| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14022 |
| King of the Hill? Incumbent Has Early Lead in IN-9 Rematch: In an election for US House of Representatives in Indiana's 9th Congressional District today, 06/19/08, incumbent Democrat Baron Hill defeats Republican Mike Sodrel -- his opponent in 2002, 2004, and 2006 -- by 11 points. Libertarian Eric Schansberg, who also ran in 2006, takes 4% of the vote. Among men, Hill leads by 7 points; among women, Hill leads by 14. Among voters age 18 to 49, Hill leads by 4 points; among voters 50+, Hill leads by 18. 17% of Republicans cross over to vote for Hill; 14% of Democrats cross over to vote for Sodrel; independents favor Hill by 18 points. 14% of independents vote for Schansberg. Hill was first elected in 1998 and re-elected in 2000 and 2002. In 2004, Hill lost to Sodrel by a margin of 1,425 votes; Hill beat Sodrel 50% to 45% to re-take his seat in 2006. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Indiana's 9th Congressional District 06/16/08 through 06/18/08; of the adults, 786 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 597 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. |
 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Mike Sodrel? Democrat Baron Hill? Or Libertarian Eric Schansberg? |
| 597 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | |||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | |
| Mike Sodrel (R) | 40% | 42% | 39% | 43% | 42% | 40% | 34% | 43% | 37% | 78% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 32% | 10% | 47% | 35% | 30% | 51% | 24% | 36% | 43% |
| Baron Hill (D) | 51% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 48% | 52% | 58% | 47% | 55% | 17% | 81% | 48% | 20% | 62% | 81% | 45% | 57% | 60% | 42% | 67% | 49% | 52% |
| Eric Schansberg (L) | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Undecided | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 23% | 31% | 27% | 19% | 54% | 46% | 37% | 44% | 14% | 32% | 38% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 20% | 61% | 36% | 27% | 71% |