Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14158
Missouri, 3 Months Out: McCain Maintains Slight Advantage in Key Swing State: In an election for President in Missouri today, 08/01/08, Republican John McCain edges Democrat Barack Obama 49% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released ten weeks ago, when Hillary Clinton was still in the race for the Democratic nomination, McCain is up a statistically insignificant one point; Obama is down a statistically insignificant one point. Among men, McCain today leads by 12. Among women, Obama leads by 3 -- a 15 point gender gap. Among voters older than McCain, McCain leads by 19 points. Among voters younger than Obama, the contest is tied. McCain holds 87% of Republican voters; Obama holds 83% of Democrats. Independents break 5:3 for McCain. McCain leads by 28 points in southeastern Missouri, by 23 in southwestern Missouri, and by 21 in the northern portion of the state. Obama leads by 13 in the St. Louis area. The two tie in the Kansas City area.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,050 Missouri adults 07/29/08 through 07/31/08. Of the adults, 1,884 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 1,459 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Missouri has 11 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Missouri by 7 points in 2004 and by 3 points in 2000.
If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama , who would you vote for?
1459 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionTop Issue For Next PresidentPhoto ID To Vote?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratRequire No IDNot SureNorthernKansas CSouthwesSt. LouiSoutheas
McCain (R)49%53%45%43%50%49%54%47%51%48%56%47%54%10%****87%12%55%86%32%11%60%35%38%67%30%46%**34%40%87%****76%59%30%**57%46%59%40%61%
Obama (D)44%41%48%51%45%43%39%47%41%47%37%44%39%88%****10%83%34%10%61%85%35%57%56%28%64%49%**56%49%10%****19%34%64%**36%47%36%53%33%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%21%32%26%21%53%47%45%13%42%86%11%1%3%36%38%20%37%35%12%55%24%21%52%45%56%2%10%7%8%3%3%5%64%36%0%15%20%18%38%10%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.