| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27352 |
| DFL Incumbent Craig Running 2 Pts. Ahead of Kamala Harris in MN-02 Re-Election Bid; GOP Challenger Teirab Running 4 Pts. Behind Trump:
Incumbent US House of Representatives Member Angie Craig today defeats attorney Joe Teirab 49% to 41%, according to SurveyUSA's latest polling for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis. 3% of likely voters cast their ballots for independent Tom Bowman; 7% are undecided. Craig is outperforming and Teirab is underperforming the candidates at the top of their respective tickets: in MN-02 Presidential balloting, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by just 2 points, 47% to 45%, with 3% choosing other candidates and 5% undecided. In 2020, Joe Biden defeated Trump by a 7-point margin in the current 2nd Congressional District. 93% of those voting for Harris also vote for Craig; 3% cross over and vote for Teirab. 83% of those voting for Trump also vote for Teirab; 7% cross over to vote for Craig, and 5% vote for Bowman, a conservative activist. Among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already cast their ballots, Harris leads Trump by 52 points and Craig leads Teirab by 59. Among those who say they are certain to vote, Harris leads by 4 points, Craig by 2. Among those who say they will probably vote, Trump leads by 18 points, Teirab by 3. In the Presidential contest, Trump leads by 5 points among men, while Harris leads by 9 among women – a 14-point gender gap. Trump wins voters under age 50 by 12 points; Harris wins those over age 50 by 15 points. Trump holds commanding leads among those voters most concerned with immigration (80 points), those focused on taxes (46 points), and those who say inflation is the most important issue (33 points). Harris holds similarly strong leads among those who say healthcare is the top issue (75 points), those focused on gun control (61 points), and those concerned about abortion (55 points). Harris has a slight 2-point edge among those who cite jobs and the economy as the most important issue. In the House race, the issues break down similarly, with Teirab up 61 points with immigration voters, 38 points among those focused on taxes, and 23 points among those who say inflation is most important. Craig leads by 79 points among those who say healthcare is the most important issue, by 53 points among those focused on gun control, and by 57 points among those who say abortion is most important. Among those voters who say jobs and the economy is most important, Craig leads by 11 points. Craig has a net favorability rating of +19, with 47% having a favorable opinion of her and 28% an unfavorable opinion. 18% are neutral; 7% have no opinion. Teirab's net favorability rating is +2: 29% favorable, 27% unfavorable. 26% say they have a neutral opinion of him; 18% have no opinion. 8 in 10 voters say they have seen campaign ads for at least one of the two major candidates in the race, and among those who have seen ads, just 12% say those ads will have a major impact on how they will vote (14% for Craig voters, 10% for Teirab voters.) 31% say the ads will have a minor impact (33% among Craig voters, 24% among Teirab voters). The majority, 57%, say the ads will have no impact in how they vote (66% for Teirab voters, 52% for Craig voters). Fully crosstabbed results follow ... |
| About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 adults from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District 10/07/24 through 10/13/24. Of the adults, 622 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 556 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. 65% of likely voters were shown the survey questions on the display of their smartphone, laptop or tablet, using nonprobability sample of online adult panelists chosen randomly by Cint/Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The other 35% of likely voters were interviewed on their landline telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC: The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census 2022 ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership, and to recalled 2020 Presidential vote. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota? |
| 700 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Yes | 89% | 92% | 86% | 81% | 86% | 93% | 100% | 83% | 96% | 91% | 87% | 87% | 79% | 88% | 90% | 96% | 94% | 89% | 99% | 91% | 87% | 98% | 97% | 93% | 87% | 98% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 98% | 80% | 87% | 95% | 79% | 86% | 95% | 94% | 74% | 90% | 89% | 86% | 84% | 100% |
| No | 10% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 15% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4% | 1% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 50% | 50% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 19% | 56% | 44% | 76% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 33% | 66% | 33% | 31% | 24% | 11% | 25% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 36% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 69% | 10% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 36% | 39% | 24% | 32% | 43% | 20% | 35% | 45% | 75% | 25% | 13% | 71% | 16% | 71% | 29% |
