% | 42% | 46% | 47% | 36% | 51% | 47% | 46% | 46% | 37% | 56% | 45% |
Michelle Nunn (D) | 45% | 40% | 49% | 44% | 40% | 55% | 38% | 41% | 48% | 27% | 82% | ** | ** | 9% | 87% | 31% | 17% | 55% | 84% | 65% | 18% | 51% | 44% | 44% | 55% | 40% | 45% | 39% | 47% | 54% | 33% | 48% |
Amanda Swafford (L) | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% |
Undecided | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 2% | ** | ** | 5% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
![]() | Georgia will also elect a Lieutenant Governor. If the election for Lieuenant Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Casey Cagle? Or Democrat Connie Stokes? |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Casey Cagle (R) | 51% | 57% | 44% | 44% | 60% | 39% | 62% | 54% | 48% | 69% | 18% | ** | ** | 88% | 10% | 60% | 78% | 40% | 12% | 36% | 77% | 44% | 51% | 53% | 38% | 56% | 53% | 49% | 51% | 43% | 62% | 46% |
Connie Stokes (D) | 39% | 35% | 43% | 40% | 30% | 53% | 29% | 34% | 44% | 20% | 74% | ** | ** | 4% | 83% | 21% | 18% | 45% | 78% | 58% | 16% | 40% | 38% | 39% | 46% | 35% | 41% | 34% | 41% | 50% | 30% | 37% |
Undecided | 10% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 9% | ** | ** | 8% | 7% | 19% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 18% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 17% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
![]() | Georgia will also elect a Secretary of State. If the election for Secretary of State were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Brian Kemp? Or Democrat Doreen Carter? |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Brian Kemp (R) | 49% | 54% | 44% | 41% | 53% | 40% | 61% | 49% | 48% | 67% | 12% | ** | ** | 87% | 10% | 53% | 79% | 37% | 9% | 33% | 77% | 41% | 47% | 53% | 37% | 53% | 51% | 46% | 49% | 42% | 61% | 42% |
Doreen Carter (D) | 39% | 34% | 43% | 43% | 31% | 47% | 32% | 35% | 42% | 20% | 78% | ** | ** | 4% | 82% | 23% | 14% | 43% | 81% | 57% | 16% | 48% | 38% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 40% | 33% | 41% | 50% | 29% | 38% |
Undecided | 13% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 10% | ** | ** | 9% | 8% | 24% | 7% | 20% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 21% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 20% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
![]() | Georgia will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Sam Olens? Or Democrat Greg Hecht? |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Sam Olens (R) | 46% | 51% | 42% | 36% | 52% | 38% | 58% | 47% | 46% | 63% | 16% | ** | ** | 83% | 10% | 49% | 77% | 32% | 10% | 34% | 74% | 43% | 45% | 49% | 35% | 53% | 46% | 41% | 48% | 40% | 61% | 37% |
Greg Hecht (D) | 39% | 38% | 41% | 41% | 33% | 49% | 32% | 36% | 42% | 22% | 74% | ** | ** | 6% | 77% | 29% | 14% | 49% | 78% | 60% | 18% | 40% | 41% | 38% | 49% | 33% | 41% | 36% | 40% | 51% | 24% | 43% |
Undecided | 15% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 10% | ** | ** | 10% | 13% | 22% | 9% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 20% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Richard Woods (R) | 46% | 52% | 40% | 42% | 51% | 36% | 56% | 48% | 44% | 61% | 15% | ** | ** | 83% | 10% | 49% | 77% | 32% | 11% | 24% | 75% | 38% | 46% | 48% | 36% | 49% | 47% | 46% | 46% | 38% | 59% | 39% |
Valarie Wilson (D) | 42% | 38% | 47% | 46% | 34% | 53% | 34% | 38% | 45% | 24% | 78% | ** | ** | 6% | 82% | 31% | 14% | 54% | 75% | 67% | 15% | 49% | 42% | 40% | 50% | 38% | 44% | 38% | 44% | 50% | 31% | 46% |
Undecided | 12% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 15% | 7% | ** | ** | 11% | 7% | 20% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 17% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
![]() | In general, do you support or oppose the school standards known as "Common Core?" Or, do you not know enough to say? |
566 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Support | 21% | 24% | 18% | 29% | 27% | 19% | 10% | 28% | 15% | 19% | 24% | ** | ** | 15% | 26% | 23% | 12% | 30% | 27% | 100% | 0% | 16% | 15% | 28% | 17% | 18% | 30% | 31% | 17% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
Oppose | 36% | 39% | 32% | 33% | 39% | 32% | 38% | 37% | 34% | 46% | 15% | ** | ** | 49% | 16% | 47% | 52% | 26% | 23% | 0% | 100% | 26% | 36% | 39% | 25% | 44% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 31% | 46% | 29% |
Do Not Know Enough To Say | 43% | 37% | 50% | 37% | 34% | 49% | 52% | 35% | 50% | 34% | 61% | ** | ** | 37% | 58% | 30% | 36% | 43% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 58% | 49% | 33% | 58% | 39% | 35% | 34% | 47% | 41% | 40% | 50% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 46% | 54% | 62% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 73% | 33% | 35% | 32% |