Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509

In 2020, Where Up is Down and East is West, No Telling What May Happen in MN on Election Day. But Today, With Early Voting About to Start, Democrat Biden Is 9 Points Atop Republican Trump; DFL Smith Poised to Defeat GOP Challenger Lewis, Keeping Franken's Senate Seat Blue: 10 days till early voting begins in Minnesota and 8 weeks till votes are counted, President Donald Trump's dream of siphoning Minnesota's 10 Electoral College Votes into the Republican column appears elusive, according to fresh SurveyUSA election polling conducted for KSTP-TV in the Twin Cities. Before we give you the score, it is important to remind everyone of the rules for the 2020 Presidential election: There are no rules. With that in mind, and recognizing that anything might happen between today and Inauguration Day, you may assign whatever weight you deem appropriate to where the contest in MN stands at this hour, which is: * Biden 49%. * Trump 40%. * Biden voters appear more motivated. Among those who are 100% certain to vote, Joe leads by 13. * Among those who are likely to vote, but not 100% certain, Trump leads by 9. * Among those who will vote in person, on Election Day, Trump leads by 27 points. * Among those who will vote early, by US mail, Biden leads by 55 points. When likely voters are asked which of the 2 Presidential candidates would keep you safer, the answers match the vote totals: * 49% in MN say Biden would keep them safer, including 54% of independents, 55% of moderates. * 40% in MN say Trump would keep them safer, including 33% of independents, 29% of moderates. * Biden leads on safety by 18 points in the Twin Cities area; Trump leads, though narrowly, elsewhere in MN. Where businessman Trump has traditionally held an advantage over all Democratic challengers --- Who is stronger on the economy? --- today, the 2 candidates run effectively even, Biden 45%, Trump 43%. Trump is preferred by 25 points on the economy in Northeast MN, Trump is preferred by 14 points in Western MN, Trump is preferred by 7 points in Southern MN, but Biden is preferred by 13 points in the Twin Cities area, where 62% of the state's likely voters reside. Trump's Net Favorability Rating among all registered voters in MN is Minus 14. 39% of voters view the 45th President favorably, 53% view him unfavorably. Biden's Net Favorability Rating is Plus 1. 42% of voters view Biden favorably, 41% unfavorably. DFL incumbent United States Senator Tina Smith was appointed to her position when Al Franken resigned. Though Smith is not well known by Minnesotans after 2 years in office, her Republican challenger, Jason Lewis, is less well known. At this hour, the contest stands: * Smith 47%. * Lewis 36%. * Smith's lead comes entirely from women, among whom she leads by 22 points. The contest is tied among men. * Independents break for the incumbent Democrat by 19 points; moderates break for the Democrat by 25 points. * Of those voting for Biden, 84% stick with fellow Democrat Smith. * Of those voting for Trump, 77% stick with fellow Republican Lewis. * Smith has a Net Favorability Rating of Plus 7. * Lewis has a Net Favorability Rating of Plus 2. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 adults statewide 09/04/2020 through 09/07/2020. Of the adults, 620 are registered to vote in Minnesota. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 553 voters likely to return a ballot on or before the 11/03/2020 deadline. This research was conducted online among a representative cross section of Minnesota adults. Respondents were weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership. In 2016, Hillary Clinton carried Minnesota by 1.5 percentage points. In 2020, during a pandemic, any outcome is possible but no outcome may be credible.

Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?

750 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Yes	83%	84%	81%	76%	84%	85%	88%	80%	86%	86%	67%	**	66%	88%	88%	77%	94%	90%	82%	79%	89%	92%	82%	82%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	90%	95%	73%	83%	92%	80%	82%	86%	87%	72%	79%	83%	86%	82%	87%	78%	84%
No	14%	14%	14%	20%	13%	13%	9%	17%	11%	12%	14%	**	33%	9%	10%	18%	5%	8%	12%	20%	11%	7%	12%	17%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%	5%	22%	13%	7%	15%	15%	12%	10%	24%	14%	16%	11%	14%	11%	17%	14%
Not Sure	3%	2%	5%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	19%	**	1%	4%	2%	5%	1%	2%	5%	2%	0%	2%	5%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6%	0%	5%	4%	1%	4%	3%	2%	3%	4%	7%	2%	3%	3%	2%	5%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	29%	26%	25%	20%	55%	45%	83%	5%	2%	9%	30%	33%	28%	10%	21%	36%	18%	7%	31%	36%	25%	16%	74%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	33%	31%	33%	35%	32%	31%	38%	31%	72%	28%	24%	49%	27%	62%	14%	13%	11%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump extremely favorable? Favorable? Neutral? Unfavorable? Extremely unfavorable? Or, do you have no opinion of Donald Trump?