| 2 | Minnesota will hold an election for President, United States Senate, and for US House of Representatives in November. |
| 622 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Not Interested / Will Not Vote | 6% | 5% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 8% | 1% |
| Not Sure Will Have Time | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 1% |
| Almost Certain | 10% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 16% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 33% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 18% | 26% | 9% | 5% | 14% | 4% |
| Absolutely Certain | 69% | 68% | 69% | 59% | 66% | 81% | 68% | 63% | 75% | 72% | 59% | 41% | 75% | 72% | 67% | 78% | 71% | 65% | 75% | 79% | 66% | 68% | 78% | 78% | 66% | 71% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 80% | 73% | 83% | 72% | 63% | 80% | 81% | 68% | 74% | 79% | 83% | 77% | 70% | 68% | 66% | 71% | 61% | 64% | 75% | 74% | 49% | 46% | 73% | 64% | 66% | 74% |
| Have Already Voted | 10% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 27% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 1% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 6% | 18% | 6% | 18% | 5% | 14% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 18% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 20% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 25% | 27% | 26% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 77% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 33% | 67% | 35% | 33% | 24% | 13% | 25% | 32% | 16% | 7% | 38% | 32% | 23% | 10% | 69% | 10% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 38% | 43% | 22% | 32% | 46% | 18% | 34% | 48% | 79% | 21% | 13% | 71% | 16% | 68% | 32% |
| 3 | If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Kamala Harris? Or another candidate? |
| 556 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Donald Trump (R) | 45% | 48% | 42% | 54% | 49% | 44% | 35% | 51% | 40% | 48% | 38% | 32% | 43% | 50% | 43% | 92% | 4% | 34% | 92% | 77% | 30% | 11% | 1% | 82% | 30% | 8% | 53% | 48% | 23% | 100% | 0% | 93% | 6% | 67% | 45% | 87% | 8% | 21% | 14% | 60% | 94% | 7% | 48% | 46% | 44% | 52% | 45% | 45% | 48% | 38% | 45% | 43% | 66% | 48% | 41% |
| Kamala Harris (D) | 47% | 43% | 51% | 37% | 40% | 48% | 63% | 39% | 55% | 45% | 47% | 64% | 48% | 40% | 50% | 5% | 94% | 47% | 7% | 13% | 59% | 86% | 97% | 11% | 59% | 90% | 35% | 44% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 3% | 88% | 21% | 47% | 7% | 83% | 76% | 75% | 27% | 4% | 86% | 42% | 45% | 50% | 39% | 51% | 45% | 46% | 49% | 45% | 49% | 32% | 41% | 58% |
| Other | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% |
| Undecided | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 21% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 51% | 78% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 34% | 66% | 37% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 39% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 77% | 11% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 40% | 47% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 52% | 83% | 17% | 14% | 72% | 14% | 65% | 35% |
| 4 | If the election for US House of Representatives in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Joe Teirab? DFL candidate Angie Craig? Or Independent Tom Bowman? |
| 556 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Joe Teirab (R) | 41% | 42% | 39% | 46% | 45% | 36% | 36% | 46% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 21% | 29% | 46% | 38% | 84% | 2% | 32% | 88% | 69% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 75% | 27% | 3% | 41% | 44% | 20% | 83% | 3% | 100% | 0% | 63% | 40% | 75% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 51% | 80% | 7% | 32% | 42% | 43% | 45% | 40% | 40% | 44% | 28% | 42% | 39% | 51% | 41% | 40% |
| Angie Craig (D) | 49% | 46% | 52% | 39% | 43% | 52% | 63% | 41% | 57% | 47% | 46% | 66% | 56% | 46% | 51% | 6% | 94% | 53% | 5% | 20% | 60% | 92% | 93% | 15% | 60% | 92% | 38% | 46% | 79% | 7% | 93% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 51% | 14% | 87% | 77% | 68% | 28% | 7% | 88% | 46% | 44% | 54% | 34% | 50% | 52% | 49% | 44% | 50% | 51% | 31% | 45% | 57% |
| Tom Bowman (I) | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 7% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 17% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 21% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 51% | 78% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 34% | 66% | 37% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 39% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 77% | 11% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 40% | 47% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 52% | 83% | 17% | 14% | 72% | 14% | 65% | 35% |
| 5 | Is your opinion of Joe Teirab ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Joe Teirab? |
