Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13712 |
Indiana Men, Democrats, & Young Voters Move Away From Obama: In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/14/08, three weeks until the primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 55% to 39%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Clinton is up 3 points, Obama is down 4 points. Clinton had led by 9 at the beginning of April, leads by 16 mid-month. Here's where the movement is occurring: Among men, Obama had trailed by 2, now trails by 12, a 10-point swing to Clinton. In greater Indianapolis, Obama had led by 12, now trails by 1, a 13-point swing to Clinton. Among Democrats, Obama had trailed by 12, now trails by 27, a 15-point swing to Clinton. Among voters focused on health care, Clinton had led by 10, now leads by 30, a 20-point swing to Clinton. Among the youngest voters, Obama had led by 19, now trails by 2, a 21-point swing to Clinton. |
Filtering: 1,600 state of Indiana adults were interviewed 04/11/08 through 04/13/08. All interviews were completed before the Democratic candidates appeared in a "compassion forum" the evening of 04/13/08. Of the adults, 1,386 were registered to vote. Of them, 571 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/06/08 Indiana Democratic Primary. Indiana has 72 Democratic convention delegates, which are awarded proportionally. Republicans and Independents are technically eligible to vote in Indiana's 'open' primary. |
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
571 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | N IN | Central | Indianap | S IN | |
Clinton | 55% | 53% | 58% | 49% | 54% | 57% | 60% | 52% | 58% | 52% | 63% | 56% | 59% | 23% | 37% | 60% | 41% | 55% | 53% | 58% | 50% | 62% | 56% | 52% | 58% | 49% | 57% | 55% | ** | 63% | 48% | ** | ** | ** | 63% | 55% | 59% | 47% | 61% |
Obama | 39% | 41% | 37% | 47% | 39% | 35% | 35% | 42% | 35% | 42% | 32% | 37% | 35% | 72% | 57% | 33% | 53% | 37% | 42% | 39% | 43% | 33% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 35% | 41% | 38% | ** | 33% | 48% | ** | ** | ** | 26% | 42% | 33% | 46% | 32% |
Other | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | ** | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
Undecided | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 4% | ** | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 20% | 31% | 28% | 21% | 51% | 49% | 41% | 12% | 47% | 86% | 11% | 11% | 72% | 15% | 15% | 49% | 21% | 45% | 30% | 26% | 36% | 61% | 24% | 75% | 48% | 3% | 13% | 16% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 36% | 17% | 22% | 25% |