| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14116 |
| 16 Weeks To Election, McCain Leads Obama by 5 in North Carolina: In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina today, 07/15/08, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 50% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive WTVD-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical survey released 8 weeks ago, little has changed, and most changes that have occurred are offsetting. Overall, Obama is up 2 points, McCain down 1. Among women, McCain had led by 2, now trails by 7; among men, McCain had led by 14, now leads by 20 -- a 27 point gender gap. Among voters age 50 to 64, McCain had led by 11, now leads by 2 -- but that gain is erased by voters age 65+, where McCain had led by 12, but now leads by 26. Among white voters, McCain continues to lead 2:1; among black voters, Obama leads 15:1. 22% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain, down slightly from 28% eight weeks ago. 8% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama, down slightly from 12%. Among the 15% of likely voters who describe themselves as independents, McCain had led by 9; today, Obama leads by 2 among Independents. |
| Filtering: Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 07/12/08 - 07/14/08. Of them, 872 were registered to vote; of them, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. North Carolina has 15 Electoral College votes. Incumbent Republican President George W. Bush carried the state by 12 points in 2004. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 676 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
| McCain (R) | 50% | 58% | 44% | 45% | 51% | 49% | 58% | 49% | 53% | 48% | 59% | 51% | 64% | 6% | ** | ** | 88% | 22% | 44% | 85% | 39% | 10% | 52% | 50% | 56% | 44% | 43% | 70% | 35% | 42% | 53% | 52% | ** | 27% | 29% | 91% | ** | ** | 75% | 42% | 57% | 53% | 48% | 52% |
| Obama (D) | 45% | 38% | 51% | 53% | 45% | 47% | 32% | 49% | 41% | 49% | 30% | 44% | 31% | 93% | ** | ** | 9% | 74% | 46% | 13% | 56% | 85% | 44% | 46% | 40% | 50% | 55% | 27% | 60% | 43% | 46% | 45% | ** | 65% | 67% | 8% | ** | ** | 22% | 54% | 39% | 40% | 49% | 43% |
| Other | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 1% | ** | 1% | 3% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 2% | ** | 7% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 19% | 53% | 47% | 45% | 11% | 44% | 74% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 37% | 45% | 15% | 34% | 34% | 12% | 46% | 54% | 57% | 28% | 16% | 46% | 50% | 19% | 80% | 55% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 42% | 58% | 34% | 49% | 17% |