| 556 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Favorable | 29% | 30% | 28% | 28% | 32% | 26% | 29% | 31% | 27% | 30% | 31% | 19% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 59% | 3% | 23% | 76% | 45% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 55% | 21% | 3% | 26% | 30% | 22% | 59% | 2% | 68% | 3% | 48% | 26% | 55% | 9% | 20% | 3% | 34% | 58% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 35% | 27% | 22% | 35% | 32% | 18% | 33% | 28% | 35% | 28% | 31% |
| Unfavorable | 27% | 28% | 27% | 22% | 18% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 34% | 29% | 24% | 32% | 14% | 25% | 29% | 5% | 51% | 28% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 47% | 71% | 10% | 30% | 55% | 10% | 27% | 50% | 3% | 53% | 2% | 53% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 39% | 50% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 52% | 23% | 28% | 29% | 14% | 34% | 28% | 28% | 23% | 25% | 30% | 19% | 23% | 36% |
| Neutral | 26% | 29% | 22% | 32% | 22% | 31% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 37% | 33% | 35% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 32% | 9% | 31% | 29% | 30% | 8% | 23% | 29% | 23% | 33% | 26% | 13% | 27% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 33% | 18% | 40% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 33% | 24% | 23% | 40% | 27% | 20% | 23% | 36% | 30% | 23% | 34% | 29% | 20% |
| No Opinion | 18% | 13% | 23% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 15% | 22% | 13% | 18% | 7% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 20% | 7% | 22% | 16% | 17% | 9% | 20% | 13% | 23% | 32% | 13% | 20% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 12% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 21% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 51% | 78% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 34% | 66% | 37% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 39% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 77% | 11% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 40% | 47% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 52% | 83% | 17% | 14% | 72% | 14% | 65% | 35% |
| 6 | What is your opinion of Angie Craig? |
| 556 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Favorable | 47% | 46% | 48% | 38% | 38% | 51% | 62% | 38% | 56% | 45% | 40% | 64% | 56% | 43% | 49% | 10% | 87% | 49% | 10% | 22% | 54% | 87% | 87% | 18% | 54% | 87% | 42% | 44% | 73% | 10% | 86% | 5% | 89% | 23% | 53% | 18% | 76% | 71% | 65% | 26% | 12% | 81% | 41% | 46% | 51% | 38% | 49% | 47% | 47% | 43% | 49% | 48% | 33% | 42% | 57% |
| Unfavorable | 28% | 29% | 27% | 35% | 28% | 29% | 20% | 31% | 25% | 31% | 37% | 6% | 11% | 28% | 28% | 56% | 3% | 23% | 75% | 49% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 58% | 11% | 3% | 22% | 30% | 19% | 56% | 3% | 63% | 2% | 38% | 28% | 47% | 5% | 20% | 5% | 37% | 57% | 6% | 18% | 31% | 30% | 31% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 43% | 29% | 26% |
| Neutral | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 29% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 7% | 26% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 27% | 10% | 25% | 19% | 8% | 24% | 10% | 23% | 8% | 29% | 13% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 16% | 24% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 26% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 13% |
| No Opinion | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 13% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 11% | 7% | 0% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 21% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 51% | 78% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 34% | 66% | 37% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 39% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 77% | 11% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 40% | 47% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 52% | 83% | 17% | 14% | 72% | 14% | 65% | 35% |
| 7 | Which one of these issues will have the most influence on your vote for US House of Representatives? Taxes? Jobs and the economy? Immigration? Health care? Crime? Abortion? Gun control? Inflation? Or something else? |
| 556 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Taxes | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 24% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% |
| Jobs And The Economy | 17% | 18% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 25% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 19% | 6% | 26% | 17% | 10% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 39% | 15% | 8% | 20% | 12% |
| Immigration | 19% | 25% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 4% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 21% | 32% | 4% | 22% | 31% | 31% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 36% | 3% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 7% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 37% | 16% | 25% |
