Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20512 |
Fight to the Finish in Los Angeles Mayor Election: Garcetti and Greuel Now Tied, 11 Days Till Votes are Counted:
46% Garcetti, 46% Greuel, SurveyUSA finds in its latest KABC-TV pre-election tracking poll on the race for Mayor of Los Angeles. The sea-saw contest had Garcetti leading by 9 points 1 month ago, and Greuel leading by 3 points 2 weeks ago. But today, 05/10/13, the candidates are exactly even, with 8% of likely voters still undecided. Greuel and Garcetti are within 2 points of each other in every age group. Men tip slightly to Garcetti. Women tip slightly to Greuel. Whites and Latinos slightly favor Garcetti. African Americans by 2:1, and Asian Americans ever-so-slightly, favor Greuel. Garcetti leads among Republicans. Greuel leads among Democrats and Independents. Wealthier and well-educated voters favor Garcetti. Less affluent and less educated voters favor Greuel. In the contest for City Attorney, incumbent Carmen Trutanich appears to have made inroads against challenger Mike Feuer. Feuer had led by 18 points in March, then led by 12, then led by 10, and today leads by just 6 points. Trutanich is making up ground among conservatives and among younger voters. In the contest for City Controller, Dennis Zine maintains a 12-point lead over Ron Galperin. There has been little movement in the contest compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 weeks ago. On the 3 ballot questions about medical marijuana:
* Proposition D leads by nearly 2:1, largely unchanged from 2 weeks ago. |
If the election for Los Angeles Mayor were today, who would you vote for? Eric Garcetti? Or Wendy Greuel? |
556 Actual & Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | When Will You Vo | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Cell Pho | Landline | Early | On Elect | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Eric Garcetti | 46% | 48% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 47% | 48% | 45% | 47% | 51% | 28% | 47% | 41% | 52% | 45% | 47% | 45% | 58% | 43% | 40% | 54% | 43% | 46% | 40% | 42% | 51% | 39% | 46% | 52% |
Wendy Greuel | 46% | 45% | 48% | 45% | 47% | 47% | 46% | 46% | 47% | 44% | 61% | 45% | 45% | 41% | 48% | 47% | 46% | 36% | 50% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 46% | 52% | 52% | 41% | 52% | 47% | 42% |
Undecided | 8% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 82% | 47% | 51% | 24% | 60% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 12% | 34% | 54% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
Los Angeles will also elect a City Attorney. If the election for City Attorney were today, who would you vote for? Carmen Trutanich? Or Mike Feuer? |
556 Actual & Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | When Will You Vo | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Cell Pho | Landline | Early | On Elect | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Carmen Trutanich | 40% | 41% | 39% | 40% | 49% | 40% | 30% | 45% | 35% | 36% | 37% | 45% | 46% | 50% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 50% | 39% | 35% | 55% | 40% | 31% | 50% | 43% | 37% | 40% | 41% | 40% |
Mike Feuer | 46% | 46% | 45% | 39% | 37% | 47% | 59% | 38% | 53% | 52% | 44% | 41% | 34% | 36% | 48% | 49% | 43% | 40% | 49% | 43% | 34% | 47% | 56% | 37% | 45% | 48% | 44% | 45% | 47% |
Undecided | 14% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 22% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 82% | 47% | 51% | 24% | 60% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 12% | 34% | 54% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
Los Angeles will also elect a City Controller. If the election for City Controller were today, who would you vote for? Dennis Zine? Or Ron Galperin? |
556 Actual & Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | When Will You Vo | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Cell Pho | Landline | Early | On Elect | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Dennis Zine | 46% | 48% | 44% | 44% | 50% | 46% | 45% | 47% | 45% | 46% | 44% | 49% | 43% | 59% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 49% | 47% | 43% | 50% | 46% | 46% | 32% | 52% | 46% | 45% | 44% | 51% |
Ron Galperin | 34% | 34% | 34% | 31% | 32% | 38% | 36% | 31% | 37% | 36% | 28% | 34% | 33% | 30% | 35% | 38% | 31% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 37% | 34% | 34% | 46% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 36% | 33% |
Undecided | 19% | 18% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 24% | 11% | 21% | 12% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 31% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 16% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 82% | 47% | 51% | 24% | 60% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 12% | 34% | 54% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
556 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | When Will You Vo | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Cell Pho | Landline | Early | On Elect | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Yes | 47% | 51% | 44% | 54% | 52% | 40% | 43% | 53% | 41% | 44% | 42% | 52% | 50% | 69% | 42% | 57% | 39% | 57% | 45% | 44% | 61% | 44% | 42% | 45% | 48% | 48% | 41% | 49% | 51% |
No | 25% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 20% | 18% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 21% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 25% | 22% |
Not Certain | 28% | 24% | 32% | 22% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 24% | 33% | 32% | 34% | 20% | 30% | 13% | 32% | 18% | 37% | 23% | 28% | 33% | 18% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 26% | 27% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 82% | 47% | 51% | 24% | 60% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 12% | 34% | 54% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
556 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | When Will You Vo | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Cell Pho | Landline | Early | On Elect | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Yes | 28% | 32% | 25% | 40% | 34% | 19% | 21% | 37% | 20% | 26% | 25% | 34% | 25% | 63% | 21% | 35% | 22% | 34% | 28% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 27% | 34% | 27% |
No | 41% | 44% | 38% | 37% | 38% | 47% | 42% | 37% | 45% | 42% | 39% | 40% | 45% | 21% | 45% | 42% | 41% | 43% | 41% | 41% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 41% | 40% | 42% | 37% | 35% | 48% |
Not Certain | 31% | 25% | 36% | 23% | 28% | 34% | 36% | 26% | 35% | 32% | 36% | 26% | 30% | 16% | 34% | 23% | 37% | 23% | 31% | 34% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 39% | 27% | 30% | 36% | 31% | 25% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 82% | 47% | 51% | 24% | 60% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 12% | 34% | 54% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
556 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | When Will You Vo | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Cell Pho | Landline | Early | On Elect | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Yes | 54% | 56% | 53% | 62% | 61% | 51% | 44% | 61% | 47% | 53% | 55% | 57% | 48% | 72% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 55% | 57% | 47% | 61% | 51% | 54% | 59% | 56% | 53% | 57% | 54% | 54% |
No | 20% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 16% | 24% | 21% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 22% | 22% |
Not Certain | 26% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 32% | 23% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 24% | 28% | 16% | 28% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 26% | 31% | 16% | 28% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 29% | 24% | 24% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 82% | 47% | 51% | 24% | 60% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 12% | 34% | 54% | 26% | 33% | 41% |