Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14116 |
16 Weeks Out, NC Governor Race Too Close To Call: In an election for North Carolina Governor today, 07/15/08, Democratic Lieutenant Governor Beverly Perdue and Republican Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory are effectively tied, according to this latest SurveyUSA election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV in Raleigh. Today, it's Perdue 47%, McCrory 46%, within the survey's 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical poll released eight weeks ago, McCrory is up one point; Perdue is down 5. Among men, McCrory leads by 11 points; among women, Perdue leads by 12 -- a 23-point gender gap. Among voters age 18 to 49, Perdue leads by 4; among voters 50+, McCrory leads by 2. McCrory leads by 14 points in Charlotte and the western portion of the state; Perdue leads by 9 points in the Raleigh and Greensboro areas, and by 12 points in southern and coastal North Carolina. Incumbent governor Mike Easley, first elected in 2000, is term limited. |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 07/12/08 through 07/14/08. Of them, 872 were registered to vote; of them, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. |
676 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
Pat McCrory (R) | 46% | 53% | 40% | 42% | 47% | 40% | 59% | 45% | 47% | 44% | 57% | 45% | 57% | 9% | ** | ** | 79% | 16% | 53% | 72% | 40% | 14% | 49% | 44% | 49% | 44% | 39% | 61% | 34% | 48% | 46% | 47% | ** | 26% | 36% | 84% | ** | ** | 59% | 40% | 49% | 54% | 42% | 40% |
Beverly Perdue (D) | 47% | 42% | 52% | 53% | 46% | 52% | 36% | 49% | 45% | 49% | 36% | 48% | 36% | 83% | ** | ** | 14% | 78% | 36% | 23% | 53% | 82% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 50% | 49% | 33% | 60% | 42% | 48% | 47% | ** | 66% | 58% | 14% | ** | ** | 30% | 54% | 44% | 40% | 51% | 52% |
Mike Munger (L) | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | ** | 1% | 1% | 2% | ** | ** | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% |
Undecided | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | ** | 6% | 5% | 1% | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 19% | 53% | 47% | 45% | 11% | 44% | 74% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 37% | 45% | 15% | 34% | 34% | 12% | 46% | 54% | 57% | 28% | 16% | 46% | 50% | 19% | 80% | 55% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 42% | 58% | 34% | 49% | 17% |