| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #24509 |
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In North Carolina, Opposition to Ballot Measures Increases As Election Day Approaches; Democrat Earls Maintains 2:1 advantage Over 2 Republicans in Race for Supreme Court: President Trump Continues to Antagonize More Voters Than He Energizes: North Carolina's Income Tax Cap Amendment had been leading but is now too-close-to-call, the Legislative Appointments to Elections Board Amendment had been leading but is now trailing, and the Judicial Selection for Midterm Vacancies Amendment had been tied but is now trailing, according to SurveyUSA research conducted exclusively for Spectrum News North Carolina. North Carolina's Right to Hunt and Fish Amendment had been leading by 43 points 3 weeks ago, today is leading by 28 points, and remains likely to pass, SurveyUSA finds. Marsy's Law Crime Victims' Rights Amendment had been leading by 65 points 3 weeks ago, today is leading by 38 points and remains likely to pass. The Voter ID Amendment, which had been leading 37 points 3 weeks ago, today is leading by 18 points and also remains likely to pass. But other ballot measures may be in trouble. The Income Tax Cap Amendment had led by 37 points 3 weeks ago, but today leads by just 6, which makes it too-close-to-call. Among the most motivated voters --- those who have already voted --- the measure trails by 12 points. Among those who have not yet returned a ballot but who promise to do so before the 11/06/18 deadline, the measure leads by 14 points. This means that "No" starts out with a material advantage, which "Yes" voters on Election Day will need to overcome. Any outcome is possible. The Legislative Appointments to Elections Board Amendment had led by 27 points 3 weeks ago but today trails by 10 points and is unlikely to pass, SurveyUSA finds. Among those who have already voted, No defeats Yes 2:1 on this measure. For the measure to pass, "Yes" voters on Election Day will need to vote 3:2 or more in favor. The Judicial Selection for Midterm Vacancies Amendment, which trailed by 1 point 3 weeks ago trails by 22 points today and is unlikely to pass, SurveyUSA finds. Among those who have already voted, No defeats Yes by more than 2:1 on this measure. For the measure to pass, "Yes" voters on Election day will need to vote almost 2:1 in favor. In the election for North Carolina Supreme Court, Democrat Anita Earls today maintains a 2:1 lead over her nearest challenger, effectively unchanged from 3 weeks ago, though then, Earls led Republican Chris Anglin 43% to 22% and today Earls leads Republican Barbara Jackson 44% to 22%. When North Carolina voters are asked today whether they will vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, 48% today choose the Democrat, 44% choose the Republican, effectively unchanged from 3 weeks ago, when 48% chose the Democrat and 43% chose the Republican. When NC voters are asked today how they will vote in the election for NC General Assembly, 46% today choose the Democrat, 43% today choose the Republican, effectively unchanged from 3 weeks ago when 47% chose the Democrat and 42% chose the Republican. Today, 45% of voters say that President Donald Trump makes them more likely to vote for a Democrat, effectively unchanged from 3 weeks ago, when 46% said that President Trump inspired them to vote Democratic. Today, 30% say that President Trump makes them more likely to vote for a Republican, down slightly from 33% 3 weeks ago. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,200 state of North Carolina adults 10/26/18 through 10/29/18. Of the adults, 1,008 are registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 659 who have already returned a ballot or who are likely to do so before the 11/06/18 deadline. In SurveyUSA's 10/08/18 poll release, SurveyUSA cautioned: "Opposition to ballot measures, having nothing to do with North Carolina uniquely or with 2018 specifically, typically increases as Election Day approaches. As such, it is possible that the outcome of 5 of these constitutional amendments may be closer than they today appear." In general, this observation has to do with a "No" vote representing a vote in favor of the status quo, and mirrors the fact that many voters are naturally risk averse and fearful of change, whatever that change might represent. As such, it is unusual but not impossible for the "Yes" vote on a ballot measure to outperform a poll released 3 weeks before Election Day. This is what makes polling on ballot measures an imprecise science. Today's research results and the SurveyUSA results released on 10/08/18 were both conducted online. |
