Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21519
 
11 Weeks Till GA Votes are Counted, Republicans Positioned to 'Run the Table' in Top 6 Statewide Contests; Will Libertarians Force Runoffs?

2 months till early voting begins and 11 weeks until votes are counted, Georgia Republicans lead in races for US Senator, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General and School Superintendent, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV, the Gannett-owned station in Atlanta. In Georgia, a winning candidate needs 50% of the vote to avoid a runoff, which this election would be 12/02/14 for statewide contests and 01/06/15 for the US Senate contest.

In an election today for US Senator, to fill an open seat vacated by Saxby Chambliss, Republican David Perdue defeats Democrat Michelle Nunn 50% to 41%. (Michelle is Sam Nunn's daughter.) Libertarian Amanda Swafford gets 3% today. 6% are undecided. Perdue's lead comes entirely from men, where he leads by 19 points. Atlanta votes Democratic. Northwest GA votes 2:1 Republican. South and East GA votes 5:4 Republican. The contest has national ramifications; Republicans need to hold the seat to have a chance to capture control of the U.S. Senate in the next Congress.

In an election today for Governor, incumbent Republican Nathan Deal defeats Democratic challenger Jason Carter 48% to 39%. (Jason is the grandson of former President Jimmy Carter.) Libertarian Andrew Hunt gets 4% today. 8% are undecided. Deal holds 83% of the Republican base. Carter holds 82% of the Democratic base. Independents break sharply Republican. Moderates provide some but not presently enough support for Carter to catch Deal. Libertarian Hunt takes more votes from the Republican Deal than he does from the Democrat Carter.

In an election today for Lieutenant Governor, incumbent Republican Casey Cagle defeats Democratic challenger Connie Stokes, 52% to 36%. Cagle holds 90% of the Republican base.

In an election today for Secretary of State, incumbent Republican Brian Kemp defeats Democratic challenger Doreen Carter 53% to 36%. Carter trails by 9 points among women.

In an election today for Attorney General, incumbent Republican Sam Olens defeats Democratic challenger Greg Hecht, 49% to 36%. Hecht has a 5-point advantage among lower-income voters, but he is overpowered by Olens among middle-income and upper-income voters.

In an election today for State School Superintendent, Republican Richard Woods defeats Democrat Valarie Wilson 51% to 39%. Among voters who support the "Common Core" school standards, the Democrat Wilson leads 2:1. Among those who oppose Common Core, the Republican Woods leads 6:1.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 state of Georgia adults 08/14/14 through 08/17/14. Of the adults, 953 were registered to vote. Of those registered to vote, 560 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their tablet, smartphone, or other portable device.

