| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18958 |
| 4 Months From San Diego Mayor Primary, DeMaio and Filner Remain Tied, Others Remain Viable: In an election for Mayor of San Diego today, 02/03/12, Carl DeMaio and Bob Filner tie, with Bonnie Dumanis and Nathan Fletcher not far behind, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KGTV-TV.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 4 months ago, there is little movement. Today, City Council Member DeMaio gets 25%; Congressman Filner gets 24%. DeMaio leads by 6 among men; Filner leads by 4 among women -- a 10 point gender gap. DeMaio leads by more than 2:1 among Republicans; Filner leads by more than 2:1 among Democrats. San Diego County District Attorney Dumanis, who today gets 14%, and State Assemblyman Fletcher, at 13% both remain viable in a field where no one candidate takes more than one quarter of the vote. Cell phones included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 San Diego adults 01/30/12 through 02/03/12. Of them, 695 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 511 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/05/12 primary. If no one candidate receives a majority of the vote in the primary, the top two finishers will advance to a 11/06/12 general election. Incumbent Mayor Jerry Sanders is term-limited. This survey was conducted multimode. Respondents with a home telephone were interviewed in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents without a home telephone (12% of likely voters) saw the questions presented visually on their smartphone or other electronic device. |
 | If the primary election for San Diego mayor were today, who would you vote for?(candidate names rotated) Carl DeMaio? Bonnie Dumanis? Bob Filner? Nathan Fletcher? Or some other candidate? |
| 511 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | ||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | |
| Carl DeMaio | 25% | 29% | 21% | 25% | 21% | 28% | 26% | 22% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 29% | 24% | 20% | 25% | 35% | 15% | 29% | 40% | 23% | 32% | 30% | 12% |
| Bonnie Dumanis | 14% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 13% |
| Bob Filner | 24% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 25% | 24% | 15% | 38% | 14% | 6% | 27% | 9% | 25% | 41% |
| Nathan Fletcher | 13% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 16% | 21% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 10% |
| Other | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 22% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
| Undecided | 13% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 19% | 8% | 15% | 21% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 14% | 34% | 30% | 23% | 47% | 53% | 66% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 88% | 31% | 42% | 26% | 12% | 85% | 29% | 40% | 28% |