Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19742
Filner Gains Among Women, Whites, Hispanics in San Diego Mayor Election:

In an election for San Diego mayor today, 09/25/12, 2 weeks until early voting begins, Congressman Bob Filner defeats City Council Member Carl DeMaio 50% to 38%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KGTV-TV, 10News.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 1 months ago, Filner is up 3 points; DeMaio is down 3 points

* Among men, Filner maintains a 3-point lead over DeMaio, unchanged since the previous poll.
* But among women, Filner had led by 10, now leads by 21.
* Among whites, Filner had trailed by 2, now leads by 8, a 10-point swing to Filner.
* Among Hispanics, Filner had led by 2 in SurveyUSA's most recent poll, now leads by 15.

While the race for mayor is non-partisan, DeMaio, a Republican, leads by 36 points among Republicans, up from 30 points 1 month ago. Filner, a Democrat, today leads by 47 points among Democrats, up from 36 points last month. Those who voted for Nathan Fletcher in the primary now support Filner by almost 2:1.

Cell phone respondents and home phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 850 San Diego adults 09/21/12 through 09/24/12. Of the adults, 731 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 581 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 general election. Incumbent Mayor Jerry Sanders is term-limited. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (79% of adults, 84% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (21% of adults, 16% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone or other electronic device
If the election for San Diego mayor were today, who would you vote for?(candidate names rotated) Carl DeMaio? Or Bob Filner?
581 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyVote in PrimaryEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalCarl DeMBonnie DBob FilnNathan FDid Not High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Carl DeMaio38%44%32%37%31%43%44%34%43%40%37%39%30%29%40%64%22%35%68%34%69%29%22%87%38%4%31%31%25%48%34%39%38%37%
Bob Filner50%47%53%50%54%50%44%52%47%48%53%54%51%45%51%28%69%40%30%53%26%59%61%8%43%91%57%39%69%44%51%49%51%49%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%24%32%23%21%56%44%59%7%19%15%16%84%31%48%20%9%89%28%39%30%25%12%29%19%13%8%34%59%24%37%39%