| Health Care | 12% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 18% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 3% | 24% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 14% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 12% | 10% | 21% | 2% | 21% | 2% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 19% | 20% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 11% |
| Crime | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
| Abortion | 18% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 31% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 9% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 29% | 38% | 13% | 14% | 32% | 16% | 17% | 24% | 8% | 29% | 9% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 26% | 12% | 13% | 24% | 15% | 14% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 20% |
| Gun Control | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 22% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
| Inflation | 12% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 17% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 3% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 16% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 17% | 7% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 20% | 8% | 15% | 5% | 16% | 5% |
| Other/not Sure | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 21% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 51% | 78% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 34% | 66% | 37% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 39% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 77% | 11% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 40% | 47% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 52% | 83% | 17% | 14% | 72% | 14% | 65% | 35% |
| 8 | Have you seen any campaign ads on TV for Joe Teirab or Angie Craig? |
| 556 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Yes | 81% | 82% | 79% | 72% | 71% | 85% | 95% | 71% | 90% | 81% | 80% | 90% | 73% | 76% | 84% | 79% | 86% | 79% | 79% | 85% | 77% | 87% | 79% | 83% | 77% | 84% | 66% | 81% | 95% | 80% | 84% | 80% | 86% | 76% | 85% | 84% | 81% | 88% | 67% | 70% | 79% | 87% | 71% | 80% | 86% | 82% | 78% | 82% | 83% | 70% | 79% | 81% | 82% | 74% | 94% |
| No | 14% | 14% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 13% | 3% | 19% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 7% | 23% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 24% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 23% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 21% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 51% | 78% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 34% | 66% | 37% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 39% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 77% | 11% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 12% | 40% | 47% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 52% | 83% | 17% | 14% | 72% | 14% | 65% | 35% |
| 9 | Have the campaign ads you have seen on TV had a major impact on how you will vote? A minor impact? Or no impact at all? |
| 449 Who Have Seen Ads | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter? | POTUS Vote | House Vote | Top Issue | 2020 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Certain | Already | Trump | Harris | Teirab | Craig | Taxes | Jobs And | Immigrat | Health C | Abortion | Gun Cont | Inflatio | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Online | Telephon | |
| Major Impact | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 43% | 26% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 21% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 13% | ** | 13% | 7% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 26% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 9% |
| Minor Impact | 31% | 31% | 31% | 40% | 27% | 32% | 27% | 33% | 29% | 31% | 21% | 25% | 41% | 35% | 29% | 28% | 36% | 29% | 16% | 35% | 28% | 35% | 37% | 29% | 28% | 36% | 45% | 31% | 22% | 26% | 31% | 24% | 33% | 34% | 26% | 24% | 44% | 25% | ** | 34% | 24% | 35% | 33% | 27% | 32% | 24% | 29% | 35% | 31% | 32% | 28% | 34% | 24% | 33% | 27% |
| No Impact | 57% | 57% | 56% | 43% | 59% | 59% | 62% | 52% | 60% | 60% | 36% | 46% | 49% | 55% | 57% | 62% | 52% | 54% | 62% | 57% | 60% | 54% | 46% | 58% | 60% | 52% | 35% | 59% | 55% | 64% | 54% | 66% | 52% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 50% | 62% | ** | 52% | 68% | 49% | 57% | 60% | 55% | 55% | 57% | 55% | 58% | 42% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 52% | 63% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Have Seen Ads | 100% | 53% | 47% | 19% | 24% | 29% | 28% | 43% | 57% | 78% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 31% | 69% | 36% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 19% | 8% | 40% | 30% | 27% | 10% | 77% | 13% | 45% | 49% | 40% | 53% | 8% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 19% | 4% | 10% | 40% | 51% | 18% | 32% | 50% | 16% | 31% | 53% | 85% | 15% | 13% | 72% | 14% | 59% | 41% |