620 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Extremely Favorable	21%	23%	20%	17%	18%	27%	25%	18%	26%	23%	**	**	12%	53%	1%	12%	69%	32%	12%	3%	7%	44%	12%	4%	17%	24%	8%	19%	38%	56%	0%	52%	1%	52%	1%	29%	17%	20%	18%	21%	26%	25%	11%	15%	18%	32%	18%	20%	26%	35%
Favorable	18%	18%	18%	14%	21%	20%	16%	18%	18%	20%	**	**	11%	36%	3%	16%	10%	38%	19%	4%	0%	28%	19%	3%	27%	16%	9%	22%	20%	38%	1%	32%	4%	34%	3%	19%	20%	15%	16%	19%	19%	20%	10%	17%	16%	23%	13%	28%	27%	25%
Neutral	6%	8%	5%	8%	7%	6%	4%	8%	5%	4%	**	**	21%	3%	4%	12%	0%	7%	7%	11%	0%	5%	7%	7%	10%	4%	4%	2%	8%	4%	2%	6%	5%	8%	4%	6%	9%	5%	7%	4%	8%	4%	14%	2%	8%	8%	6%	2%	18%	1%
Unfavorable	8%	10%	6%	9%	5%	12%	4%	7%	8%	7%	**	**	9%	4%	10%	10%	1%	7%	14%	7%	0%	5%	14%	5%	9%	7%	8%	15%	4%	1%	10%	3%	8%	2%	11%	7%	9%	8%	4%	10%	9%	8%	8%	4%	11%	4%	9%	6%	4%	7%
Extremely Unfavorable	45%	40%	49%	47%	46%	35%	51%	47%	42%	45%	**	**	43%	4%	83%	47%	21%	15%	49%	74%	93%	17%	49%	80%	32%	49%	71%	41%	30%	1%	88%	6%	82%	3%	80%	35%	45%	52%	51%	45%	38%	42%	52%	59%	45%	32%	51%	43%	24%	32%
No Opinion	2%	2%	1%	5%	2%	0%	0%	3%	0%	1%	**	**	4%	0%	0%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	5%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	1%	1%	5%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	26%	26%	21%	53%	47%	86%	4%	2%	7%	32%	35%	26%	11%	23%	35%	17%	8%	34%	35%	24%	16%	74%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	36%	36%	29%	35%	36%	30%	37%	32%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	62%	14%	13%	11%

Is your opinion of Joe Biden ...?

620 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Extremely Favorable	16%	14%	19%	13%	15%	12%	29%	14%	19%	17%	**	**	10%	0%	41%	8%	13%	4%	15%	30%	40%	7%	15%	33%	8%	20%	28%	16%	12%	0%	37%	0%	36%	1%	37%	22%	13%	15%	20%	19%	9%	17%	14%	26%	16%	10%	21%	12%	5%	10%
Favorable	26%	21%	31%	24%	27%	31%	21%	25%	26%	24%	**	**	46%	6%	41%	34%	6%	12%	31%	46%	41%	10%	31%	45%	21%	27%	36%	28%	16%	3%	45%	5%	45%	10%	42%	14%	27%	34%	24%	28%	25%	24%	31%	27%	27%	23%	27%	20%	29%	21%
Neutral	13%	17%	9%	16%	18%	7%	13%	17%	10%	13%	**	**	14%	9%	12%	17%	3%	13%	20%	13%	1%	9%	20%	9%	27%	8%	11%	10%	10%	10%	12%	8%	11%	12%	10%	13%	17%	11%	13%	15%	13%	12%	18%	14%	14%	13%	13%	19%	16%	7%
Unfavorable	11%	15%	8%	14%	10%	11%	9%	12%	10%	12%	**	**	7%	17%	4%	12%	1%	19%	13%	6%	6%	13%	13%	6%	16%	10%	10%	8%	14%	14%	5%	16%	4%	15%	7%	9%	12%	12%	11%	9%	15%	11%	13%	8%	12%	12%	10%	14%	12%	14%
Extremely Unfavorable	30%	31%	30%	29%	26%	38%	28%	27%	33%	32%	**	**	20%	68%	3%	26%	73%	52%	20%	5%	11%	59%	20%	7%	19%	34%	14%	34%	46%	70%	2%	70%	4%	60%	3%	38%	28%	26%	27%	27%	37%	34%	19%	22%	28%	40%	26%	33%	31%	47%
No Opinion	3%	3%	3%	4%	5%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	**	**	2%	0%	0%	2%	4%	1%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	9%	1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%	3%	2%	5%	3%	1%	6%	2%	1%	2%	5%	3%	4%	2%	3%	1%	6%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	26%	26%	21%	53%	47%	86%	4%	2%	7%	32%	35%	26%	11%	23%	35%	17%	8%	34%	35%	24%	16%	74%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	36%	36%	29%	35%	36%	30%	37%	32%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	62%	14%	13%	11%