 | In the election for North Carolina General Assembly in your district, how do you vote? (choices rotated) |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| The Republican Candidate | 43% | 47% | 39% | 35% | 45% | 42% | 48% | 41% | 45% | 56% | 8% | 47% | 19% | 39% | 44% | 94% | 2% | 28% | 86% | 27% | 5% | 89% | 4% | 88% | 7% | 47% | 35% | 48% | 46% | 45% | 39% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 41% | 45% | 30% | 46% | 46% | 47% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 43% | 51% |
| The Democratic Candidate | 46% | 40% | 52% | 53% | 41% | 48% | 44% | 47% | 46% | 34% | 84% | 49% | 42% | 55% | 43% | 2% | 97% | 43% | 8% | 58% | 90% | 3% | 90% | 3% | 84% | 48% | 57% | 38% | 36% | 46% | 52% | 55% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 47% | 46% | 61% | 42% | 44% | 35% | 48% | 41% | 54% | 48% | 39% |
| Candidate From Another Party | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Undecided | 8% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 20% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 21% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | In the election for United States House of Representatives in your district, how do you vote? (choices rotated) |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| The Republican Candidate | 44% | 49% | 39% | 35% | 47% | 42% | 49% | 42% | 45% | 57% | 8% | 47% | 19% | 41% | 45% | 93% | 2% | 33% | 86% | 29% | 6% | 89% | 5% | 88% | 8% | 49% | 37% | 47% | 46% | 47% | 39% | 34% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 46% | 29% | 47% | 48% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 38% | 44% | 52% |
| The Democratic Candidate | 48% | 42% | 53% | 55% | 43% | 50% | 43% | 49% | 47% | 35% | 85% | 52% | 42% | 54% | 45% | 2% | 97% | 47% | 8% | 59% | 91% | 4% | 91% | 4% | 86% | 48% | 58% | 39% | 38% | 46% | 54% | 56% | 42% | 41% | 51% | 47% | 48% | 46% | 63% | 43% | 45% | 37% | 49% | 42% | 57% | 49% | 40% |
| Candidate From Another Party | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 19% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Undecided | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 20% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | In the election for North Carolina Supreme Court how do you vote? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Barbara Jackson (R) | 22% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 33% | 16% | 26% | 28% | 1% | 35% | 9% | 23% | 21% | 45% | 2% | 17% | 42% | 17% | 1% | 45% | 2% | 43% | 4% | 28% | 14% | 24% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 17% | 18% | 22% | 25% | 10% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 34% |
| Chris Anglin (R) | 19% | 22% | 15% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 22% | 6% | 15% | 32% | 20% | 18% | 38% | 2% | 15% | 32% | 15% | 4% | 34% | 3% | 34% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 22% | 26% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 14% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 14% |
| Anita Earls (D) | 44% | 38% | 50% | 51% | 41% | 46% | 39% | 46% | 43% | 33% | 77% | 50% | 40% | 54% | 40% | 2% | 91% | 42% | 8% | 51% | 91% | 2% | 86% | 3% | 81% | 47% | 52% | 35% | 36% | 43% | 49% | 55% | 37% | 37% | 49% | 41% | 41% | 45% | 56% | 39% | 44% | 33% | 45% | 40% | 56% | 44% | 35% |
| Undecided | 16% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 22% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 26% | 18% | 17% | 4% | 20% | 9% | 20% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 18% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | How much of a factor is President Trump in your decisions about which candidates you will vote for in the November election? Does he make you more likely to vote for Republicans? Make you more likely to vote for Democrats? Or does he have no impact either way? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| More Likely To Vote Republican | 30% | 31% | 29% | 27% | 33% | 32% | 27% | 30% | 30% | 42% | 5% | 9% | 24% | 31% | 30% | 67% | 1% | 18% | 58% | 21% | 5% | 65% | 2% | 66% | 3% | 37% | 23% | 31% | 35% | 30% | 27% | 21% | 36% | 35% | 32% | 31% | 32% | 28% | 24% | 34% | 27% | 38% | 32% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 37% |
