Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20512
 
Fight to the Finish in Los Angeles Mayor Election: Garcetti and Greuel Now Tied, 11 Days Till Votes are Counted:

46% Garcetti, 46% Greuel, SurveyUSA finds in its latest KABC-TV pre-election tracking poll on the race for Mayor of Los Angeles. The sea-saw contest had Garcetti leading by 9 points 1 month ago, and Greuel leading by 3 points 2 weeks ago. But today, 05/10/13, the candidates are exactly even, with 8% of likely voters still undecided.

Greuel and Garcetti are within 2 points of each other in every age group. Men tip slightly to Garcetti. Women tip slightly to Greuel. Whites and Latinos slightly favor Garcetti. African Americans by 2:1, and Asian Americans ever-so-slightly, favor Greuel. Garcetti leads among Republicans. Greuel leads among Democrats and Independents. Wealthier and well-educated voters favor Garcetti. Less affluent and less educated voters favor Greuel.

In the contest for City Attorney, incumbent Carmen Trutanich appears to have made inroads against challenger Mike Feuer. Feuer had led by 18 points in March, then led by 12, then led by 10, and today leads by just 6 points. Trutanich is making up ground among conservatives and among younger voters.

In the contest for City Controller, Dennis Zine maintains a 12-point lead over Ron Galperin. There has been little movement in the contest compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 weeks ago.

On the 3 ballot questions about medical marijuana:

* Proposition D leads by nearly 2:1, largely unchanged from 2 weeks ago.
* Ordinance E trails by 13 points, identical to 2 weeks ago.
* Measure F leads by 34 points, largely unchanged from 2 weeks ago.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 city of Los Angeles adults 05/05/13 through 05/08/13. Of the adults, 839 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 556 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 05/21/13 primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (82% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (18% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
If the election for Los Angeles Mayor were today, who would you vote for? Eric Garcetti? Or Wendy Greuel?
556 Actual & Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You VoParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineEarlyOn ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Eric Garcetti46%48%44%44%45%47%48%45%47%51%28%47%41%52%45%47%45%58%43%40%54%43%46%40%42%51%39%46%52%
Wendy Greuel46%45%48%45%47%47%46%46%47%44%61%45%45%41%48%47%46%36%50%47%41%49%46%52%52%41%52%47%42%
Undecided8%7%8%11%8%6%6%9%6%5%11%7%14%6%8%6%9%6%6%13%5%8%8%7%6%8%9%7%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters100%49%51%22%28%26%25%50%50%46%12%32%10%18%82%47%51%24%60%15%26%39%29%12%34%54%26%33%41%
 
Los Angeles will also elect a City Attorney. If the election for City Attorney were today, who would you vote for? Carmen Trutanich? Or Mike Feuer?
556 Actual & Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You VoParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineEarlyOn ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Carmen Trutanich40%41%39%40%49%40%30%45%35%36%37%45%46%50%38%41%39%50%39%35%55%40%31%50%43%37%40%41%40%
Mike Feuer46%46%45%39%37%47%59%38%53%52%44%41%34%36%48%49%43%40%49%43%34%47%56%37%45%48%44%45%47%
Undecided14%13%16%21%13%13%11%17%12%12%19%14%20%14%14%10%18%10%12%22%12%14%14%13%12%15%16%14%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters100%49%51%22%28%26%25%50%50%46%12%32%10%18%82%47%51%24%60%15%26%39%29%12%34%54%26%33%41%
 
Los Angeles will also elect a City Controller. If the election for City Controller were today, who would you vote for? Dennis Zine? Or Ron Galperin?
556 Actual & Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You VoParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineEarlyOn ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Dennis Zine46%48%44%44%50%46%45%47%45%46%44%49%43%59%44%50%43%49%47%43%50%46%46%32%52%46%45%44%51%
Ron Galperin34%34%34%31%32%38%36%31%37%36%28%34%33%30%35%38%31%38%36%26%37%34%34%46%30%35%34%36%33%
Undecided19%18%21%25%18%16%19%21%18%18%27%17%24%11%21%12%25%13%17%31%13%20%20%21%18%19%21%20%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters100%49%51%22%28%26%25%50%50%46%12%32%10%18%82%47%51%24%60%15%26%39%29%12%34%54%26%33%41%
 
Also on the ballot are three separate ballot measures about medical marijuana. If more than one of the ballot measures receives enough votes to pass, the one with the most votes will be the one that goes into effect. Voters may vote on each of the three measures. On the first ballot measure, Proposition D, which would reduce the number of medical marijuana businesses to the approximately 135 that were open before 2007, and which would increase taxes on those businesses, are you ...? Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
556 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You VoParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineEarlyOn ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Yes47%51%44%54%52%40%43%53%41%44%42%52%50%69%42%57%39%57%45%44%61%44%42%45%48%48%41%49%51%
No25%25%24%24%23%27%24%24%26%24%23%28%20%18%26%26%24%21%27%22%22%24%28%27%25%24%28%25%22%
Not Certain28%24%32%22%25%33%33%24%33%32%34%20%30%13%32%18%37%23%28%33%18%33%30%28%27%28%30%26%27%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%22%28%26%25%50%50%46%12%32%10%18%82%47%51%24%60%15%26%39%29%12%34%54%26%33%41%
 
On the second ballot measure, Initiative Ordinance E, which would also reduce the number of medical marijuana businesses to the approximately 135 that were open before 2007, but which would not increase taxes on those businesses, are you ...? Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
556 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You VoParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineEarlyOn ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Yes28%32%25%40%34%19%21%37%20%26%25%34%25%63%21%35%22%34%28%25%40%24%25%20%34%28%27%34%27%
No41%44%38%37%38%47%42%37%45%42%39%40%45%21%45%42%41%43%41%41%41%42%42%41%40%42%37%35%48%
Not Certain31%25%36%23%28%34%36%26%35%32%36%26%30%16%34%23%37%23%31%34%20%33%33%39%27%30%36%31%25%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%22%28%26%25%50%50%46%12%32%10%18%82%47%51%24%60%15%26%39%29%12%34%54%26%33%41%
 
Last, on the third ballot measure, Measure F, which would not limit the number of businesses, but which would require them to submit to city audits, test marijuana for toxins, and keep a certain distance from schools, parks and other marijuana businesses, as well as increase taxes on those businesses, are you ...? Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
556 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You VoParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineEarlyOn ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Yes54%56%53%62%61%51%44%61%47%53%55%57%48%72%50%60%50%55%57%47%61%51%54%59%56%53%57%54%54%
No20%21%19%17%16%23%24%16%24%21%17%18%24%12%22%23%18%27%17%22%23%20%19%15%19%21%15%22%22%
Not Certain26%23%28%22%24%26%32%23%29%26%28%24%28%16%28%18%32%18%26%31%16%28%27%26%25%26%29%24%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%22%28%26%25%50%50%46%12%32%10%18%82%47%51%24%60%15%26%39%29%12%34%54%26%33%41%