Is your opinion of Jason Lewis ...?

620 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Extremely Favorable	11%	12%	10%	4%	15%	14%	11%	10%	13%	12%	**	**	8%	25%	4%	6%	34%	19%	4%	5%	10%	24%	4%	7%	14%	12%	6%	12%	18%	24%	3%	31%	2%	23%	2%	12%	10%	11%	6%	11%	16%	12%	7%	8%	11%	14%	14%	6%	4%	12%
Favorable	11%	12%	10%	10%	8%	13%	15%	9%	14%	12%	**	**	0%	23%	5%	7%	12%	23%	9%	8%	0%	19%	9%	6%	13%	11%	9%	11%	14%	22%	3%	27%	4%	20%	3%	13%	14%	8%	12%	10%	12%	13%	7%	13%	12%	9%	12%	6%	10%	15%
Neutral	30%	33%	26%	30%	31%	28%	30%	30%	29%	27%	**	**	52%	30%	29%	32%	30%	30%	36%	23%	21%	30%	36%	22%	39%	29%	29%	34%	31%	31%	31%	25%	29%	31%	32%	29%	27%	33%	23%	34%	32%	31%	26%	23%	30%	36%	28%	32%	36%	31%
Unfavorable	7%	7%	6%	7%	3%	5%	14%	5%	9%	7%	**	**	9%	2%	12%	7%	1%	5%	10%	10%	2%	4%	10%	7%	7%	7%	7%	4%	8%	3%	11%	3%	12%	4%	9%	8%	8%	5%	8%	8%	4%	7%	6%	11%	5%	7%	8%	4%	6%	2%
Extremely Unfavorable	13%	13%	12%	7%	11%	16%	19%	9%	17%	14%	**	**	1%	2%	23%	15%	6%	1%	14%	25%	37%	3%	14%	29%	3%	15%	19%	14%	8%	2%	25%	1%	27%	1%	28%	8%	11%	18%	10%	14%	14%	14%	10%	15%	13%	9%	14%	12%	8%	12%
No Opinion	28%	23%	34%	42%	33%	24%	11%	37%	18%	28%	**	**	31%	18%	28%	33%	17%	22%	29%	29%	30%	20%	29%	29%	25%	26%	31%	24%	21%	19%	26%	14%	27%	21%	27%	31%	30%	24%	40%	24%	22%	23%	44%	30%	29%	26%	24%	41%	36%	27%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	26%	26%	21%	53%	47%	86%	4%	2%	7%	32%	35%	26%	11%	23%	35%	17%	8%	34%	35%	24%	16%	74%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	36%	36%	29%	35%	36%	30%	37%	32%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	62%	14%	13%	11%

Is your opinion of Tina Smith ...?

