Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14048
19 Weeks Out, Obama and McCain Neck And Neck In Hoosier State: In an election today in Indiana, Barack Obama takes 48% of the vote, John McCain 47% of the vote -- a statistical tie -- according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Obama's 1-point lead is within the survey's 4 percentage point margin of sampling error, and these results should be reported as a tie. Among men, McCain leads by 5; among women, Obama leads by 7 -- a 12-point gender gap. Among voters age 18 to 49, Obama leads by 5; among voters 50+, McCain leads by 3. Obama leads by 22 points among voters under age 35. 16% of Republicans cross over to vote for Democrat Obama; 19% of Democrats cross over to vote for Republican McCain; Independents favor Obama by 7 points. Among those voters who say they have already made up their minds, the two candidates are tied; among the 25% who say they could still change their mind, Obama leads by 2.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 06/21/08 through 06/23/08. Of the adults, 772 identified themselves as registered voters. Of them, 627 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the general election on 11/04/08.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
627 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KN INCentral IndianapS IN
McCain (R)47%50%44%38%51%46%52%46%48%46%53%46%51%14%80%19%42%77%39%13%50%46%56%44%32%63%30%44%49%40%**33%31%92%****90%41%52%40%51%49%52%
Obama (D)48%45%51%60%45%48%42%51%45%51%40%48%44%84%16%78%49%19%56%82%46%49%40%48%65%33%65%46%49%54%**65%66%8%****8%53%44%57%42%47%42%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%19%34%27%20%53%47%45%13%43%90%7%36%38%19%30%37%12%41%59%52%26%22%51%46%25%73%52%2%8%10%10%3%2%7%45%55%35%18%22%25%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.