Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13817
Clinton Closes-In On Obama in Oregon Democratic Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Oregon today, 05/01/08, three weeks till votes are counted, Barack Obama edges Hillary Clinton 50% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 3 weeks ago, Obama is down 2, Clinton is up 2. Obama had led by 10, now leads by 6 -- small movement to be sure, and within the survey's margin of sampling error, but movement away from Obama and to Clinton nonetheless. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 15. Among voters older than McCain, Clinton leads by 15. The Gender Gap has shrunk from 37 points to 22 points. Among females, Clinton had led by 7, now by 4. Among males, Obama had led by 30, now by 18. Clinton leads narrowly among voters focused on the Economy and on Health Care. Obama leads among voters focused on Iraq.
Filtering: 1,800 state of Oregon adults were interviewed 04/28/08 through 04/30/08. Of them, 1,606 were registered to vote. Of them, 650 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/08 Democratic Primary. The Primary is "closed." Only registered Democrats may vote. All voting is by U.S. mail. Ballots may be returned until 8 pm on 05/20/08. 52 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be awarded proportionally. Results in Oregon will likely be influenced by the results of other Primaries that occur between now and 05/20/08, specifically Indiana and North Carolina.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
650 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteHispanicAsianConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratPortlandRest of
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%15%31%31%23%46%54%38%14%49%90%3%6%9%39%39%25%25%50%17%81%24%74%36%9%17%23%2%2%3%6%69%31%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.