620 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Extremely Favorable	15%	12%	18%	4%	16%	14%	29%	10%	21%	16%	**	**	4%	3%	33%	9%	3%	8%	14%	35%	28%	6%	14%	33%	6%	18%	29%	12%	9%	1%	31%	1%	33%	3%	33%	19%	10%	17%	18%	15%	13%	16%	11%	22%	13%	14%	18%	14%	4%	13%
Favorable	19%	20%	18%	16%	20%	16%	25%	18%	20%	19%	**	**	15%	7%	32%	21%	13%	9%	22%	28%	34%	10%	22%	29%	19%	21%	19%	31%	16%	9%	32%	5%	38%	8%	33%	14%	19%	24%	18%	24%	14%	19%	19%	22%	21%	13%	20%	20%	18%	15%
Neutral	19%	20%	18%	25%	19%	20%	10%	22%	16%	18%	**	**	32%	22%	15%	20%	12%	21%	24%	16%	6%	18%	24%	13%	27%	17%	20%	9%	22%	19%	19%	16%	15%	19%	14%	18%	20%	19%	14%	18%	25%	18%	22%	19%	19%	20%	20%	12%	19%	23%
Unfavorable	11%	16%	7%	9%	10%	13%	15%	9%	14%	12%	**	**	13%	17%	5%	14%	4%	21%	14%	4%	5%	15%	14%	5%	19%	10%	8%	10%	15%	17%	7%	19%	4%	18%	5%	7%	14%	13%	7%	12%	15%	13%	7%	4%	13%	15%	10%	12%	20%	8%
Extremely Unfavorable	16%	15%	17%	11%	16%	21%	17%	14%	19%	17%	**	**	9%	36%	2%	14%	42%	32%	8%	1%	10%	35%	8%	4%	8%	19%	7%	15%	27%	37%	2%	46%	1%	34%	1%	19%	15%	15%	13%	15%	21%	18%	9%	13%	16%	19%	17%	13%	8%	26%
No Opinion	19%	18%	21%	35%	19%	16%	3%	27%	10%	18%	**	**	27%	17%	12%	21%	25%	10%	18%	16%	17%	15%	18%	16%	21%	14%	17%	23%	12%	16%	10%	13%	9%	18%	14%	23%	23%	13%	31%	16%	13%	16%	31%	20%	19%	20%	16%	29%	32%	14%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	26%	26%	21%	53%	47%	86%	4%	2%	7%	32%	35%	26%	11%	23%	35%	17%	8%	34%	35%	24%	16%	74%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	36%	36%	29%	35%	36%	30%	37%	32%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	62%	14%	13%	11%

6	Voters in Minnesota will elect a President and United States Senator in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you?

620 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Not Interested	3%	4%	2%	5%	6%	1%	0%	5%	0%	3%	**	**	3%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	4%	2%	0%	2%	4%	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	5%	5%	2%	3%	3%	5%	1%	4%
Not Sure If Time	6%	7%	5%	13%	10%	1%	0%	12%	0%	5%	**	**	8%	2%	4%	10%	6%	3%	7%	6%	3%	4%	7%	5%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	3%	12%	6%	3%	11%	5%	3%	4%	14%	10%	7%	3%	6%	11%	3%	3%
Almost Certain	16%	16%	16%	18%	19%	10%	16%	19%	12%	15%	**	**	22%	15%	12%	15%	6%	18%	18%	11%	5%	14%	18%	9%	100%	0%	17%	21%	14%	19%	13%	16%	12%	18%	9%	20%	17%	11%	19%	12%	16%	15%	17%	8%	15%	23%	15%	7%	29%	18%
100% Certain	74%	71%	76%	60%	64%	88%	84%	62%	86%	76%	**	**	66%	79%	81%	70%	81%	76%	71%	81%	92%	78%	71%	85%	0%	100%	83%	79%	86%	81%	87%	84%	88%	78%	87%	61%	72%	85%	65%	77%	78%	78%	61%	74%	75%	70%	74%	77%	66%	75%
Not Sure	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	**	**	0%	2%	2%	1%	5%	0%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	26%	26%	21%	53%	47%	86%	4%	2%	7%	32%	35%	26%	11%	23%	35%	17%	8%	34%	35%	24%	16%	74%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	36%	36%	29%	35%	36%	30%	37%	32%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	62%	14%	13%	11%

How will you cast your ballot this year? By mail? In person before election day? Or in person on election day?

