| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26311 |
| As Early Voting Begins in New Mexico, Democrats Not Yet Focused on Attorney General Primary, Where 'Undecided' Holds the Nominal Lead:
New Mexico Democrats today are by and large undecided on who should be their nominee for the open Attorney General seat this November, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KOB-TV in Albuquerque. Bernalillo County District Attorney Raul Torrez today takes 34% of the vote; State Auditor Brian Colon is at 28% – and 38% say they are undecided. Torrez runs most strongly among likely Democratic voters who are the parents of children under age 18 and among those with high school educations, taking 41% among both groups; among those who say they will "probably" vote in the primary and among the small number of Democratic primary voters who say they are politically independent, taking 40% among both of those groups; and among political moderates, where he takes 39% of the vote. Colon has the advantage among Democratic primary voters who identify as "very conservative," where he takes 43%; Colon also has a nominal single point advantage, with the contest properly being described as even, among voters age 65+, who are typically the most reliable. Those undecided include majorities of likely voters in Dona Ana County (56% undecided), voters ages 18 to 34 (52% undecided) and those who rent their homes (51% undecided). Of particular note: among those who say they are "certain" to vote in the Democratic primary, the contest is tied with a razor-thin margin in Brian Colon's favor: 35% say they would vote for Colon, 32% for Torrez; 34% are undecided. Among those who say they will "probably" vote, Torrez takes 40%, Colon 11%, with 49% not yet decided. |
| About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,175 state of New Mexico adults 04/29/22 through 05/07/22. Of the adults, 700 were identified as being registered to vote as Democrats. Of the registered Democrats, 583 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/22 Republican primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. 44% of likely voters were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using sample of registered voters provided by Aristotle of Washington, DC. 56% of likely voters were interviewed online using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of New Mexico? |
| 2175 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Dem Prima | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Yes | 77% | 78% | 76% | 58% | 71% | 89% | 94% | 64% | 91% | 86% | 71% | 68% | 90% | 91% | 69% | 85% | 85% | 77% | 87% | 90% | 85% | 77% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 94% | 68% | 82% | 67% | 79% | 91% | 67% | 81% | 90% | 87% | 57% | 79% | 77% | 73% | 78% | 81% | 75% | 69% | 93% |
| No | 20% | 19% | 20% | 35% | 24% | 10% | 5% | 31% | 8% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 9% | 6% | 29% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 10% | - | - | 7% | 5% | 27% | 16% | 27% | 18% | 8% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 37% | 18% | 19% | 23% | 18% | 16% | 21% | 27% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | - | - | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 21% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 42% | 42% | 16% | 29% | 33% | 26% | 14% | 18% | 34% | 12% | 6% | 32% | 34% | 18% | 61% | 23% | 32% | 36% | 29% | 71% | 43% | 31% | 25% | 45% | 33% | 22% | 67% | 33% | 31% | 32% | 36% | 38% | 8% | 55% | 68% | 32% |
| 2 | Are you registered to vote as a Republican? Democrat? Or as a member of another party, as an independent, or with no party affiliation? |
| 1673 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Dem Prima | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Republican | 34% | 38% | 31% | 31% | 27% | 41% | 35% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 28% | 22% | 95% | 0% | 9% | 77% | 57% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 66% | 25% | 5% | - | - | 67% | 10% | 36% | 35% | 39% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 38% | 35% | 37% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 36% | 31% | 33% | 37% | 33% | 36% |
| Democrat | 42% | 34% | 49% | 38% | 45% | 37% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 34% | 52% | 40% | 1% | 99% | 11% | 14% | 24% | 44% | 76% | 84% | 20% | 44% | 79% | 100% | 100% | 12% | 75% | 39% | 43% | 39% | 42% | 45% | 44% | 38% | 42% | 41% | 43% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 45% | 45% | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Other | 19% | 22% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 13% | 23% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 73% | 8% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 27% | 15% | - | - | 18% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 15% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 1% | - | - | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 23% | 20% | 31% | 27% | 42% | 58% | 47% | 38% | 14% | 34% | 39% | 23% | 15% | 20% | 34% | 14% | 7% | 36% | 34% | 21% | 61% | 23% | 38% | 44% | 25% | 75% | 38% | 32% | 30% | 39% | 35% | 26% | 76% | 24% | 32% | 32% | 34% | 39% | 8% | 53% | 62% | 38% |
| 3 | New Mexico will hold a Democratic primary election for Attorney General in June. Not everyone makes the time to vote in a primary. Which best describes you? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? 50/50 chance you will vote? Or will you probably not vote? |
| 700 Registered Democrats | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Dem Prima | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Certain To Vote | 61% | 65% | 57% | 50% | 43% | 64% | 77% | 46% | 71% | 67% | 59% | 49% | ** | 63% | 30% | 70% | 56% | 57% | 69% | 72% | 60% | 57% | 70% | 100% | 0% | 62% | 64% | 46% | 65% | 59% | 55% | 69% | 50% | 65% | 68% | 65% | 41% | 57% | 60% | 62% | 61% | 70% | 58% | 49% | 78% |
| Will Probably Vote | 23% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 32% | 23% | 14% | 30% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 31% | ** | 22% | 39% | 22% | 27% | 28% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 28% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 20% | 21% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 35% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 24% | 18% | 23% | 29% | 14% |
| 50/50 Chance | 9% | 3% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 8% | ** | 9% | 18% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 5% |
| Probably Will Not Vote | 6% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 7% | ** | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 3% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% | ** | 1% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Democrats | 100% | 40% | 60% | 21% | 21% | 27% | 31% | 42% | 58% | 39% | 48% | 14% | 1% | 92% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 35% | 39% | 61% | 23% | 11% | 78% | 23% | 77% | 35% | 33% | 32% | 41% | 32% | 26% | 75% | 25% | 34% | 31% | 33% | 42% | 9% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| 4 | If you were filling out your Democratic primary ballot for Attorney General today, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated) Brian Colon? Or Raul Torrez? |
| 583 Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Dem Prima | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Brian Colon | 28% | 32% | 25% | 21% | 21% | 28% | 36% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 30% | 21% | ** | 28% | 13% | 43% | 34% | 26% | 30% | 26% | 37% | 26% | 28% | 35% | 11% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 23% | 30% | 21% | 29% | 36% | 32% | 13% | 26% | 25% | 29% | 30% | 23% | 28% | 21% | 37% |
| Raul Torrez | 34% | 36% | 33% | 27% | 35% | 37% | 35% | 31% | 36% | 28% | 38% | 37% | ** | 34% | 40% | 36% | 39% | 39% | 32% | 26% | 38% | 39% | 30% | 32% | 40% | 32% | 33% | 41% | 32% | 41% | 33% | 28% | 37% | 36% | 26% | 33% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 31% | 35% | 22% | 35% | 34% | 34% |
| Undecided | 38% | 32% | 42% | 52% | 44% | 35% | 28% | 48% | 31% | 44% | 31% | 42% | ** | 37% | 47% | 21% | 27% | 35% | 39% | 47% | 25% | 35% | 42% | 34% | 49% | 43% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 28% | 45% | 41% | 42% | 35% | 39% | 35% | 51% | 39% | 37% | 40% | 35% | 56% | 37% | 45% | 28% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 19% | 19% | 28% | 34% | 38% | 62% | 41% | 46% | 13% | 1% | 93% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 36% | 27% | 15% | 17% | 36% | 42% | 73% | 27% | 10% | 80% | 21% | 79% | 35% | 31% | 34% | 38% | 34% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 37% | 31% | 30% | 43% | 9% | 48% | 56% | 44% |