| More Likely To Vote Democrat | 45% | 40% | 50% | 57% | 43% | 45% | 39% | 49% | 42% | 35% | 76% | 53% | 34% | 52% | 42% | 3% | 89% | 45% | 8% | 57% | 85% | 3% | 87% | 2% | 84% | 48% | 59% | 33% | 32% | 44% | 54% | 51% | 41% | 42% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 44% | 57% | 42% | 42% | 37% | 47% | 44% | 53% | 45% | 37% |
| No Impact On Vote | 23% | 27% | 20% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 34% | 18% | 27% | 22% | 18% | 38% | 41% | 16% | 26% | 29% | 10% | 35% | 34% | 20% | 10% | 30% | 10% | 31% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 36% | 29% | 26% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 21% | 23% | 26% | 16% | 22% | 29% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 26% | 24% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | Turning now to the state constitutional amendments on the ballot ... first, the Income Tax Cap Amendment, which would reduce the income tax rate in North Carolina to a maximum allowable rate of seven percent. Do you vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| For | 47% | 48% | 46% | 50% | 57% | 45% | 39% | 54% | 42% | 55% | 32% | 25% | 37% | 41% | 50% | 67% | 32% | 40% | 66% | 40% | 34% | 69% | 28% | 69% | 28% | 49% | 39% | 53% | 56% | 44% | 45% | 42% | 49% | 52% | 51% | 46% | 51% | 44% | 46% | 48% | 45% | 54% | 42% | 54% | 45% | 39% | 54% |
| Against | 41% | 43% | 39% | 35% | 26% | 43% | 55% | 30% | 49% | 34% | 52% | 69% | 43% | 53% | 36% | 24% | 56% | 48% | 25% | 49% | 55% | 23% | 59% | 22% | 58% | 41% | 50% | 35% | 29% | 43% | 44% | 47% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 43% | 38% | 42% | 39% | 42% | 42% | 37% | 46% | 34% | 46% | 49% | 29% |
| Undecided | 12% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 6% | 20% | 6% | 15% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | Next, the Right to Hunt and Fish Amendment, which would protect the right of the people to hunt, fish, and harvest wildlife. Do you vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| For | 59% | 64% | 54% | 58% | 62% | 54% | 62% | 60% | 58% | 63% | 51% | 56% | 38% | 46% | 64% | 86% | 42% | 45% | 83% | 52% | 37% | 84% | 37% | 84% | 37% | 69% | 50% | 59% | 69% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 60% | 62% | 57% | 51% | 73% | 60% | 50% | 58% | 64% | 62% | 55% | 59% | 53% | 57% | 70% |
| Against | 31% | 29% | 34% | 32% | 22% | 37% | 32% | 27% | 35% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 45% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 47% | 45% | 11% | 39% | 53% | 9% | 53% | 9% | 52% | 24% | 46% | 28% | 22% | 30% | 38% | 36% | 29% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 19% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 26% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 43% | 35% | 15% |
| Undecided | 10% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 2% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 8% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | Next, the Judicial Selection for Midterm Vacancies Amendment, which would change the process for filling judicial vacancies that occur between judicial elections from a process in which the Governor has sole appointment power to a process in which the people of the State nominate individuals to fill vacancies by way of a commission comprised of appointees made by the judicial, executive, and legislative branches charged with making recommendations to the legislature as to which nominees are deemed qualified; then the legislature will recommend at least two nominees to the Governor via legislative action not subject to gubernatorial veto; and the Governor will appoint judges from among these nominees. Do you vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| For | 29% | 31% | 27% | 34% | 30% | 26% | 28% | 32% | 27% | 32% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 26% | 30% | 38% | 24% | 24% | 38% | 27% | 22% | 39% | 19% | 40% | 19% | 35% | 24% | 32% | 41% | 25% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 28% | 26% | 29% | 37% | 27% | 35% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 24% | 30% | 29% | 27% | 31% |
| Against | 51% | 52% | 50% | 36% | 45% | 54% | 62% | 41% | 58% | 46% | 59% | 77% | 29% | 62% | 46% | 37% | 63% | 55% | 39% | 55% | 67% | 39% | 66% | 36% | 65% | 51% | 61% | 46% | 32% | 55% | 55% | 52% | 50% | 50% | 52% | 50% | 41% | 54% | 44% | 52% | 53% | 49% | 55% | 44% | 52% | 58% | 43% |