553 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
By Mail	34%	27%	40%	37%	26%	36%	35%	32%	36%	32%	**	**	58%	19%	45%	38%	11%	22%	36%	48%	61%	18%	36%	52%	32%	34%	100%	0%	0%	14%	49%	17%	49%	16%	43%	24%	33%	41%	39%	34%	29%	32%	40%	42%	34%	27%	38%	30%	28%	21%
In Person Before Election Day	17%	19%	15%	21%	19%	14%	14%	20%	14%	17%	**	**	6%	18%	18%	14%	31%	17%	16%	11%	15%	22%	16%	12%	20%	16%	0%	100%	0%	16%	18%	17%	16%	17%	20%	19%	17%	16%	17%	17%	17%	16%	21%	17%	18%	16%	16%	29%	12%	16%
In Person On Election Day	42%	47%	37%	37%	46%	45%	41%	41%	43%	44%	**	**	34%	58%	30%	37%	56%	56%	36%	37%	17%	56%	36%	31%	34%	44%	0%	0%	100%	62%	28%	62%	27%	59%	31%	47%	42%	39%	39%	39%	48%	45%	34%	36%	42%	47%	41%	38%	47%	51%
Not Sure	7%	6%	8%	5%	9%	5%	10%	7%	7%	8%	**	**	3%	5%	7%	11%	2%	5%	11%	4%	8%	4%	11%	5%	14%	6%	0%	0%	0%	8%	6%	4%	7%	8%	6%	10%	8%	4%	6%	10%	5%	7%	6%	5%	6%	10%	6%	3%	13%	12%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	50%	50%	23%	24%	28%	24%	48%	52%	88%	3%	1%	7%	34%	36%	25%	11%	24%	35%	17%	9%	35%	35%	26%	18%	82%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	39%	38%	27%	35%	39%	29%	38%	34%	79%	21%	21%	50%	29%	62%	13%	13%	12%

If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate?

553 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Donald Trump (R)	40%	45%	36%	32%	40%	45%	42%	36%	44%	43%	**	**	24%	90%	2%	30%	81%	71%	31%	6%	7%	74%	31%	7%	44%	39%	16%	38%	59%	100%	0%	87%	5%	86%	2%	48%	40%	35%	32%	37%	50%	45%	23%	31%	35%	55%	34%	44%	48%	61%
Joe Biden (D)	49%	44%	54%	55%	49%	39%	54%	52%	46%	48%	**	**	48%	5%	94%	47%	14%	19%	56%	81%	92%	17%	56%	85%	35%	52%	71%	51%	32%	0%	100%	6%	88%	5%	91%	42%	47%	56%	51%	55%	41%	47%	56%	60%	52%	35%	55%	48%	29%	37%
Some Other Candidate	4%	6%	3%	9%	4%	2%	2%	6%	2%	4%	**	**	2%	2%	1%	11%	0%	4%	6%	3%	1%	3%	6%	3%	9%	3%	2%	5%	5%	0%	0%	4%	2%	1%	1%	4%	4%	4%	6%	2%	5%	3%	7%	5%	6%	0%	5%	2%	6%	1%
Undecided	7%	6%	8%	3%	7%	13%	2%	5%	8%	5%	**	**	26%	3%	3%	12%	5%	6%	7%	9%	0%	6%	7%	6%	12%	6%	10%	7%	4%	0%	0%	3%	5%	8%	5%	5%	10%	5%	11%	6%	4%	5%	14%	4%	6%	10%	6%	6%	16%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	50%	50%	23%	24%	28%	24%	48%	52%	88%	3%	1%	7%	34%	36%	25%	11%	24%	35%	17%	9%	35%	35%	26%	18%	82%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	39%	38%	27%	35%	39%	29%	38%	34%	79%	21%	21%	50%	29%	62%	13%	13%	12%

If the November election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?

