Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14456
Battle-Lines Clearly Drawn in Missouri, Where McCain Can See Just Who To Woo To Win 11 Electoral Votes: In an election for President of the United States in Missouri today, 09/25/08, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama finish effectively even, though McCain has a nominal 2-point advantage, 48% to 46%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KCTV-TV in Kansas City. The results are inside of the survey's margin of sampling error. With its mixture of 2 big cities and rural and southern regions, Missouri is a great laboratory for studying who is voting for whom.

McCain is backed by voters age 35+, by whites, by men, by those who do consider America to be a Super Power but who do not consider themselves to be an intellectual, by those who do own a gun but who do not speak another language, by those who are Pro Life and by those who attend religious services regularly. Obama is backed by blacks, by voters under age 35, by those who do not own a gun, by those who are pro-choice, by those who almost never go to church, and by those who are lower income. St. Louis and Kansas City vote Democrat. The Ozarks, the Boot Heel and North Central MO vote Republican.

Context / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Missouri adults 09/23/08 and 09/24/08. The research was conducted at a time of unprecedented economic and political turbulence. Approximately half of respondents were interviewed after McCain announced that he was temporarily suspending his campaign. Of the adults, 828 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 705 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. Missouri has 11 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried the state by 7 points in 2004 and by 3 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
705 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoNorthernKansas CSouthwesSt. LouiSoutheas
McCain (R)48%50%47%37%51%49%58%45%52%45%59%50%53%14%****89%14%48%85%36%11%48%49%57%47%32%69%27%43%52%47%54%51%43%42%50%51%35%57%36%60%39%57%45%50%
Obama (D)46%44%48%57%44%44%38%50%41%50%37%44%42%83%****8%82%41%11%58%85%47%45%38%46%62%26%67%50%44%49%38%44%52%52%45%44%56%38%59%34%55%37%50%44%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%24%31%26%19%55%45%49%10%41%86%10%1%2%32%38%23%32%36%14%47%53%51%26%23%49%48%40%60%70%23%67%33%23%76%80%16%57%42%14%19%18%40%9%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.