| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19742 |
| Filner Gains Among Women, Whites, Hispanics in San Diego Mayor Election:
In an election for San Diego mayor today, 09/25/12, 2 weeks until early voting begins, Congressman Bob Filner defeats City Council Member Carl DeMaio 50% to 38%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KGTV-TV, 10News. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 1 months ago, Filner is up 3 points; DeMaio is down 3 points
* Among men, Filner maintains a 3-point lead over DeMaio, unchanged since the previous poll. While the race for mayor is non-partisan, DeMaio, a Republican, leads by 36 points among Republicans, up from 30 points 1 month ago. Filner, a Democrat, today leads by 47 points among Democrats, up from 36 points last month. Those who voted for Nathan Fletcher in the primary now support Filner by almost 2:1. |
| Cell phone respondents and home phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 850 San Diego adults 09/21/12 through 09/24/12. Of the adults, 731 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 581 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 general election. Incumbent Mayor Jerry Sanders is term-limited. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (79% of adults, 84% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (21% of adults, 16% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone or other electronic device |
 | If the election for San Diego mayor were today, who would you vote for?(candidate names rotated) Carl DeMaio? Or Bob Filner? |
| 581 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Vote in Primary | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Carl DeM | Bonnie D | Bob Filn | Nathan F | Did Not | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Carl DeMaio | 38% | 44% | 32% | 37% | 31% | 43% | 44% | 34% | 43% | 40% | 37% | 39% | 30% | 29% | 40% | 64% | 22% | 35% | 68% | 34% | 69% | 29% | 22% | 87% | 38% | 4% | 31% | 31% | 25% | 48% | 34% | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Bob Filner | 50% | 47% | 53% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 44% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 53% | 54% | 51% | 45% | 51% | 28% | 69% | 40% | 30% | 53% | 26% | 59% | 61% | 8% | 43% | 91% | 57% | 39% | 69% | 44% | 51% | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| Undecided | 12% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 19% | 26% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 26% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 5% | 19% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 32% | 23% | 21% | 56% | 44% | 59% | 7% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 84% | 31% | 48% | 20% | 9% | 89% | 28% | 39% | 30% | 25% | 12% | 29% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 34% | 59% | 24% | 37% | 39% |