| Undecided | 20% | 17% | 24% | 30% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 27% | 15% | 21% | 16% | 2% | 56% | 13% | 24% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 16% | 24% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 22% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 27% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | Next, the Legislative Appointments to Elections Board Amendment, which would establish an eight-member Bipartisan Board of Ethics and Elections Enforcement in the Constitution to administer ethics and elections law. Do you vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| For | 37% | 45% | 29% | 45% | 40% | 33% | 32% | 42% | 33% | 38% | 29% | 55% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 53% | 25% | 30% | 53% | 31% | 24% | 51% | 23% | 54% | 23% | 47% | 33% | 35% | 45% | 39% | 30% | 39% | 36% | 35% | 35% | 37% | 40% | 36% | 39% | 33% | 41% | 40% | 27% | 43% | 31% | 35% | 38% |
| Against | 47% | 44% | 49% | 34% | 37% | 51% | 58% | 36% | 54% | 44% | 54% | 43% | 50% | 61% | 40% | 27% | 64% | 53% | 28% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 65% | 27% | 64% | 40% | 54% | 49% | 35% | 45% | 55% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 44% | 48% | 42% | 48% | 43% | 51% | 42% | 50% | 52% | 43% | 55% | 48% | 37% |
| Undecided | 17% | 10% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 22% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 1% | 21% | 8% | 20% | 20% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 14% | 20% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 10% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 24% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | Next, the Marsy's Law Crime Victims' Rights Amendment, which would strengthen protections for victims of crime, to establish certain, absolute basic rights for victims, and to ensure the enforcement of these rights. Do you vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| For | 65% | 66% | 65% | 60% | 75% | 58% | 70% | 68% | 64% | 69% | 60% | 62% | 56% | 55% | 70% | 81% | 57% | 58% | 81% | 60% | 55% | 81% | 53% | 81% | 52% | 69% | 58% | 71% | 74% | 63% | 63% | 66% | 67% | 63% | 58% | 65% | 76% | 66% | 61% | 67% | 66% | 64% | 70% | 69% | 60% | 64% | 72% |
| Against | 27% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 18% | 35% | 24% | 22% | 30% | 23% | 32% | 38% | 28% | 40% | 21% | 10% | 39% | 35% | 10% | 34% | 42% | 10% | 42% | 9% | 43% | 21% | 38% | 23% | 16% | 27% | 32% | 25% | 26% | 31% | 33% | 29% | 17% | 26% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 21% | 36% | 29% | 19% |
| Undecided | 8% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 16% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | Last, the Voter ID Amendment, which would require voters to provide photo identification before voting in person. Do you vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| For | 56% | 59% | 53% | 48% | 67% | 51% | 58% | 58% | 54% | 66% | 28% | 58% | 35% | 42% | 62% | 90% | 28% | 49% | 87% | 47% | 23% | 89% | 27% | 90% | 27% | 60% | 44% | 66% | 62% | 58% | 50% | 52% | 57% | 60% | 51% | 58% | 58% | 56% | 40% | 59% | 61% | 65% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 59% | 59% |
| Against | 38% | 37% | 40% | 43% | 30% | 42% | 38% | 36% | 40% | 29% | 61% | 42% | 56% | 55% | 31% | 7% | 66% | 48% | 9% | 47% | 74% | 8% | 67% | 7% | 67% | 37% | 49% | 31% | 30% | 37% | 45% | 42% | 36% | 36% | 42% | 38% | 35% | 39% | 50% | 37% | 34% | 34% | 40% | 42% | 46% | 37% | 24% |
| Undecided | 6% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 65% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 70% | 37% | 36% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 28% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 44% | 19% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 36% | 16% |
 | In general, are things in the United States headed in the right direction? Or are they off on the wrong track? |
| 1008 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Right Direction | 39% | 45% | 32% | 34% | 37% | 39% | 46% | 36% | 42% | 48% | 14% | 38% | 24% | 33% | 45% | 75% | 15% | 26% | 69% | 31% | 11% | 75% | 11% | 81% | 6% | 48% | 29% | 46% | 41% | 40% | 35% | 32% | 45% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 46% | 41% | 33% | 37% | 45% | 44% | 30% | 33% | 38% | 42% | 43% |
