| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20529 |
| 5 Days Until Votes Counted, City of Portland, OR, Poised to Defeat Fluoridated Water
A ballot measure which would add fluoride to Portland Oregon's water supply is defeated by 13 points today, 05/16/2013, 5 days until votes are counted, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV. 40% of likely voters today vote Yes on fluoridation, 53% vote No. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 days ago, "yes" is up 1 point; "no" is up 5. Among men, the measure was trailing by 8, now trails by 12. Among women, the measure was trailing by 11, now trails by 15. Support for the measure among the most affluent voters has increased, from a 13-point margin last week to 21 points today, but is offset by increasing opposition elsewhere. Among the half of likely voters who say they have already returned their ballots, there is strong opposition; the measure fails by 24 points. Among the half of voters who have not yet returned a ballot, the measure is effectively tied. In a low-turnout election, any outcome remains possible. |
| Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 city of Portland adults 05/13/13 through 05/16/13. Of the adults, 733 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 602 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode, Respondents reachable on a home telephone (91% of voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (9% of voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. |
 | On the ballot measure concerning the fluoridation of Portland's drinking water supply, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain? |
| 602 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Returned Ballot? | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Already | Not Yet | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N Portla | NE Portl | SE Portl | NW Portl | SW Portl | |
| Yes | 40% | 40% | 39% | 35% | 43% | 38% | 41% | 40% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 34% | ** | 37% | 42% | 45% | 39% | 36% | 44% | 31% | 29% | 37% | 49% | 30% | 29% | 49% | 28% | 34% | 58% | 31% | 35% | 42% | 35% | 55% |
| No | 53% | 52% | 54% | 57% | 50% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 54% | 62% | ** | 61% | 45% | 44% | 54% | 57% | 49% | 59% | 64% | 55% | 44% | 60% | 61% | 46% | 65% | 59% | 37% | 62% | 60% | 53% | 58% | 37% |
| Not Certain | 8% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 4% | ** | 2% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 19% | 53% | 47% | 85% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 49% | 49% | 9% | 91% | 17% | 58% | 24% | 17% | 40% | 38% | 15% | 33% | 52% | 31% | 35% | 34% | 12% | 28% | 37% | 8% | 15% |