Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19876 |
On Eve of 2nd Presidential Debate, Obama's Washington State Lead Sliced By 6 Points Following 1st Debate Performance:
In an election for President of the United States in Washington state today, 10/15/12, three weeks until votes are counted, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 54% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING-TV in Seattle. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 10/01/12, on the eve of the 1st Presidential debate, Obama's lead has been sliced from 20 points to 14. Among Independent voters, Obama had led by 20 points on 10/01/12, now leads by 9 points today. Among middle-income voters, Obama had led by 18 points, now leads by 7. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 adults 10/12/12 through 10/14/12. Of the adults, 628 were registered to vote in Washington state. Of the registered, 543 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day 11/06/12. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (75% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home phone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. |
![]() | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
543 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
Mitt Romney (R) | 40% | 41% | 38% | 27% | 43% | 42% | 47% | 35% | 44% | 45% | ** | 16% | 28% | 35% | 41% | 86% | 3% | 41% | 78% | 36% | 81% | 26% | 2% | 41% | 42% | 37% | 39% | 43% | 34% | 44% | 55% | 30% |
Barack Obama (D) | 54% | 52% | 55% | 63% | 50% | 52% | 49% | 56% | 51% | 48% | ** | 78% | 67% | 56% | 53% | 6% | 95% | 50% | 13% | 58% | 15% | 66% | 91% | 55% | 50% | 57% | 53% | 50% | 61% | 49% | 39% | 63% |
Other | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ** | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
Undecided | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ** | 2% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 79% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 25% | 75% | 27% | 36% | 36% | 7% | 88% | 34% | 41% | 20% | 15% | 44% | 41% | 30% | 41% | 30% | 27% | 22% | 51% |