| Wrong Track | 47% | 42% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 52% | 42% | 47% | 47% | 39% | 71% | 51% | 50% | 57% | 47% | 15% | 76% | 55% | 23% | 53% | 82% | 14% | 80% | 8% | 84% | 47% | 58% | 40% | 38% | 47% | 55% | 51% | 45% | 44% | 54% | 53% | 38% | 45% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 42% | 54% | 52% | 48% | 47% | 38% |
| Not Sure | 14% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 26% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 19% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 35% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 25% | 42% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 41% | 21% | 47% | 32% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 34% | 17% |
 | In general, are things in North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or are they off on the wrong track? |
| 1008 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Right Direction | 39% | 44% | 33% | 42% | 39% | 34% | 40% | 41% | 37% | 45% | 30% | 19% | 30% | 35% | 41% | 57% | 28% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 23% | 54% | 25% | 58% | 23% | 41% | 36% | 44% | 42% | 40% | 34% | 34% | 45% | 39% | 38% | 36% | 47% | 38% | 39% | 41% | 35% | 50% | 32% | 38% | 36% | 42% | 37% |
| Wrong Track | 36% | 38% | 33% | 32% | 34% | 35% | 42% | 33% | 38% | 32% | 39% | 45% | 49% | 35% | 37% | 26% | 45% | 34% | 30% | 30% | 56% | 26% | 47% | 22% | 49% | 40% | 39% | 32% | 31% | 34% | 41% | 38% | 31% | 38% | 33% | 40% | 29% | 37% | 37% | 35% | 35% | 32% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 38% | 29% |
| Not Sure | 26% | 17% | 34% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 18% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 31% | 36% | 21% | 30% | 22% | 17% | 26% | 33% | 20% | 30% | 21% | 20% | 29% | 20% | 27% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 24% | 29% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 24% | 30% | 18% | 30% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 33% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 35% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 25% | 42% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 41% | 21% | 47% | 32% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 34% | 17% |
 | Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? |
| 1008 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Approve | 42% | 47% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 46% | 55% | 12% | 38% | 26% | 37% | 45% | 85% | 8% | 33% | 78% | 31% | 8% | 88% | 6% | 100% | 0% | 47% | 34% | 49% | 48% | 43% | 37% | 37% | 46% | 46% | 38% | 38% | 45% | 46% | 35% | 41% | 49% | 46% | 36% | 39% | 45% | 42% | 45% |
| Disapprove | 49% | 44% | 54% | 51% | 50% | 48% | 46% | 51% | 47% | 37% | 78% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 48% | 10% | 86% | 55% | 17% | 58% | 89% | 6% | 89% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 59% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 55% | 55% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 55% | 44% | 46% | 55% | 49% | 45% | 46% | 53% | 52% | 46% | 51% | 45% |
| Not Sure | 9% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 35% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 25% | 42% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 41% | 21% | 47% | 32% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 34% | 17% |
 | Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Roy Cooper is doing as Governor? |
| 1008 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Approve | 49% | 48% | 50% | 50% | 48% | 53% | 46% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 59% | 49% | 46% | 60% | 51% | 38% | 67% | 44% | 33% | 59% | 66% | 36% | 69% | 38% | 61% | 48% | 54% | 50% | 41% | 50% | 55% | 48% | 51% | 49% | 55% | 45% | 47% | 50% | 55% | 49% | 46% | 50% | 48% | 44% | 55% | 53% | 45% |
| Disapprove | 26% | 30% | 23% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 31% | 24% | 28% | 26% | 16% | 44% | 38% | 23% | 29% | 37% | 15% | 27% | 38% | 21% | 20% | 35% | 15% | 34% | 21% | 31% | 25% | 28% | 28% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 21% | 26% | 27% | 29% | 23% | 24% | 31% | 26% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 25% | 26% |
