Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14116
16 Weeks To Election, McCain Leads Obama by 5 in North Carolina: In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina today, 07/15/08, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 50% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive WTVD-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical survey released 8 weeks ago, little has changed, and most changes that have occurred are offsetting. Overall, Obama is up 2 points, McCain down 1. Among women, McCain had led by 2, now trails by 7; among men, McCain had led by 14, now leads by 20 -- a 27 point gender gap. Among voters age 50 to 64, McCain had led by 11, now leads by 2 -- but that gain is erased by voters age 65+, where McCain had led by 12, but now leads by 26. Among white voters, McCain continues to lead 2:1; among black voters, Obama leads 15:1. 22% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain, down slightly from 28% eight weeks ago. 8% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama, down slightly from 12%. Among the 15% of likely voters who describe themselves as independents, McCain had led by 9; today, Obama leads by 2 among Independents.
Filtering: Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 07/12/08 - 07/14/08. Of them, 872 were registered to vote; of them, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. North Carolina has 15 Electoral College votes. Incumbent Republican President George W. Bush carried the state by 12 points in 2004.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
676 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
McCain (R)50%58%44%45%51%49%58%49%53%48%59%51%64%6%****88%22%44%85%39%10%52%50%56%44%43%70%35%42%53%52%**27%29%91%****75%42%57%53%48%52%
Obama (D)45%38%51%53%45%47%32%49%41%49%30%44%31%93%****9%74%46%13%56%85%44%46%40%50%55%27%60%43%46%45%**65%67%8%****22%54%39%40%49%43%
Composition of Likely Voters100%46%54%22%31%28%19%53%47%45%11%44%74%19%4%3%37%45%15%34%34%12%46%54%57%28%16%46%50%19%80%55%3%9%9%7%2%2%8%42%58%34%49%17%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.