Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14188
In Battleground Oregon, 3 Months Out, Obama 3 Atop McCain: In an election for President of the United States in Oregon today, 08/06/08, three months till votes are counted, Barack Obama edges John McCain 48% to 45%, within the survey's 4.0 percentage point margin of sampling error, according to this SurveyUSA pre-election poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV Portland. Obama leads by 13 points in greater Portland; McCain leads by 14 in the rest of the state. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 15 points. Among voters older than McCain, Obama leads by 9. Among voters who are inbetween the ages of the two candidates, McCain leads by 9. McCain holds 82% of the GOP base. Obama holds 80% of the Democrat base. Independents split. McCain is backed by 80% of conservatives. Obama is backed by 83% of liberals. Moderates break 5:3 for Obama. McCain leads 2:1 among those who attend religious services regularly. Obama leads 2:1 among those who almost never attend religious services. Among men, McCain leads by 5 points. Among women, Obama leads by 13.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Oregon adults 08/02/08 through 08/04/08. Of them, 809 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 629 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Oregon has 7 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried Oregon by 4 points in 2004; Al Gore carried Oregon by four-tenths of a point in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
629 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicAsianRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind Mad< $50K> $50KPortlandRest of
McCain (R)45%50%39%40%41%50%47%40%49%38%40%52%46%******82%14%39%80%39%13%46%44%60%40%34%73%30%44%45%41%48%40%53%
Obama (D)48%45%52%53%51%46%43%52%45%53%49%43%47%******15%80%45%11%55%83%49%48%33%52%60%21%62%37%51%51%46%53%39%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%22%30%30%19%51%49%44%10%45%90%2%4%5%37%41%21%28%43%21%46%54%37%22%41%35%61%22%77%40%60%65%35%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.