Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14205
12 Weeks Out, McCain 4 Points Atop Obama in NC: In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina today, 08/12/08, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 49% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive WTVD-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 12 weeks ago, McCain is down 2, Obama is up 2. McCain had led by 8, now 4. In Raleigh, there is slight movement to Obama. In Southern and Coastal NC, there is slight, offsetting movement to McCain. Among the better educated, there is movement to Obama. Among the less-educated, there is erosion in Obama's support. Blacks continue to vote 10:1 Obama. Whites continue to vote 2:1 McCain. Obama continues to lead 5:4 among the less affluent. McCain continues to lead 5:4 among the more affluent. Among men, McCain led by 20 points four weeks ago, leads by 9 today. Among women, Obama led by 7 points four weeks ago, leads by 2 today. A then-27-point Gender Gap is now 11 points. McCain holds 86% of the GOP base. Obama holds 71% of the Democrat base. Independents can't make up their minds.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 North Carolina adults 08/09/08 - 08/11/08. All interviews were completed after former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, a Democratic candidate for President in 2008, announced that he had been unfaithful to his cancer stricken wife. Of the 950 adults, 823 were registered to vote; of them, 655 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. North Carolina has 15 Electoral College votes. Incumbent Republican President George W. Bush carried the state by 12 points in 2004 and by 13 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
655 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
McCain (R)49%52%46%42%51%51%52%47%52%46%54%52%60%9%****86%25%45%82%42%8%48%50%52%46%41%61%38%47%50%48%**30%27%89%****88%42%52%53%44%57%
Obama (D)45%43%48%53%45%43%39%48%42%49%34%43%33%91%****11%71%42%13%52%89%48%42%42%48%54%34%56%40%47%46%**61%66%11%****10%51%43%40%51%38%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%23%31%27%18%55%45%49%9%42%75%19%3%3%33%46%18%32%37%11%52%48%62%23%15%47%49%20%78%50%4%10%8%7%4%5%8%36%64%33%50%17%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.