| Not Sure | 25% | 22% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 22% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 29% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 29% | 15% | 28% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 31% | 25% | 19% | 26% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 21% | 22% | 27% | 23% | 24% | 30% | 26% | 23% | 22% | 29% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 35% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 25% | 42% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 41% | 21% | 47% | 32% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 34% | 17% |
 | Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the NC Legislature is doing? |
| 1008 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Approve | 34% | 40% | 28% | 38% | 32% | 25% | 44% | 35% | 34% | 38% | 25% | 34% | 32% | 32% | 39% | 53% | 24% | 27% | 50% | 35% | 14% | 50% | 21% | 53% | 21% | 41% | 32% | 36% | 41% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 39% | 37% | 31% | 33% | 38% | 35% | 34% | 35% | 34% | 41% | 29% | 32% | 29% | 40% | 35% |
| Disapprove | 33% | 34% | 33% | 28% | 33% | 40% | 31% | 30% | 36% | 30% | 32% | 55% | 40% | 43% | 33% | 18% | 43% | 40% | 19% | 36% | 57% | 19% | 49% | 16% | 50% | 30% | 43% | 32% | 21% | 33% | 43% | 34% | 30% | 38% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 33% | 31% | 32% | 34% | 36% | 35% | 34% | 24% |
| Not Sure | 33% | 26% | 39% | 34% | 35% | 34% | 26% | 35% | 30% | 32% | 44% | 11% | 28% | 25% | 28% | 30% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 29% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 31% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 37% | 31% | 25% | 35% | 35% | 33% | 29% | 30% | 32% | 35% | 27% | 37% | 32% | 36% | 26% | 42% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 35% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 25% | 42% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 41% | 21% | 47% | 32% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 34% | 17% |
| 16 | Do you think Brett Kavanaugh should or should not have been confirmed to the Supreme Court? |
| 1200 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Should | 37% | 45% | 30% | 31% | 34% | 40% | 49% | 32% | 44% | 47% | 13% | 34% | 24% | 36% | 46% | 74% | 11% | 31% | 72% | 32% | 8% | 77% | 11% | 80% | 8% | 46% | 31% | 49% | 35% | 39% | 37% | 31% | 41% | 46% | 32% | 35% | 39% | 43% | 30% | 40% | 38% | 47% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 43% |
| Should Not | 41% | 35% | 46% | 41% | 38% | 44% | 41% | 40% | 43% | 35% | 61% | 39% | 40% | 57% | 43% | 12% | 71% | 44% | 15% | 51% | 79% | 13% | 74% | 9% | 77% | 48% | 56% | 32% | 30% | 41% | 51% | 40% | 43% | 41% | 46% | 45% | 37% | 39% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 34% | 49% | 44% | 43% | 42% | 32% |
| Not Sure | 22% | 20% | 23% | 28% | 27% | 16% | 10% | 28% | 14% | 18% | 26% | 28% | 36% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 29% | 16% | 13% | 23% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 26% | 25% | 19% | 55% | 45% | 64% | 21% | 9% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 18% | 38% | 35% | 42% | 49% | 24% | 30% | 33% | 28% | 43% | 29% | 47% | 34% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 38% | 22% | 45% | 33% | 22% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 34% | 16% |
| 17 | How much impact does Kavanuagh's confirmation process and its outcome have on how you are voting this November? A great deal of impact? Some impact? Or no impact? |
| 1200 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| A Great Deal | 24% | 28% | 20% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 31% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 33% | 17% | 23% | 30% | 26% | 26% | 22% | 30% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 30% | 19% | 21% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 28% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 31% | 17% |
| Some | 30% | 28% | 32% | 35% | 26% | 29% | 28% | 31% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 40% | 30% | 38% | 28% | 25% | 36% | 32% | 24% | 37% | 36% | 26% | 38% | 25% | 37% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 34% | 29% | 30% | 33% | 28% | 38% | 28% | 28% | 31% | 32% | 27% | 30% | 34% | 24% | 37% | 32% | 29% |
| None | 33% | 34% | 31% | 22% | 36% | 40% | 36% | 28% | 38% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 37% | 35% | 36% | 38% | 28% | 34% | 40% | 33% | 24% | 37% | 26% | 39% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 36% | 32% | 32% | 30% | 36% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 38% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 36% | 35% | 31% | 38% | 31% | 28% | 35% |