 
If the election for Georgia Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Nathan Deal? Democrat Jason Carter? Or Libertarian Andrew Hunt?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Nathan Deal (R)48%51%45%32%55%46%54%46%49%61%17%43%83%10%47%73%34%8%32%69%40%44%49%48%40%53%47%40%51%37%59%48%
Jason Carter (D)39%37%42%48%32%41%39%38%40%25%74%39%7%82%26%16%50%82%60%19%44%43%36%40%45%34%42%42%39%51%29%38%
Andrew Hunt (L)4%5%3%5%7%4%3%6%3%6%1%6%4%1%11%5%5%3%4%5%4%2%6%5%4%5%4%4%5%5%4%4%
Undecided8%7%10%15%7%10%4%10%7%8%8%12%7%6%16%7%10%8%5%6%12%11%9%7%10%8%7%15%6%7%8%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
If the election for United States Senator from Georgia were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Perdue? Democrat Michelle Nunn? Or Libertarian Amanda Swafford?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
David Perdue (R)50%56%44%41%54%50%53%49%51%65%16%43%87%9%54%80%34%4%34%77%38%42%52%52%39%58%49%41%54%40%62%49%
Michelle Nunn (D)41%37%46%45%37%42%42%40%42%26%77%46%8%85%26%16%53%85%60%16%51%47%39%41%49%34%44%44%40%51%31%41%
Amanda Swafford (L)3%2%3%4%4%2%2%4%2%2%2%9%1%2%7%2%4%3%4%3%2%4%3%2%4%3%2%3%3%3%2%4%
Undecided6%4%7%10%5%6%4%7%5%6%5%3%4%3%14%2%9%7%2%4%9%8%6%5%8%6%4%12%3%5%5%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
Georgia will also elect a Lieutenant Governor. If the election for Lieuenant Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Casey Cagle? Or Democrat Connie Stokes?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Casey Cagle (R)52%56%48%36%58%53%56%50%54%69%15%37%90%9%55%80%37%7%32%78%43%42%53%55%45%58%51%41%56%44%64%49%
Connie Stokes (D)36%34%39%48%32%34%37%38%35%22%70%42%5%80%20%14%45%84%57%15%41%43%33%36%44%32%37%41%34%46%25%39%
Undecided12%10%13%16%10%13%7%13%11%9%15%21%5%11%25%6%18%9%11%7%16%15%14%9%11%10%12%18%9%11%12%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
Georgia will also elect a Secretary of State. If the election for Secretary of State were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Brian Kemp? Or Democrat Doreen Carter?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Brian Kemp (R)53%56%49%48%54%52%56%52%53%68%18%46%89%10%58%80%38%7%37%80%40%44%51%56%41%64%48%43%56%46%63%48%
Doreen Carter (D)36%34%40%41%33%36%38%36%37%22%70%42%5%82%17%14%45%86%56%15%43%43%35%35%45%28%41%39%35%45%26%39%
Undecided11%11%11%11%13%13%6%12%10%10%12%13%6%8%26%7%17%7%8%5%17%13%14%8%14%8%11%17%8%10%10%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
Georgia will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Sam Olens? Or Democrat Greg Hecht?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Sam Olens (R)49%53%45%34%52%50%55%45%52%65%14%40%85%7%54%76%35%4%29%73%41%38%52%51%42%55%48%34%55%44%62%41%
Greg Hecht (D)36%37%35%46%31%34%37%37%35%23%69%30%7%78%18%15%44%76%61%15%38%45%31%36%47%32%34%38%35%43%28%37%
Undecided15%11%20%19%17%16%8%18%13%13%16%29%8%15%28%8%21%20%11%12%20%16%17%13%11%13%19%28%10%13%11%21%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
Georgia will also elect a State School Superintendent. If the election for State School Superintendent were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Richard Woods? Or Democrat Valarie Wilson?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Richard Woods (R)51%55%46%38%59%48%55%51%51%65%15%51%89%10%51%77%38%4%29%78%41%41%54%52%44%57%50%40%55%41%64%47%
Valarie Wilson (D)39%38%41%52%32%40%37%40%39%26%74%32%7%83%24%17%47%86%64%14%46%49%34%40%45%35%40%43%38%48%28%43%
Undecided10%7%13%10%9%12%8%9%10%9%11%17%4%8%25%5%15%10%7%8%13%10%12%8%11%8%10%17%7%11%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
In general, do you support or oppose the school standards known as "Common Core?" Or, do you not know enough to say?
560 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Support24%27%21%47%25%20%14%33%18%18%28%48%18%33%21%20%27%36%100%0%0%19%22%28%12%26%32%43%17%30%21%21%
Oppose34%35%32%31%43%32%28%38%30%41%21%19%46%16%42%48%26%15%0%100%0%23%26%42%28%35%34%28%36%29%38%34%
Do Not Know Enough To Say42%38%48%22%32%48%58%28%52%41%51%32%36%50%38%32%47%49%0%0%100%58%52%29%59%39%34%30%47%41%41%46%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%25%37%23%40%60%63%26%7%40%38%21%44%38%13%24%34%42%18%32%49%25%37%39%28%72%34%34%31%
 
8On a different topic ... Do you agree or disagree with the decision to treat two Ebola patients at Emory University Hospital?
1100 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCommon CoreEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSupportOpposeDo Not KHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Agree66%69%65%60%64%69%73%63%70%66%67%62%66%69%65%68%65%71%77%65%69%58%67%72%60%67%73%62%69%75%66%59%
Disagree21%19%22%26%24%18%15%25%17%22%21%18%23%19%22%22%23%15%15%31%16%21%23%19%21%23%18%23%20%16%22%24%
Not Sure13%12%13%13%12%14%12%12%13%12%13%20%12%12%14%10%12%14%9%5%14%22%10%9%18%10%9%15%12%9%12%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%22%27%32%19%49%51%61%28%6%32%39%27%35%41%18%24%34%42%25%34%41%34%35%30%30%70%31%36%33%