553 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Jason Lewis (R)	36%	40%	31%	27%	37%	43%	34%	32%	39%	39%	**	**	9%	79%	1%	30%	79%	67%	25%	6%	8%	71%	25%	7%	33%	36%	18%	35%	53%	77%	4%	100%	0%	73%	3%	37%	36%	35%	27%	31%	48%	40%	19%	24%	35%	45%	33%	33%	31%	60%
Tina Smith (DFL)	47%	40%	53%	44%	44%	43%	56%	44%	49%	47%	**	**	40%	2%	89%	49%	13%	17%	50%	89%	90%	16%	50%	89%	33%	49%	67%	45%	30%	6%	84%	0%	100%	9%	82%	41%	46%	51%	52%	50%	38%	44%	55%	55%	49%	37%	50%	49%	39%	35%
Some Other Candidate	3%	6%	1%	10%	3%	1%	0%	6%	1%	2%	**	**	9%	2%	2%	6%	6%	1%	4%	3%	0%	2%	4%	2%	6%	3%	3%	5%	3%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%	5%	5%	1%	7%	3%	1%	1%	11%	7%	3%	1%	5%	0%	2%	1%
Undecided	14%	14%	15%	20%	15%	13%	10%	17%	12%	12%	**	**	42%	17%	8%	15%	1%	16%	20%	2%	2%	11%	20%	2%	28%	11%	12%	16%	14%	15%	10%	0%	0%	17%	11%	17%	13%	13%	14%	16%	13%	14%	14%	14%	13%	18%	13%	17%	28%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	50%	50%	23%	24%	28%	24%	48%	52%	88%	3%	1%	7%	34%	36%	25%	11%	24%	35%	17%	9%	35%	35%	26%	18%	82%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	39%	38%	27%	35%	39%	29%	38%	34%	79%	21%	21%	50%	29%	62%	13%	13%	12%

Who would be better for the economy?

553 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Donald Trump	43%	47%	39%	41%	47%	48%	35%	44%	42%	46%	**	**	24%	90%	5%	36%	78%	79%	34%	7%	6%	79%	34%	7%	43%	43%	21%	37%	65%	93%	4%	91%	6%	85%	6%	47%	44%	39%	34%	38%	56%	47%	30%	35%	41%	52%	38%	46%	47%	60%
Joe Biden	45%	39%	51%	48%	43%	39%	50%	46%	44%	43%	**	**	63%	5%	86%	47%	14%	15%	48%	81%	90%	15%	48%	84%	28%	48%	65%	43%	31%	1%	86%	6%	81%	8%	84%	38%	45%	49%	54%	47%	34%	42%	56%	56%	47%	33%	51%	39%	33%	35%
Not Sure	12%	15%	10%	11%	10%	13%	15%	10%	14%	11%	**	**	13%	6%	9%	17%	8%	6%	18%	12%	5%	7%	18%	10%	29%	9%	13%	20%	4%	6%	10%	4%	13%	7%	11%	15%	11%	12%	12%	15%	10%	11%	15%	9%	12%	14%	11%	15%	21%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	50%	50%	23%	24%	28%	24%	48%	52%	88%	3%	1%	7%	34%	36%	25%	11%	24%	35%	17%	9%	35%	35%	26%	18%	82%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	39%	38%	27%	35%	39%	29%	38%	34%	79%	21%	21%	50%	29%	62%	13%	13%	12%

Who would keep you safer?

553 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			POTUS Vote		Senate Vote		2016 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	By Mail	Early In	Election	Trump (R	Biden (D	Lewis (R	Smith (D	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Donald Trump	40%	44%	37%	34%	43%	46%	38%	38%	42%	43%	**	**	31%	88%	2%	33%	80%	75%	29%	7%	7%	76%	29%	7%	36%	41%	19%	36%	61%	94%	2%	87%	5%	84%	5%	46%	40%	37%	31%	39%	49%	45%	23%	31%	38%	51%	36%	46%	42%	58%
Joe Biden	49%	43%	54%	53%	48%	42%	53%	50%	47%	47%	**	**	64%	5%	89%	54%	14%	17%	55%	88%	89%	16%	55%	88%	36%	51%	70%	45%	35%	1%	92%	7%	86%	7%	89%	41%	48%	54%	57%	50%	40%	45%	63%	61%	50%	38%	54%	45%	37%	37%
Not Sure	11%	13%	9%	13%	9%	12%	9%	11%	11%	10%	**	**	4%	7%	9%	13%	6%	9%	17%	6%	4%	8%	17%	5%	28%	7%	11%	19%	5%	6%	6%	5%	9%	9%	6%	13%	12%	9%	12%	10%	11%	10%	14%	8%	12%	11%	10%	9%	21%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	50%	50%	23%	24%	28%	24%	48%	52%	88%	3%	1%	7%	34%	36%	25%	11%	24%	35%	17%	9%	35%	35%	26%	18%	82%	34%	17%	42%	40%	49%	36%	47%	39%	38%	27%	35%	39%	29%	38%	34%	79%	21%	21%	50%	29%	62%	13%	13%	12%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.