| Not Sure | 13% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 11% | 8% | 18% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 19% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 26% | 25% | 19% | 55% | 45% | 64% | 21% | 9% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 18% | 38% | 35% | 42% | 49% | 24% | 30% | 33% | 28% | 43% | 29% | 47% | 34% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 38% | 22% | 45% | 33% | 22% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 34% | 16% |
 | Do you ... ? |
| 1200 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Work Full Time | 40% | 47% | 34% | 51% | 58% | 36% | 5% | 54% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 45% | 43% | 39% | 40% | 43% | 39% | 41% | 44% | 39% | 42% | 39% | 43% | 41% | 41% | 38% | 31% | 56% | 28% | 44% | 64% | 52% | 36% | 49% | 33% | 45% | 44% | 32% | 50% | 37% | 44% | 36% | 43% | 33% |
| Work Part Time | 12% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 15% |
| Student, Homemaker, Or Retired | 25% | 21% | 29% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 51% | 19% | 34% | 26% | 21% | 23% | 32% | 34% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 30% | 24% | 26% | 28% | 23% | 30% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 30% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 28% | 24% | 21% | 19% | 32% | 18% | 28% | 21% | 24% | 29% | 19% | 30% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 23% |
| Unemployed | 21% | 19% | 22% | 13% | 13% | 27% | 34% | 13% | 30% | 17% | 28% | 26% | 24% | 28% | 17% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 24% | 18% | 25% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 11% | 28% | 19% | 5% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 27% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 28% | 18% | 26% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 26% | 25% | 19% | 55% | 45% | 64% | 21% | 9% | 6% | 20% | 46% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 18% | 38% | 35% | 42% | 49% | 24% | 30% | 33% | 28% | 43% | 29% | 47% | 34% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 38% | 22% | 45% | 33% | 22% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 34% | 16% |
 | How have the changes to the federal tax law passed by Congress impacted you? Are you seeing ...? |
| 627 Who Work | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Trump Approval | Kavanuagh Impact On Vote | Education | Income | Lived NC | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Clinton | Approve | Disappro | Great De | Some | None | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | <10 Yrs | 10-20 | 20-30 | >30 Yrs | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Men | Women | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| More Money In Your Paycheck | 25% | 30% | 19% | 28% | 26% | 21% | ** | 27% | 20% | 28% | 19% | 21% | ** | 21% | 30% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 38% | 23% | 14% | 39% | 16% | 44% | 14% | 39% | 25% | 19% | 34% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 30% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 22% | 27% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 32% |
| Less Money In Your Paycheck | 17% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 18% | ** | 17% | 17% | 13% | 27% | 27% | ** | 12% | 13% | 5% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 22% | 5% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 12% | 22% | 19% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 18% |
| About The Same Amount | 48% | 45% | 51% | 39% | 50% | 54% | ** | 44% | 56% | 49% | 43% | 47% | ** | 61% | 51% | 44% | 52% | 50% | 44% | 53% | 55% | 45% | 53% | 43% | 54% | 34% | 50% | 61% | 40% | 46% | 54% | 42% | 47% | 56% | 46% | 48% | 38% | 54% | 42% | 51% | 48% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 43% | 51% | 39% |
| Not Sure | 10% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 7% | ** | 11% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 6% | ** | 7% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Work | 100% | 53% | 47% | 37% | 34% | 24% | 5% | 71% | 29% | 67% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 14% | 49% | 35% | 32% | 27% | 31% | 36% | 19% | 39% | 36% | 42% | 47% | 25% | 31% | 33% | 25% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 37% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 18% | 31% | 24% | 47% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 35% | 15% |