Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14116
16 Weeks Out, NC Governor Race Too Close To Call: In an election for North Carolina Governor today, 07/15/08, Democratic Lieutenant Governor Beverly Perdue and Republican Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory are effectively tied, according to this latest SurveyUSA election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV in Raleigh. Today, it's Perdue 47%, McCrory 46%, within the survey's 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical poll released eight weeks ago, McCrory is up one point; Perdue is down 5. Among men, McCrory leads by 11 points; among women, Perdue leads by 12 -- a 23-point gender gap. Among voters age 18 to 49, Perdue leads by 4; among voters 50+, McCrory leads by 2. McCrory leads by 14 points in Charlotte and the western portion of the state; Perdue leads by 9 points in the Raleigh and Greensboro areas, and by 12 points in southern and coastal North Carolina. Incumbent governor Mike Easley, first elected in 2000, is term limited.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 07/12/08 through 07/14/08. Of them, 872 were registered to vote; of them, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
North Carolina voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Pat McCrory? Democrat Beverly Perdue? Or Libertarian Mike Munger?
676 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
Pat McCrory (R)46%53%40%42%47%40%59%45%47%44%57%45%57%9%****79%16%53%72%40%14%49%44%49%44%39%61%34%48%46%47%**26%36%84%****59%40%49%54%42%40%
Beverly Perdue (D)47%42%52%53%46%52%36%49%45%49%36%48%36%83%****14%78%36%23%53%82%46%49%45%50%49%33%60%42%48%47%**66%58%14%****30%54%44%40%51%52%
Mike Munger (L)3%3%3%3%4%4%1%3%3%3%1%3%3%4%****3%3%4%3%3%3%3%3%2%4%7%2%4%2%3%3%**1%1%2%****8%3%3%2%4%3%
Composition of Likely Voters100%46%54%22%31%28%19%53%47%45%11%44%74%19%4%3%37%45%15%34%34%12%46%54%57%28%16%46%50%19%80%55%3%9%9%7%2%2%8%42%58%34%49%17%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.